New Orleans Pelicans betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets – Page 3

Cleveland Cavaliers at New Orleans Pelicans odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Cleveland Cavaliers at New Orleans Pelicans odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Cavaliers (8-0) and New Orleans Pelicans (3-5) meet Wednesday at Smoothie King Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Cavaliers vs. Pelicans odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; tied 1-1 in 2023-24

The Cavaliers swept a home-and-home set with the Milwaukee Bucks, including a 116-114 victory Monday. It was Cleveland’s first non-cover after a 7-0 against the spread (ATS) start, while the Over has cashed in 3 of the past 4 outings.

The Pelicans suffered a 118-100 loss to the Portland Trail Blazers as a 1-point favorite Monday as the Under (218.5) cashed. New Orleans has lost 5 of the past 6 outings with the Over 4-2 in that span. The Over is 3-0 in 3 games against Eastern Conference teams, too, while going 2-1 SU/ATS in those outings.

Cavaliers at Pelicans odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 6:11 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Cavaliers -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Pelicans +240 (bet $100 to win $240)
Against the spread (ATS): Cavaliers -7.5 (-110) | Pelicans +7.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Cavaliers at Pelicans key injuries

Cavaliers

G Caris LeVert (knee) questionable
F Max Strus (ankle) out
G Jaylon Tyson (hip) questionable
D Dean Wade (illness) out

Pelicans

G Jordan Hawkins (back) questionable
F Herbert Jones (shoulder) out
G C.J. McCollum (adductor) out
F Trey Murphy (hamstring) out
G Dejounte Murray (hand) out
F Zion Williamson (hamstring) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Cavaliers at Pelicans picks and predictions

Prediction

Cavaliers 117, Pelicans 109

Moneyline

You can’t back the Cavaliers (-300) at 3 times your potential return. That’s way too expensive at this price, whether as a straight-up bet or as a multi-leg parlay.

PASS, and look to the spread instead.

Against the spread

The CAVALIERS -7.5 (-110) are worth playing lightly on the road in the Big Easy.

Winning by 4 buckets or more is a tall order, especially away from home. But, the Pelicans +7.5 (-110) have dropped 5 of the past 6 games, while going just 1-6 ATS in the previous 7 outings. That includes back-to-back losses and non-covers against the visiting Atlanta Hawks and Trail Blazers.

Over/Under

OVER 224.5 (-110) is again worth a look, but go at it rather lightly.

The Over has connected in 4 of the past 6 games for the Pelicans, while going 3-0 against Eastern Conference teams.

The Cavs have cashed high in 3 of the past 4 outings, while going for 113 or more points in 7 of 8 games to date. Cleveland has faced just one Western Conference opponent, cashing the Over (226.5) on Oct. 30 in a 134-110 victory over the LA Lakers.

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Atlanta Hawks at New Orleans Pelicans odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Atlanta Hawks at New Orleans Pelicans odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New Orleans Pelicans (3-3) welcome the Atlanta Hawks (2-4) to Smoothie King Center Sunday. Tip is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Hawks vs. Pelicans odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; teams split 2 games in 2023-24

The Hawks beat the Sacramento Kings 123-115 Friday, failing to cover as a 6-point underdog. Atlanta is 0-6 against the spread (ATS), going 0-2 ATS on the road and also 0-2 ATS as an underdog. The Hawks won their first 2 games by a combined 9 points and have lost their last 4, including back-to-back losses to the Washington Wizards. Atlanta is led by G Trae Young, who is averaging 27.7 points per game (PPG).

The Pelicans started off their season hot, beating the Chicago Bulls and Portland Trail Blazers. They lost the next 3, but are coming off a 125-118 victory over the Indiana Pacers Friday, closing as a 4.5-point home underdog. New Orleans has played just twice at home (2-0 ATS). It is 2-4 ATS on the season and 1-3 ATS as a favorite. The Pelicans are led by F Brandon Ingram, who is averaging 23 PPG.

Hawks at Pelicans odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 1:43 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Hawks +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Pelicans -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +5.5 (-115) | Pelicans -5.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Hawks at Pelicans key injuries

Hawks

G Bogdan Bogdanovic (hamstring) out
F De’Andre Hunter (knee) out

Pelicans

F Herbert Jones (shoulder) out
G CJ McCollum (adductor) out
G Trey Murphy III (hamstring) out
G Dejounte Murray (hand) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Hawks at Pelicans picks and predictions

Prediction

Pelicans 123, Hawks 114

Moneyline

PASS.

