Tag: Nationals Marlins odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Washington Nationals (13-14) and Miami Marlins (6-23) meet Monday for the finale of a 4-game series. First pitch from loanDepot park is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Washington leads 3-0

Washington picked up a 12-9 win over Miami in the 3rd game of the series Sunday while cashing as a +117 road underdog. DH Nick Senzel homered twice for the Nationals in the win. Washington has won each of its last 3 games and is 4-0 in its last 4 on the road.

Miami jumped out to a 7-0 lead by the end of the 2nd inning, but the Nationals would go on to score 10 unanswered runs from the 4th to the 6th.

Nationals at Marlins projected starters

RHP Jake Irvin vs. LHP Trevor Rogers

Irvin (1-2, 4.55 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 27 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 12 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 11-2 loss vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Wednesday
  • Career vs. Miami: 0-0, 2.81 ERA (16 IP, 5 ER), 12 H, 8 BB, 11 K in 3 starts

Rogers (0-3, 4.10 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 26 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 5-0 loss vs. Atlanta Braves Tuesday
  • Career vs. Washington: 3-2, 3.22 ERA (36 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 33 H, 16 BB, 36 K across 8 starts

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Nationals at Marlins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:23 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Marlins -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-165) | Marlins -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Nationals at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 7, Marlins 4

Moneyline

PASS.

I fully expect the Nationals (+120) to complete the sweep here, but I like their odds better on the run line, as they have been more dominant on the RL than straight up this season. Bet on the RL and/or O/U instead.

I also am not a fan of doubling down on a team for the moneyline and RL, but if you are, then this bet could be worth a small wager.

Run line/Against the spread

BET NATIONALS +1.5 (-165).

The Nationals have covered in each of their last 4 games and are 6-2 on the RL in their last 8. Washington is also 17-10 on the RL this season, while the Marlins are only 9-20.

Washington is the much hotter team at 4-0 in its last 4 road games, while the Marlins have lost 6 consecutive outings.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8 (-115).

The Over has hit in back-to-back games for both teams and has been a slightly safer 15-14 for the Nationals this season. The Over has also hit 5 of the last 6 Washington-Miami matchups and is 3-2 in Washington’s last 5 wins vs. Miami.

This is only a lean because the Under is 15-11-1 for the Marlins this year and has hit in 6 of the last 10 games overall for each team.

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Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Washington Nationals (10-14) and Miami Marlins (6-20) open a 4-game series at loanDepot Park Friday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Marlins won 11-2 last season

The Nationals are coming off a 2-1 loss as +154 home underdogs against the Los Angeles Dodgers Thursday with the Under (7.5) hitting. Washington was swept for the 1st time this season and scored a total of just 4 runs over the 3-game series.

The Marlins have also lost 3 straight after getting swept by the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park. The most recent loss was a 4-3 defeat as +234 underdogs Thursday as the Under (9) cashed.

Nationals at Marlins projected starters

RHP Trevor Williams vs. RHP Anthony Maldonado

Williams (2-0, 2.91 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 21 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 5-4 home win in 10 innings vs. Houston Astros Saturday
  • Career vs. Marlins: 1-4, 5.26 ERA (51 1/3 IP, 30 ER), 1.32 WHIP in 8 starts and 5 relief appearances, including 0-3 with a 7.59 ERA (21 1/3 IP, 18 ER) in 4 starts last season

Maldonado makes his MLB debut Friday, serving as Miami’s opener.

  • 2024 stats with Triple-A Jacksonville: 3-0, 2.31 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 0.77 WHIP in 8 relief appearances
  • Hasn’t pitched more than 2 innings in an appearance this year in the minors

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Nationals at Marlins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:21 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Marlins -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-190) | Marlins -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Nationals at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 4, Marlins 3

Moneyline

The NATIONALS (+105) getting plus money seems like a good bet vs. the Marlins, especially since Miami will be having a bullpen day. Williams has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 3 of his 4 starts this season and should have no trouble shutting down Miami’s offense, which is 28th in MLB in runs per game (3.38).

BET NATIONALS (+105).

Run line/Against the spread

The Nationals should cover the +1.5, but betting MLB teams at -190 is a losing proposition long term.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

The Under has gone 6-1-1 in Washington’s last 8 games and 5-1 in Miami’s last 6. The Nationals and Marlins are 21st and 25th, respectively, in hits per game, and Williams hasn’t given up more than 3 earned runs in a start this season.

