Middle Tennessee Beats Toledo 31-24: Bahamas Bowl 5 Thoughts, Instant Reaction

5 Thoughts and Instant Reaction to Middle Tennessee’s Bahamas Bowl win over Toledo.

Middle Tennessee vs Toledo. 5 thoughts and instant reaction after the 31-24 win by the Blue Raiders in the Bahamas Bowl.


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Middle Tennessee vs Toledo: Bahamas Bowl

5. Middle Tennessee went for it. Toledo didn’t.

Toledo played a strange game. It sort of went conservative when it shouldn’t have, and it sort of kept pushing when it shouldn’t have, and Middle Tennessee thanked the Rocket coaching staff and left with a win.

The Rockets needed to keep moving the chains, the running game was great – more on that in a moment – and they didn’t push it too much as they went for field goals – missing a few of them – and not trying to capture the momentum to take over the game.

Middle Tennessee didn’t do anything crazy, but it kept bringing the defensive pressure, took advantage of the opportunities that were there, and got the win.

It helped the cause that …

4. Toledo stopped running the ball

Bryant Koback was ripping through the Blue Raiders.

The Toledo back ran for 126 yards and averaged seven yards per carry, but he only had 18 carries. QB Dequan Finn was running well when he got his chances. The ground attack overall averaged 7.3 yards per carry, and yet the offense stopped going with what worked.

Toledo finished with just 32 carries, Finn completed just 18-of-39 passes, and it all played right into Middle Tennessee’s defensive strengths.

Toledo needed to keep running and running and running, and it didn’t, and it lost control of your 2021 Bahamas Bowl.

3. Middle Tennessee got it done without having to be Middle Tennessee

Toledo came into this as the most penalized team in the country, and it didn’t disappoint with 12 for 119 yards – including a big one early that led to a touchdown.

Middle Tennessee came into this as the best team in the country at taking the ball away, but it only got one, it came late, and it didn’t really need it.

The Blue Raiders were able to win with ball control, timely plays, and again, with an aggressive nature that Toledo didn’t have.


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2. Toledo just never found its footing

Toledo piled up a good 7-5 record with wins over a whole slew of bad teams, but it also pushed Notre Dame. It rocked a flaky Western Michigan squad, and it managed to go 4-1 over the final stretch to overcome a disappointing season – this was a MAC Championship-caliber team on talent – with a shot at ending with something strong.

Instead, the passing game didn’t work until late, the double-digit favorite lost, and it’s a fourth straight bowl loss for head coach Jason Candle.

The team is loaded for next year, but the pressure is on. Toledo should be – and should’ve been – must stronger than this Bahamas Bowl loss.

1. Middle Tennessee has its quarterback … maybe

Chase Cunningham was the star of the Blue Raiders before suffering a knee injury with four games left, and freshman Nick Vattiato burned his redshirt year to carry the team down the stretch.

He doesn’t run, he’s not big, and he had interception issues, but he didn’t throw any picks, he went for 270 yards and two touchdowns – including the game-sealer – and he left the running to Mike DiLello, who stepped in and ran for 44 yards and a score – but threw an interception.

Middle Tennessee finishes at 7-6 with a great finish after a 2-4 start to the season. After two straight losing seasons, it was a great way to close things out for a program with a big upside for 2022.

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Toledo vs Middle Tennessee: Bahamas Bowl Prediction, Game Preview

Bahamas Bowl: Toledo vs Middle Tennessee prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might or might not win.

Toledo vs Middle Tennessee: Bahamas Bowl prediction, game preview, how to watch 


Toledo vs Middle Tennessee: Bahamas Bowl How To Watch

Date: Friday, December 17
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET
Venue: Thomas A. Robinson National Stadium, Nassau, Bahamas
Network: ESPN, Live stream on ESPN+
Records: Middle Tennessee (6-6), Toledo (7-5)
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Toledo vs Middle Tennessee Bahamas Bowl Preview

It wasn’t the season Toledo was hoping for. It came into the year with enough talent to win the MAC Championship, but after a rough start it got hot late with three straight wins to close things out thanks to the league’s best defense and an offense that scored 49 points in three of its last four games.

A strange team, Toledo got flagged more than anyone in America, but it made up for the mistakes by leading the nation with the fewest turnovers. The small things mattered – four of the five losses were by three points or fewer. Now the team that gave the ball up less than anyone faces the team that led the nation in takeaways.

