NBA money line against the spread ATS Over Under OU total – Page 297

Los Angeles Clippers at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Clippers at Minnesota Timberwolves odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Clippers (3-4) will take on the Minnesota Timberwolves (3-4) at the Target Center. Tip is scheduled Friday evening for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Clippers at Timberwolves odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Clippers and Wolves played Wednesday with the Clippers pulling away behind a 45-point third quarter.

They just couldn’t miss. SF Paul George and PG Reggie Jackson combined for over 60 points. It was a terrific showing from a team that’s struggled out the gate.

With no PG D’Angelo Russell, the Wolves will again be handicapped. However, they do have C Karl-Anthony Towns. He’s one of the best big men in the NBA, averaging 23.9 points and 9.4 rebounds.

The Wolves are just 2-5 against the spread this season, marginally worse than the Clips 3-4 ATS record.

Clippers at Timberwolves odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 1:30 p.m. ET.

Money line: Clippers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Timberwolves +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Against the spread (ATS): Clippers -2.5 (-112) | Timberwolves +2.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Clippers at Timberwolves key injuries

Clippers

SF Kawhi Leonard (knee) out
SF Marcus Morris Sr. (knee) out
PF Serge Ibaka (back) out

Timberwolves

PG D’Angelo Russell (ankle) out

Clippers at Timberwolves odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 108, Clippers 106

Money line

BET on the TIMBERWOLVES +115 as the second night of back-to-back games against the same opponents typically isn’t easy to repeat the results of.

The Clippers won round 1.

Ask the Knicks, who gave the Magic their first win of the season, it’s not easy to win the second game against a team in the NBA. This should a similar situation, especially with the Wolves having competence.

Second-year F Anthony Edwards has been lighting up the scoreboard, averaging almost 24 points per game. He had 28 in the first meeting. He should look to have another strong showing on Friday.

The Clippers had scored under 100 in their three games prior to taking on Minnesota. While the Wolves defense is far from elite, the Clippers should regress to their mean, which isn’t shooting over 60 percent from the field.

Also, KAT had his second-worst scoring performance of the season, shooting his second-fewest free throws per game. He should bounce back as his mean is better than his Wednesday night performance.

Against the spread

PASS on the spread. I’d rather look back up to the money line in this once, especially considering we’re being given just two points of insurance.

If the Clippers pull away late like they did the two teams’ first outing, they’d cover that spread. If you feel better on the Clippers, the -2.5 is the way to go, but I’d rather put a small unit on the Wolves line.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 215.5 (-107) as the better side. Neither team has shown much consistency this season.

Their totals have been all over the place, easily covering Wednesday’s 212.5 line. We’re given three more points after that offensive onslaught. Prior to that, the Wolves were 0-6 on the total and the Clips were 1-5.

Both teams rank in the bottom ten in offensive rating. Give me the Under as the Clippers hitting over 60 percent Wednesday likely helped boost this number.

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New York Knicks at Milwaukee Bucks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Knicks at Milwaukee Bucks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Knicks (5-3) visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks (4-4) Friday in one of two nationally televised NBA games. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Knicks at Bucks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

This will be the first time Milwaukee takes the court since destroying the Detroit Pistons Tuesday. The Bucks won’t have All-Star guard Khris Middleton back, but it looks like G Jrue Holiday will return.

Holiday averaged 14 points per game in his two appearances. Having been short-handed, the reigning champs have struggled so far this season.

They’ll get a test with the Knicks, who are led by All-Star F Julius Randle. With former MVP Derrick Rose also on the roster, the Knicks are again expecting to make the playoffs.

New York enters on a two-game losing skid after being shocked at home by the Toronto Raptors and on the road versus the Indiana Pacers. The Knicks need to get back on track against two-time MVP F Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Bucks.

Knicks at Bucks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:57 p.m. ET.

