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The Miami Marlins (64-62) continue their road series against the San Diego Padres (60-66) on Tuesday with the 2nd game of a 3-game series. First pitch from Petco Park is at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Padres lead 3-1
The Marlins have lost 3 games in a row and 5 of their last 6, dropping the series opener 6-2 on Monday. Miami is in 3rd place in the NL East, 17 games behind the division-leading Atlanta Braves, but just 1 1/2 games back of the final NL Wild Card spot.
The Padres had dropped 3 of 4 games to the visiting Arizona Diamondbacks over the weekend before Monday’s win. They are 5-10 in their last 15 games. San Diego is in 4th place in the NL West, trailing the division-leading Los Angeles Dodgers by 17 1/2 games, and is 5 1/2 games behind the final NL Wild Card.
Marlins at Padres projected starters
LHP Jesus Luzardo vs. LHP Blake Snell
Luzardo (8-8, 4.13 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 through 137 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 6 R (5 ER), 8 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 12-5 home loss to Houston Astros Wednesday
- Is 0-3 with an 11.68 ERA in 3 August starts
Snell (10-8, 2.65 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 through 136 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 5-2 home win over Baltimore Orioles Wednesday
- The Padres are 5-0 in Snell’s last 5 outings
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Marlins at Padres odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Marlins +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Padres -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-135) | Padres -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Marlins at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 6, Marlins 3
Moneyline
Neither team has been winning much recently. The Padres have lost 10 of their last 15 games while the Marlins have lost 5 of 6 and are 6-11 in their last 17 games.
However, the Padres are 5-0 in Snell’s last 5 starts and the left-hander leads the majors with a 2.65 ERA.
The Marlins have lost Luzardo’s last 3 starts.
The Padres should pick up the victory but at -190, they aren’t worth the action.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
The Padres’ last 13 wins have been by at least 2 runs. All 5 of their wins in Snell’s last 5 outings have been by at least 2 runs.
Seven of the Marlins’ last 8 losses have been by more than 1 run.
BET PADRES -1.5 (+110).
Over/Under
Snell’s last 4 starts have had 8 or more total runs.
The Padres’ last 3 games have had 8 or more runs.
Three of the 4 matchups between the 2 teams his season have had 8 or more runs.
Seven of Miami’s last 11 games have had at least 8 total runs.
BET OVER 7.5 (-110).
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