Middle Tennessee sputtered early, but turned things around in the middle of the season. Just as it looked like it was about to make a move, it lost star QB Chase Cunningham for the season before the final month.

The Blue Raider offense picked it up with a decent balance, the defense kept taking the ball away, and the two wins in the final three games – including a clutch performance at Florida Atlantic to get bowl eligible – were enough to get here.

Why Toledo, Middle Tennessee Will Win
Prediction, What’s Going To Happen, History

NEXT: Why Toledo Will Win, Why Middle Tennessee Will Win, Bahamas Bowl Prediction

Florida Atlantic vs Middle Tennessee Prediction, Game Preview

Florida Atlantic vs Middle Tennessee prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might – or might not – win this Saturday.

Florida Atlantic vs Middle Tennessee prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, November 27


Florida Atlantic vs Middle Tennessee How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 27
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: FAU Stadium, Boca Raton, FL
How To Watch: Stadium
Record: Florida Atlantic (5-6), Middle Tennessee (5-6)
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Florida Atlantic vs Middle Tennessee Game Preview


Why Middle Tennessee Will Win

It’s just this simple. Take the ball away and – usually – win, don’t take the ball away and lose.

Duh – that’s life for a whole lot of teams, but turnovers mean something extra for Middle Tennessee.

The Blue Raiders continue to lead the nation in takeaways, coming up with 29 on the year with five in the win over Southern Miss, four against FIU, and 21 in the last seven games.

The loss to Liberty was the only time since September that they didn’t win after generating a takeaway.

On the other side, Florida Atlantic’s offense has stalled. It hasn’t totally collapsed, but it’s struggling to score – it hasn’t pushed past 17 in any of the last three games – and …

College Football Expert Picks, CFN Week 13

Why Florida Atlantic Will Win

Florida Atlantic doesn’t really have a turnover issue.

It has big problems in a whole slew of areas, but it’s been able to control the turnover margin. Even when it gives the ball away – like it has over the last few games – with five turnovers in the last two – the defense makes up for it.

The Owls haven’t been in the negative turnover margin since early October.

Not, the offense hasn’t been great, but the Middle Tennessee attack hasn’t been consistent enough.

At home, as long as the FAU running game can get in control of the game, everything else should work.

The Owls are 4-1 in Boca Raton with the only loss coming to Marshall.

NFL Expert Picks, CFN Week 12

What’s Going To Happen

So it’s an interesting situation.

Both teams are 5-6, but there probably won’t be enough bowl eligible teams. If that’s the case, the schools with five-win football teams get in based on the Academic Progress Rate, and Middle Tennessee should be right there in the mix.

So if Florida Atlantic wins, both teams will likely go bowling. If Middle Tennessee wins, FAU will be out.

Middle Tennessee’s offense will stall just enough on the road – it’s not quite the same against good teams without starter Chase Cunningham – and the Owls will own home once again.

College Football Schedule: Week 13 Predictions, Lines

Florida Atlantic vs Middle Tennessee Prediction, Lines

Florida Atlantic 24, Middle Tennessee 20
Line: Florida Atlantic -3.5, o/u: 50
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1

Must See Rating: 3

5: The Times and Life of Shawn Carter: Official Video of JAY-Z’s 2021 Rock Hall Induction
1: “Why don’t we have Thanksgiving food the rest of the year?”

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Old Dominion vs Middle Tennessee Prediction, Game Preview

Old Dominion vs Middle Tennessee prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might – or might not – win this Saturday.

Old Dominion vs Middle Tennessee prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, November 20


Old Dominion vs Middle Tennessee How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 20
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, TN
How To Watch: ESPN+
Record: Old Dominion (4-6), Middle Tennessee (5-5)
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Old Dominion vs Middle Tennessee Game Preview


Why Old Dominion Will Win

Who’s the hottest team in Conference USA?

It’s WKU and UTSA, but all of a sudden, Old Dominion has become a player with three straight wins with a stunner over Florida Atlantic. Now the team can get bowl eligible with wins over Middle Tennessee this week and Charlotte to close.

What is it doing right? The passing game has improved, the defense has been solid, and to be obvious, the schedule has been easier. FAU was a great win, but all six of the losses were supposed to happen.

Middle Tennessee kicked its own offense back in against a miserable FIU team, but the O is struggling to get to 300 yards on a consistent basis. However …

College Football Expert Picks, CFN Week 12

Why Middle Tennessee Will Win

After taking a week off in the blowout loss to WKU, the defense cranked up the turnover train again.