Money line: Knicks +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Bucks -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Knicks +3.5 (-105) | Bucks -3.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Knicks at Bucks key injuries

Knicks

None affecting gambling odds

Bucks

SG Donte DiVincenzo (left ankle) out
PG Jrue Holiday (left ankle) probable
C Brook Lopez (back) out
SG Khris Middleton (health and safety protocols) out

Knicks at Bucks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Knicks 106, Bucks 104

Money line

“LEAN” to the KNICKS (+140) as the better value here. While I do think the points are better to get in this instance, betting on the Knicks to take down a team that is without their key closer is the way to go.

Against the spread

BET on the KNICKS +3.5 (-105) as the best value.

New York ranks third in offensive rating and has been able to score efficiently. While the Knicks don’t shoot many threes, they make the second-most per game and have the second-best three-point shooting percentage.

With RJ Barrett knocking down over 40 percent of his attempts from beyond the arc, the young forward has taken a massive leap.

The Bucks are down their starting center and All-Star guard. The Knicks are at full strength, even the often-injured C Mitchell Robinson is set to suit up. Robinson should be able to impact Giannis’ drives to the basket.

Last season, with similar rosters, the Knicks were 2-1 against the spread in this series. I expect them to play the Bucks well again Friday, and taking the points here is the smart play.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 217.5 (-112) as free-throw shooting has been a rarity this season. With both Randle and Giannis preferring to bang in the paint, this game could get gritty quickly.

The Knicks rank 27th in pace, and while the Bucks do rank in the top ten, New York seems to typically enforce its style more often than not. With both teams in the top half of the league in turnover rate as well the game could drag out and have many possession changes.

The Knicks have hit over 105 just once in their last four games while the Bucks have been held under 100 twice in their last three outings. Just one team struggling cashes the Under typically and that seems likely.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Memphis Grizzlies at Washington Wizards odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Washington Wizards odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (5-3) travel to the nation’s capital Friday to play the Washington Wizards (5-3) at Capital One Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. Wizards odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Memphis has won three of its past four games including victories in back-to-meetings with the Denver Nuggets earlier this week. The Grizzlies are 6-2 against the spread (ATS) and 4-4 Over/Under (O/U) with four upsets as underdogs.

Washington has lost back-to-back games to the Toronto Raptors and Atlanta Hawks entering Friday. The two things that stand out the most for the Wizards are their third-ranked defensive 3-point percentage and second-best offensive turnover rate. Washington is 5-3 ATS and 4-4 O/U.

The Grizzlies pummeled the Wizards by double digits in both regular-season meetings last year. Memphis guard Ja Morant dominated Washington last season, averaging 28.0 points, 5.5 rebounds and 10.0 assists per game with a plus-23 net rating in both meetings.

Grizzlies at Wizards odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:08 p.m. ET.

Money line: Grizzlies +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Wizards -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +1.5 (-110) | Wizards -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 220.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Grizzlies at Wizards key injuries

Grizzlies

SG Dillon Brooks (hand) out

Wizards

PF Rui Hachimura (personal) out
PF Davis Bertans (ankle) out
C Thomas Bryant (knee) out

Grizzlies at Wizards odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 115, Wizards 110

Money line

BET the GRIZZLIES (+100) for 1 unit because I have a lot more faith in Memphis being able to execute its offense than Washington.

The Grizzlies have the highest frequency of field goal attempts in transition, take the fourth-most catch-and-shoot 3-pointers and the sixth-most shot attempts off of screens, according to ShotQuality.com.

Whereas Washington’s defense ranks 21st in efficiency vs. transition offense, 29th in efficiency vs. catch-and-shoot 3-pointers and 22nd in efficiency vs. field goals off screens.

The Wizards attempt the second-highest volume of short-mid-range field goals and the eighth-highest volume of all mid-range shots (according to CleaningTheGlass.com). However, the Grizzlies have the seventh-best defensive field goal shooting vs. mid-range attempts.

Since Memphis drafted Morant in 2019, the Grizzlies have played well againnst Eastern Conference teams. The Grizzlies are 34-25 overall vs. the East with a plus-2.1 margin of victory over that span. While the Wizards are just 25-32 overall with a minus-3.4 margin of victory over the same timeframe.

Against the spread

PASS since Memphis’s money line is only 10 cents on the dollar more expensive than the Grizzlies +1.5 (-110), which doesn’t offer much insurance anyhow.

