MLB moneyline against the spread ATS Over Under OU total run line – Page 305

St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The St. Louis Cardinals (2-4) and Milwaukee Brewers (5-1) renew their Central Division rivalry with the opener of a 3-game set Friday at American Family Field. First pitch is at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: 1st meeting; St. Louis won 10-9 in 2022.

The Cardinals were overpowered by the visiting Atlanta Braves and outscored 17-7 in a 3-game sweep earlier in the week. The Cardinals have been Jekyll & Hyde out of the gate as they nearly swept the visiting Toronto Blue Jays to start the season if not for a season-opening bullpen meltdown.

The Brewers finished off a 3-game home sweep of the New York Mets with a 7-6 win Wednesday. The Brewers outscored the Mets 26-6 in the set, which included consecutive shutouts. 3B Brian Anderson, an offseason free-agent signing, has been dominant, hitting .500 with 3 homers and 10 RBIs in the first 6 games.

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Cardinals at Brewers projected starters

RHP Jack Flaherty vs. RHP Brandon Woodruff

Flaherty (1-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start of 2023. He threw 5 hitless, shutout innings and struck out 4 but walked an astounding 7 batters in a 4-1 home victory vs. the Blue Jays Saturday.

Had similar shaky start against Milwaukee when he returned from injury last June, allowing 2 earned runs on 3 hits and 5 walks with 2 K’s in 3 innings of a no-decision, which Cards won 6-2
Brewers are hitting .290 with a .431 wOBA in 79 plate appearances against Flaherty

Woodruff (0-0, 1.50 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 1 earned run on 3 hits and a walk, while fanning 8 in 6 innings of a no-decision at the Chicago Cubs Sunday, which Milwaukee won 3-1.

Last 5 starts vs. Cards: 2-2, 1.80 ERA (25 IP, 5 ER), 0.96 WHIP, 29 K
Cardinals are batting just .190 with a .257 wOBA in 153 plate appearances against Woodruff

Cardinals at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:22 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Cardinals +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Brewers -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-155) | Brewers -1.5 (+125)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Cardinals at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Cardinals 2

Moneyline

I really like the BREWERS (-155) in this one and am willing to lay the extra juice. Flaherty just hasn’t been the same pitcher since injuries began piling up in 2020 — I believe his opening start was a fluke — and Woodruff has been lights out against the Cards.

TAKE BREWERS (-155).

Run line/Against the spread

I’ll stay away from the RL here out of respect to the Cardinals offense, and I’ll double down on the BREWERS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-165) for the same price. Flaherty has a lot of control issues that he was able to slither away from in his 1st start. He won’t be so lucky Friday.

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Over/Under

I like UNDER 8.5 (-110), though Flaherty could give up 5 or more and make it interesting. As mentioned, Woodruff has allowed 5 runs to the Cards in 25 innings during his last 5 against them.

This O/U line could really be 7.5. The Under is 5-2 in the last 7 between the teams and 4-1-1 in the last 6 in Milwaukee. TAKE UNDER 8.5 (-110).

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San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (3-4) and Atlanta Braves (6-1) play the 2nd game of a 4-game series Friday at Truist Park. First pitch is at 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 1-0

Atlanta took Thursday’s opener 7-6 on SS Orlando Arcia’s walk-off RBI single in the 9th. The Padres led 6-4 after the top of the 8th, but the Braves scored 2 in the bottom half of the inning and won it in the 9th.

San Diego OF Juan Soto’s slow start continued as he went 0 for 4, dropping his early batting average to .160. The Padres big hit was a 3-run homer from DH Matt Carpenter in the 4th.

Atlanta knocked San Diego LHP Blake Snell (3 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 4 BB, 2 K) out of the game in the 4th inning, but the Braves bullpen gave up 3 runs to put them in a vulnerable spot. Batting in the 9 spot, Arcia finished 3 for 4 with a homer, double and the winning RBI single. He’s batting .370 and has been a big reason why Atlanta is off to a 6-1 start.

