Minnesota Twins betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets – Page 5

Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (11-13) and Los Angeles Angels (10-15) open a 3-game series at Angel Stadium Friday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET (MLB.TV Free Game of the Day). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Angels odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; split last season 3-3

The Twins are coming off a 4-game sweep of the Chicago White Sox in Minneapolis. Minnesota won the series finale 6-3 Thursday as a -195 favorite with the Over (8) hitting.

The Angels dropped 2 of 3 home games against the Baltimore Orioles in their most recent series. They wrapped up the 3-game set with a 6-5 loss Thursday as +115 underdogs as the Over (9.5) cashed.

Twins at Angels projected starters

RHP Bailey Ober vs. LHP Patrick Sandoval

Ober (1-1, 4.91 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 18 1/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 4-3 home victory vs. Detroit Tigers Saturday
Career vs. Angels: 0-0, 3.38 ERA (5 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 1 start, a 6-2 home loss July 25, 2021

Sandoval (1-3, 6.75 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.83 WHIP, 5.9 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 21 1/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 7 ER, 6 H, 5 BB, 6 K in 7-5 loss at Cincinnati Reds Saturday
Career vs. Twins: 1-2, 2.95 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.09 WHIP in 3 starts

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Twins at Angels odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:03 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Twins -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Angels -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+145) | Angels +1.5 (-175)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Twins at Angels picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Angels 4

Moneyline

The TWINS (-115) should have no trouble plating runs against Sandoval, who has allowed 3 or more earned runs in 3 of his 5 starts. Ober’s stats don’t look great after giving up 8 earned runs in his season debut at the Kansas City Royals March 31, but he’s been better since, allowing a total of just 2 earned runs over his last 3 starts.

BET TWINS (-115).

Run line/Against the spread

Betting the Twins to win by 2 or more runs on the road seems aggressive, and I want no part of laying -175 on the Angels +1.5, who have lost 4 of their last 6 games by 2 or more runs.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

This number is right where I would set it. I’m personally only betting Twins ML, but if I had to play the total, I would take the Over. The Over has hit in back-to-back games for the Angels and 3 straight for the Twins. With Sandoval on the mound, Minnesota should put up at least 4 runs.

LEAN OVER 8 (-115).

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Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago White Sox (3-21) and Minnesota Twins (10-13) meet for the finale of a 4-game series Thursday. First pitch from Target Field is set for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the White Sox vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Minnesota leads 3-0

Minnesota won 6-3 over the White Sox Wednesday while covering as a -195 home favorite. RHP Joe Ryan picked up the win, allowing 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 8 K in 6 IP. The Twins have won 4 of their last 5 games.

Chicago made the game interesting in the 5th, being closing to 4-3 before the Twins added 2 more runs in the bottom of the inning. LHP Garrett Crochet took the loss, allowing 7 H, 5 ER, 2 BB and 6 K in 4 IP.

White Sox at Twins projected starters

RHP Michael Soroka vs. RHP Bailey Ober

Soroka (0-3, 7.50 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.79 WHIP, 5.6 BB/9 and 4.5 K/9 in 24 IP.

Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 6 H, 5 ER, 3 BB, 2 K in a 9-5 loss vs. the Philadelphia Phillies Saturday
Career vs. Minnesota: 0-0, 3.86 ERA (7 IP, 3 ER), 6 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 1 start

Ober (1-1, 4.91 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 18 1/3 IP.

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 6 K in a 4-3 outing vs. the Detroit Tigers Saturday
Career vs. White Sox: 3-1, 3.35 ERA (51 IP, 19 ER), 41 H, 10 BB, 56 K in 10 starts

White Sox at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:22 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): White Sox +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Twins -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-105) | Twins -1.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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White Sox at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, White Sox 3

Moneyline

PASS.

I fully expect the Twins to pick up the win here and complete the series sweep, but they are not worth the risk of betting as -250 favorites. Bet on the spread and/or Over/Under instead.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN TWINS -1.5 (-115).

Minnesota has covered the spread in 2 of its last 3 games. The Twins are also 3-1 ATS in their last 4 matchups vs. Chicago and 6-4 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

The White Sox are only 1-9 in their last 10 games, so their cold streak makes this bet slightly safer.

This is a very slight lean as both teams have been bad ATS this season, with the Twins being 9-14 and the White Sox being 9-15.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-115).