However, money is coming in on Washington and I always wait until the final injury report before making an NBA regular-season wager. Let’s wait until closer to tip-off and take the Grizzlies if their spread goes to 3 or more points.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 220.5 (-108) because the totals of the two Grizzlies-Wizards meetings last season were 238 and 238.5.

Sure, Unders are cashing like crazy thus far in the NBA regular season, but there’s going to be a regression back to the mean, and the 18-point gulf between this Grizzlies-Wizards meeting and their contests last season is too wide.

Washington has the second-highest offensive FT/FGA rate and Memphis has the second-worst defensive effective field goal shooting.

Early money steamed the Grizzlies-Wizards total down from the 224.5-point opener. This has turned into a “Pros vs. Joe’s” game as nearly 70% of the cash is on the Over while more than 60% of the bets placed are on the Under according to pregame.com.

Typically, in sports betting, it’s wise to follow the money especially when it’s flowing in the opposite direction as the public.

My favorite play in this game is Memphis’s money line but there’s value in the OVER 220.5 (-108).

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Cleveland Cavaliers at Toronto Raptors odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Cleveland Cavaliers at Toronto Raptors odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

On Friday evening, the Cleveland Cavaliers (5-4) will visit the Scotiabank Arena to face the Toronto Raptors (6-3). Tip-off is expected for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Cavaliers at Raptors odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Cavaliers, who have a potential Rookie of the Year candidate in F Evan Mobley, will face another rookie phenom in Toronto’s F Scottie Barnes. However, they’ll have to do it without several key players. Losing F Isaac Okoro for a game against two premier forwards is not a good sign either.

However, at 5-4, the Cavaliers are exceeding expectations. Beating Toronto at home is no easy task. After starting the season 1-3, the Raptors are hot, riding a five-game win streak.

Toronto F OG Anunoby has been the crux of their success as he’s evolving into one of the premier forwards in the NBA. That said, the Raptors will enter as near 6-point favorites.

Cavaliers at Raptors odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

Money line: Cavaliers +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Raptors -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Cavaliers +5.5 (-112) | Raptors -5.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 206.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Cavaliers at Raptors key injuries

Cavaliers

PF Kevin Love (health and safety protocols) out
PF Lauri Markkanen (health and safety protocols) out
SF Isaac Okoro (hamstring) out

Raptors

PF Pascal Siakam (shoulder) out

Cavaliers at Raptors odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Cavaliers 108, Raptors 106

Money line

“LEAN” to the CAVALIERS (+175) as some value is there.

I would prefer to take the points, but I like Mobley’s size and, with C Jarrett Allen having dominated the paint so far this season, I think Cleveland will be able to tame a lethal forward duo.

Cavs G Collin Sexton against Raptors G Fred VanVleet may determine this game, and although the experience is with the latter, Sexton is nearing 18 points per game and shooting 48 percent from the field. His efficiency is hitting career-high levels.

Also, believe it or not, but the Raptors are 2-3 at home and 4-0 on the road. Could a regression to the mean be due? This team is solid, but winning five in a row is no easy task.

I think Cleveland steals this one on the road.

Against the spread

BET on the CAVALIERS +5.5 (-112) as the best bet in this game. Although the Raptors have won five straight, their last four have been by single digits with two coming under six points.

While the Cavs seem injured, their top four scorers will all be playing, and they’ve all averaged over 45 percent shooting.

Considering Cleveland has the size advantage, slowing down Barnes and Anunoby could be easier than it is for most teams. The Cavs have the 12th-best defensive rating.

Toronto has the best offensive rebounding rate in the NBA.

Cleveland is top ten in offensive rebounding rate as well, this game could be dictated on the glass, and I’d favor the team that lines their starting lineup with two players that have a 7-foot-4 wingspan or greater.

The Cavs are 6-3 ATS while Toronto is 5-4 ATS.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 206.5 (-110) as both teams, as noted, are solid on the glass.

There should be plenty of easier looks at the rim in this one. Somehow the Cavs are a bottom third team in defensive rebounding rate yet play two massive players in their frontcourt. Toronto should expose them on the glass.