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Padres at Braves projected starters

RHP Nick Martinez vs. LHP Jared Shuster

Martinez (0-1, 5.14 ERA) makes his 2nd start of the season. He allowed 4 earned runs on 6 hits and 2 walks with 5 K’s across 7 innings in his 1st start, a 4-1 home loss to the Colorado Rockies March 31.

Career vs. Braves: 0-1, 5.14 ERA (7 IP, 4 ER) in 1 start and 1 relief appearance
Last season vs. Braves: L, 5 IP, 7 H, 3 HR, 4 BB, 3 K in 5-2 home loss April 16
Current Braves are batting .308 with a .457 wOBA in 42 plate appearances against Martinez

The rookie Shuster (0-1, 7.71 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 4 earned runs on 6 hits and 5 walks with just 1 K in 4 2/3 innings of a 4-1 loss at the Washington Nationals Sunday.

His 4-seam fastball averaged 90.1 mph in his 1st career start. He threw it 43% of the time, followed by a changeup at 32% and a slider at 25%.
Current Padres are hitting .181 with 3 HR and 6 RBIs in 72 at-bats against left-handed pitchers

Padres at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:24 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Padres +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Braves -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-185) | Braves -1.5 (+150)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Padres at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Braves 4

Moneyline

The Padres almost got it done Thursday, and I believe they’ll solve the rookie lefty Friday. The key will be keeping Atlanta off the board early as the Braves have been scoring early during their opening 6-1 streak. Atlanta’s bullpen is also taxed and showed vulnerability Thursday. If the Braves don’t get length from the rookie, the same holes will show Friday.

TAKE THE PADRES (+105).

Run line/Against the spread

I’m going to steer clear of the run line with such unpredictable starters on the mound. Instead, I’ll side with the PADRES FIRST 5 INNINGS (-105) with their veteran starter on the mound. Only risk a HALF UNIT here because Atlanta has been mashing early in games.

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Over/Under

I’m going with a contrarian pick here because 90% of the tickets are on the Over, according to Pregame.com. The forecast calls for a cool 58 degrees with a 50% chance of rain in Atlanta. There’s an expected sharp 15% breeze going directly to the right-field foul pole as well. Conditions like these neutralize a bloated Over line because of 2 so-so starters. The Under is 4-0-1 in Martinez’s last 5 starts against teams above .500.

Slight LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-110).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Blue Jays (4-3) and Los Angeles Angels (4-2) open a 3-game set Friday at Angel Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Angels odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023. Blue Jays won last season’s series 4-3.

The Blue Jays won 6-3 as -218 favorites at the Kansas City Royals Thursday. 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and 2B Cavan Biggio both homered as Toronto won its 3rd straight game to win the series 3-1.

The Angels won 4-3 as -161 favorites at the Seattle Mariners Wednesday. RHP/DH Shohei Ohtani drove in the game-winning run with a single in the 7th inning as Los Angeles took the 3-game series 2-1.

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Blue Jays at Angels projected starters

RHP Chris Bassitt vs. LHP Patrick Sandoval

Bassitt (0-1, 24.30 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 9 ER on 10 H and 0 BB with 0 K in 3 1/3 IP in his debut at the St. Louis Cardinals Sunday.

Went 15-9 with a 3.42 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 181 2/3 IP across 30 starts for the New York Mets in 2022.
Career vs. the Angels: 6-3 with a 3.43 ERA (60 1/3 IP, 23 ER) in 10 starts and 2 relief appearances.

Sandoval (1-0, 1.80 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed just 1 ER in his debut with 2 H, 2 BB and 2 K in 5 IP at the Oakland Athletics Saturday.

Posted a 6-9 record with a 2.91 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 148 2/3 IP across 27 starts in 2022.
Only career start vs. Toronto: allowed 5 ER on 5 H and 3 BB with 4 K in 3 IP in a no-decision May 29, 2022.

Blue Jays at Angels odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:05 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Angels -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-190) | Angels -1.5 (+155)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Blue Jays at Angels picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Angels 5

Moneyline

BET BLUE JAYS (+105).