The Over has hit in back-to-back games of this series. Chicago is 4-1 to the Over in its last 5 games while Minnesota 5-3-1 to the Over in its last 9 games. The Over is 5-2 in the last 7 Chicago-Minnesota meetings.

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Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago White Sox (3-18) take on the Minnesota Twins (7-13) Monday in the opener of a 4-game set at Target Field at 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the White Sox vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Twins won 9-4 last year

The White Sox are becoming an abomination, losers of 9 of 10, and they kept it within a run in just 1 of those losses. 3B Yoan Moncada (thigh) and OF Luis Robert Jr. (hip) are on the IL, and the White Sox are last with 2.1 runs/game, a .188 BA, .264 OBP and .288 SLG%.

The Twins are also flailing with SS Carlos Correa (oblique) out. They’ve lost 6 of 7, and the Twins are 28th with 3.4 R/game and 29th with a .195 BA. OF Byron Buxton is hitting just .217 with no homers and 9 RBIs on the young season. On the plus side, though, the Twins have beaten the White Sox in 7 of 8 games.

White Sox at Twins projected starters

RHP Jonathan Cannon vs. RHP Chris Paddack

Cannon allowed 1 ER on 3 H, 1 BB and struck out 3 in 5 IP in a no-decision against the Kansas City Royals Wednesday in his major-league debut.

2024 stats with Charlotte (AAA): 0-0, 2.79 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and 11 K in 9 2/3 IP in 2 GS
Utilizes a 4-seam fastball (95 mph), a sinker, sweeper, cutter and changeup

Paddack (0-1, 8.36 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 2.07 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 in 14 IP.

Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 9 ER, 12 H, 1 BB, 2 K Tuesday against Baltimore Orioles
Has never faced White Sox

White Sox at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:10 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): White Sox +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Twins -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-120) | Twins -1.5 (+100)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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White Sox at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 4, White Sox 2

Moneyline

The Twins are heavy favorites for good reason, but we’re not taking a 7-13 team at -200.

PASS and look to the spread.

Run line/Against the spread

We mentioned in the opener that of the White Sox’s 9 losses in the last 10 games, 8 of them were by multiple runs.

The Twins’ offense is nothing to write home about since it has scored more than 4 runs once in 10 games. The White Sox have scored 11 runs in 6 games.

Take the TWINS -1.5 (+100).

Over/Under

The White Sox are 5-5 O/U in their last 10, and the Twins are 5-4-1. With both teams struggling to score runs, this one goes UNDER 8.5 (-115).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (9-4) and Minnesota Twins (3-5) play the middle game of their 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Target Field is slated for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 1-0

The Dodgers evened their record at 2-2 on their 6-game Midwest road trip with a 4-2 victory over the Twins on Monday. DH Shohei Ohtani went 3 for 5 with a solo blast, 2 doubles and 2 runs scored. Los Angeles also got a HR from CF James Outman, his 1st of the season.

Minnesota wasted a terrific start from RHP Bailey Ober, who allowed 1 ER and struck out 8 in 5 IP, but got a no-decision. The only offense the Twins could muster in their 3rd straight loss was a 2-run long ball from LF Manuel Margot in the 3rd inning off Dodgers starter LHP James Paxton.

Dodgers at Twins projected starters

RHP Tyler Glasnow vs. RHP Louie Varland

Glasnow (2-0, 3.18 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.88 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 17 IP.

2023 road stats: 6-4, 3.84 ERA (63 1/3 IP, 27 ER) in 11 starts as a member of the Tampa Bay Rays
Last start vs. San Francisco Giants: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 7 K in a 5-4 home win Wednesday
Only start vs. Twins: Win, 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 8 K in a 7-4 road victory on Sept. 11, 2023 with the Rays

Varland (0-1, 6.75 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 2.00 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 9 K/9 in 4 IP.

2023 home stats: 2-2, 4.55 ERA (29 2/3 IP, 15 ER) in 4 starts and 5 relief appearances
Has never faced the Dodgers as a starter

Dodgers at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:05 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Twins +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+100) | Twins +1.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -125)

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Dodgers at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 8, Twins 3

Moneyline

PASS.

Glasnow is going to shut down this Twins lineup and help the Dodgers (-175) get the victory, but I’ll keep my wager to the run line for this game.

