Tag: Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves odds predictions pick betting line spread

Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins (34-46) and Atlanta Braves (40-41) play the second game of a three-game set Saturday at Truist Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins at Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Sandy Alcantara is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins. He is 4-7 with a 3.12 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 in 106 2/3 IP over 17 starts.

Alcantara has dropped his past two decisions over the previous three starts. Although he has allowed just five total earned runs across the past 21 2/3 innings. His last win was against Atlanta June 11 allowing two runs, five hits and two walks with six strikeouts across six innings.

LHP Kyle Muller is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 11.7 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 in 10 IP over 2 starts and 1 relief appearance.

Muller picked up his first major league win last time out allowing just one hit and two walks across five scoreless innings with a career-high nine strikeouts at Cincinnati last Sunday.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Marlins at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Marlins +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Braves -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Marlins +1.5 (-175) | Braves -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Marlins 5, Braves 3

Money line (ML)

The MARLINS (+110) are a decent play as short ‘dogs in this middle game after losing a heartbreaker in the series opener Friday, 1-0. They’re a respectable 5-3 against the Braves (-135) this season including winning three of four at Truist Park April 12-15.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The MARLINS +1.5 (-175) are not super expensive if you aren’t quite feeling them straight up and would like a little insurance. Five of their past nine losses have been by one run.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 9 (-115) is the slight lean in this one. The Under has connected in four of the past five for Miami, and the Under is an impressive 6-1-1 in the past eight overall for Atlanta.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins (34-45) are on the road to begin a three-game series against the rival Atlanta Braves (39-41) Friday with a 7:20 p.m. ET first pitch at Truist Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Marlins RHP Pablo Lopez (4-4, 2.87 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 with just 9 home runs allowed over 91 IP.

  • Rates of hard contact and fly balls are both below the MLB average
  • Won back-to-back starts with a total of 2 ER over 13 IP against the Chicago Cubs and Washington Nationals in last two outings

Braves LHP Drew Smyly (5-3, 4.79 ERA) enters his 14th start with a 1.32 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 over 67 2/3 IP.

  • Went 3-0 over five starts in June with a 2.84 ERA and .675 opponent OPS across 25 1/3 IP
  • Allowed just 2 home runs in those June starts after giving up 13 long balls over his first eight starts of the season

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Marlins at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Marlins +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Braves -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Marlins +1.5 (-190) |  Braves -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Braves 5, Marlins 3

Money line (ML)

The BRAVES (-125) are a good play as they’re much better against right-handed pitching than the Marlins are against lefties.

Atlanta is eighth in MLB with a .746 team OPS against righties and Miami is 28th by the same measure against southpaws. Miami is also in the bottom half of the league by fly-ball and hard-contact rate against lefties, so Smyly’s recent success in keeping the ball in the yard should continue.

Additionally, Lopez’s strong ERA is contrasted by a 3.41 xFIP to suggest he has benefited from a .286 BABIP.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Better value lies with the BRAVES -1.5 (+150) to win by 2 or more runs. The Marlins lead the head-to-head NL East series 5-2 but Friday’s game is a rematch of a June 13 contest in which Smyly prevailed over Lopez in a 6-4 Braves win.

The Marlins’ struggles against lefties is the greatest concern Friday. The Miami bullpen has also pitched to a 4.02 xFIP over the last 14 days which serves as an indication that its 1.56 ERA in that time is ripe for a few extra runs.

Over/Under (O/U)

Take the UNDER 9 (-115) in what should be a quality pitching matchup on both sides.

The Braves’ recent batting numbers are thrown off by a 20-run outburst against the New York Mets two days ago, but they had hit just .191/.275/.343 as a team over their previous 11 games.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @EstenMcLaren on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins (2-6) begin a four-game series with the NL East rival Atlanta Braves (4-5) Monday at Truist Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Sandy Alcantara (0-1) takes the mound for the Marlins in the series opener. Alcantara has looked sharp with two quality starts to begin the season.

He pitched 6 scoreless innings Opening Day against the Tampa Bay Rays, allowing just 2 hits and striking out 7, but he took a no-decision in Miami’s 1-0 loss. He took the loss Tuesday against the St. Louis Cardinals after giving up 2 earned runs and 3 total on 4 hits and 2 walks while striking out 10 in 6 innings pitched.

Last season, Alcantara was 3-2 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.19 WHIP (42 IP, 14 ER, 35 H, 39 K, 15 BB) in 7 starts

RHP Huascar Ynoa (0-0) makes his second start of the season for the Braves. He gave Atlanta 5 scoreless innings at the Washington Nationals Wednesday, giving up only 2 hits with 1 walk and 5 strikeouts, but got a no-decision in Atlanta’s 2-0 win.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Marlins at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Marlins +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Braves -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Marlins +1.5 (-165) | Braves -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Marlins 4, Braves 2

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the MARLINS (+115) for a half-unit.

Miami is considered to be the “sharp” side since, at the time of publishing, close to 90% of the money bet is on the Marlins but nearly half of the bets placed are on the Braves.

Although I’m a bit leary about taking a public road dog against the reigning division champions, the Braves just lost a controversial and intense game against the Philadelphia Phillies last night and have to host a sneaky good and rested Marlins team.

Miami’s game Sunday with the New York Mets was rained out and its relievers are much fresher. Atlanta used four relievers Sunday.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because it’s out of my price range, but I wouldn’t rule out parlaying this with another similarly priced team for a plus-money payout.

Since the beginning of last season, the Marlins +1.5 (-165) have the second-best run line record in the majors as road underdogs at 26-8.

Over/Under (O/U)

TAKE UNDER 8.5 (-115) for 1 unit as the best bet in Marlins-Braves.

Alcantara is a pitcher I’m buying stock in and his numbers against the Braves are solid. He is 0-0 with a 2.41 ERA (18 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 13 K and 9 BB across 3 starts in his career against Atlanta.

The 25-year-old righty has seven straight quality starts and 10 out of 11 including games against the Rays, New York Yankees and Phillies.

Also, Alcantara’s last two outings against Atlanta (in 2019) were quality starts but he earned a no-decision in both.

I expect Alcantara to be sharp on the rubber tonight, Miami is 2-5-1 O/U and the lineup has put up 8 runs over the past five games.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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