Minnesota Twins betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets – Page 3

Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (34-21) and Minnesota Twins (29-24) play the 2nd game a 4-game set at Target Field Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 3-1

The Royals lost the series opener 6-5 as +154 underdogs Monday as the Over (8) hit. Kansas City has lost back-to-back games for the 1st time since a 2-game skid May 4-5.

The Twins have won 5 of their last 6 games. 3B José Miranda and LF Trevor Larnach both homered in the series opener for Minnesota, which cashed as a -168 favorite.

Royals at Twins projected starters

LHP Cole Ragans vs. RHP Simeon Woods Richardson

Ragans (4-3, 3.34 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 62 IP.

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 3 BB, 12 K in 8-3 home victory vs. Detroit Tigers Wednesday
2024 road stats: 1-1, 2.84 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.99 WHIP in 4 starts
2024 vs. Twins: 0-1, 3.00 ERA (6 IP, 2 ER), 5 H, 3 BB, 9 K in 1 start, a 4-1 home loss Opening Day
Career vs. Twins: 0-1, 2.70 ERA (10 IP, 3 ER), 1.50 WHIP in 2 starts

Woods Richardson (1-0, 2.57 ERA) makes his 8th start. The rookie has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 35 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 3-2 win at Washington Nationals Wednesday
2024 home stats: 0-0, 1.64 ERA (11 IP, 2 ER), 0.91 WHIP in 2 starts
Has never faced Royals before

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Royals at Twins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:09 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Royals -126 (bet $126 to win $100) | Twins +108 (bet $100 to win $108)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals -1.5 (+130) | Twins +1.5 (-156)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Royals at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 3, Twins 2

Moneyline

It’s unlikely that the ROYALS (-126) will lose 3 straight games for the 1st time since April 27-29. Ragans is on a 13-inning scoreless streak over his last 2 outings and shouldn’t lose to Minnesota twice in a season.

Woods Richardson has been consistent for Minnesota, allowing 2 or fewer runs in 6 of his 7 starts, but has only pitched more than 5 1/3 innings twice this season.

Kansas City and Minnesota are 6th and 13th, respectively, in runs per game, according to Teamrankings.com. The better offense has the advantage at starting pitcher and will likely bounce back after 2 straight losses.

BET ROYALS (-126).

Run line/Against the spread

Runs may be hard to come by with Ragans and Woods Richardson on the mound. Minnesota +1.5 (-156) is more likely to hit on the run line, but I wouldn’t recommend backing the Twins in any capacity against Ragans in this spot.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

The Under is 3-1-1 in Minnesota’s last 5 games, and Woods Richardson has allowed a total of just 1 run over his last 2 starts. Ragans on the mound for Kansas City also makes me lean Under, but the risk here is that the Royals have scored 7 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 games.

LEAN UNDER 8 (-122).

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Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (34-20) and Minnesota Twins (28-24) open a 4-game series Monday at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 2-1

The Royals suffered a 4-1 loss Sunday at the Tampa Bay Rays, snapping an 8-game winning streak. It was the first time since April 28 that Kansas City was limited to less than 2 runs in a single game.

Despite the loss, Kansas City is still averaging 6.8 runs per game (RPG) in the past 9 outings, which is well above the team’s already impressive 4.9 RPG season average, which ranks 6th in the majors. The Royals are 8th in the majors in both batting average (.252) and OPS (.726), according to Covers.com.

The Twins were also on the short end Sunday, falling 6-2 to the Texas Rangers at Target Field. That snapped a 4-game win streak. The Twins are averaging 4.8 RPG in the past 5 outings, while allowing just 2.6 RPG. The Under is on a 3-0-1 run in the past 4 games for Minnesota.

These teams haven’t met since the first series of the season March 28-31 in Kansas City, with Minnesota winning 2 of 3. The favorite is 2-1 in 3 meetings, with the Under going 2-1, too.

Royals at Twins projected starters

RHP Alec Marsh vs. RHP Joe Ryan

Marsh (4-1, 2.72 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 43 innings.

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 10-3 home victory vs. Detroit Tigers Tuesday
2024 road splits: 2-1, 2.82 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 0.94 WHIP, .193 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 3 HR, 5 BB, 21 K across 4 starts

Ryan (3-3, 3.15 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 60 innings.

Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 10-0 win at Washington Nationals Tuesday
2024 home splits: 1-3, 5.02 ERA (28 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.05 WHIP, .234 OBA, 4 BB, 31 K in 5 starts

Royals at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:45 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Royals +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Twins -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-140) | Twins -1.5 (+115)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Royals at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 4, Twins 3

Moneyline

The ROYALS (+145) are a solid play on the road behind Marsh, who has posted some outstanding numbers away from Kauffman Stadium.

The Twins (-175) have been playing well lately, taking 2 of 3 games from the defending champ Rangers, as well as the final 2 games in Washington. However, Minnesota is 0-6 in the past 6 games against winning teams.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little more on the conservative side and can’t play the moneyline, consider ROYALS +1.5 (-140) on the run line as underdogs if you require a little bit of insurance.

The Twins won 2 of 3 in the 1st series of the season against the Royals, but a lot has changed since then. Minnesota can’t beat teams with a winning record, while the Kansas City offense has been on fire.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (–105) is worth playing lightly in this day game, but go with a half-unit play at best.

Ryan has struggled at home, but he has managed a solid 3.77 ERA in 28 2/3 innings across 5 daytime starts.

Marsh has allowed just 7 ER in 22 1/3 innings on the road this season, limiting the opposition to a .193 average in their own parks. This one has the chance to be an underrated pitcher’s duel.

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Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (28-23) welcome the Texas Rangers (24-29) to Target Field Sunday. First pitch in the finale of the 3-game series is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 2-0

The Twins beat the Rangers 3-2 Friday and 5-3 Saturday, closing as -158 and -141 favorites, respectively. They are 2-0 straight up but 1-1 against the spread (ATS) in the series. Minnesota is on a 4-game winning streak, which is piggybacking off 7 consecutive losses. It is 24-27 ATS on the season.

The Rangers still sit 2nd in the AL West but have lost 6 straight games. They have failed to cover in 5 of those 6, closing as underdogs in all but 1. Texas is 20-33 ATS on the season. It has struggled on the road and is just 12-16 on the season.

Rangers at Twins projected starters

TBD vs. RHP Pablo Lopez

The Rangers have not announced a starting pitcher. RHP Gerson Garabito was added to the taxi squad Saturday and could potentially make his MLB debut.

2024 stats with Triple-A Round Rock: 1-2, 2.05 ERA (26 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 0.91 WHIP in 4 starts and 2 relief appearances
2024 road stats with Triple-A Round Rock: 1-1, 1.50 ERA (12 IP, 2 ER), 0.92 WHIP in 2 starts and 1 relief appearance

Lopez (4-4, 4.72 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 55 1/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 7 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 12-3 road loss to the Washington Nationals Monday
2024 home splits: 2-2, 3.49 ERA (28 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 29 H, 2 HR, 4 BB, 29 K in 5 starts
Career vs. Rangers: 0-1, 9.00 ERA (10 IP, 10 ER), 1.90 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 2 starts

Rangers at Twins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:22 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Rangers +146 (bet $100 to win $146) | Twins -174 (bet $174 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-152) | Twins -1.5 (+126)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Rangers at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 4, Twins 2

Moneyline

BET RANGERS (+146).

Lopez has given up at least 3 earned runs in 6 of his 10 starts this season, and the Twins are 5-5 straight up in games he has started. While the Twins are a streaky side, they have 3 sweeps this season and 2 of those were against the Chicago White Sox.

In 8 of the Twins’ last 11 games, they have scored 3 or fewer runs. With the Rangers 15-13 straight up following a loss, expect them to show some resilience Sunday. Back RANGERS (+146).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

As run-line underdogs, the Rangers are just too expensive here and should be able to come out on top or lose by fewer than 2 runs. The Twins are 4-6 ATS in their 10 games with Lopez on the mound, making their value not great either.

Skip a run-line play.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8 (-110).

Both teams are heavily trending towards fewer runs. The Rangers are 1-6 O/U in their last 7 games and 22-31 O/U on the season. Texas has scored 3 or fewer in 6 of those 7 games as well. The Twins are 23-27-1 O/U on the season and 3-9 O/U in their last 12 games, having gone Under in 3 straight.

Both games in the series went Under. The first game ended with 5 runs and the second with 8. Expect another low-scoring battle, and play UNDER 8.5 (-110).