BET UNDER 8.5 (-110).

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Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Nationals (18-25) will finish out a 3-game series against the Miami Marlins (22-21) on Thursday at loanDepot park. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Marlins lead 2-0

The Nationals lost to the Marlins 4-3 on Wednesday. Washington has lost 5 of its last 8 games and is in last place in the NL East, 9 games behind the 1st-place Atlanta Braves.

In Wednesday’s win over the Nationals, OF Jorge Soler hit his 11th homer of the season in the 4th inning to give the Marlins the lead. Miami is on a 3-game winning streak and is currently 2nd place in the NL East, 5 games back of the Braves.

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Nationals at Marlins projected starters

RHP Trevor Williams vs. RHP Eury Perez

Williams (1-1, 4.23 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 38 1/3 innings.

  • Has allowed multiple ER in 5 of his 8 starts
  • Owns the 3rd-worst barrel percentage (14.2%) among pitchers who have faced 150-plus batters this season

Perez (0-0, 3.86 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 13.5 K/9 in 4 2/3 innings.

  • First career start on May 12 vs. the Cincinnati Reds: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 4 H,  2 ER, 7 K in Marins 7-4 loss
  • Was 3-1 with a 2.32 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9, and 12.2 K/9 in 6 starts at Triple-A this season before being called up

Nationals at Marlins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:57 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Marlins -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-165) | Marlins -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Nationals at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 4, Nationals 3

Moneyline

Given Miami’s recent success and with Perez taking the mound, the MARLINS (-150) are the choice in this NL East clash. The Nationals are 1-7 in the last 8 road meetings against the Marlins and 7-22 in the last 29 meetings overall.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

As exciting as it is for Perez to make his 2nd start in the majors, young pitchers can be susceptible to needing an adjustment period to settle themselves in the majors. Even though I expect a solid outing from Perez, the Nationals will keep it within 2 runs, and taking the run line at -165 odds isn’t worth it.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-105) is the lean in this matchup despite Williams struggling to avoid barrels this season. The Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami and 4-1-2 in the last 7 meetings overall.

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Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (21-37) face the Miami Marlins (24-30) Thursday in the finale of a 3-game road set at loanDepot park. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Miami leads the series 7-1. Four of those victories have been 1-run games so it hasn’t been complete dominance.

The Fish nearly wasted an awesome performance from RHP Sandy Alcantara Wednesday. He went 9 scoreless innings, but the Marlins needed extras to squeak a 2-1 win out. The Marlins punished the Nats 12-2 in the series opener.

The Nats almost stole the game Wednedsay but their ‘pen couldn’t hold the 1-0 lead in the 10th. They get back a familiar face Thursday as RHP Stephen Strasburg makes his first start of 2022. Strasburg has made just 7 starts since he was named World Series MVP in 2019 due to surgeries to correct carpal tunnel and thoracic outlet syndrome.

Nationals at Marlins projected starters

RHP Stephen Strasburg vs. LHP Trevor Rogers

Strasburg makes his 1st start of the season.

  • Is 1-3 with a 5.74 ERA in 7 starts over the last 2 seasons.
  • Thoracic outlet syndrome affects nerves and circulation, which was evident in his 14 BB in 21 2/3 innings in 2021.
  • Current Marlins hitters have a .260 batting average in 54 plate appearances against him.

Rogers (2-5, 5.80 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.56 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 45 IP.

  • Is 1-2 with a 2.84 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and a 9.2 K/9 in his last 5 starts against the Nats.
  • Strangely has drastically better splits on the road. He’s 1-2 with a 3.34 ERA in 6 away starts and is 1-3 with a 10.57 ERA in 4 starts at home.
  • Current Nats hitters have a .254 batting average with a paltry .287 expected slugging percentage in 65 plate appearances.

Nationals at Marlins odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:38 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Nationals +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Marlins -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-180) | Marlins -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Nationals at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 5, Marlins 4

Money line

There has to be good morale in the Nats’ dugout after battling for 10 innings last night and getting their ace back from a long recovery. Strasburg won’t be on an innings limit or pitch count after he threw 83 pitches in his final rehab start Friday.