Toronto has been dominant in 3 straight wins and Bassitt is a candidate to bounce back after a horrible debut Sunday. Sandoval should struggle once again vs. this Blue Jays team that is tied with the Chicago White Sox for the 2nd-most hits per game this season (10.57). Toronto is 11-3 in its last 14 series openers and should have no problem scoring runs against Sandoval early.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Toronto +1.5 (-190) should hit, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Blue Jays should win straight up. Bet the moneyline and/or total instead.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-120).

The Over is 5-1 in Toronto’s last 6 games vs. left-handed starters and 5-1 in Los Angeles’ last 6 vs. right-handed pitching. These teams have played high-scoring games vs. each other lately, with the Over hitting in 4 of the last 5 meetings, and Friday’s matchup should be another offensive showcase.

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New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Yankees (4-2) open a 3-game set with the Baltimore Orioles (3-3) Friday. First pitch from Camden Yards is at 3:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023. The Yankees won last season’s series 12-7.

The Yankees won both of their opening series at home against the San Francisco Giants and Philadelphia Phillies, losing just game 2 each time. New York scored 4 or more runs in 5 of their 6 games.

Baltimore started the season with a back-and-forth 3-game set against the Boston Red Sox where it recorded just 1 victory. However, the Orioles found their footing against the Texas Rangers to start the week, winning the first 2 games before falling 5-2 in the finale Wednesday.

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Yankees at Orioles projected starters

RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. RHP Dean Kremer

Clarke Schmidt (0-0, 8.10 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 3 ER on 5 H and 1 BB with 5 K over 3 1/3 IP in his debut Saturday vs. the Giants.

Went 5-5 with a 3.12 ERA over 3 starts and 26 relief appearances in 2022.
Allowed 2 HR in his season debut; allowed just 2 HR once in his 29 games in 2022 and didn’t allow a single HR in his 3 starts last season.

Dean Kremer (0-0, 15.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 5 ER on 6 H and 1 BB with 3 K over 3 IP in his debut Saturday vs. the Red Sox.

Posted a 8-7 record with a 3.23 ERA and 1.25 WHIP over 21 starts and 1 relief appearance in 2022.
Allowed 4 ER on 5 H and 1 BB with 6 K over 5 1/3 in his lone start vs. the Yankees last season.

Yankees at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:56 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Yankees -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Orioles +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+125) | Orioles +1.5 (-155)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Yankees at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 5, Yankees 3

Moneyline

The Yankees have been tough to score on so far this season, ranking 3rd in MLB with 14 runs against. They are 5th in opponent doubles per game, 2nd in opponent walks per game, and 1st in opponent strikeouts.

The Orioles are scoring at an above-average rate to start the season. Baltimore is 1st in both stolen base attempts per game (2.00) and stolen bases per game (1.83). The Yankees have yet to throw anyone out trying to steal. I expect them to bring the offense for their home opener.

LEAN ORIOLES (+110).

Run line/Against the spread

This game will be Baltimore’s home opener but so far teams have struggled to cover at home; home teams have covered in 37 of 86 games (43%) through Wednesday afternoon.

You can certainly take the Orioles with the run of insurance if you don’t want to take them straight up, although it is pretty juicy.

BET ORIOLES +1.5 (-160).

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Over/Under

The Orioles are 4-2 to the Over, while the Yankees are 4-2 to the Under.

It’s best to PASS until game 2 to see how they match up against each other.

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Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Houston Astros (3-4) and Minnesota Twins (4-2) open a 3-game set Friday at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023. Astros won last season’s series 6-0.

The Astros won as -244 home favorites 8-2 vs. the Detroit Tigers Wednesday. OF Chas McCormick, OF Kyle Tucker and SS Jeremy Peña all homered as Houston avoided being swept in the 3-game series.

The Twins lost as -116 favorites 5-2 at the Miami Marlins Wednesday. OF Trevor Larnach made it 1-1 in the 7th inning with an RBI single, but Miami would eventually go on to score 4 runs in the 8th and win the series 2-1.