Run line/Against the spread

BET DODGERS -1.5 (+100).

Los Angeles has owned right-handed pitching this season, batting .286 with 9 HRs. Ohtani’s homer on Monday night was the 3rd in his last 5 games and he has a 1.104 on-base plus slugging (OPS) against righties.

The Dodgers should continue to do work against RHP Varland, who threw 89 pitches in 4 innings in his 1st outing. He struggled to find his groove against the Milwaukee Brewers and this experienced Los Angeles lineup will make him earn every strike on Tuesday night.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-105).

This Dodgers offense is going to go off on the Twins and Varland on Tuesday night. I already told you about the Dodgers abilities against right-handed pitchers. Los Angeles may get over this number by themselves.

Glasnow is allowing 2 runs per start on the season which should help this game easily go over the total.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (8-4) visit the Minnesota Twins (3-4) on Monday. First pitch from Target Field is set for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Dodgers won 2 of 3 games at home last season

The Dodgers lost 8-1 to the Cubs on Sunday and lost the series in Chicago 2-1. Los Angeles was held to only 4 hits and the 1 run was scored on an RBI double from DH Shohei Ohtani in the 8th inning. It was the fewest runs Los Angeles has scored in a game this season. Ohtani accounted for 2 of the hits with a double and triple.

The Twins lost back-to-back games in a 2-game series sweep by the Cleveland Guardians. They fell 3-1 on Saturday after allowing a 3-run 2nd inning. Minnesota had just 2 hits in the loss.

Dodgers at Twins projected starters

LHP James Paxton vs. RHP Bailey Ober

Paxton (1-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.80 WHIP, 9.00 BB/9 and 9.00 K/9 in 5 IP.

Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 5 BB, 5 K in 8-3 win vs. San Francisco Giants April 1
Has 4-1, 2.61 ERA (38 IP) in 7 career starts vs. Twins

Ober (0-1, 54.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 7.50 WHIP, 6.75 BB/9 and 6.75 K/9 in 1.1 IP.

Rocked in his season debut March 31 against Kansas City: 1.1 IP, 9 H (3 HRs), 8 ER
Went 8-6 last season in 26 starts with a 3.43 ERA

Dodgers at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:29 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Twins +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+115) | Twins +1.5 (-140)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Dodgers at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Twins 2

Moneyline

PASS.

There is better value on the Dodgers’ run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET DODGERS -1.5 (+115).

The Dodgers have won 7 of their last 10 games with 4 of the wins coming by 2 or more runs. They have scored 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 10 and have held opponents to 4 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 10.

The Twins have dropped 4 of their last 5 and have lost 3 of the 4 by multiple runs. They have scored 2 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 5 and allowed at least 3 runs in each of their last 5.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-110).

While the Dodgers have had hot bats to start the season, hitting the Over in 8 of their 11 games, they will not be able to carry the Over alone on Monday. Paxton pitched 5 scoreless innings in his 1st start and will look to continue the trend against a struggling Twins team.

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Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (6-2) and Minnesota Twins (3-3) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Saturday at Target Field after a scheduled day off. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 1-0; Cleveland spoiled the home opener for Minnesota Thursday, winning 4-2 as an underdog (+150) as the Under (7) cashed

The Guardians have won 3 in a row, each as underdogs, and Cleveland has won 6 of 8 games on the road to open the season. The Under cashed on Thursday in the series opener, which was a rarity, as the Guardians had cashed the Over at a 5-1-1 pace in the 1st 7 games.

The Twins have dropped 3 of the past 4 games after opening 2-0. Minnesota is just 2-2 as a favorite, and the Under holds a 4-2 advantage in 6 games to date. Minnesota has scored 2 or fewer runs in 3 of the previous 4 outings, including an 11-0 shutout loss in Kansas City March 31.

Guardians at Twins projected starters

RHP Carlos Carrasco vs. RHP Joe Ryan

Carrasco (0-0, 5.40 ERA) makes his 2nd start in 2024. He allowed 3 ER on 6 H and 1 BB with 3 K in 5 IP in his debut at the Oakland Athletics Sunday.