The best in the nation in takeaways, the D forced four FIU turnovers last week and came up with 21 in the the last six games – and that’s without coming up with any against WKU.

Old Dominion is doing a whole lot of things right, but it also turns the ball over on a consistent basis with two or more in each of the last seven games. It’s going to give it up at least twice in this and …

NFL Expert Picks: CFN Week 11

What’s Going To Happen

Middle Tennessee QB Nicholas Vattiato appears to have settled in. In place of injured starter Chase Cunningham, Vattiato completed 20-of-24 passes for 147 yards and two scores against FIU – and with no picks.

He gave up five interceptions in the loss to WKU, but Old Dominion doesn’t take the ball away. As long as the Blue Raider running game can work a wee bit against the solid Monarch defensive front, and as long as there aren’t any forced throws, the D should be able to take care of the rest to get the team bowl eligible.

College Football Schedule: Week 12 Predictions, Lines

Old Dominion vs Middle Tennessee Prediction, Lines

Middle Tennessee 26, Old Dominion 20
Line: Middle Tennessee -4, o/u: 50
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2.5

Must See Rating: 2.5

5: Tummyache Soak
1: Adele 30

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FIU vs Middle Tennessee Prediction, Game Preview

FIU vs Middle Tennessee prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might – or might not – win this Saturday.

FIU vs Middle Tennessee prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, November 13


FIU vs Middle Tennessee How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 13
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, TN
How To Watch: ESPN3
Record: FIU (1-8), Middle Tennessee (4-5)
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FIU vs Middle Tennessee Game Preview


Why FIU Will Win

The offense continues to be fun.

It’s not consistent, and it doesn’t move the chains well enough, but there’s a passing game Middle Tennessee has to worry about. The Golden Panthers have thrown for 260 yards or more in five of the last six games, and they’re about to push for 300 yards because they’ll have to.

They bomb deep – they’re averaging close to 17 yards per throw – and Middle Tennessee doesn’t have the pop with a new quarterback after losing Chase Cunningham a few weeks ago.

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Why Middle Tennessee Will Win

Just win the turnover battle.

The Blue Raiders couldn’t force enough mistakes to matter against WKU in a 48-21 loss, and it was the opposite. They lead the nation with 25 takeaways, but they didn’t come up with any last week and they turned it over seven times.
Fortunately, they’re going against a defense that never, ever takes the ball away – FIU has only come up with six takeaways.

NFL Expert Picks: CFN Week 10

What’s Going To Happen

Can this be when FIU finally gets its first win over an FBS team?

Middle Tennessee has turned the ball over 11 times in the last two games, but the D was able to make up for it in the win over Southern Miss. In this, run, run, run, don’t take any deep shots, and assume the pass defense will come up with enough takeaways to matter.

College Football Schedule: Week 11 Predictions, Lines

FIU vs Middle Tennessee Prediction, Lines

Middle Tennessee 34, FIU 27
Line: Middle Tennessee -10, o/u: 56
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2

Must See Rating: 2

5: House of Gucci
1: Yellowstone

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Middle Tennessee vs WKU Prediction, Game Preview

Middle Tennessee vs WKU prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might – or might not – win this Saturday.

Middle Tennessee vs WKU prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, November 6


Middle Tennessee vs WKU How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 6
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Houchens Industries LT Smith Stadium, Bowling Green, KY
How To Watch: Stadium
Record: Middle Tennessee (4-4), WKU (4-4)
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Middle Tennessee vs WKU Game Preview


Why Middle Tennessee Will Win

The WKU offense is amazing, Middle Tennessee is without its quarterback, and there are several issues with the running game and on the offensive line and …

No. 1 in the nation in turnover margin, No. 1 in the nation in takeaways.

How has the team with so many problems been able to win three of its last four games? Five takeaways against Southern Miss. Three against UConn. Six against Marshall, and 17 in all over the last four games.

The Blue Raider pass defense hasn’t been all that bad, but …

College Football Expert Picks, CFN Week 10

Why WKU Will Win

The Bailey Zappe thing has worked.

The WKU quarterback is hitting 72% of his passes for over 3,400 yards and 33 touchdowns with just six picks for a passing game that hit 365 yards or more in every game.