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Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Texas Rangers (24-27) and Minnesota Twins (26-23) open a 3-game weekend series Friday. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Minnesota won 5-2 in 2023

The Rangers enter the series having lost 4 straight and 10 of their last 12. Texas failed to cash as a (+180) underdog with a 5-2 loss at the Philadelphia Phillies Thursday. LHP Andrew Heaney took the loss, and dating back to 2023, the 32-year-old is winless in 16 straight regular-season appearances.

The Twins just won 2 at the Washington Nationals after enduring a 7-game losing streak. Minnesota cashed as a (-120) favorite in a 3-2 win Wednesday as SS Carlos Correa and RF Max Kepler both homered.

Rangers at Twins projected starters

RHP Jose Urena vs. RHP Bailey Ober

Urena (1-3, 3.29 ERA) makes his 4th start and 14th appearance. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 in 38 1/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 3-2 home win vs. Los Angeles Angels Saturday
His K/9 is 2nd-lowest among 75 AL pitchers with at least 30 IP

Ober (4-2, 4.40 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 47 innings.

Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 11-4 loss at Cleveland Guardians Saturday
Among 75 qualified AL pitchers, only Astros RHP Justin Verlander has a higher fly-ball percentage (56.7%) than Ober (52.0%)

Rangers at Twins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:27 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Rangers +136 (bet $100 to win $136) | Twins -162 (bet $162 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-154) | Twins -1.5 (+128)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)

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Rangers at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 5, Twins 4

Moneyline

BET RANGERS (+136).

Ober got roughed up in his start vs. Texas last season, allowing 5 ER (2 HR) in 4 innings. This year, the 6-foot-9 28-year-old allows the most hard contact (40.3 hard %) vs. right-handed hitters out of 60 AL pitchers with at least 20 IP.

The mountainous Ober now gets to face a Rangers team that hits the ball harder vs. RHP (33.5 hard %) than any other team in the AL. Expect righties like RF Adolis Garcia and 2B Marcus Semien to take advantage, plus SS Corey Seager should feel refreshed after getting a day off Thursday.

Run line/Against the spread

Consider including Rangers +1.5 (-154) in a parlay.

The Rangers +1.5 (-154) and Baltimore Orioles (-275 at Chicago White Sox, 7:40 p.m. ET), who have AL Cy Young contender RHP Corbin Burnes taking the mound, pays out +125.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-122).

Urena has a 4.86 road ERA in over 400 career innings, and this year the Twins aren’t far behind the Rangers in hard hit percentage vs. righties (4th-best in AL at 32.2%). Plus, the 32-year-old has seen his pitches hit the strike zone at a 37.1% clip, good for 4th-lowest in the AL.

If the Twins hitters can stay patient and get on base, they could certainly take advantage of Urena and a Rangers pen that enters Friday with an MLB-worst 5.14 ERA.

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Minnesota Twins at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Minnesota Twins at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (24-22) and Washington Nationals (20-25) open a 3-game series Monday. First pitch from Nationals Park is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Nationals won 2-1 last season

The Twins have lost 6 games in a row after falling 5-2 against Cleveland Sunday and failing to cash as +103 road underdogs. RHP Jhoan Duran allowed a walk-off 3-run home run to pick up the loss.

Washington has lost 5 games in a row after falling 11-5 against the Phillies Sunday and failing to cash as a +196 road underdog. RF Eddie Rosario led the way on offense with 2 RBIs. RHP Jacob Barnes allowed 2 ER in 1/3 innings and picked up the loss.

Twins at Nationals projected starters

RHP Pablo Lopez vs. LHP Mitchell Parker

Lopez (4-3, 3.93 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 1.43 BB/9 and 10.37 K/9 in 50 1/3 innings.

Twins are 5-4 in his starts, including 4-1 in his last 5
Has allowed 1 ER or fewer in 2 of his last 3 starts
Has allowed 22 ER and 7 HR this season while striking out 58 and walking 8

Parker (2-2, 3.09 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 1.97 BB/9 and 7.03 K/9 in 32 innings.

Nationals are 3-3 in his starts, including 0-3 in his last 3
Has allowed 3 or more ER in 2 of his last 3 starts
Has allowed 11 ER and 3 HR while striking out 25 and walking 7

Twins at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:05 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Twins -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Nationals +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+100) | Nationals +1.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Twins at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 4, Nationals 2

Moneyline

PASS.

The run line presents a better opportunity for profit on the Twins (-165).

Run line/Against the spread

BET TWINS -1.5 (+100).

