Tag: Nationals Padres odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Washington Nationals (38-41) and San Diego Padres (43-41) wrap up a 3-game set at Petco Park Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 2-0

The Nationals lost 9-7 as -121 favorites in the 2nd game of the series Tuesday as the Over (7.5) hit. Washington has lost 3 of its last 4 games and is on a 4-1 run to the Over. The Nationals lost 7-6  in 10 innings on Monday.

Padres LF Jurickson Profar hit a grand slam in the 6th inning, 5 innings after being involved in a benches-clearing exchange with Nationals C Keibert Ruiz. Padres 3B Manny Machado also homered for San Diego, which cashed as a +112 underdog.

Nationals at Padres projected starters

LHP DJ Herz vs. RHP Dylan Cease

Herz (1-1, 4.50 ERA) makes his 5th start. The rookie has a 1.33 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 13.0 K/9 in 18 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 3 ER (4 R), 7 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 11-5 victory at Colorado Rockies Friday
  • Never faced Padres before

Cease (6-6, 4.14 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 in 91 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 10 K in 9-5 home victory vs. Milwaukee Brewers Friday
  • 2024 home stats: 2-4, 4.31 ERA (39 2/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 12.0 K/9 in 7 starts
  • Never faced Nationals before

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Nationals at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:36 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Padres -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Natinoals +1.5 (-135) | Padres -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Nationals at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Nationals 4

Moneyline

The Padres (-190) will likely win, but it’s hard to beat MLB long term betting into sides that are -180 or higher.

PASS. Bet the run line and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

Cease should bounce back after allowing 11 ER over his last 2 starts (8 1/3 IP). He had given up 3 ER or fewer in 3 straight starts before allowing 7 at the New York Mets June 16 and 4 against the Brewers on Friday. The Padres are 3-2 in his last 5 starts, but each of those wins were by 3 or more runs.

Herz has been serviceable for the Nationals, allowing 4 ER or fewer in each start during his rookie campaign, but he likely won’t even pitch 5 innings. With how heated this series has been, I don’t want to bet on a rookie pitcher to try to keep it close.

BET PADRES -1.5 (+110).

Over/Under

The Over has hit in 6 straight Padres games and 4 of the last 5 for the Nationals. I don’t want to fade the Padres offense, which has scored 7 or more runs in back-to-back games, especially with a rookie taking the mound for Washington.

BET OVER 7.5 (-115).

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Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Washington Nationals (38-39) open the 2nd series of their 9-game road trip Monday with the first of 3 games at the San Diego Padres (41-41). First pitch from Petco Park is at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2024; tied 3-3 in 2023

The Nationals are coming off a series win over the Colorado Rockies, taking Sunday’s finale 2-1 as -127 favorites with the Under (10.5) easily cashing. SP Jake Irvin worked 6 innings of 3-hit ball and 3 relievers kept the Rockies off the board the rest of the way as Washington improved to 11-4 in its last 15 games.

The Padres took 3 of 4 games at home against the Milwaukee Brewers but lost the finale Sunday 6-2, snapping a 4-game winning streak. The Padres were -131 favorites and the Over (7.5) snuck in as a winner.

Nationals at Padres projected starters

LHP Patrick Corbin vs. RHP Matt Waldron

Corbin (1-7, 5.60 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 through 82 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 3-1 home win over Arizona Diamondbacks Wednesday
  • Nationals 1-6 in his last 7 starts
  • Career vs. Padres: 7-11, 4.80 ERA (120 IP, 64 ER), 1.500 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 in 24 games (19 starts)

Waldron (5-6, 3.46 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 83 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 5-2 road victory over Philadelphia Phillies Wednesday
  • Eight consecutive starts allowing 2 or fewer runs
  • Career vs. Nationals: 1 start in 2023, loss, 4 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 2-0 home setback

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Nationals at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:28 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Padres -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-125) | Padres -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Nationals at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Nationals 4

Moneyline

The Nationals (+170) have been playing well, winning 11 of their last 15 games. They are 21-20 on the road, while the Padres are 21-21 at home and have lost 6 of their last 10 games overall.

But Waldron has been very solid with a 1.82 ERA (49 1/3 IP, 10 ER) over his last 8 starts, never allowing more than 2 runs.

The Nationals are 5-10 when Corbin pitches and 1-6 in his last 7 starts.

The Padres (-210) should win the opener but don’t bet them at this price, having to wager more than twice what you can win.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Nationals are 26-15 ATS on the road this season, the 2nd-best mark in the league — the Cincinnati Reds are 1st at 21-13 — while the Padres are 16-26 ATS at home.

