The Miami Marlins (12-12) face the Atlanta Braves (16-8) in the 3rd game of their 4-game series on Wednesday. First pitch is 7:20 p.m. ET at Truist Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Braves lead 2-0
The Marlins have lost 3 straight outings after winning the first 2 games of a 7-game road trip.
The Braves won 7-4 Tuesday behind RHP Charlie Morton’s 7 innings of 1-run ball. Atlanta has won 2 contests in a row and has been playing streaky baseball. The Braves entered this series on a 4-game losing skid, and that stretch was on the heels of an 8-game win streak.
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Marlins at Braves projected starters
RHP Sandy Alcantara vs. RHP Bryce Elder
Alcaantara (1-2, 5.47 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 24 2/3 IP.
- Allowed 14 R (12 ER) in last 10 IP
- Had a complete game shutout on April 4 vs. the Minnesota Twins
Elder (2-0, 1.14 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 23 2/3 IP.
- Allowed 1 or 0 runs in 3 of 4 starts
- 0-2 with a 2.78 ERA in 4 career starts vs. Miami
Marlins at Braves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Marlins +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Braves -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-155) | Braves -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Marlins at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 6, Marlins 3
Moneyline
Elder has pitched excellently all season and the Braves are 3-1 when he starts.
Alcantara’s ERA outside of his one complete-game shutout is 8.61. The Marlins have lost 3 of his 4 starts.
While I like the Braves to win, I like the run line better — 6 of their last 7 wins have been by at least 2 runs.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
Six of the Braves’ last 7 wins have been by 2 or more runs, including the first 2 games of the series.
All 12 of the Marlins’ losses have been by 2 or more runs this season.
BET BRAVES -1.5 (+125).
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Over/Under
Three of Elder’s 4 starts have had 9 or more total runs.
Both games of the series so far had 11 total runs.
Four of the Braves’ last 5 outings have had 9 or more runs.
BET OVER 8.5 (-120).
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