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Astros at Twins projected starters

RHP José Urquidy vs. RHP Sonny Gray

Urquidy (0-0, 6.75 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 3 ER on 7 H and 1 BB with 5 K in 4 IP in his debut vs. the Chicago White Sox Saturday.

Went 13-8 with a 3.94 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 164 1/3 IP in 2022.
Career vs. Minnesota: 0-0 with a 3.60 ERA (10 IP, 4 ER) in 2 starts.

Gray (1-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He tossed 5 scoreless IP in his debut with 3 H, 4 BB and 1 K at the Kansas City Royals Saturday.

Posted an 8-5 record with a 3.08 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 119 2/3 IP in 2022.
Career vs. Houston: 4-4 with a 3.08 ERA (64 1/3 IP, 22 ER) in 10 starts.

Astros at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:24 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Astros +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Twins -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros +1.5 (-190) | Twins -1.5 (+155)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Astros at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 3, Astros 2

Moneyline

BET TWINS (-130).

Minnesota should bounce back after losing 2 straight games at Miami and be able to take advantage of this Astros team that has been underperforming on the season.

The Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 games after an off day and 5-1 in their last 6 vs. right-handed starters. Houston swept the Twins last season but will struggle to beat them for a 7th straight time.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Houston +1.5 (-190) should hit, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Minnesota moneyline is the better play. Bet Minnesota moneyline and/or the total instead.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-110).

The Under is 4-0 in Houston’s last 4 road games vs. right-handed starters and 7-1 in its last 8 after an off day.

The Under has hit in 5 of Minnesota’s last 6 home games vs. right-handed pitching and should cash again Friday with Urquidy and Gray on the mound.

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Oakland Athletics at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Oakland Athletics at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Oakland Athletics (2-4) open a 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays (6-0) Friday at Tropicana Field. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Athletics vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023. The Rays went 4-3 against the Athletics in 2022.

The Athletics lost 6-4 in 10 innings to the Cleveland Guardians Wednesday, their 4th loss in their last 5 games. Oakland has been outscored 41-22 in the first 6 games of the season.

The Rays defeated the Washington Nationals 7-2 on Wednesday to extend their win streak to 6 games to begin the season. Tampa Bay has allowed 2 or fewer runs in all but one of its games.

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Athletics at Rays projected starters

LHP Ken Waldichuk vs. RHP Zach Eflin

Waldichuk (0-1, 9.53 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 6 ER on 9 H and 1 BB with 4 K over 5 2/3 IP in his debut against the Los Angeles Angels Sunday.

Allowed 3 HR in his season debut but only allowed 5 HR in 7 starts in 2022.
Needed 96 pitches to get through 5 2/3 IP last time out.

Eflin (1-0, 1.80 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 1 ER on 3 H and 1 BB with 5 K over 5 IP in his debut vs. the Detroit Tigers Saturday.

Tossed 74 pitches in his first start of the season.
Tossed 4-scoreless IP with 2 H and 2 BB with 3 K in his lone career start against the Athletics on Apr. 10, 2022, as a member of the Philadelphia Phillies.

Athletics at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Athletics +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Rays -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Athletics +1.5 (-110) | Rays -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Athletics at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 6, Athletics 2

Moneyline

PASS.

Even though I envision the Rays (-225) cruising to a win on Friday, I’d refrain from betting on them to get the victory straight up with the lack of profit you’d receive.

Run line/Against the spread

BET RAYS -1.5 (-110).

Tampa Bay’s pitching has been dominant thus far and I don’t expect that to change against a below-average team like Oakland. The Rays also have guys like OF Randy Arozarena, SS Wander Franco, and 1B Yandy Diaz that should excel against Waldichuk.

The Rays have won each of their 6 games this season by 4 or more runs.

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Over/Under

OVER 7.5 (-105) is the pick in this matchup with the Rays lineups’ ability to hit southpaws. The Rays have scored 5 or more runs in 5 of their first 6 games and may be able to hit this Over themselves.

