Miami Marlins at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Marlins at Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins and San Francisco Giants open the season Friday at 4:35 p.m. ET at Oracle Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Last season, the Giants won 4 of the 7 games the teams played with each team scoring 22 runs.

The Marlins faltered in 2021 after a solid 23-25 start. They struggled mightily on offense and went just 42-72 (.368) the rest of the way.

The Giants won a MLB-high 107 games in 2021. At 4.96 runs per game, San Francisco ranked second in the NL in scoring; the Giants ranked second in the league in runs allowed (3.67 per game).

Marlins at Giants: Projected starters

RHP Sandy Alcantara vs. RHP Logan Webb

Alcantara (9-15, 3.19 ERA in 2021) draws the opening day start for Miami. Last season, he posted a 1.07 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9, and 8.8 K/9 across 205 2/3 IP.

  • 2021 walk and strikeout rates were career bests.
  • Current San Francisco bats own a .740 OPS against him.

Webb (11-3, 3.03 ERA in 2021) logged a 1.11 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9, and 9.6 K/9 in 148 1/3 IP last season.

  • Owns a career 3.10 ERA at home (1.96 last season).
  • Scuffled his way to an .829 OPS allowed in April, 2021.

Marlins at Giants odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:32 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Marlins +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Giants -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-180) | Giants -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -102 | U: -125)

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Marlins at Giants prediction and picks

Prediction

Giants 5, Marlins 4

Money line

Alcantara benefited from a .270 batting average on balls in play last season. He’s tougher on righty bats (.631 OPSA career), but San Francisco is a strong club against righties and they figure to post a lot of ABs from the left side.

The Giants have been a very strong club at home the last couple of seasons. They are worth the tag here. TAKE SAN FRANCISCO (-145).

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Run line/Against the spread

AVOID.

Over/Under

With a slight fade of Alcantara riding a batter’s wind that clashes with the park’s pitcher-friendly numbers, tab the OVER 7.5 (-102) with a slight lean.

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Miami Marlins at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Miami Marlins at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins (8-9) and San Francisco Giants (11-7) open a four-game weekend set at Oracle Park with a 9:45 p.m. ET first pitch Thursday. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Daniel Castano is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins. He allowed 1 run in a 5-inning season debut against the Giants April 16. In 7 games as s rookie last season, the lefty logged a 1-2 record, 3.03 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 3.6 K/9 and 3.3 BB/9 over 29 2/3 IP.

RHP Aaron Sanchez is the projected starter for the Giants. He is 0-1 with a 2.45 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 through 14 2/3 IP over 3 starts. Sanchez was a February free-agent signing; he’s returning from shoulder surgery and missed all of 2020. Albeit in small doses, the Marlins own an aggregate .875 OPS against the 7-year Major League veteran.

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Marlins at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Marlins +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Giants -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Marlins +1.5 (-150) | Giants -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Marlins 5, Giants 4

Money line (ML)

The Marlins and Giants meet for a second straight weekend. Miami took 2 of 3 from San Francisco last week in South Florida. The Marlins are 8-9 despite playing a tough slate and are 7-3 over their last 10 games.

The Giants are back at home after an east coast road trip (Miami, Philadelphia). They are 9-4 with a nifty 2.85 team ERA over their last 13 games.

Both teams take to the field after cross-country travel and no off day. The Marlins do so with a better-rested bullpen, and there is a bit play-Miami/fade San Francisco in the early numbers.

BACK THE MARLINS (+125).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The tag on Miami is too steep here: PASS.

Over/Under (O/U)

Peg the ERAs for both starters and both bullpens as being artificially deflated by generous rates around the margins. The Giants have a below-average .711 OPS against lefty pitching, but it’s a number held in check by a .203 batting average on balls in play in the split.

Figure on a near-50% chance of this contest reaching a double-digit total, so there is VALUE ON THE OVER 8.5 (-110).

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