The New York Mets (60-63) and Los Angeles Dodgers (78-46) cap off a four-game series Sunday with a 4:10 p.m. ET game at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mets vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Marcus Stroman is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets. He is 8-12 with a 2.84 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 in 139 2/3 IP over 26 starts.
- Has benefited from a .281 batting average on balls in play and a favorable runner-stranded rate. Expected-ERA measures peg him in the high-3s. His Statcast xERA (4.36) is worse still. That figure is based on quality of contact (hard hits, optimal launch angle, etc.).
LHP David Price is the projected starter for the Dodgers. He is 4-1 with a 3.62 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 through 59 2/3 IP spanning 31 games (10 starts).
- Making his fourth straight appearance as a starter. Clocked a 3.86 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over the previous three (14 IP)
- Owns a 3.06 and 1.21 WHIP at Dodger Stadium this season.
Mets at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Mets +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Dodgers -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Mets +1.5 (-130) | Dodgers -1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)
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Prediction
Dodgers 6, Mets 4
Money line (ML)
The Dodgers are up 3-0 in the series after three low-scoring games. Overall, Los Angeles has won nine in a row and 13 of its last 14 games. Over those 14 games, Dodger pitching has compiled a sparkling 1.84 ERA.
New York is just 5-15 this month, and while its offense has been shaky most of the season it has been especially anemic in August. This month, the Mets are averaging 3.3 runs per game on a .633 OPS. N.Y. enters Sunday’s game having lost eight of its last nine contests.
Los Angeles is 11-2 across its last 13 games in Chavez Ravine. The Dodgers are 11-3 over their last 14 home games against the Mets.
The home nine is tagged with a fair price in Sunday’s finale. TAKE LOS ANGELES (-200).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Dodgers have won six games by a lone run over their nine-game win streak and that has the public perhaps too skittish on this play. This is a Dodgers club that has won 29 games by 5 or more runs.
The Mets are closing out a West Coast road trip and are 3-6 in road-trip end games. Five of those six losses were by multiple runs.
With an Over lean (see below), TAKE THE DODGERS -1.5 (+105).
Over/Under (O/U)
After a couple of low-scoring games, it feels risky to look for an Over here but there is some fade-Stroman momentum at work and some good arms in the L.A. bullpen likely to stay on the shelf after being utilized multiple times in this series already.
A breeze-out afternoon at Dodger Stadium is also in the mix. TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-122) Sunday.
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