Meanwhile, the Middle Tennessee success has been great, but beating UConn and Southern Miss isn’t any big deal. Now it’s about to deal with a Hilltopper defense that’s been solid over the last few weeks and now just has to hold serve because …

NFL Expert Picks, CFN Week 9

What’s Going To Happen

Blue Raider starting QB Chase Cunningham is out for the season with a leg injury.

There won’t be a whole lot happening through the air from the Blue Raiders, but likely new starter Mike DeLiello can move. The running game will come up with close to 200 yards, the defense will do its part to come up with a few takeaways, and it’ll be just enough to keep this from getting ugly.

WKU will win, but Middle Tennessee will have its moments.

College Football Schedule: Week 10 Predictions, Lines

Middle Tennessee vs WKU Prediction, Lines

WKU 37, Middle Tennessee 26
Line: WKU -17.5, o/u: 67
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3.5

Must See Rating: 2

5: Belfast
1: Ghostbusters: Afterlife

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Southern Miss at Middle Tennessee Prediction, Game Preview

Southern Miss at Middle Tennessee prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might – or might not – win this Saturday.

Southern Miss at Middle Tennessee prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 30


Southern Miss at Middle Tennessee How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 30
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, TN
How To Watch: ESPN+
Record: Southern Miss (1-6), Middle Tennessee (3-4)
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Southern Miss vs Middle Tennessee Game Preview


Why Southern Miss Will Win

The defense hasn’t been all that bad.

It’s not the rock it needs to be – especially against the run – but it’s not the overall problem. It hasn’t allowed more than 400 yards in six of the seven games – Alabama is the only team to go off – and it should be good enough to keep the Middle Tennessee attack from taking over the game.

The Blue Raiders don’t do much on the ground and the O overall averages 350 yards per game. The Golden Eagle defensive front should make things happen behind the line, but …

College Football Expert Picks, CFN Week 9

Why Middle Tennessee Will Win

Yeah, the Southern Miss offense. It’s a problem.

The running game would be the statistically worst in America by far if it didn’t go off against Grambling. It hasn’t hit 100 yards in any of the last five games, and the passing game isn’t steady enough to pick up the slack.

Southern Miss came up with a grand total of 107 yards of total offense in the loss to UAB two weeks ago.

Middle Tennessee leads the nation in turnover margin, the defensive front will live in the Southern Miss backfield, and …

College Football Schedule, Predictions, Game Previews, Week 9

What’s Going To Happen

It’s not going to take much for the Blue Raiders to take over, and they’ll do it on the ground.

They’d like to be balanced, but the Southern Miss run defense has been a problem over the last month allowing over 200 yards in three of the last four games. It’ll be a third win in the last four games for a surging Middle Tennessee team that stays alive in the chase for a bowl bid.

NFL Expert Picks, CFN Week 8

Southern Miss vs Middle Tennessee Prediction, Lines

Middle Tennessee 30, Southern Miss 16
Line: Middle Tennessee -13.5, o/u: 48
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 2

5: The French Dispatch
1: Finch

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Middle Tennessee vs UConn Prediction, Game Preview

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs UConn Huskies prediction, game preview, how to watch: Friday, October 22

Middle Tennessee vs UConn prediction, game preview, how to watch: Friday, October 22


Middle Tennessee vs UConn How To Watch

Date: Friday, October 22
Game Time: 6:00 ET
Venue: Pratt & Whitney Stadium, East Hartford, CT
How To Watch: CBS Sports Network
Record: Middle Tennessee (2-4), UConn (1-7)
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Middle Tennessee vs UConn Game Preview


Why Middle Tennessee Will Win

The offense is inconsistent, the defense is spotty, and the team is having a hard time coming up with the big offensive plays at the right times, and …

Takeaways, takeaways, takeaways. They keep on coming.

The Blue Raiders lead the nation in turnover margin and are second behind Iowa with 17 takeaways on the year. They generated six in the shocking win over Marshall, and followed it up with three in last week’s blowout loss to Liberty.

UConn doesn’t have a massive turnover issue, but it gave it up three times in the loss to UMass, four times in the loss to Holy Cross, and it’s going to force things to try to stay in the game, but …

Week 8 CFN College Football Expert Picks

Why UConn Will Win

Middle Tennessee isn’t getting good enough players from the lines.

The running game is sputtering – to be kind – the run defense isn’t good enough, and while there’s just enough pressure being generated to force mistakes, the secondary is still getting hit way too hard.

UConn has hardly been ale to crank up the offensive production, but it came brutally close to beating Vanderbilt and Wyoming, lost to UMass mainly because the team had covid issues, and it’s coming off a win over Yale.