Strasburg was 1-1 with a 1.98 ERA, 0.73 WHIP and 13 K in 13 2/3 minor league innings. He did have 6 walks, and that’s something to keep an eye on as he tries to find a consistent release point and arm slot. He only allowed 4 hits, which means his stuff is still there. Let’s take a chance at take the NATIONALS (+115).

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Run line/Against the spread

There’s no value in taking Nats +1.5 (-180). I’m also not confident enough to take Nationals First 5 Innings (+140) with Strasburg in his first start back. The Nats also have the 5th-worst bullpen ERA at 4.60.

If we’re riding with the Nats on the wave of Strasburg’s return and narrowly missing a W against the Marlins’ ace Wednesday, then let’s go with NATIONALS +0.5 FIRST 5 INNINGS (-130). That will protect us in the event of a tie after 5 frames.

Over/Under

The Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings between these two sides in Miami. We have a pitcher making his 1st start in a year (and 8th in 3 years) and Miami’s starter has a 5.80 ERA. Both bullpens are atrocious as well. There’s a lot of nudges to take the OVER 8.5 (-112).

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Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (12-26) and Miami Marlins (17-19) meet Wednesday at 6:40 p.m. ET to put a bow on a 3-game series at loanDepot park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Miami leads 5-0. The Fish have outscored the Nats 23-8.

Washington has lost 5 of its last 6 games. The Nationals have scored a total of 5 runs over those losses.

The Marlins have allowed just 8 runs across their 5 wins over the Nats in 2022. Miami ranks 8th in MLB with just 3.72 runs allowed per game.

Nationals at Marlins projected starters

RHP Josiah Gray vs. RHP Pablo Lopez

Gray (4-3, 4.34 ERA) makes his 8th start of the season. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 37 1/3 IP.

  • Has coughed up 5 home runs (and 9 earned runs) over his last 11 1/3 IP.
  • Current Miami batters own an aggregate .913 OPS against him.

Lopez (4-1, 1.05 ERA) owns a 0.81 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 43 IP across 7 starts.

  • Owns a 2.23 ERA and 0.98 WHIP at home since 2020.
  • Has yielded more than 1 run in just 1 start so far.
  • Owns a would-be career-best swinging-strike rate of 14.5%.

Nationals at Marlins odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:57 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Marlins -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Nationals +1.5 (-140) | Marlins -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Nationals at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 5, Nationals 4

Money line

The O/U is the strongest play in this game. Lopez and the Fish are worthy as commanding favorites but only to a point. THE NATIONALS ARE WORTH A LOOK if the tag hits +165. Keep an eye on this line.

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Run line/Against the spread

Similar to the ML note above: the lean here is on Washington, but the price is 5-to-10 cents out of bounds.

Over/Under

Miami had played in 3 straight Overs prior to Tuesday’s 5-1 game, and the Over was 8-2 across the Marlins’ previous 10 games at home.

Both offenses rank near the MLB average in runs scored, but both have also shown some growth potential of late. The Marlins have hit well at home (.761 OPS) and the Nats have been excellent on the road (.779 OPS).

BACK THE OVER 7.5 (+105).

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Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (12-25) and Miami Marlins (16-19) meet Tuesday at 6:40 p.m. ET for the middle game of a 3-game series at loanDepot park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Miami leads 4-0.

Washington dropped Monday’s series opener 8-2 and has lost 4 of its last 5 games. The Nationals have scored a total of 4 runs over those losses.

The Marlins have allowed just 7 R across their 4 wins over the Nats in 2022. Miami ranks 7th in MLB with a 3.39 ERA overall.

Nationals at Marlins projected starters

RHP Joan Adon vs. RHP Cody Poteet

Adon (1-6, 7.03 ERA) owns a 1.72 WHIP, 6.5 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 32 IP across 7 starts.

  • Has allowed 3 runs or more in 5 of his 6 starts.
  • Has walked 10 batters over his last 8 2/3 IP.

Poteet (0-0, 0.55 ERA) owns a 0.98 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 16 1/3 IP across 8 relief appearances.

  • Tuesday’s contest will mark his 1st start of 2022; he started all 7 of his games pitched last season.
  • Went 4 shutout innings in his last appearance at the Arizona Diamondbacks last Tuesday.
  • Has done well to limit hard contact but has also benefited from a .214 batting average on balls in play.

Nationals at Marlins odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 1:32 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Marlins -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Nationals +1.5 (-145) | Marlins -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Nationals at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 5, Marlins 4

Money line

This pitching matchup makes for a lot of gray areas, but the tag on the Nationals is perhaps worth partial-unit consideration. TAKE WASHINGTON (+140).