Unfortunately, there’s just no value here. The Pelicans, despite being banged up, are the better side and should come out on top. The Hawks have played too poorly on the road to consider here.

Against the spread

BET PELICANS -5.5 (-105).

Simply put, the Pelicans have rewarded bettors at home, and the Hawks haven’t rewarded bettors at all. New Orleans is 2-0 ATS at home and has won both of those games by at least 7 points. The Pelicans offense has also erupted in their 2 home games, averaging 124 PPG.

Against a Hawks defense that is undersized and overall a weak unit, New Orleans should be able to shoot efficiently. The Hawks are 0-2 ATS on the road and have struggled defensively, allowing 116 or more points in every game and at least 128 in both road matches.

Considering those trends, back PELICANS +5.5 (-105).

Over/Under

BET OVER 229.5 (-115).

Both teams have consistently hit the Over this season, and the Hawks, while their defense has been awful, have thrived offensively. Atlanta, behind Young, has scored at least 115 points in 3 straight games and has topped that total in 5 of 6. It is 6-0 O/U this season.

The Pelicans are 4-2 O/U and have scored more than 120 points in both home games. It has allowed at least 111 points in 4 of 6 games. Considering those trends, back OVER 229.5 (-115).

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Indiana Pacers at New Orleans Pelicans odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Indiana Pacers at New Orleans Pelicans odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Indiana Pacers (2-3) visit the New Orleans Pelicans (2-3) on Friday. Tip from Smoothie King Center is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Pacers vs. Pelicans odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; teams split 2 games in 2023-24

The Pacers snapped a 3-game losing streak on Wednesday with a 135-132 overtime win over the Boston Celtics to cover as 6.5-point home underdogs. G Bennedict Mathurin scored a team-high 30 points off the bench while adding 11 rebounds for a double-double.

New Orleans has lost 3 games in a row after falling 104-89 against the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday and failing to cover as a 3-point road underdog. G Jordan Hawkins led all scorers with 23 points while F Zion Williamson had a double-double (12 points, 12 rebounds).

Pacers at Pelicans odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 10:08 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pacers -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Pelicans +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
Against the spread (ATS): Pacers -4.5 (-110) | Pelicans +4.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 232.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pacers at Pelicans key injuries

Pacers

G Andrew Nembhard (knee) questionable
C Myles Turner (ankle) questionable

Pelicans

G Jordan Hawkins (back) questionable
F Herbert Jones (shoulder) out
G CJ McCollum (adductor) out
C Yves Missi (abdominal) questionable
G Trey Murphy III (hamstring) out
G Dejounte Murray (hand) out
C Daniel Theis (ankle) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Pacers at Pelicans picks and predictions

Prediction

Pacers 113, Pelicans 106

Moneyline

PASS.

There is value bwtting on the spread for the Pacers (-185) on Friday.

Against the spread

BET PACERS -4.5 (-110).

The Pacers had a big win and cover (+6.5) on Wednesday against an undefeated Celtics squad. They have covered in 3 of their 5 games, including 2 of their 3 on the road. They face an injury-riddled Pelicans team that has lost 3 games in a row and failed to cover in 4 straight games.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 232.5 (-110).

The Pelicans have scored 106 or fewer points in each of their last 4 games while allowing 104 or fewer in 2 of their last 4. Indiana has scored 115 or fewer in 4 of its 5 games this season. Between the 2 teams, there will not be a fast enough pace to hit a higher-than-usual total.

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New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Golden State Warriors (3-1) welcome the New Orleans Pelicans (2-2) to Chase Center Wednesday. Tip is set for 10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Pelicans vs. Warriors odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Warriors lead 1-0

The Pelicans kicked off their season hot, beating the Chicago Bulls and Portland Trail Blazers in back-to-back games; however, they started to stumble after that, losing to Portland and then Golden State. New Orleans is coming off a 124-106 road loss to the Warriors Tuesday, closing as a 1.5-point underdog. It is 1-3 against the spread (ATS) and 3-1 O/U. The Pelicans are led by F Brandon Ingram‘s 24.5 points per game (PPG).