2023 road splits (with the Mets): 2-5, 5.44 ERA (49 2/3 IP, 30 ER — 10 HR), 18 BB, 30 K in 10 starts
Last start vs. Twins: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 3-0 loss at Target Field Aug. 1, 2020, in 1st stint with Guardians

Ryan (0-0, 1.69 ERA) makes his 2nd start in 2024. He allowed 1 ER on 3 H and 1 BB with 5 K in 5 1/3 IP in his debut at the Kansas City Royals last Saturday.

2023 home splits: 7-4, 3.83 ERA (82 1/3 IP, 35 ER — 12 HR), 15 BB, 111 K in 14 starts
2023 vs. Guardians: 0-3, 3.24 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 6 ER — 0 HR), 2 BB, 11 K in 3 starts

Guardians at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:45 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Guardians +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Twins -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-140) | Twins -1.5 (+115)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Guardians at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Twins 3

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (+140) are worth a look as moderate underdogs in the middle game of this set.

Last season, Ryan struggled against Cleveland, going 0-3 despite the fact he had a decent ERA at 3.24 in the 3 outings. However, the Twins (-165) have struggled against Cleveland in recent seasons, going just 3-6 in the past 9 meetings. They’re not worth playing as rather heavy favorites. Keep fading Minnesota until it starts beating Cleveland on the regular.

Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS +1.5 (-140) aren’t priced out of line if you’re looking for a little insurance, and you just cannot trust the Twins -1.5 (+115).

As an underdog, Cleveland has posted a 4-1 mark in the past 5 on the run line, including 4 outright victories.

Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-110) cashed in the series opener Thursday while going 4-2 in the past 6 meetings and 7-3 across the past 10 battles in this series.

Cleveland’s pitching has been sharp so far, allowing 4 or fewer runs in 7 of 8 games, while allowing just 4 total runs in the previous 3 outings.

For Minnesota, it has scored just 2 or fewer runs in 3 of the past 4 outings, and Twins pitching has yielded just 4 runs or fewer in 5 of 6 games to date.

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Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (5-2) and Minnesota Twins (3-2) open a 3-game series Thursday at Target Field in Minneapolis. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Guardians won series 7-6 in 2023, while going 4-3 in Minneapolis

The Guardians rolled up an 8-0 win in the series finale in Seattle on Wednesday, Cleveland’s 2nd 8-0 victory of the opening week. The Over (7.5) cashed Wednesday, and is now 5-1-1 in 7 games for Cleveland.

The Twins racked up a 7-3 win in Milwaukee Wednesday, hitting the Over (9), while halting a 2-game skid. Minnesota pitching has allowed 3 or fewer runs in 4 of 5 outings to date, with the Under holding a slight 3-2 edge so far this season.

Guardians at Twins projected starters

RHP Tanner Bibee vs. RHP Pablo Lopez

Bibee (0-0, 6.75 ERA) makes his 2nd start in 2024. He has a 2.75 WHIP, 11.3 BB/9, 9.0 K/9 in 4 IP.

2023 road splits: 5-2, 3.79 ERA (73 2/3 IP, 31 ER – 11 HR), 23 BB, 74 K in 13 starts
2023 vs. Twins: 0-0, 4.20 ERA (15 IP, 6 ER – 1 HR), 9 BB, 18 K in 3 starts

Lopez (1-0, 1.29 ERA) makes his 2nd start in 2024. He has a 0.57 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9, 9.0 K/9 in 7 IP.

2023 home splits: 5-3, 4.21 ERA (98 1/3 IP, 46 ER – 11 HR), 25 BB, 123 K in 16 starts
2023 vs. Guardians: 1-1, 4.58 ERA (17 2/3 IP, 9 ER – 1 HR), 7 BB, 13 K in 3 starts

Guardians at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:42 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Guardians +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Twins -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-165) | Twins -1.5 (+140)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Guardians at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 4, Guardians 3

Moneyline

The TWINS (-150) are a strong play as moderate favorites in their home opener. Minnesota is coming in with plenty of confidence after posting a season-high in runs in the series finale in Milwaukee on Wednesday. It picked up a 4-1 win behind Lopez in the March 28 opener in Kansas City, too.

The Guardians (+125) are running on fumes, playing their 8th road game of the season. Bibee was up and down against the Twins last season. Side with Lopez and the home side.

Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS +1.5 (-165) aren’t priced out of line if you’d like a little bit of insurance, and you just can’t trust taking Cleveland on the moneyline.