A solid stretch of offensive numbers is not that far back in the Nationals’ rearview mirror.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS. Better to chance the outright upset in a game that could break into double-digits in runs and get away one way or the other.

Over/Under

Miami has played in 3 straight Overs, and the Over is 8-2 across the Marlins’ last 10 games at home.

Both offenses rank near the MLB average in runs scored, but both have also shown some growth potential of late. The Fish have hit well at home (.761 OPS) and the Nats have been excellent away from DC (.779 road OPS).

The price on getting this game to 9-plus is solid. BACK THE OVER 8.5 (+100).

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Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (54-70) and Miami Marlins (51-75) play the second game of a three-game set Wednesday at loanDepot park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Nationals vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Nationals RHP Josiah Gray (0-1, 3.90 ERA) makes his 6th start and 7th appearance. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 through 30 IP.

  • Allowed two runs, five hits and a walk with four strikeouts in a no-decision against Toronto last Wednesday in his second straight quality start.
  • Has lasted at least five innings in each of his four starts since coming over from the Los Angeles Dodgers in a trade at the non-waiver deadline.

Marlins RHP Edward Cabrera will be making his major league debut. He was 1-3 with a 3.68 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 13.5 K/9 and 3.7 BB/9 through 29 1/3 IP with Triple-A Jacksonville.

  • Features a fastball which can touch triple digits in speed, while typically ranging from 93-97 mph, according to MLB.com.
  • Cabrera also has an above-average changeup and plus grades for his slider.

Nationals at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Marlins -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals -1.5 (+145) | Marlins +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Prediction

Nationals 5, Marlins 3

Money line (ML)

The NATIONALS (-115) are worth a look with Gray on the bump as he has been an innings eater while allowing two or fewer runs in three of his four outings since being acquired. Gray has struggled to keep the ball in the park, serving up 11 homers in his 30 innings across five starts and six appearances, but he has been decent at limiting the damage.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The NATIONALS -1.5 (+145) cashed on the run line in the series opener Tuesday, and they’re a good play against a guy making his major league debut. Gray has been sharp since coming over from L.A., and that makes Washington just a little more attractive in Game 2.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 8.5 (-125) is worth a look in this battle of pitching prospects. The Under hit in the series opener Tuesday and should come through here. It will be a close shave, but the lean is to the Under.

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Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (53-70) and Miami Marlins (51-74) play the opener of a three-game set Tuesday at loanDepot park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Nationals vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Nationals RHP Erick Fedde (5-8, 5.14 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 and 3.8 BB/9 through 96 1/3 IP.

  • Allowed three runs, five hits and three walks with four strikeouts across five innings in a win against the Blue Jays last time out on Tuesday.
  • Yielded just one unearned run, four hits and a walk with four strikeouts across six innings in a no-decision July 21 in his only previous appearance vs. MIA this season.

Marlins LHP Jesus Luzardo (4-6, 7.76 ERA) makes his 11th start and 18th appearance. He has a 1.78 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 and 5.2 BB/9 through 55 2/3 IP.

  • Was paddled for four runs, four hits and five walks across just three innings in a loss against the Atlanta Braves on Wednesday.
  • Is 2-2 with a 9.68 ERA in four starts with the Marlins in August, allowing 19 runs, 21 hits and 16 walks across just 17 2/3 innings.

Nationals at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Marlins -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals -1.5 (+140) | Marlins +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Prediction

Nationals 9, Marlins 6

Money line (ML)

The NATIONALS (-115) are the play in this road opener as Luzardo has been absolutely atrocious since joining the Marlins (-105). Until he starts to settle down and improve dramatically, keep fading him every time the Fish trot him out.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The NATIONALS -1.5 (+140) are a solid play on the road against Luzardo, who has allowed four or more runs and at least four walks in each of his past three outings.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 8.5 (-115) is the play in Tuesday’s series opener, as both Fedde and Luzardo have each been very giving lately. The Over has cashed in each of Luzardo’s four outings since joining the Marlins. The Over is also 4-0 across Fedde’s past four assignments.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (36-38) play the Miami Marlins (33-43) Sunday in their four-game series finale at loanDepot park. Game 4’s first pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Washington hopes to salvage a series split since Miami has won back-to-back games by a combined score of 14-4 after the Nationals won the series opener.

