Memphis Grizzlies vs. Washington Wizards odds predictions pick betting line spread

Memphis Grizzlies at Washington Wizards odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Washington Wizards odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Memphis Grizzlies (0-2) will travel East to take on the Washington Wizards (0-1) Saturday at Capital One Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Grizzlies vs. Wizards odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting of 2023.

The Grizzlies are on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back following a 108-104 loss to the Denver Nuggets on Friday in which they covered as 5.5-point home underdogs. The Under of 222 also cleared as G Desmond Bane struggled to the tune of 15 points on 4-for-17 shooting.

The Wizards suffered a 143-120 defeat to the Indiana Pacers Wednesday, failing to cover as 4.5-point road underdogs and hitting the Over of 235. Following the trade of G Bradley Beal, Washington is leaning on a duo of F Kyle Kuzma and G Jordan Poole this season.

Grizzlies at Wizards odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Wizards -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies -1.5 (-105) | Wizards +1.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Grizzlies at Wizards key injuries

Grizzlies

F Brandon Clarke (Achilles) out
G/F Luke Kennard (concussion) out

Wizards

G Johnny Davis (elbow) out
G Landry Shamet (toe) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Grizzlies at Wizards picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 119, Wizards 110

Moneyline

Despite losing 2 straight games to begin the season, I’ll back the GRIZZLIES (-115) on the road in Saturday’s contest. Bane should have a bounce-back performance for Memphis and G Marcus Smart should limit Poole’s effectiveness on the other end of the court.

Against the spread

GRIZZLIES -1.5 (-105) is the play as this spread would be even bigger if Memphis wasn’t on a back-to-back. The Wizards aren’t going to be a contender this season, while the Grizzlies are trying to stay afloat until G Ja Morant comes back from a suspension.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 227.5 (-115).

This wager is entirely predicated on how abysmal Washington’s defense looks like it is going to be this season. The Wizards surrendered 143 points to the Pacers Wednesday, and the Grizzlies still have a handful of capable scorers sans Morant.

It is an extremely small sample size, but the Wizards played at the fastest pace Wednesday and the Grizzlies are playing at the 11th-fastest pace through 2 games.

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Memphis Grizzlies at Washington Wizards odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Washington Wizards odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Wizards (7-6) welcome the Memphis Grizzlies (9-4) to Capitol One Arena Sunday. Tip is set for 6 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Grizzlies vs. Wizards odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Grizzlies are coming into this game with their 3 most-impactful players doubtful. Nonetheless, Memphis has won 2 straight and 5 of its last 6. It is just 4-3 on the road this season.

Assuming those that are doubtful do not play, F Dillon Brooks will look to get a bulk of the opportunity. He is averaging 15.2 points per game. Both C Brandon Clarke and G Tyus Jones are active and average double figures.

The Wizards are riding a 3-game win streak as they welcome Memphis. Washington’s last loss actually came on the road against the Grizzlies, a 103-97 defeat.

The Wizards are led by G Bradley Beal, but he hasn’t played since November 4. Beal should make his return today. In his absence, C Kristaps Porzingis has been the team’s anchor, averaging 20.2 points per game.

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Grizzlies at Wizards odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:45 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Wizards -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +1.5 (-108) | Wizards -1.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Grizzlies at Wizards key injuries

Grizzlies

G Desmond Bane (toe) doubtful
F Jaren Jackson Jr. (foot) doubtful
G Ja Morant (ankle) doubtful

Wizards

Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Grizzlies at Wizards picks and predictions

Prediction

Wizards 113, Grizzlies 108

Moneyline

BET WIZARDS (-125).

The Grizzlies are 9-4 yet have just the 13th-best net rating in the NBA, which suggests their record could be a bit inflated. The Wizards also have a poor net rating compared to their record.

With Memphis down their top-2 scoring options, filling that void is not going to be easy. The Grizzlies are 1-5-1 against the spread (ATS) and 4-3 straight up on the road this season. They have struggled on the road.

With Washington being a side that ranks 8th in turnover rating, expect a clean game and one in which those key missing pieces will be pivotal.

Back the WIZARDS (-125).