Washington is also 39-24 ATS as an underdog; San Diego is 18-29 ATS as a favorite. Sounds like a scenario for a 1-run game that the Padres win.

BET NATIONALS +1.5 (-125).

Over/Under

The Padres’ last 4 games and 6 of their last 8 have had totals of 8 or more runs.

Five of Corbin’s last 6 starts have had 8 or more total runs.

BET OVER 7.5 (-115).

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Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (41-81) close out their 4-game road series against the San Diego Padres (67-56), seeking to clinch a series win. Sunday’s 1st pitch is Sunday at 4:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 3-3

The Nationals took the first 2 games of the series 3-1 and 6-3, but lost Saturday night 2-1. They are 5-12 in their last 17 games.

The Padres have been scuffling a bit. They are 6-10 in their last 16 games. They still hold on to a wild-card spot right now.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Nationals at Padres projected starters

LHP Patrick Corbin vs. LHP Sean Manaea

Corbin (4-16, 6.96 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.80 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 116 1/3 IP.

  • Leads the majors in losses, hits allowed and earned runs allowed
  • Has lost his last 6 decisions and the Nationals have lost his last 8 starts

Manaea (6-6, 4.83 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 123 IP.

  • Hasn’t gone more than 5 innings in his last 3 starts and hasallowed 3 or more runs each
  • Is 4-3 with 4.45 ERA at Petco Park this season

Nationals at Padres odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:16 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Nationals +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Padres -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +2.5 (-130) | Padres -2.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Nationals at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Nationals 3

Money line

PASS on the money line. Corbin leads the majors in losses and the Nationals have lost his last 8 outings.

The Padres are struggling and Manaea has not had his best stuff over the last month, but betting the Nationals doesn’t make sense and at -300 it is way too expensive to bet the Padres.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Padres are 21-39 ATS at home this season, but the Nationals are no world beaters at 29-30 ATS on the road.

A 2.5 run line is tricky, but the Nationals’ last 6 losses with Corbin on the mound have been by 2 or more runs.

Eight of the Padres’ last 10 wins have been by 2 or more runs.

Take the PADRES -2.5 (+105).

Over/Under

Five of Corbin’s last 6 starts have had totals of 9 or more runs.

Eleven of the Nationals’ last 17 games have had 9 or more runs.

Take OVER 8.5 (-115).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

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Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (41-80) and the San Diego Padres (66-56) meet for the 3rd contest of a 4-game set at Petco Park Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Nationals lead 3-2

The Nationals traded two-time All-Star and budding superstar Juan Soto to the Padres at the non-waiver deadline, but Washington has gotten the last laugh in this series so far. Soto is 0-for-6 with 2 BB and 3 K in the 2 losses at Petco to open the series.

The Padres have struggled mightily, going 2-5 across the past 7 games. San Diego has had a little bit of a hangover since news came down last week that SS Fernando Tatis Jr. would be suspended for the rest of the regular season after testing positive for a banned substance.

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Nationals at Padres projected starters

RHP Josiah Gray vs. RHP Joe Musgrove

Gray (7-8, 4.79 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 118 1/3 IP.

  • Allowed 3 ER, 5 H and 2 BB with 10 K across 6 IP in a no-decision against the Chicago Cubs last time out Monday.
  • Has posted 4 or more K in 12 consecutive starts dating back to June 3.
  • Is 5-1 with an impressive 3.21 ERA and .205 opponent batting average with 68 K across 61 2/3 IP in 11 road starts.

Musgrove (8-6, 2.98 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 133 IP.

  • Is just 3-3 across 62 2/3 IP in 10 home starts, but he has a stellar 2.87 ERA and .215 opponent BA.
  • Has allowed 1 HR in 5 consecutive starts dating back to July 24, and he has served up 14 HR across 133 IP this season.

Nationals at Padres odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Nationals +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Padres -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (+105) | Padres -1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Nationals at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 3, Nationals 2

Money line

Let the past 2 days serve as a cautionary tale – never bet heavy, heavy favorites. The Padres (-320) will cost you more than 3 times your potential return, and bettors who made that foolish bet the past 2 games were bitten hard.

PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

The NATIONALS +1.5 (+105) have arrived in Southern California with revenge on their minds, beating old friend Soto and the championship-hopeful Padres -1.5 (-130) in the first 2 games.

Washington has been scrappy in this series, and they’re a good bet to keep it close, if not win outright on the road again. Gray has been tremendous away from home, while Musgrove is a .500 pitcher at Petco this season.

Over/Under

The UNDER 7.5 (-115) is the play, as the Padres offense is not hitting on all cylinders, and Gray will make sure that continues.