Both teams have over a 105 offensive rating. With this being a relatively lower total and the Raptors have hit 109 or more in four of their last five games, I’m going with the Over.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Brooklyn Nets at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Brooklyn Nets at Detroit Pistons odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Brooklyn Nets (5-3) travel to the Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons (1-7) Friday. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Nets at Pistons odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

This will be the second night of back-to-back home games for the Pistons. Detroit will look to give its fans a better show after it lost and failed to cover the spread in a 109-98 defeat to the Philadelphia 76ers Thursday.

Detroit is led by star F Jerami Grant and No. 1 overall draft pick G Cade Cunningham. They’ll have their hands full with SF Kevin Durant and former MVP SG James Harden.

The Nets won their last three games — scoring 115 points or more in two of the three — after struggling to start the season. Preseason title favorite Brooklyn is 1-1 on the road.

Nets at Pistons odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:23 a.m. ET.

Money line: Nets -650 (bet $650 to win $100) | Pistons +440 (bet $100 to win $440)
Against the spread (ATS): Nets -9.5 (-110) | Pistons+9.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 211.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

Nets at Pistons key injuries

Nets

PG Kyrie Irving (personal) out

Pistons

None affecting gambling odds

Nets at Pistons odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nets 112, Pistons 98

Money line

PASS on the money line.

The Nets (-650) are clearly the better, deeper team and should come out on top, although risking more than six times your return is not good value. Look to the points instead.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the NETS -9.5 (-110) as Detroit has just been that bad both at home and on the road.

The Pistons just haven’t been able to hold leads this season. They looked good against a short-handed Sixers in the first half; however, they scored just 32 points in the second half.

Their guards score the second-fewest points per game, their offensive rating is dead last and their defensive rating is the fifth-worst in the league.

That’s just not a team I’m willing to put anything on despite getting nearly 10 points. The Nets are surging and their best defender will be guarding Grant. Brooklyn beat Detroit by 26 in a home game just five days ago.

I’m thinking a double-digit game is in store Friday.

Over/Under

BET on the UNDER 211.5 (-107) as Detroit just can’t score.

If the Nets are up big, they should take the pedal off the gas late. Despite that, the Pistons are the only team in the NBA that shoots under 40 percent from the field — they’re extremely inefficient.

The Nets still rank in the bottom half of the league for offensive rating despite their star-studded roster. They haven’t consistently throttled opponents to the level most had hoped for.

With Detroit averaging under 93 points per game over their last 3 games, the Under feels like the better play.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Charlotte Hornets at Sacramento Kings odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Charlotte Hornets at Sacramento Kings odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Charlotte Hornets (5-4) play the second game of a five-game road trip when they face the Sacramento Kings (4-4) Friday. Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET at Golden 1 Center. Below, we look at the Hornets vs. Kings odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Hornets lost their last two games, including a 114-92 defeat at the Golden State Warriors. F Miles Bridges scored 32 points with 9 rebounds, while F Gordan Hayward added 23 points and 11 boards.

The Kings opened a four-game homestand Wednesday with a 112-99 win over the New Orleans Pelicans to mark their first home win of the season. F Harrison Barnes has started the season very well with an average of 23.3 points and 9.5 rebounds per game, while four other players are averaging more than 10 points per game.

Hornets at Kings odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:48 a.m. ET.

Money line: Hornets +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Kings -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Hornets +1.5 (-112) | Kings -1.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 226.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Hornets at Kings key injuries

Hornets

G LaMelo Ball (hip) probable
F P.J. Washington (elbow) doubtful

Kings

None

Hornets at Kings odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Kings 120, Hornets 115

Money line

This should be a competitive game. The Hornets lead the league in scoring at 114.7 points per game and are 1-0 against the Western Conference, but have lost four of their last six games after starting the season 3-0.

The Kings are 1-2 at home so far this season. Two of their four victories came over the one-win Pelicans.

Both teams have wins over the Portland Trail Blazers.

I lean toward the home team. Take the KINGS (-120).