The Warriors had a similar start to their season, throttling the Trail Blazers by 36 and then beating the Utah Jazz by 41. They lost 112-104 at home to the LA Clippers Sunday, closing as a 9-point underdog. Golden State is 3-1 ATS and is 1-1 ATS at home. It is 2-1 ATS as a favorite as well. The Warriors are led by in scoring by G Buddy Hield (21.3 PPG).

Pelicans at Warriors odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 11:36 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pelicans +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Warriors -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Pelicans +2.5 (-110) | Warriors -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pelicans at Warriors key injuries

Pelicans

Not yet submitted

Warriors

Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Pelicans at Warriors picks and predictions

Prediction

Pelicans 114, Warriors 112

Moneyline

PASS.

The Pelicans are the preferred play here, but for this value and given that 1 of their 4 games this season has ended within 3 points, look toward the spread for value here.

Against the spread

BET PELICANS +2.5 (-110).

Given most of the focal pieces for both teams are back from last season, there are a few trends to note. New Orleans was 21-15-1 ATS after a loss, the eighth-best covering rate in the league, and the Warriors sat in the bottom third of the league in home covering rate, both situations relevant here.

Golden State shot an unsustainable 46% from deep against the Pelicans Tuesday and likely won’t be able to replicate that. It has a significant size disadvantage which may become a factor as well. Expect the Warriors to disappoint on the second night of a back-to-back with older stars.

Back PELICANS +2.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET OVER 219.5 (-110).

The Pelicans have yet to figure it out defensively, allowing 124.5 PPG over their last 2 games. They have allowed at least 111 points in 3 of 4 games and are 3-1 O/U.

The Warriors have scored at least 124 points 3 times and have the firepower to keep scoring at a high level, even if they don’t shoot 46% from deep again. They are 2-2 O/U on the season.

Given the way both teams have trended, take OVER 219.5 (-110).

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New Orleans Pelicans at Portland Trail Blazers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New Orleans Pelicans at Portland Trail Blazers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Portland Trail Blazers (0-1) welcome the New Orleans Pelicans (1-0) to Moda Center Friday. Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Pelicans won 3-0 last season

The Trail Blazers were annihilated 139-104 by the Golden State Warriors Wednesday, closing as 7.5-point underdogs. Portland, which went 2-1 straight up and 3-0 against the spread (ATS) in the preseason, shot just 39% from the field and 24% from deep. It had 17 turnovers and ended with a -15 difference on the glass. The Blazers finished last in the Western Conference last season with a 21-61 record.

The Pelicans, who finished 8th in the West a season ago, went 1-2 straight up and 2-1 ATS in the preseason. They beat the Chicago Bulls 123-111 at home Wednesday, closing as 5-point favorites. The Pelicans were led by F Brandon Ingram, who shot 13 of 23 from the field and tallied 33 points. New Orleans ended with just 11 turnovers and held the Bulls to just 29% from beyond the arc.

Pelicans at Trail Blazers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 8:49 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pelicans -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Trail Blazers +190 (bet $100 to win $190)
Against the spread: Pelicans -5.5 (-115) | Trail Blazers +5.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 218.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pelicans at Trail Blazers key injuries

Pelicans

G Trey Murphy III (hamstring) out
G Dejounte Murray (hand) out

Trail Blazers

G Shaedon Sharpe (shoulder) out
G Matisse Thybulle (knee) out
C Robert Williams III (hamstring) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Pelicans at Trail Blazers picks and predictions

Prediction

Pelicans 116, Trail Blazers 112

Moneyline

PASS.

The Pelicans (-250) are the overall better team and should be able to come out on top. Portland is still young and should be trying to figure out its identity and who will be its go-to option offensively.

Against the spread

BET TRAIL BLAZERS +5.5 (-105).

Portland, with C Deandre Ayton eating up the middle, may limit second-chance opportunities and has the length to limit Ingram as well. Golden State destroyed the Blazers from deep, and New Orleans doesn’t have that same firepower.