The Under is 7-3 in the past 10 games for the Nats against NL West teams, while the Under is 5-2 in the past 7 games overall for the Padres and 5-2 in the past 7 tries vs. NL East foes, too.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (40-80) play the 2nd game of their 4-game road series against the San Diego Padres (66-55) Friday. First pitch is at 9:40 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Nationals won Thursday’s series opener 3-1. They have won only 4 games in their last 16 and have the worst record in the National League.

The Padres are 5-9 in their last 14 games and have lost 3 of their last 4 games. They are 2nd in the NL West. They trail the division-leading Los Angeles Dodgers by 17 games, but have a firm hold on a wild-card berth.

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Nationals at Padres projected starters

RHP Paolo Espino vs. LHP Blake Snell

Espino (0-5, 4.20 ERA) makes his 13th start in 33 appearances. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 81 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Lost 6-0 Sunday against the Padres with 5 2/3 IP, 7 H, 4 R, 2 BB and 3 K
  • Has a 5.27 ERA in his 12 starts

Snell (5-6, 3.66 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 in 78 2/3 IP.

  • Threw 6 shutout innings in the Padres’ 6-0 win Sunday over the Nationals (3 H, 0 BB and 10 K)
  • Has allowed 1 or fewer runs in his last 5 starts and in 7 of his last 8

Nationals at Padres odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:17 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Nationals +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Padres -380 (bet $380 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +2.5 (-125) | Padres -2.5 (+102)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Nationals at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Nationals 2

Money line

PASS. This pitching matchup is overwhelmingly in favor of the Padres and the Nationals are just struggling. Snell has a 2.08 ERA in his last 8 starts.

Betting the Nationals seems like a bad bet and betting the Padres here just doesn’t make sense.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Padres are not great against the spread, as they are 56-65 ATS overall this season, but the Nationals are 50-70 ATS and 27-30 ATS on the road.

The Padres have covered the spread in both wins against the Nationals. Both wins were by at least 5 runs. Their last 5 wins have been by at least 3 runs.

Fifteen of the Nationals’ last 19 losses have been by 3 or more runs.

Take the PADRES -2.5 (+102).

Over/Under

In 4 games against each other, 3 have had 7 or fewer runs.

Each of Snell’s last 2 starts has had 6 or fewer runs.

Five of the last 7 games for Washington have had 7 or fewer runs.

Take UNDER 7.5 (-108).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (39-80) head to SoCal to face the San Diego Padres (66-54) Thursday in the opener of a 4-game set at Petco Park. First pitch is set for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Padres lead 2-1

The Nationals’ trail of tears continues as they’ve lost 7 of 10 and 21 of 30. They’ve been outscored 61-33 in the last 10 games. 1B Joey Meneses is receiving an extended look and paying dividends as he’s 11-for-29 (.379) with a home run over the last 7 games. He enters with an 11-game hitting streak and has a hit in 12 of his 13 games since being called up Aug. 2.

The Friars have been so-so of late despite making a huge splash at the trade deadline. They’re 5-5 over the last 10 and 11-9 over the last 20. They’re a good home team, though, at 33-24. They beat Washington in 2 of 3 at their stadium last weekend.

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Nationals at Padres projected starters

RHP Anibal Sanchez vs. RHP Yu Darvish

Sanchez (0-5, 7.20 ERA) will make his 7th start of the season. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 30 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 HR, 3 BB, 4 K in 4-3 home win vs. San Diego Saturday
  • Allowed at least 3 ER in each of his 6 starts

Darvish (10-6, 3.40 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 140 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 HR, 1 BB, 9 K in 4-3 setback at Washington Saturday
  • Much better pitcher at home with a 2.17 ERA, 0.81 WHIP vs. 4.50 ERA and 1.19 WHIP on the road

Nationals at Padres odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:58 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Nationals +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Padres -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +2.5 (-103) | Padres -2.5 (-117)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Nationals at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Nationals 3

Money line

No, that’s not a typo. The Padres are -400 favorites to win this game, which means you’d have to risk $40 to win $10. So, let’s look elsewhere.

Sanchez has been awful in each start, recording more than 15 outs just once in 6 tries. He has allowed 3 ER or more in all of them, which makes PADRES OVER 3.5 RUNS FIRST 5 INNINGS (+110) worth a roll of the dice. If you can find Padres OVER 2.5 runs first 5 innings, hammer it!

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Run line/Against the spread

Normally, I wouldn’t consider playing a 2.5 RL, but 8 of the Padres’ last 9 wins have been by 3 or more runs. Darvish is great at home, and I’ll risk a QUARTER UNIT on PADRES -2.5 (-117).