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (5-2) and Arizona Diamondbacks (3-4) meet Friday for the 2nd game of a 4-game series. First pitch from Chase Field is set for 9:40 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 3-2; Los Angeles won the 2022 season series 14-5.

The Dodgers won 5-2 as -155 road favorites Thursday in the series opener. Los Angeles has had solid pitching and batting so far in the season, ranking 2nd in HR (14), 2nd in RBIs (42), 3rd in team ERA (2.14), and T-4th in saves (3).

Arizona was able to steal 2 games from the Dodgers on the road in their season-opening series, winning in 2 low-scoring battles. Pitching for Arizona has proven to be inconsistent so far this season, as it has allowed 5 or more runs in 5 games and a single run in its other 2 games.

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Dodgers at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP Clayton Kershaw vs. LHP Madison Bumgarner

Kershaw (1-0, 1.50 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 1 ER on 4 H with 9 K across 6 IP in his debut vs. Arizona Saturday.

Last season vs. Arizona: 2-0, 0.69 ERA (1 ER, 13 IP), 8 H, 1 ER, 1 BB and 15 K in 2 starts.
Career vs. Arizona: 21-11, 2.67 ERA (76 ER, 256 IP), 197 H, 76 ER, 65 BB and 285 K in 42 starts.
Was very solid in away games last year with a 6-3 record and a 2.17 ERA with 15 ER on 43 H and 13 BB with 57 K through 62 1/3 IP across 11 starts.

Bumgarner (0-1, 11.25 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He was roughed up for 5 ER on 4 H and 4 BB with 2 K in 4 IP in his debut vs. L.A. Saturday.

Last season vs. Los Angeles: 1-2, 4.76 ERA (9 ER, 17 IP), 14 H, 5 BB and 9 K in 3 starts.
Career vs. LA: 16-18, 3.03 ERA (86 ER, 255 1/3 IP), 225 H, 62 BB and 236 K in 41 starts and 1 relief appearance.
Struggled at home last year with a 5-6 record, 4.74 ERA with 49 ER on 108 H and 25 BB with 68 K in 93 IP across 17 starts.

Dodgers at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:12 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (-135) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (+110)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Dodgers at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Diamondbacks 2

Moneyline

AVOID.

The Dodgers (-220) have not been as dominant as normal vs. Arizona as of late, winning just 6 of the last 10 meetings. Given how Arizona has performed against L.A. this season this line is too risky as a standalone bet, so look for better value on the run line or the total.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN DODGERS -1.5 (-135).

Four of the last 10 meetings between these clubs has been a 1-run game came down to within 1 run, and they were all in Los Angeles. The Dodgers have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these squads this season, and all came by 3 or more runs.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-105).

The Under is 7-3 in their last 10 meetings between these clubs and 12-3 in their last 15 meetings. The Under is 5-5 in both the Dodgers’ and the Diamondbacks’ last 10 games dating back to last season.

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Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Nationals (1-6) and Colorado Rockies (3-4) meet Friday for game 2 of this 4-game series. First pitch from Coors Field is set for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Rockies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rockies lead 1-0; Nationals won 2022 season series 4-3

The Nationals are off to a rough start, tied for the worst record in the league with the Kansas City Royals. Pitching has proven to be a problem for the Nationals as their pitching staff owns a 5.08 ERA through 7 games, and they’ve been outscored 39-17.

Colorado won 1-0 Thursday as a -164 home favorite to lead off this series. The run scored on RF Kris Bryant’s 5th-inning RBI single. SP Kyle Freeland (W, 6 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K) and 2 Colorado relievers allowed just 6 hits in the shutout win.

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Nationals at Rockies projected starters

LHP MacKenzie Gore vs. RHP Jose Urena

Gore (1-0, 1.69 ERA) makes his 2nd start of the season. He was solid in his 1st outing, allowing only 1 ER on 3 hits and 4 walks with 6 K’s in 5 1/3 innings of a 4-1 victory at home vs. the Atlanta Braves.