The Pelicans beat the Bulls by 12 points but had just 1 quarter in which they outscored them by more than 4. Similarly, the Blazers were even at 21 with the Warriors at the end of the first. They can sustain playing well and match up far better with New Orleans than they did with Golden State. Expect a close one, and take TRAIL BLAZERS +5.5 (-105).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 218.5 (-110).

Neither team is overly aggressive from deep or on the offensive boards. The Trail Blazers shot 24% from deep during their game against the Warriors and had 17 turnovers, not ending possessions with shots far too often.

The Pelicans hoisted up 37 triples and knocked down just 14 of those — a 37.8% rate. They had just 7 offensive boards as well, so they didn’t crash for second-chance opportunities often.

Considering those style trends, take UNDER 218.5 (-110).

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Chicago Bulls at New Orleans Pelicans odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Chicago Bulls at New Orleans Pelicans odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago Bulls travel to face the New Orleans Pelicans to open their 2024-25 season Wednesday. Tip-off from Smoothie King Center is set for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Bulls vs. Pelicans odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Pelicans won 2-0 last season

Chicago clearly is headed towards rebuild mode after losing both G Alex Caruso and F DeMar DeRozan in the offseason. Fans in the Windy City still have a few things to be excited about with the long-awaited return of G Lonzo Ball from injury and the continued development of G Coby White.

New Orleans had an eventful offseason, losing C Jonas Valanciunas and trading for G Dejounte Murray. The Pelicans have a lot of experimenting to do with their current roster to see how, or if, pieces like F Brandon Ingram and G CJ McCollum will fit with this roster. NOLA will also be seeing if Zion Williamson can play real minutes as the full-time center.

Bulls at Pelicans odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:28 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Bulls +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Pelicans -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Bulls +6.5 (-110) | Pelicans -6.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Bulls at Pelicans key injuries

Bulls

G Lonzo Ball (knee) available

Pelicans

G Jose Alvarado (knee) questionable
F Trey Murphy III (hamstring) out
G Dejounte Murray (personal) questionable
F Zion Williamson (illness) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Bulls at Pelicans picks and predictions

Prediction

Pelicans 118, Bulls 110

Moneyline

PASS.

The Pelicans are the much better team, but they are not worth the risk of betting on as -275 favorites, so I recommend betting on the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

LEAN PELICANS -6.5 (-110).

The Pelicans got better this offseason, and with their perimeter defense likely being even better with the addition of Murray, they are a safe bet to cover here. On the other hand, the Bulls got much worse this offseason, and they simply will not have enough to cover here vs. a healthy New Orleans team.

This is a lean because of the potential missing players for New Orleans, but if even 2 of those 3 questionable players suit up, then expect for the Pelicans to cover here.

Over/Under

BET OVER 225.5 (-110).

Chicago’s defense got much worse with the loss of Caruso, whereas New Orleans got better on both sides of the ball and will be able to put up points at will on the Bulls.

The Over has also hit in 8 of the last 10 matchups between these squads, also being 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New Orleans.

The only worry with this bet is whether or not Chicago’s offense will be good enough to help this game hit the Over.

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Summer League: New Orleans Pelicans at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New Orleans Pelicans at San Antonio Spurs odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New Orleans Pelicans (0-2) and San Antonio Spurs (2-0) meet Tuesday at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET (NBATV/ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Pelicans vs. Spurs odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Pelicans have taken the court twice in the Vegas Summer League, suffering a 91-86 loss to the Orlando Magic Sunday after falling 81-74 to the Minnesota Timberwolves Friday. New Orleans shot 50.8% (31-of-60) from the field vs. Orlando, but the difference was poor free-throw shooting. The Pels were just 70.8% (17-of-24) with 24 turnovers.

The Spurs have won a couple of nail-biters in Vegas, topping the Portland Trail Blazers 83-77 Saturday a day before edging the Atlanta Hawks 79-76 Sunday. San Antonio beat Atlanta despite hitting just 34.2% (27-of-79) from the field, while going just 21.1% (8-of-38) from behind the arc.

Pelicans at Spurs odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:16 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pelicans -144 (bet $144 to win $100) | Spurs +118 (bet $100 to win $118)
Against the spread: Pelicans -2.5 (-116) | Spurs +2.5 (-114)
Over/Under (O/U): 168.5 (O: -113 | U: -113)

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Pelicans at Spurs picks and predictions

Prediction

Pelicans 82, Spurs 76

Moneyline

NEW ORLEANS (-144) is worth playing lightly as a moderate favorite against San Antonio (+118).