While the Twins have struggled recently, they took a lead into the 9th inning Sunday against the Guardians and face a Washington squad that is just 2-8 in its last 10 games. In 5 of their last 7 losses, including 4 of their last 5, the Nationals have lost by 2 or more runs. They have scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 8 while allowing 4 or more in 4 of their last 5.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (+100).

Both offenses have seemingly stalled as of late with the Twins hitting the Under in 7 of their last 10 and the Nationals failing to hit the Over in 7 of their last 10. With 2 pitchers taking the mound who have demonstrated solid control and limited runners, both teams will face troubles getting runners across the plate.

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Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (28-17) welcome the Minnesota Twins (24-20) to Progressive Field Saturday. First pitch in the 2nd game of the 3-game series is set for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 1-0

The Guardians won the first game of the series 3-2, closing as -125 favorites. They failed to cover as run-line favorites, but they are still 3-2 against the spread (ATS) over their last 5 games. Cleveland is the 3rd-best team in MLB at home with a 13-6 record.

The Twins have struggled as of late, losing 4 straight games and going 1-3 ATS in that stretch. They were swept by the New York Yankees in their last series but were 5-2 over the 2 series prior. Minnesota is 13-9 on the road.

Twins at Guardians projected starters

RHP Bailey Ober vs. LHP Logan Allen

Ober (4-1, 3.77 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 0.88 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 43 innings.

Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 5-1 road win over Toronto Blue Jays May 11
2024 road splits: 3-1, 4.67 ERA (27 IP, 14 ER), 22 H, 4 HR, 4 BB, 25 K in 5 starts
Career vs. Guardians: 1-1, 1.29 ERA (28 IP, 4 ER), 0.75 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 in 5 starts

Allen (4-2, 5.56 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 45 1/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 7-0 road win over Chicago White Sox Sunday
2024 home splits: 1-0, 9.87 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 19 ER), 25 H, 6 HR, 8 BB, 14 K in 4 starts
Career vs. Twins: 1-0, 3.09 ERA (11 /23 IP, 4 ER), 1.54 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 in 2 starts

Twins at Guardians odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Twins -118 (bet $118 to win $100) | Guardians +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Twins -1.5 (+146) | Guardians +1.5 (-178)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +102 | U: -124)

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Twins at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 4, Guardians 3

Moneyline

BET TWINS (-118).

The Twins have been a strong side with Ober on the mound, and the opposite can be said of Allen. In Allen’s last 3 starts, the Guardians have given up 19 runs and gone 1-2. Ober has allowed 2 or fewer ER in 6 of his last 7 starts.

Minnesota is 17-10 straight up as a favorite and did have a 12-game win streak earlier in the season. With a strong starting option on the mound and success as a favorite, back TWINS (-118).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s just no value on the run line here. The Twins are too risky as favorites, while the Guardians are far too expensive as run-line underdogs.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-124).

The Twins have gone Under in 5 straight games and struggled immensely on offense, scoring 2 or fewer in 4 straight. Allen’s recent issues could aid Minnesota, but it still hasn’t batted well as of late.

The Guardians have gone Under in 5 of their last 6 games. They are 4-8 O/U in their last 12 games. Given those recent trends, bet UNDER 7.5 (-124).

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Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (24-19) and Cleveland Guardians (27-17) open a 3-game series at Progressive Field on Friday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 2-0

The Twins were blanked in the final 2 outings in a 3-game sweep against the New York Yankees at Target Field. And in the first game, Minnesota lost 5-1 on Tuesday night. The Under has cashed in 4 straight games, although the total has gone high in 5 of the past 6 outings against AL Central teams.

The Guardians were blanked 4-0 against the Texas Rangers Wednesday in the series finale, but Cleveland won the 1st 2 games by a combined score of 14-4, with a shutout in Monday’s game. In fact, Cleveland has allowed 4 or fewer runs in 5 consecutive games. The Under is 4-1 in the past 5 contests for the Guardians.

Twins at Guardians projected starters

RHP Simeon Woods Richardson vs. RHP Triston McKenzie

Woods Richardson (1-0, 3.24 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 25 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 8 H (2 HR), 1 BB, 2 K in 10-8 road loss vs. Toronto Blue Jays last Saturday
2024 vs. AL Central: (1-0, 2.45 ERA), 14 2/3 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 16 H, 4 BB, 13 K in 3 starts

McKenzie (2-3, 3.54 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 5.3 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 40 2/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 2 R (1 ER), 4 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 3-1 road loss vs. Chicago White Sox May 11
2024 home splits: (2-1, 3.42 ERA), 23 2/3 IP, 10 R (9 ER), 19 H, 18 BB, 22 K in 5 starts

Twins at Guardians odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:01 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Twins +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Guardians -118 (bet $118 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+158) | Guardians +1.5 (-192)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Twins at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Twins 3

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-118) are worth playing in the series opener Friday at Progressive Field.