The Guardians are 7-3 on the run line in the past 10 meeting with the Twins -1.5 (+140), either as a favorite or underdog.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-115) is worth a look in this home opener for Minnesota, although go lightly.

The Under went 6-3 in the final 9 regular-season meetings between these teams in 2023. While the Over is 5-1-1 in 7 games for Cleveland to date, the Under holds a slight 3-2 edge in 5 games for Minnesota so far.

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Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals welcome the Minnesota Twins for Opening Day Thursday from Kauffman Stadium. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Twins won 9-4 last season

The Royals hope to bounce back after finishing as the 2nd-worst team in the American League last season. They were 56-106 on the year and 33-48 at home. Now, the Royals did spend more than 9 figures in the offseason, extending SS Bobby Witt Jr. and adding players like RF Hunter Renfroe and 2B Adam Frazier to bolster their lineup.

The Twins finished atop the AL Central yet had the 7th-best record in the AL last season. They were 87-75 on the year and 40-41 on the road. Minnesota may struggle without Cy Young runner-up SP Sonny Gray, who is now with the St. Louis Cardinals. The top bats (SS Carlos Correa and RF Max Kepler) will be returning for Minnesota, so it should be just as dangerous offensively.

Twins at Royals projected starters

RHP Pablo López vs. LHP Cole Ragans

López (11-8, 3.66 ERA in 2023) makes his 1st start. He had a 1.16 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 through 194 IP in 2023.

2023 road stats: 6-5, 3.10 ERA (95 2/3 IP, 33 ER) in 16 starts
Last start vs. Royals: Win, 9 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 12 K in a 5-0 home win July 5, 2023
Career vs. Royals: 3-1, 2.70 ERA (26 2/3 IP, 8 ER) in 4 starts

Ragans (7-5, 3.47 ERA in 2023) makes his 1st start. He had a 1.16 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 96 IP with the Texas Rangers and Royals in 2023.

2023 home stats: 4-2, 3.06 ERA (47 IP, 16 ER) in 6 starts and 9 relief appearances
Career vs. Twins: No-decision, 4 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 1 start, a 2-1 road win with the Rangers Aug. 22, 2022

Twins at Royals odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 10 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Twins -122 (bet $122 to win $100) | Royals +104 (bet $100 to win $104)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+136) | Royals +1.5 (-164)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -106 | U: -114)

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Twins at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 5, Twins 4

Moneyline

BET ROYALS (+104).

The Twins finished atop the division last season, but the loss of Gray should loom large on their success. They weren’t nearly as active in the offseason and finished below .500 on the road a season ago. Minnesota had success due to its starting pitching, finishing outside the top 15 in batting average and hits.

The Royals should have the pitching edge, as Ragans had a strong finish to last season, and with Renfoe, who ended last season with 116 hits and 60 RBIs, in the lineup as well, they should see more production offensively. Kansas City likely won’t be a playoff team this season, but it should see more success at home, while the Twins should retreat off a strong 2023.

Take ROYALS (+104).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s not great value here on either side, and the home side’s moneyline offers the best odds for this Opening Day battle.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8 (-114).

Both teams trended towards the Over last season with the Royals adding firepower to their lineup in the offseason as well. Kansas City added several new faces which should help boost production.

It was 79-77-6 O/U last season, while Minnesota was 85-78-5 O/U. The Royals were 43-35-3 O/U at Kauffman Stadium, the 7th-best Over percentage at home in MLB.

Take more runs here, and back OVER 8 (-114).

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ALDS Game 4: Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins Game 4 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Houston Astros look to finish off the Minnesota Twins Wednesday in Game 4 of their AL Division Series. First pitch from Target Field is set for 7:07 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

ALDS Series: Astros lead 2-1 following 9-1 Game 3 victory Tuesday

Houston LF Yordan Álvarez is feasting off the Twins this series, hitting 4 home runs and batting .500 (6-for-12). Astros RHP Cristian Javier allowed just 1 hit over 5 innings with 9 K’s in the Game 3 win.

Minnesota only managed 1 run Tuesday — off an RBI single by CF Willi Castro — despite closing as a -131 favorite. The Over (8) cashed as Twins RHP Sonny Gray only lasted 4 innings, giving up 8 hits and 4 earned runs.