Against the spread

PASS.

I’d prefer leaving the minor risk on the side and playing the moneyline.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 217.5 (-112).

The Grizzlies have the 5th-best offensive rating in the NBA, and players like Jones and Clarke should be able to keep them competitive. Memphis is also great on the glass, ranking 2nd in offensive rebounding rate.

I expect them to be able to get second-chance opportunities. The Wizards have far better scoring options with KP and Beal. They are 4-3 O/U this season as well.

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Memphis Grizzlies at Washington Wizards odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Washington Wizards odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (5-3) travel to the nation’s capital Friday to play the Washington Wizards (5-3) at Capital One Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. Wizards odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Memphis has won three of its past four games including victories in back-to-meetings with the Denver Nuggets earlier this week. The Grizzlies are 6-2 against the spread (ATS) and 4-4 Over/Under (O/U) with four upsets as underdogs.

Washington has lost back-to-back games to the Toronto Raptors and Atlanta Hawks entering Friday. The two things that stand out the most for the Wizards are their third-ranked defensive 3-point percentage and second-best offensive turnover rate. Washington is 5-3 ATS and 4-4 O/U.

The Grizzlies pummeled the Wizards by double digits in both regular-season meetings last year. Memphis guard Ja Morant dominated Washington last season, averaging 28.0 points, 5.5 rebounds and 10.0 assists per game with a plus-23 net rating in both meetings.

Grizzlies at Wizards odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:08 p.m. ET.

Money line: Grizzlies +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Wizards -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +1.5 (-110) | Wizards -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 220.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Grizzlies at Wizards key injuries

Grizzlies

SG Dillon Brooks (hand) out

Wizards

PF Rui Hachimura (personal) out
PF Davis Bertans (ankle) out
C Thomas Bryant (knee) out

Grizzlies at Wizards odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 115, Wizards 110

Money line

BET the GRIZZLIES (+100) for 1 unit because I have a lot more faith in Memphis being able to execute its offense than Washington.

The Grizzlies have the highest frequency of field goal attempts in transition, take the fourth-most catch-and-shoot 3-pointers and the sixth-most shot attempts off of screens, according to ShotQuality.com.

Whereas Washington’s defense ranks 21st in efficiency vs. transition offense, 29th in efficiency vs. catch-and-shoot 3-pointers and 22nd in efficiency vs. field goals off screens.

The Wizards attempt the second-highest volume of short-mid-range field goals and the eighth-highest volume of all mid-range shots (according to CleaningTheGlass.com). However, the Grizzlies have the seventh-best defensive field goal shooting vs. mid-range attempts.

Since Memphis drafted Morant in 2019, the Grizzlies have played well againnst Eastern Conference teams. The Grizzlies are 34-25 overall vs. the East with a plus-2.1 margin of victory over that span. While the Wizards are just 25-32 overall with a minus-3.4 margin of victory over the same timeframe.

Against the spread

PASS since Memphis’s money line is only 10 cents on the dollar more expensive than the Grizzlies +1.5 (-110), which doesn’t offer much insurance anyhow.

However, money is coming in on Washington and I always wait until the final injury report before making an NBA regular-season wager. Let’s wait until closer to tip-off and take the Grizzlies if their spread goes to 3 or more points.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 220.5 (-108) because the totals of the two Grizzlies-Wizards meetings last season were 238 and 238.5.

Sure, Unders are cashing like crazy thus far in the NBA regular season, but there’s going to be a regression back to the mean, and the 18-point gulf between this Grizzlies-Wizards meeting and their contests last season is too wide.

Washington has the second-highest offensive FT/FGA rate and Memphis has the second-worst defensive effective field goal shooting.

Early money steamed the Grizzlies-Wizards total down from the 224.5-point opener. This has turned into a “Pros vs. Joe’s” game as nearly 70% of the cash is on the Over while more than 60% of the bets placed are on the Under according to pregame.com.

Typically, in sports betting, it’s wise to follow the money especially when it’s flowing in the opposite direction as the public.

My favorite play in this game is Memphis’s money line but there’s value in the OVER 220.5 (-108).

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