Cleveland has won 3 of the past 4 games, including a pair of shutouts. The Guardians topped the Twins (+100) in a pair of home games April 4-6.

Run line/Against the spread

The Guardians +1.5 (-192) are too expensive to play on the run line, so PASS, if you normally like a little insurance.

On the flip side, the Twins -1.5 (+158) also cannot be trusted. Remember, this is a Minnesota team which lost 3 in a row against the Yankees earlier this week, accounting for just a single run in 3 outings.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-115) is the play in this AL Central Division battle between 2 rivals.

The Under has cashed in 4 of the past 5 games for Cleveland, and the winning team has ended up shutting out the opposition 3 times during the span.

For the Twins, the total has gone low in 4 straight games. But be careful, as the Over cashed May 11, the last time out for Woods Richardson in a loss to the Blue Jays.

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New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (29-15) and Minnesota Twins (24-18) clash in a Thursday matinee, as they close out a 3-game set in Minneapolis. First pitch at Target Field is slated for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 2-0

New York won Wednesday’s game 4-0 and has outscored Minnesota 9-1 over the first 2 games of the series. The Yankees are 9-2 with a 2.69 ERA since May 3.

The Twins lost 5 straight games from April 14-19, but until this series they had been a robust 17-3 since.

Yankees at Twins projected starters

RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. RHP Joe Ryan

Schmidt (4-1, 2.95 ERA) is making his 9th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through 42 2/3 innings.

Last outing: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 2-0 victory at Tampa Bay Rays Friday
Career vs. Twins: 0-0, 7.71 ERA (4 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K
Owns a 2.08 ERA, 0.98 WHIP over his last 3 starts

Ryan (2-2, 3.21 ERA) is making his 9th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 47 2/3 innings.

Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 3-2 win at Toronto Blue Jays Friday
Career vs. Yankees: 2-1, 3.00 ERA (18 IP, 6 ER), 13 H, 4 BB, 20 K
Has not walked more-than-1 batter in any start

Yankees at Twins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:53 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Yankees -102 (bet $102 to win $100) | Twins -116 (bet $116 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+150) | Twins +1.5 (-184)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Yankees at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 6, Yankees 4

Moneyline

Even with the twin losses this week, Minnesota is 9-4 over its last 13 games at home. The Yanks are 3-5 in their last 8 getaway games. Look for a bounce off what has been a lackluster series so far for the host Twins.

The Yankees have had an easy strength of schedule when it comes to pitching faced thus far, so downgrade New York’s offensive numbers a tad. Schmidt has been quite good, but his surface numbers are certainly tamped down by a .105 batting average on balls in play with runners in scoring position.

The New York bullpen owns the league’s 2nd-best ERA (2.58), but that surface number does not hold up to scrutiny. Yankee relievers have been buoyed by a .244 BABIP, and their 3.5 BB/9 makes for too much traffic on the bags with a normalized hit rate.

TAKE MINNESOTA (-116).

Run line/Against the spread

This contest has an Over lean, and taking the Twins plus a cushion does not mix in more value. PASS.

Over/Under

Prior to this week, the Over had cashed in 9 of New York’s last 13 games at Target Field.

The Yanks’ offense is at its best against right-handers, and there is a bit of risk on the Ryan side of the mound matchup as he is coming off a season-high 104 pitches in his last outing.

A double-digit outward-blowing breeze is in the forecast, and both starters are fly-ball pitchers. The total here has climbed overnight and may be headed northward still.

TAKE OVER 8.5 (+100).

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New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (28-15) and Minnesota Twins (24-17) battle Wednesday, as they continue a 3-game set in Minneapolis. First pitch at Target Field is slated for 7:40 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 1-0

New York took Tuesday’s series opener 5-1. Since May 3, the Yankees are 9-2 with a plus-22 run differential.

The Twins won 12 in a row from April 22-May 4. They are 5-4 since, but Minnesota pitching has faltered a bit over that recent stretch. The Twins own a 4.72 ERA over those last 9 games.