Astros at Twins projected starters

RHP José Urquidy vs. RHP Joe Ryan

Urquidy made 10 starts in 16 appearances during the regular season, finishing 3-3 with a 5.29 ERA. He had a 1.43 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 63 innings.

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 2-1 road win vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Sept. 29
2023 road stats: 2-1, 4.28 ERA (27 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 1 save in 5 starts and 1 relief appearance
Career vs. Twins: 0-0, 2.93 ERA (15 1/3 IP, 5 ER) in 3 starts, including a no-decision (5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 6 K) in a start this season

Ryan was 11-10 with a 4.51 ERA over 29 regular-season starts. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 161 2/3 innings.

Last start: No decision, 5 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 7-6 road win at Colorado Rockies Sept. 29
2023 home stats: 7-4, 3.83 ERA (82 1/3 IP, 35 ER) in 14 starts
Career vs. Astros: 1-2, 8.36 ERA (14 IP, 13 ER) in 3 starts

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Astros at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Astros +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Twins -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros +1.5 (-190) | Twins -1.5 (+155)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Astros at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 4, Twins 2

Moneyline

The Twins are on the ropes and this Houston team is looking eerily similar to last year. The Astros are 52-30 on the road and 23-12 as road underdogs.

BET ASTROS (+105).

Run line/Against the spread

Since I am picking Houston to take Game 4 there is no value in taking the Astros +1.5 (-190). I’d rather PASS here and take them on the moneyline for plus money.

Over/Under

Every game this series has gone Over but playoff baseball in general sees lower-scoring games. This year the Over is just 14-18-4, and, if you take away this series the record is a paltry 8-18-4. I expect these teams to regress to match the other playoff teams, especially since the Twins can’t afford to pitch to Alvarez any longer.

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-105).

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ALDS Game 3: Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins Game 3 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Houston Astros and Minnesota Twins play Game 3 of an AL Division Series Tuesday. First pitch from Target Field is set for 4:07 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

ALDS Series: tied 1-1

The Astros lost 6-2 as -128 home favorites as the Over (7.5) hit in the 2nd game of the series Sunday. LF Yordan Álvarez hit a 2-run shot in the 8th inning — his 3rd HR of the series.

Twins SS Carlos Correa finished with 3 hits and 3 RBIs vs. his former team. Minnesota 3B Kyle Farmer hit a 2-run HR in the 2nd inning, and the Twins won their 1st playoff road game since the 2004 ALDS.

Astros at Twins projected starters

RHP Cristian Javier vs. RHP Sonny Gray

Javier made 31 starts in the regular season, going 10-5 with a 4.56 ERA. He had a 1.27 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 162 innings.

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 8-1 victory at Arizona Diamondbacks on Oct. 1
2023 road stats: 5-3, 5.17 ERA (94 IP, 54 ER) in 18 starts
Postseason career vs. Twins: Win, 3 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 2 BB, 2 K in relief during 3-1 road victory Sept. 30, 2020

Gray was 8-8 with a 2.79 ERA across 32 regular season starts. He had a 1.15 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 184 innings.

Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 2-0 home victory vs. Toronto Blue Jays on Wednesday
2023 home stats (regular season): 4-5, 2.67 ERA (97 2/3 IP, 29 ER) in 17 starts
Postseason career vs. Astros: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 R (1 ER), 1 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 1 start, a 6-4 home victory with New York Yankees on Oct. 17, 2017

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Astros at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Astros +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Twins -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros +1.5 (-185) | Twins -1.5 (+150)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Astros at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 4, Astros 3

Moneyline

The TWINS (-135) have the clear advantage at starting pitcher with Gray facing Javier and should be feeling confident after bouncing back in Game 2. Correa looks like he is still capable of starring in October and is extra motivated to beat his former team.

Javier has struggled on the road this season and has given up 3 or more ER in 4 of his last 5 away starts.

BET TWINS (-135).

Run line/Against the spread

The Astros are 26-8 (76.5%) on the run line this season as road underdogs, according to TeamRankings.com. Houston +1.5 (-185) will probably hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when Minnesota ML is the better play.

PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.

Over/Under

The Under has hit in Minnesota’s last 3 home games. Gray was dominant last time out and has allowed 1 or fewer ER in 7 of his last 8 starts. While Javier has been a liability on the road this season, Gray should be able to keep this game low-scoring and help the Under hit.

BET UNDER 8 (-110).

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