The Spurs were terrible in the California Classic, but they have bounced back nicely to get off to a quick start in Vegas. However, despite winning both games on The Strip, they have lost a lot. Rookie G Stephon Castle suffered a sprained right wrist, and the No. 4 overall pick in the 2024 NBA Draft will miss the remainder of Summer League. San Antonio was sloppy and disjointed, as it is. Without Castle, the kingdom is going to crumble.

Against the spread

Backing New Orleans -2.5 (-106) is the lean if you don’t want to lay the -144 juice on Pelicans money line.

The Pelicans have averaged 80.0 PPG in 2 Summer League games, while allowing 86.0 PPG. They’ve had some bad luck, sloppy play and missed opportunities at the free-throw line. If they can clean some things up, it wouldn’t be surprising to see NOLA win outright.

Just don’t bet more than 1½ UNITS between the Pelicans ML (-144) and the Pelicans -2.5 spread (-106).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 168.5 (-113). New Orleans has a very green team which has averaged just 80.0 PPG in 2 games so far. San Antonio has averaged just 81.0 PPG, while allowing just 76.5 PPG in 2 outings in Vegas. Without its top rookie, San Antonio is likely to continue struggling to light up the scoreboard.

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Oklahoma City Thunder at New Orleans Pelicans Game 4 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Oklahoma City Thunder at New Orleans Pelicans odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Oklahoma City Thunder and New Orleans Pelicans meet Monday for Game 4 of their best-of-7 Western Conference 1st-round series, which OKC leads 3-0. Tip-off from Smoothie King Center is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Thunder vs. Pelicans odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Oklahoma City routed New Orleans 106-85 on Saturday while covering as a 1.5-point road favorite. OKC’s defense continues to shine this series as rookie C Chet Holmgren now has 11 blocks while the Pelicans only have 10 blocks as a team.

The Thunder had 3 starters score 20-plus points in the win. No scorer for the Pelicans reached the 20-point mark and every player who played 10 minutes or more Saturday finished with a negative plus/minus.

Thunder at Pelicans odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:11 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Thunder -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Pelicans +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
Against the spread (ATS): Thunder -4.5 (-115) | Pelicans +4.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 204.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Thunder at Pelicans key injuries

Thunder

None

Pelicans

F Zion Williamson (hamstring) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Thunder at Pelicans picks and predictions

Prediction

Thunder 107, Pelicans 96

Moneyline

PASS.

I expect the Thunder (-190) to pick up the win and complete the sweep here, but they are not worth the risk of betting on as such a heavy favorite. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

BET THUNDER -4.5 (-115).

The Thunder have covered the spread in back-to-back games and are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games. OKC is also 4-1 ATS in its last 5 matchups with New Orleans overall, leading 2-1 ATS this series.

The Pelicans are also only 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games, making this bet even more safe.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 204.5 (-110).

The Under has hit in 3 of Oklahoma City’s last 4 games and is 5-2 in its last 7. For New Orleans, the Under is 4-1 in its last 5 games and is 6-3-1 in its last 10. The Under has also hit in 2 of the 3 games this series, being 6-3 in the last 9 OKC-New Orleans matchups overall.

This is only a lean because an Under number of 204.5 always comes with a fair amount of risk in today’s high-scoring NBA.

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Oklahoma City Thunder at New Orleans Pelicans Game 3 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Oklahoma City Thunder at New Orleans Pelicans odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Oklahoma City Thunder and New Orleans Pelicans meet in Game 3 of a best-of-7 Western Conference, 1st-round series Saturday. The Thunder lead the series 2-0. Tip-off from Smoothie King Center is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Thunder vs. Pelicans odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The top-seeded Thunder covered as 7.5-point favorites in a 124-92 win in Game 2 Wednesday with the Over (210) cashing in Oklahoma City.

G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a game-high 33 points for the Thunder, who have covered 5 of their last 6. F Chet Holmgren finished with 26 points and 7 rebounds, and F Jalen Williams added 21 points. New Orleans, which is the 8 seed, had no player score 20+ points.