The team is finding ways to stay in games, but …

Week 8 College Football Schedule, Predictions, Game Previews

What’s Going To Happen

Middle Tennessee’s offense take over with a little help from the other side.

Give UConn credit. The defense has tightened up in a big way over the last month, but Blue Raider Chase Cunningham isn’t making a whole lot of big mistakes, the passing game should click early on, and the O will take advantage of three UConn turnovers to pull away as the game goes on.

CFN Week 7 NFL Expert Picks

Middle Tennessee vs UConn Prediction, Line

Middle Tennessee 34, UConn 21
Line: Middle Tennessee -15.5, o/u: 56
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2

Must See Rating: 2

5: Succession
1: Dancing with the Stars: Grease Night

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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: CFN College Football Preview 2021

College Football News Preview 2021: Previewing, predicting, and looking ahead to the Middle Tennessee season with what you need to know.

College Football News Preview 2021: Previewing, predicting, and looking ahead to the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders season with what you need to know.


Contact/Follow @ColFootballNews & @PeteFiutak

– What You Need To Know: Offense | Defense
Top Players | Key Players, Games, Stats
What Will Happen, Win Total Prediction
Middle Tennessee Schedule Analysis
– Middle Tennessee Previews
2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015

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2020 Record: 3-6 overall, 2-4 in C-USA
Head Coach: Rick Stockstill, 16th year, 94-92
2020 CFN Final Ranking: 119
2020 CFN Preview Ranking: 102
2019 CFN Final Ranking: 107

Middle Tennessee College Football Preview 2021: Offense

It’s not like the offense didn’t work. The Blue Raider passing game put up numbers – partly because the team was seemingly always behind – but scoring was tough, the running game didn’t do much, and it was a light year for a team that was supposed to be a whole lot more fun. Eight starters are coming back, but the big star is gone. However …

The Middle Tennessee quarterback situation might be better. Asher O’Hara was the do-it-all guy, but he’s off to Sacramento State. Chase Cunningham is a decent veteran, and in comes Bailey Hockman from NC State to potentially add a whole lot more to the passing attack.

The receivers are there to rock. Seven of the top eight receivers are expected to return with 59-catch Jarrin Pierce the top veteran to work around. Now the offense has to find more explosion downfield.

O’Hara led the team in rushing, but the Blue Raiders have the backs to start getting more out of the other guys. Chaton Mobley is a 6-1, 229-pound runner who led the team with 4.6 yards per carry with four rushing scores, and 221-pound Frank Peasant got the other rushing score from the backs.

The offensive line should get four starters back from a group that struggles in pass protection and didn’t do enough to get the ground game going when O’Hara wasn’t taking off. It’s not a huge group, but he’s experienced.

– What You Need To Know: Defense
Top Players | Key Players, Games, Stats
What Will Happen, Win Total Prediction
Middle Tennessee Schedule Analysis

NEXT: Middle Tennessee College Football Preview 2021: Defense

Middle Tennessee Football Schedule 2021, Analysis

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders football schedule. Analysis of the 2021 slate and who they have to play from the other division.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders football schedule. Analysis of the 2021 slate and who they have to play – and who they miss – from the other division.


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Middle Tennessee Football Schedule 2021

2021 Conference USA Football Schedule

Sept. 4 Monmouth

Sept. 11 at Virginia Tech

Sept. 18 at UTSA

Sept. 25 at Charlotte

Oct. 2 Marshall

Oct. 9 at Liberty

Oct. 16 OPEN DATE

Oct. 23 at UConn

Oct. 30 Southern Miss

Nov. 6 at WKU

Nov. 13 FIU

Nov. 20 Old Dominion

Nov. 27 at Florida Atlantic

Dec. 4 Conference USA Championship

Games vs. The West: Southern Miss, at UTSA

Missed Teams From The West: Louisiana Tech, North Texas, Rice, UAB, UTEP

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Football Schedule Analysis: It’s a rough run after getting a warm-up against Monmouth with three straight road games and four in a five-week run.

Making it even worse is that the home game is against Marshall. Making it even worse than that is that two of the road games are at Virginia Tech and Liberty. Making it even worse than that is that after a week off, there’s a trip to UConn, meaning it’s a run of five road games in six dates.

However, three of the following four games are at home. The problem, though, is the road game is at WKU and the regular season finale is at Florida Atlantic – uh oh.

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