Over/Under

The wind is blowing in from left-center at 8 mph, which explains the opening 7.5 O/U line. The Over is 2-0-2 in the Nationals’ last 4 road games against a team with a winning record. The Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between the teams and 4-0 in the last 4 in San Diego.

TAKE OVER 8.5 (+105). However, if you’re willing to lay a little juice, I can see backing the alternate line of OVER 7.5 (-135).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (42-48) host the San Diego Padres (54-40) for the second game of their three-game series at Nationals Park Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Diego’s lineup raked Washington in a 24-8 beatdown in the series opener Friday.

The Padres hit five home runs with RF Wil Myers contributing 2 HR, including a grand slam, with 7 RBIs and 2B Jake Cronenworth hitting for the cycle with 4 RBIs.

Season series: Padres lead 3-2.

LHP Blake Snell is San Diego’s projected starter. Snell is 3-3 with a 4.99 ERA (70 1/3 IP, 39 ER), 1.55 WHIP, 5.6 BB/9 and 11.9 K/9 over 16 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 11-1, with 4 IP, 0 ER, 2H, 4 BB and 3 K at the Philadelphia Phillies July 4.
  • 2021 road splits: 0-3 with a 9.09 ERA (32 2/3 IP, 33 ER), 2.14 WHIP and 1.4 K/BB in nine starts.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 35 at-bats with a .257/.333/.514 slash line, 14/4 K/BB, 2 HR and 3 RBIs.

LHP Patrick Corbin makes his 18th start for the Nationals. Corbin is 6-7 with a 5.40 ERA (93 1/3 IP, 56 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 15-5, with 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and 3 K at the Padres July 7.
  • 2021 home splits: 5-3 with a 4.88 ERA (51 2/3 IP, 28 ER), 1.34 WHIP and 2.9 K/BB in eight starts.
  • vs. Padres on the current roster: 85 at-bats with a .282/.380/.459 slash line, 18/13 K/BB, 3 HR and 11 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Padres at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:16 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Nationals +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+120) | Nationals +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Padres 8, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

TAKE the PADRES (-135) for 1 unit because “sharp” money has steamed San Diego up from a -122 money line favorite on the opening number to the current price, which is still below my buy-price of “Padres (-140)”.

Snell has been terrible on the road this season but there isn’t much rhyme or reason behind that and progression is almost guaranteed because he can’t pitch much worse on the road than he did in the first half of the year.

Speaking of which, Snell has turned it on after the All-Star Break throughout his career with a 74.1% win rate (20-7 record), 2.70 ERA (213 1/3 IP, 64 ER), 1.17 WHIP and 3.0 K/BB in the second half of the season.

Moreover, since neither starter’s numbers elicit much confidence, I’d much rather put my money on the Padres since their bullpen is a lot more reliable.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because the Padres -1.5 (+120) isn’t a fat enough payout considering how bad Snell has pitched on the road this season and San Diego’s 7-9 record in Snell starts.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 9.5 (-105) for a quarter unit because of the aforementioned Snell difficulties in road starts, Corbin being in the midst of his worst season in the big leagues and the weather forecast predicting double-digit winds at the hitters’ backs.

However, the Over bet seems rather obvious since these teams scored a combined 32 runs in the opener of the series and I much prefer the Padres to win outright hence the slight “LEAN” to the OVER 9.5 (-105).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (53-40) and Washington Nationals (42-47) start a three-game set Friday at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 2-2.

RHP Chris Paddack is San Diego’s projected starter. Paddack is 4-6 with a 5.38 ERA (77 IP, 46 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 over 16 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: Blown save with 2 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB and 4 K in San Diego’s 3-1 loss to the Colorado Rockies Sunday.
  • Paddack took a loss vs. the Nationals July 7 with 2 IP, 8 ER, 9 H, 1 BB and 2 K in Washington’s 15-5 road victory.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 24 at-bats with a .417/.481/.708 slash line, 7/2 K/BB, 2 HR and 9 RBIs.

RHP Erick Fedde is on the hill for the Nationals. Fedde is 4-6 with a 4.59 ERA (64 2/3 IP, 33 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 across 13 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 3-1, with 5 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 3 BB and 7 K Sunday at the San Francisco Giants.
  • Fedde lost July 6 at the Padres with a stat line of 4 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB and 2 K in Washington’s 7-4 loss.
  • vs. Padres on the current roster: 46 at-bats with a .304/.319/.457 slash line, 8/1 K/BB, 2 HR and 7 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Padres at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:24 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Nationals +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+115) | Nationals +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Nationals 4, Padres 3

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the NATIONALS (+115) for a quarter unit since I’m down on Paddack as a starter because he has career highs in both ERA and WHIP while nearly 90% of the pitches in his three-pitch arsenal are either fastball or changeup.