Against the spread

This is only the third game this season the Kings have been favored. They won and covered both previous games, both against the Pelicans. Sacramento is 5-3 ATS.

The Hornets have covered the spread in their five wins and failed to do so in all four of their losses. They are 3-3 ATS as underdogs.

Since there is only a 1.5-point spread, I am going to lean toward the home team. The Kings have been playing just a little bit better more recently than the Hornets.

Take the KINGS -1.5 (-108).

Over/Under

As the Hornets are the league’s top-scoring team and six of their nine games went Over. The kings are 3-5 O/U.

Hornets games average a total of 229.6 points per game. The Kings have scored 110 points or more five times this season, and the Hornets hit that mark in seven of nine games.

I expect a lot of points Friday. Take OVER 226.5 (-115).

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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San Antonio Spurs at Orlando Magic odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Antonio Spurs at Orlando Magic odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

On Friday night, the San Antonio Spurs (2-6) will face the Orlando Magic (2-7) at the Amway Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Spurs at Magic odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Spurs are coming off a disappointing one-point loss to the Luka Doncic-led Dallas Mavericks. After starting the season with a 26-point win over the Magic, the Spurs have won just one of their last seven.

It’s been a brutal stretch, but the Spurs have played the Bucks twice, Mavs twice, Lakers, Nuggets, and Pacers. San Antonio may be 2-6, but this ultra-deep roster featuring PG Dejounte Murray should still be considered a playoff contender.

As for the Magic, the same cannot be said as they were the lone win for the only team in the Eastern Conference without multiple victories.

Led by second-year PG Cole Anthony and C Mo Bamba, the Magic have talent, but they are banged up. Considering that, the Spurs are road favorites.

Spurs at Magic odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 1:35 a.m. ET.

Money line: Spurs -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Magic +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
Against the spread (ATS): Spurs -3.5 (-120) | Magic +3.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 211.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Spurs at Magic key injuries

Spurs

PF Zach Collins (ankle) out
C Jakob Poeltl (health and safety protocols) out

Magic

PG Markelle Fultz (knee) out
PF Jonathan Isaac (knee) out
SG Gary Harris (ankle) questionable

Spurs at Magic odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Spurs 111, Magic 104

Money line

“LEAN” to the SPURS (-170) as I don’t hate the value here. The Spurs beat the Magic by 26 points at home earlier this season.

San Antonio is just more experienced and more talented. Along those lines, the Spurs rank 17th in offensive rating while the Magic rank 27th in defensive rating.

It’ll be a good matchup for San Antonio, a team that ranks in the top five in pace. With only good losses, although I hate thinking any loss is good, the Spurs have shown more this season.

The Magic have beaten the Knicks in the second of their two-game miniseries and a Timberwolves team that shot under 40 percent from deep. With Murray’s length, this is not a good matchup for the surging Anthony.

Against the spread

BET on the SPURS -3.5 (-120) as the best side in this contest. San Antonio enters with the NBA’s best assist-to-turnover ratio. The Spurs take care of the ball.

The Magic, who rank in the bottom three in turnover rate, do not. That could easily be the difference. Considering how fast the Spurs play and how fast that will likely force the Magic to play, I expect a sloppy game from Orlando.

The Magic has only lost one game by less than five points. Expect a solid win for the Spurs.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 211.5 (-115) because the Spurs will dictate the pace of the game.

The Spurs play at the third-fastest pace. Behind young players like Murray, F Keldon Johnson, G Derrick White and others, San Antonio should be looking to push the tempo.

No Poeltl may actually help the total as well. While he provides second-chance attempts and protects the paint, not having him could force San Antonio to play quicker.

If the Spurs dictate the game, as I expect, the Over should hit. Orlando has hit the Over six times in nine games.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Boston Celtics at Miami Heat odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Boston Celtics at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Heat (6-1) host the Boston Celtics (3-5) Thursday at the FTX Arena with tip-off scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Celtics vs. Heat odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Boston snapped a three-game losing skid with a 92-79 victory over the Orlando Magic Wednesday as a 7-point road favorite. The Celtics rank 24th in both net rating and effective field goal shooting (eFG%), and are 3-5 against the spread (ATS) and 4-4 Over/Under (O/U).