Career vs. Rockies: 0-2, 19.89 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 3.32 WHIP, 5.7 K/9 in 2 starts last season
Last season on road: 3-1, 3.44 ERA (36 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 37 K in 8 appearances (6 starts)

Urena (0-1, 15.43 ERA) is also making his 2nd start of 2023. He was roughed up for 4 ER on 5 hits and 4 walks with 1 HR in only 2 1/3 IP in his 1st outing, an 8-4 loss at San Diego Padres Saturday.

Career vs. Nationals: 5-3, 3.66 ERA (59 IP, 24 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 6/5 K/9 in 15 appearances (7 starts)
Last season at home: 2-5, 6.14 ERA (44 IP, 30 ER), 1.66 WHIP, 7 HR, 6.3 K/9 in 10 outings (8 starts)

Nationals at Rockies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:22 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Nationals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Rockies -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-165) | Rockies -1.5 (+135)
Over/Under (O/U): 11 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Nationals at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Rockies 4, Nationals 2

Moneyline

BET ROCKIES (-135).

Recent season series between these 2 teams have been very even the past few years with the Rockies holding onto a narrow 8-6 lead since Sept. 17, 2021. In that span, the Rockies have won back-to-back games vs. the Nationals 3 times, while Washington won back-to-back games vs. Colorado twice. Following the trends — 10 of 14 — means it’s a safe bet to expect the Rockies to prevail Friday for a 2nd win in a row.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN ROCKIES -1.5 (+135).

In 11 of the last 14 matchups the team that won covered the run line, be it as the favorite or the underdog. It is hard to gauge whether the favorite or the underdog is the safer ATS bet, as the favorite is 7-7 ATS in the last 14 meetings. If you believe the Rockies will win, expect them to cover. But if you feel the Nationals will win, lean toward them to cover.

Figure out how much you want to wager on Colorado — I suggest less than 1 1/2 units — and divvy it up between the moneyline and run line with at least 1 full unit on the ML.

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Over/Under

AVOID.

The Over/Under has been extremely balanced since 2021, going 7-7 in the 14 meetings. For Washington, the Over is 5-4-1 in the last 10 overall; for Colorado, the Under is 7-3 in the last 10.

I would advise against risking money on a bet here, but if you must, lean toward the Under (all O/U stats from team rankings.com).

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Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Seattle Guardians (2-5) open a 3-game series against the Cleveland Guardians (5-2) Friday afternoon. First pitch for the Guardians’ home opener at Progressive Field is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 3-1

The Guardians lost 3-0 at the Mariners Opening Day but rebounded by taking the final 3 games of that opening series, outscoring Seattle 17-9. Cleveland then went to Oakland and took 2 of 3, so it has won 5 of 6 since dropping the season opener.

The Mariners dropped 2 of 3 games to the visiting Los Angeles Angels after the Guardians left town. Seattle fell 4-3 (as a +145 underdog) to L.A. and SP Shohei Ohtani in Wednesday’s series finale. The Under 7.5 cashed by a hook, snapping a 3-0 Over run for the M’s.

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Mariners at Guardians projected starters

RHP Logan Gilbert vs. RHP Aaron Civale

Gilbert (0-1, 1.50 ERA) makes his 2nd start of the season, both against the Guardians. He allowed 1 ER — a solo HR by 1B Josh Naylor — on 4 hits and a walk with 7 K’s across 6 innings in a hard-luck, 2-0 loss Saturday to Cleveland.

Last season on the road: 8-1, 3.16 ERA (102 2/3 IP, 36 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 98 K, .233 opponent batting average (OBA) in 18 starts
Last season during the day: 5-3, 2.85 ERA (79 IP, 25 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 84 K, .214 OBA in 14 starts

Civale (1-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start of the season. He was on the winning end of Saturday’s 2-0 contest vs. Cleveland, twirling 7 scoreless innings of 2-hit, 1-walk ball, while striking out 3.

Last season at home: 4-3 3.80 ERA (45 IP, 19 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 49 K in 9 starts
Last season during the day: 2-4, 5.50 ERA (37 2/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.33 WHIP, 44 K, .259 OBA in 8 starts

Mariners at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:53 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mariners -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Guardians -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+165) | Guardians +1.5 (-200)
Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Mariners at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Guardians 2

Moneyline

SEATTLE (-105) is worth a look on the road as the Mariners look to spoil the home opener for the Guardians (-115).