Oklahoma City has won the past 4 meetings between these teams, going 3-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Under has hit in 5 of the last 8.

Thunder at Pelicans odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Thunder -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Pelicans +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Thunder -1.5 (-105) | Pelicans +1.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 209.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Thunder at Pelicans key injuries

Thunder

None

Pelicans

F Zion Williamson (hamstring) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Thunder at Pelicans picks and predictions

Prediction

Thunder 104, Pelicans 103

Moneyline

The Pelicans are just 22-20 at home this season, compared to 28-15 on the road, so backing New Orleans at Smoothie King Center without its leading scorer in Williamson doesn’t fill me with confidence over the course of a full game.

However, the 1st half of Game 3 is usually a good spot for home teams that are down 2-0 in a series. We saw the Orlando Magic and Los Angeles Lakers both cash their 1st-half moneylines Thursday, and a veteran team like New Orleans should be able to bounce back as well.

BET PELICANS 1ST HALF (-145).

Against the spread

While I prefer laying -145 with the 1st-half ML, which also gives us the ability to push on a tie, the spread is low enough that the Pelicans will likely cover it if they’re leading after the 2nd quarter. If you’re uncomfortable risking $145 to win $100 on the 1st-half ML, then the spread may be your better option.

LEAN PELICANS 1ST HALF -1.5 (-110).

Over/Under

Betting the Under has been profitable in recent meetings between these teams. The Under has also gone 7-4 this season when New Orleans is a home underdog, as the added pressure from being outmatched seems to motivate the Pelicans on the defensive end.

BET UNDER 209.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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New Orleans Pelicans at Oklahoma City Thunder Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New Orleans Pelicans at Oklahoma City Thunder odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New Orleans Pelicans and Oklahoma City Thunder meet in Game 2 of a best-of-7 Western Conference, 1st-round series Wednesday. The Thunder lead the series 1-0. Tip-off from Paycom Center is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pelicans vs. Thunder odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The 8th-seeded Pelicans covered as 8.5-point underdogs in Game 1, but the host Thunder came away with the 94-92 victory Sunday as the Under (216.5) hit.

G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored a game-high 28 points for the top-seeded Thunder, who snapped a 4-game against-the-spread (ATS) winning streak. Gilgeous-Alexander scored the go-ahead bucket with 32 seconds remaining, handing New Orleans its 3rd loss in its last 4 games.

Oklahoma City is 3-0 straight up and 2-1 ATS vs. New Orleans in the last 3 head-to-head meetings, and the Under has hit in 6 of the last 9.

Pelicans at Thunder odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:47 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pelicans +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Thunder -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
Against the spread: Pelicans +7.5 (-110) | Thunder -7.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 211.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pelicans at Thunder key injuries

Pelicans

F Zion Williamson (hamstring) out

Thunder

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Pelicans at Thunder picks and predictions

Prediction

Thunder 106, Pelicans 103

Moneyline

The Thunder (-350) are 34-8 at Paycom Center this season after Sunday’s win, good for the 3rd-best home record in the NBA. The Pelicans, even if they have a lead, will most likely struggle to close this game out without their leading scorer in Williamson (22.9 points per game).

However, it’s a losing proposition long term to bet -350 favorites in the NBA.

PASS. Bet the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

The Thunder are among the weaker No. 1 seeds in recent memory, due to their lack of playoff experience. Typically, the No. 1 seed in the better conference wouldn’t be +1400 at BetMGM Sportsbook to win the NBA Finals. The Thunder avoided the upset in Game 1, but they haven’t been downgraded enough for their performance.

The Pelicans have veterans like G CJ McCollum and C Jonas Valanciunas, who have made postseason runs with the Portland Trail Blazers and Toronto Raptors, respectively. Give me the veterans catching 7.5 points against the youngest No. 1 seed in NBA history — the average age on the Thunder is 23.4 years old.

BET PELICANS +7.5 (-110).

Over/Under

The Under has been cashing regularly in Pelicans-Thunder matchups, and Game 1 was no exception. These teams play each other tight, and without Williamson on the floor, I expect Game 2 to unfold in a similar fashion to Sunday night’s low-scoring affair.

BET UNDER 211.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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