Season series: Nationals lead 4-2.

RHP Max Scherzer makes his 15th start for the Nationals. Scherzer is 6-4 with a 2.19 ERA (82 1/3 IP, 20 ER), 0.83 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 3-2, with 5 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB and 8 K at the Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday.
  • Scherzer got a win earlier this season vs. the Marlins (May 2) with a stat line of 9 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 0 BB and 9 K in Washington’s 3-1 victory.
    • vs. Marlins on the current roster: 166 at-bats with a .205/.250/.337 slash line, 52/7 K/BB, 5 HR and 13 RBIs.

RHP Sandy Alcantara is on the mound for the Marlins. Alcantara is 4-6 with a 2.93 ERA (101 1/3 IP, 33 ER), 1.04 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 across an MLB-high 16 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 8 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 3 K in Miami’s 2-1 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays Tuesday.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 79 at-bats with a .253/.344/.418 slash line, 17/10 K/BB, 3 HR and 10 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:17 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Marlins +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals -1.5 (+135) | Marlins +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: 6.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Nationals 5, Marlins 0

Money line (ML)

GIMME the NATIONALS (-140) for 1 unit because Scherzer dominates the Marlins historically and pitches very well in Miami.

Scherzer is 14-5 with a 2.99 ERA and 1.05 WHIP against the Marlins for his career and is 7-4 with a 2.47 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in Miami’s home ballpark.

Furthermore, Scherzer’s advanced pitching numbers vs. this Miami lineup are dramatically better than Alcantara’s against current Washington batters.

Scherzer has a 2.19 FIP, .250 expected wOBA, .207 expected batting average, .320 expected slugging percentage and 31.9% strikeout rate against active Marlins hitters (141 plate appearances).

On the other side, Alcantara has a 5.11 FIP, .365 expected wOBA, .255 expected batting average, .521 expected slugging percentage and 20.8% strikeout rate vs. current Nationals batters (77 plate appearances).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS since the Marlins +1.5 (-160) have one of the best run line records vs. divisional foes in the majors (16-9 ATS) while the Nationals -1.5 (+135) have one of the worst (13-18 ATS).

Also, Washington is only 3-7 ATS this year as a road favorite and Miami is 7-4 ATS as a home underdog.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 6.5 (-115) for a half unit because nearly all of the early action on the total is on the Over (according to Pregame.com), so we have a “contrarian play.”

Moreover, these teams have an 8-20 O/U record when these starters are on the mound, the Nationals are 13-19-3 O/U on the road and the Marlins are 15-18-2 O/U at home.

Plus, the Under has cashed in six straight Scherzer starts and the Under is 3-0-1 in Alcantara’s last four home starts.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (36-37) and Miami Marlins (32-43) play the third game of a four-game set Saturday with a 4:10 p.m. ET first pitch at loanDepot park in Miami. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Patrick Corbin is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 5-5 with a 5.40 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 7.3 K/9 and 3.3 BB/9 in 76 2/3 IP over 14 starts.

Corbin has won back-to-back starts for the first time this season, and he is looking for his first three-game win streak since Sept. 12-23, 2019. He allowed two earned runs, four hits and four walks across seven innings in a win May 1 against Miami, too.

RHP Zach Thompson is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins. He is 1-2 with a 1.50 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 in 12 IP over 3 starts.

Thompson hasn’t lasted longer than five innings in any of his three starts. He has allowed just one unearned run, four hits and three walks with 13 strikeouts across nine innings over the past two starts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Marlins +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals -1.5 (+135) | Marlins +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Nationals 5, Marlins 2

Money line (ML)

The NATIONALS (-120) are looking for the bounce back after getting dusted 11-2 by the Marlins (+100) in Friday’s game. Washington is 3-0 across Corbin’s past three outings, and 7-3 across his past 10 starts overall.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The NATIONALS -1.5 (+135) are a decent play on the run line, as they have won six of their past 12 games by two or more runs. They’re 3-1 in the past four against the Marlins +1.5 (-160), winning all three outings by at least two runs, too.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 8 (-115) is the lean here. The Under has hit in 12 of the past 16 as a favorite while going 20-8-1 in the past 29 against NL East foes. The Under is also 8-3 in the past 11 at home against a left-handed starting pitcher.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Joe Williams on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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