Miami has the highest net rating in the Association and is riding a five-game win streak. Three of the Heat’s last four wins have come on the road against playoff teams from last season. Miami is 6-1 ATS and 3-4 O/U.

The Heat won and covered in two of their three regular-season meetings with the Celtics last year. Also, Miami upset Boston in the 2019-20 Eastern Conference Finals in the Orlando bubble.

Celtics at Heat odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:33 p.m. ET.

Money line: Celtics +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Heat -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Celtics +6.5 (-107) | Heat -6.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 214.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Celtics at Heat key injuries

Celtics

Nothing affecting gambling odds.

Heat

SG Max Strus (knee) out

Celtics at Heat odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 114, Celtics 107

Money line

PASS because Miami is the right side in this game but the Heat (-300) are unplayable outright and I don’t parlay NBA regular-season favorites.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the HEAT -6.5 (-115) because a vast majority of the market is betting Miami and I hate following a crowd of people in sports betting.

The Heat should cash tickets for backers because guard Kyle Lowry has been a perfect offseason addition thus far and guard Tyler Herro is playing even better than he did in the Orlando bubble two seasons ago.

Herro could make a case for the Sixth Man of the Year and the Most Improved Player awards through the first couple weeks of the season. He’s averaging 22.4 points per game (PPG) off the bench on 55.1% eFG%.

Miami’s bench averages the most PPG in the league (47.0) with the best +/-. On the other hand, Boston lacks depth, averaging just the fifth-fewest bench PPG (28.0) and the second-worst +/- in the NBA.

There’s a toughness and poise that Lowry brings to the table for Miami. He keeps the offense organized and his defensive prowess fits into Heat culture.

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 214.5 (-112) for a tiny wager if at all because there’s been a smidge of “reverse line movement” toward the Under.

Nearly 60% of the action is on the Over, but the total has been lowered from the 215-point opener according to pregame.com

However, Miami’s offense lit up Boston in their final two meetings last season and the Celtics have played bad 3-point defense to start the year.

The Heat have the fourth-highest offensive FT/FGA rate, the Celtics have the worst defensive FT/FGA rate and Miami will get easy putbacks against a Boston team that’s 20th in defensive rebounding rate.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Utah Jazz at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Utah Jazz at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Utah Jazz (6-1) travel to the “Big Peach” Thursday for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off with the Atlanta Hawks (4-4) at State Farm Arena. Below, we look at the Jazz vs. Hawks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Utah rallied back from a first-half deficit in its last game to beat the Sacramento Kings 119-113 Tuesday. However, the Jazz failed to cover as 9.5-point home favorites. Utah is 5-2 against the spread (ATS) and 2-5 Over/Under (O/U).

Atlanta has lost three of its last four games including 117-108 at the Brooklyn Nets Wednesday as a 4.5-point underdog. Atlanta ranks 20th or worse in defensive efficiency and effective field goal shooting (eFG%) and is 3-5 ATS and 4-4 O/U.

The Jazz hammered the Hawks by 20-plus points in both regular-season meetings last year. Utah guard Donovan Mitchell balled in both games and the Jazz shut down Atlanta’s Trae Young in his one appearance against Utah.

Jazz at Hawks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:45 p.m. ET.

Money line: Jazz -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Hawks +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Against the spread (ATS): Jazz -2.5 (-110) | Hawks +2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Jazz at Hawks key injuries

Jazz

C Hassan Whiteside (ankle) probable
SG Donovan Mitchell (ankle) questionable
PF Royce O’Neal (ankle) questionable
PF Rudy Gay (heel) out

Hawks

C Onyeka Okongwu (shoulder) out
PF John Collins (foot) questionable

Jazz at Hawks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Jazz 106, Hawks 98

Money line

“LEAN” to the JAZZ (-140) because at the moment we don’t know who’s suiting up for Utah Thursday. If Mitchell is out there, then I’d upgrade the Jazz’s money line to a “like”, but if he misses the game it becomes a pass.

