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The Miami Marlins (54-48) and the Tampa Bay Rays (62-42) wrap up a 2-game interleague series Wednesday at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Fla. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Rays lead 1-0 after winning 4-1 on Tuesday
The Marlins have struggled mightily lately, dropping 9 of the last 10 games. Miami is averaging just 2.9 runs per game (RPG) across the last 10 outings. The Under has cashed in each of the last 4 games.
The Rays registered the 4-1 win Tuesday, a rare victory lately. Tampa Bay is still just 2-7 in the last 9 games overall, while the Under is 6-1 in the last 7 outings, and 11 of the previous 14 contests.
Tampa Bay has won 8 straight meetings in this series dating back to April 2021. Miami has posted just 13 total runs across the 8-game series losing streak, too. The Rays have been favored in each of the past 8 games in the series, covering the run line in 5 of the outings.
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Marlins at Rays projected starters
RHP Sandy Alcantara vs. RHP Zach Eflin
Alcantara (3-9, 4.70 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 126 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 7 K in a 6-4 road loss vs. the St. Louis Cardinals last Wednesday
- 2023 road splits: 2-5, 4.91 ERA (66 IP, 36 ER – 10 HR), .277 opponent batting average (OBA) in 11 starts
- 2023 daytime splits: 0-5, 4.98 ERA (59 2/3 IP, 33 ER – 6 HR), .254 OBA in 9 starts
Eflin (11-5, 3.36 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 112 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 8 K in a 3-0 home win vs. the Baltimore Orioles Friday
- 2023 home splits: 10-1, 2.10 ERA (68 2/3 IP, 16 ER – 6 HR), .193 OBA in 11 starts
- 2023 daytime splits: 7-3, 3.38 ERA (64 IP, 24 ER – 5 HR), .209 OBA in 11 starts
Marlins at Rays odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:56 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Marlins +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Rays -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-150) | Rays -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Marlins at Rays picks and predictions
Prediction
Rays 5, Marlins 2
Moneyline
The RAYS (-165) are a little on the pricey side, but Tampa Bay is worth the risk. Tampa Bay has won 8 straight meetings in this series, including Tuesday’s series opener. The Rays have rolled up a 37-18 record at home, too, while the Marlins are just 23-28 on the road.
Alcantara has struggled mightily after his 2022 Cy Young campaign, and Eflin has been on another plane this season.
Run line/Against the spread
The RAYS -1.5 (+125) are a solid play on the run line, as Tampa Bay not only has the 8 straight wins, but it has cashed on the run line in 5 of those outings as the favorite.
The Marlins +1.5 (-150) have dropped 5 of the last 6 games by 2 or more runs, and the offense has been a major reason for the struggles. It’s hard to imagine Miami breaking out the lumber against the red-hot Eflin.
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Over/Under
UNDER 7.5 (-115) is the play in this Sunshine State matinee matchup.
Miami has struggled to plate runs lately, totaling just 2.9 RPG over the last 10 outings. For Tampa Bay, Eflin has allowed 3 or fewer runs in 6 of the last 7 starts, totaling 5 quality starts during the span.
The Under is 8-3 in the lpast 11 games overall, and 4-1 in the previous 5 interleague matchups.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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