Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago White Sox (3-21) and Minnesota Twins (10-13) meet for the finale of a 4-game series Thursday. First pitch from Target Field is set for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the White Sox vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Minnesota leads 3-0

Minnesota won 6-3 over the White Sox Wednesday while covering as a -195 home favorite. RHP Joe Ryan picked up the win, allowing 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 8 K in 6 IP. The Twins have won 4 of their last 5 games.

Chicago made the game interesting in the 5th, being closing to 4-3 before the Twins added 2 more runs in the bottom of the inning. LHP Garrett Crochet took the loss, allowing 7 H, 5 ER, 2 BB and 6 K in 4 IP.

White Sox at Twins projected starters

RHP Michael Soroka vs. RHP Bailey Ober

Soroka (0-3, 7.50 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.79 WHIP, 5.6 BB/9 and 4.5 K/9 in 24 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 6 H, 5 ER, 3 BB, 2 K in a 9-5 loss vs. the Philadelphia Phillies Saturday
  • Career vs. Minnesota: 0-0, 3.86 ERA (7 IP, 3 ER), 6 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 1 start

Ober (1-1, 4.91 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 18 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 6 K in a 4-3 outing vs. the Detroit Tigers Saturday
  • Career vs. White Sox: 3-1, 3.35 ERA (51 IP, 19 ER), 41 H, 10 BB, 56 K in 10 starts

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White Sox at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:22 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): White Sox +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Twins -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-105) | Twins -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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White Sox at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, White Sox 3

Moneyline

PASS.

I fully expect the Twins to pick up the win here and complete the series sweep, but they are not worth the risk of betting as -250 favorites. Bet on the spread and/or Over/Under instead.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN TWINS -1.5 (-115).

Minnesota has covered the spread in 2 of its last 3 games. The Twins are also 3-1 ATS in their last 4 matchups vs. Chicago and 6-4 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

The White Sox are only 1-9 in their last 10 games, so their cold streak makes this bet slightly safer.

This is a very slight lean as both teams have been bad ATS this season, with the Twins being 9-14 and the White Sox being 9-15.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-115).

The Over has hit in back-to-back games of this series. Chicago is 4-1 to the Over in its last 5 games while Minnesota 5-3-1 to the Over in its last 9 games. The Over is 5-2 in the last 7 Chicago-Minnesota meetings.

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