Don’t get me wrong, Fedde’s stuff isn’t very impressive either, but the Nationals are 7-6 when Fedde starts and they have a winning record at home whereas the Padres are 20-21 on the road this season.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because the Nationals +1.5 (-140) is too expensive given Washington’s 20-26 ATS record at home and San Diego’s 23-18 ATS record on the road this season.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 9 (+100) for a half unit because Paddack got roughed up vs. the Nationals earlier this season and one of the three Overs that cashed in Fedde’s 13 starts this season was his outing against San Diego.

Otherwise, Washington is 3-9-1 O/U when Fedde starts this year and the Nationals have the highest home Under percentage in the majors at 13-33 O/U.

That being said, the Over has cashed in four straight Padres-Nationals meetings and both starters are “bottom of the rotation” guys at best.

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Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (42-43) wrap up their four-game series against the San Diego Padres (51-38) Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Max Scherzer is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 7-4 with a 2.10 ERA, 0.85 WHIP, 12.1 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 in 94 1/3 IP over 16 starts.

Scherzer has seen his ERA drop with each of his last five starts and has won each of his last five road starts.

RHP Yu Darvish is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 7-3 with a 2.65 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 10.9 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 in 102 IP over 17 starts.

The Padres are 13-4 in Darvish starts this season. He picked up the loss last time out when he gave up 4 runs on 6 hits, including 2 home runs, in 6 innings Saturday against the Philadelphia Phillies.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Padres -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals  +1.5 (-175) | Padres -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under: 7 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Padres 4, Nationals 2

Money line (ML)

The Nationals have taken two of the first three games of the series, winning 15-5 on Wednesday night. They are 18-21 on the road and have won six of their last nine games away from Nationals Park.

The Padres have lost five of their last seven games but still have won 10 of their last 13 at home. San Diego has not lost a home series since dropping two of three to the Chicago Cubs June 7-9. The Friars are tied for the most home wins in the majors with 31.

Take the PADRES (-150).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Nationals are only 38-47 ATS this season and have covered the spread in only two of their last seven games. They only have one one-run loss since June 26 and two since June 12, so when they lose it tends to be by more than one run.

The Padres, even with two ATS losses in the series, are still 5-3 ATS in their last eight games. They are 47-42 ATS on the season. Five of their last seven wins have been by at least two runs.

Take the PADRES -1.5 (+145).

Over/Under (O/U)

All three games of the series so far have gone Over the projected total but with the starting pitching matchup of Scherzer and Darvish runs should be at a premium.

Seven of Scherzer’s last eight starts had totals of seven or less.

Take UNDER 7 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (41-43) play the San Diego Padres (51-37) in the third game of their four-game series Wednesday in San Diego. First pitch is set for 10:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Patrick Corbin is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 5-7 with a 5.56 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 in 87 1/3 IP over 16 starts.

Corbin has lost his last two starts and has not recorded a win on the road this season. He is 0-4 with a 6.56 ERA in seven starts away from Nationals Park.

RHP Chris Paddack is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 4-5 with a 4.56 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 in 73 IP over 15 starts.

Paddack allowed 3 runs on 4 hits and a walk receiving a no-decision in San Diego’s 4-3 loss Friday at Philadelphia in his last start.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:58 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Padres -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-135) | Padres -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Padres 6, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

The Nationals have split the first two games of the series and are 17-21 on the road this season, including 2-5 in road games when Corbin starts. Their road ERA of 4.45 is nearly a run more than their home ERA and that offsets their 4.6 runs scored per game on the road compared to 3.6 at home.

No team has more home wins than the Padres’ 31 this season. They have won 10 of their last 12 games at Petco Park.

Take the PADRES (-185).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Only three teams in the majors have a lower cover percentage than the Nationals’ 44.0%, and that percentage goes up only to 44.7% on the road. They have covered the spread in only one of their last six games.

The Padres are 47-41 ATS overall and 24-23 ATS at home. They have covered the spread in five of their last seven games, and eight of the nine wins they have with Paddack starting have been by at least two runs.

Take the PADRES -1.5 (+110).

Over/Under (O/U)

Both games of the series so far have gone Over the projected totals with totals of 12 and 11 runs.

Six of the Nationals’ last seven games have had totals of at least eight runs.

10 of the Padres’ last 12 have had totals of at least eight runs.

Take OVER 8 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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