However, Utah has the second-best net rating in the Association and clubbed Atlanta twice last season. So not only are the Jazz more locked-in currently, but Utah also matches up really well against Atlanta.

Against the spread

PASS because I can only “lean” towards Utah’s money line and won’t lay it with the Jazz -2.5 (-110).

For what it’s worth, there’s been a “sharp line move” to Utah. This game opened at a pick ’em but the Jazz have been steamed up by the market to a favorite.

Over/Under

TAKE the UNDER 219.5 (-108) for 1 unit as my best bet in the Jazz-Hawks game for several reasons.

First of all, there’s a “line freeze” in the betting market as more than 90% of the cash is on the Over but the total hasn’t budged from the opener according to Pregame.com at the time of writing.

The Hawks are 21st in eFG% and 23rd in offensive FT/FGA while the Jazz are first in defensive eFG% and defensive FT/FGA. There’s a good chance Utah stifles Atlanta.

Conversely, the Jazz attempt the most off-the-dribble 3-pointers but the Hawks have the best defensive efficiency vs. off-the-dribble 3-pointers (according to ShotQuality.com). Plus Atlanta big Clint Capela is an elite rim protector that’s going to make it difficult for Utah to execute lobs to Gobert.

Atlanta plays at the 26th-fastest pace in the NBA and has the sixth-best turnover rate whereas Utah has the worst defensive turnover rate. So the Hawks will be able to run their inefficient offense.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Philadelphia 76ers at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Philadelphia 76ers at Detroit Pistons odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

On Thursday night, the Philadelphia 76ers (6-2) travel to the Little Caesars Arena to face the Detroit Pistons (1-6). Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the 76ers vs. Pistons odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Coming off a huge home win last night against the Chicago Bulls, who are now 6-2, the 76ers may in store for a trap game with many of their starters again out.

Three-time All-Star PG Ben Simmons has yet to play this season, but adding SF Tobias Harris to that absentee list makes life difficult for Philadelphia. However, they’re among the deepest teams in the league and must still find a way to come out on top.

For Detroit, their season has been disappointing, especially considering the struggles of top-overall pick SG Cade Cunningham. He’s scored just 8 points on the season and is 3-for-22 from the field.

They’re led by SF Jerami Grant, who has been their only reliable source of offense. Detroit will come is as moderate underdogs at home looking to pull off the upset.

76ers at Pistons odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:15 p.m. ET.

Money line: 76ers -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Pistons +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
Against the spread (ATS): 76ers -5.5 (-107) | Pistons +5.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 207.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

76ers at Pistons key injuries

76ers

PG Ben Simmons (personal) out
SF Tobias Harris (health and safety protocols) out
SG Danny Green (hamstring) out

Pistons

None impacting gambling odds

76ers at Pistons odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

76ers 108, Pistons 97

Money line

PASS on the money line.

I usually like dogs in this scenario, but the Pistons at +175 isn’t rich enough. A one-win team going against arguably the deepest in the conference is too risky. I’d look to the points in this one.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the SIXERS -5.5 (-107) as the better side of this spread.

Most of the reasoning stems from this exact situation happening earlier this week. The Pistons faced an injured Bucks team and were absolutely throttled.

Cunningham hasn’t shown much success, neither has second-year G Killian Hayes. On top of that, with G Tyrese Maxey and then several other quality shooters, the Sixers are loaded with depth.

They also have the top offensive rating in the NBA with the Pistons in the bottom ten in defensive rating. I expect another double-figure win as Detroit may be the worst team in the NBA.

Over/Under

BET on the UNDER 207.5 (-112) as Detroit’s offense is just too bad to bet on. They’ve scored under 92 in four of seven games this season.

With the worst defensive rating in the NBA and one go-to option, I’m betting against Detroit. The last time these two played, which was earlier this season, the Pistons lost 110-102. Harris scored 17 in that one.

While Philadelphia has the league’s best offensive rating, playing through MVP candidate Embiid, they have the slowest pace in the league.

Combine their style of play and Detroit’s offense, I’m betting the Under as the best value in this one.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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