Yankees at Twins projected starters

RHP Marcus Stroman vs. RHP Pablo Lopez

Stroman (2-2, 3.80 ERA) is making his 9th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 42 2/3 IP.

Last outing: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 4-3 loss vs. Houston Astros Thursday
Career vs. Twins: 1-4, 5.82 ERA (34 IP, 22 ER), 42 H, 8 BB, 22 K

Lopez (4-2, 3.89 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has authored a 0.98 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 in 44 IP.

Last outing: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 11-1 win vs. Seattle Mariners Thursday
Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 2.25 ERA (12 IP, 3 ER), 14 H, 2 BB, 11 K

Yankees at Twins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:03 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Yankees -104 (bet $104 to win $100) | Twins -112 (bet $100 to win $112)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+158) | Twins +1.5 (-192)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Yankees at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Yankees 4

Moneyline

Minnesota is 9-3 over its last 12 games at home.

The Yankees have had an easy strength of schedule when it comes to pitching faced thus far, so downgrade New York’s offensive numbers a tad.

Stroman has been issuing too many bases on balls and is the lesser side of this starter matchup. Over his last 4 starts, he has registered a 5.31 ERA while allowing a .967 OPS. And he’s backed by a Yankee bullpen that has shown some warts of late. That New York relief corps owns the league’s 2nd-best ERA (2.63), but that surface number does not hold up to scrutiny. Yankee relievers have been buoyed by a .243 batting average on balls in play, and their 3.6 BB/9 makes for too many base runners.

The Twins haven’t lost 2 in a row at home since April 8-9.

TAKE MINNESOTA (-112).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: Better relative value can be found in the less-juice-drowned ML prices.

Over/Under

Stroman and the Yankee pen play into an Over lean, and the Over has cashed in 10 of New York’s last 14 games at Target Field.

The Yanks’ offense is at its best against right-handers, and both lineups have solid match-up histories against the listed starters.

TAKE THE OVER 8 (-108).

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New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (27-15) and Minnesota Twins (24-16) clash in a Tuesday showdown, as they open a 3-game set in Minneapolis. First pitch at Target Field is slated for 7:40 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: 1st meeting; Minnesota took the 2023 series 4-3

New York is continuing a road trip that opened over the weekend in Florida where the Yankees took 2 of 3 from the Tampa Bay Rays. The Yanks are 7-2 over their last 9 games.

The Twins were at the Toronto Blue Jays over the weekend. They took 2 of 3 from Toronto and are 4-1 across their last 5.

Yankees at Twins projected starters

LHP Carlos Rodon vs. RHP Chris Paddack

Rodon (3-2, 3.56 ERA) is lined up for his 9th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 43 IP.

Last outing: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 9-4 win vs. Houston Astros Wednesday
Career vs. Twins: 6-3, 4.62 ERA (64 1/3 IP, 33 ER), 63 H, 28 BB, 73 K in 12 games (11 starts)

Paddack (4-1, 4.34 ERA) is tabbed for his 8th start. He owns a 1.50 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 37 1/3 IP.

Last outing: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 6-3 win vs. Seattle Mariners Wednesday
Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 7.20 ERA (5 IP, 4 ER), 6 H, 1 BB, 6 K
Has a 1.93 ERA while yielding a .619 OPS over his last 4 starts

Yankees at Twins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9:31 p.m. ET.

Moneyline: Yankees -136 (bet $136 to win $100) | Twins +116 (bet $100 to win $116)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+116) | Twins +1.5 (-140)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Yankees at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Yankees 4

Moneyline

Since April 22, the Twins are 9-2 at home.

Paddack is on a nice roll, and Rodon’s ERA figures as one fortunately tamped down by some generous rates around the margins. And over those last 11 games at home, Minnesota has bludgeoned foes by a combined score of 61-37.

Rodon has often struggled in road games, where he has logged a 4.73 ERA since 2022.

BACK THE TWINS (+116).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: Better value can be found on the ML.

Over/Under

The Over has cashed in 7 of the last 9 New-York Minnesota games at Target Field. The Over is 6-2 in New York’s last 8 games.

The Yankee bullpen throws fade into the pitching mix in this game. Its tidy 2.69 surface ERA is heavily influenced by a .246 batting average on balls in play.

On a slim-to-moderate lean, BACK THE OVER 8.5 (+100).

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