While Civale was amazing in the 1st matchup at T-Mobile Park, Gilbert was pretty good himself. The Mariners just didn’t give him any run support, but Gilbert showed last season he has a penchant for bouncing back after a loss. He lost back-to-back starts just once last season, and the Mariners were 6-1 in his last 7 starts of 2022.

Run line/Against the spread

SEATTLE -1.5 (+165) is worth a small play.

The thing about a home opener is that the home team players can’t be fully focused. They’re dealing with finally getting to their summer homes in Cleveland after a long spring training, and they might be dealing with getting tickets for family and friends. It can be a little overwhelming.

While the Mariners have lost 5 of the past 6, they should be all business.

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Over/Under

UNDER 7 (-105) is the lean.

The Over cashed in 2 of the final 3 meetings in Seattle, but that Under was the matchup between Civale and Gilbert.

While I expect a little more offense Friday afternoon than we saw in the 1st matchup between these pitchers, there will also be a breeze from 6-9 mph blowing directly from center field into the face of the batters, keeping the ball down.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (3-3) and Atlanta Braves (5-1) open a 4-game series Thursday at Truist Park. First pitch is at 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting this season. Padres won the series 4-3 in 2022.

San Diego comes to “Hotlanta” in search of its groove after splitting a 4-game series with the Colorado Rockies and a 2-game series with the Arizona Diamondbacks. Newly acquired SS Xander Bogaerts has opened the season impressively as he’s 2nd in the majors with 21 total bases while hitting .409 with 3 homers, 7 RBIs and 3 doubles.

Atlanta was a force to be reckoned with in its 3-game sweep at the St. Louis Cardinals to open the week. OF Ronald Acuna Jr. (.370), C Travis d’Arnaud (.385), 1B Matt Olson (.308), SS Orlando Arcia (.304) and 2B Ozzie Albies (.304) are all raking above .300 after the 1st week.

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Padres at Braves projected starters

LHP Blake Snell vs. RHP Spencer Strider

Snell (0-1, 6.23 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 3 ER on 6 H and 1 BB with 9 K across 4 1/2 IP in his debut against the Rockies last Thursday.

Has only faced Atlanta once in his career (in 2018 as a member of the Tampa Bay Rays).
Was a better road pitcher with a 3.06 ERA against a 3.56 home ERA last year.

Strider (1-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He pitched 6-scoreless innings with 3 H and 3 BB with 9 K at the Washington Nationals Saturday.

He had 2 relief outings against San Diego last year and allowed 2 ER on 2 H and 3 BB while fanning 5 in 4 2/3 IP.
Was unhittable at home in 16 games (10 starts) last year: 6-1, 2.17 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 14.5 K/9.

Padres at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:52 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Padres +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Braves -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-145) | Braves -1.5 (+120)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Padres at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Padres 2

Moneyline

The Braves (-165) came into St. Louis and punched the Cardinals in the mouth early in every game. They’re raking on another level right now, and I look for them to take advantage of Snell’s early season struggles. However, I’m going to PASS on the moneyline and look to the run line for a better value.

Run line/Against the spread

The Braves have won all 5 of their games by multiple runs and all 3 of San Diego’s losses have been by multiple runs. Toss in the Braves’ ace on the hill, and I like their prospects for a multi-run win.

Take the BRAVES -1.5 (+120) for a solid return at home.

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Over/Under

Let me preface this by stating this could go either way. The Braves could tattoo Snell, or it could be the 5-2 game I’m projecting.

I’m LEANING UNDER 8 (+100) because both teams had to travel. It’s a big ballpark, and I feel like the total is inflated due to the teams’ hot bats, which will cool off. I’ll also take AUSTIN RILEY OVER 1.5 TOTAL BASES (+125). He hit .329 with 11 homers, 25 RBIs and 14 doubles in 149 at-bats against lefties last year.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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