Independence Bowl: Miami vs. Louisiana Tech odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Thursday’s Independence Bowl between the Miami Hurricanes and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs, with betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

The Miami Hurricanes (6-6) and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (9-3) lock horns in the Walk-On’s Independence Bowl Thursday. Kickoff at Independence Stadium in Shreveport, La. is set for 4 p.m. ET. We analyze the Miami-Louisiana Tech odds and betting lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.

Miami vs. Louisiana Tech: Three things you need to know

1. The Hurricanes were once one of the most feared teams in all of college football, but seeing them in a bowl game lately is good news for the opponent. ‘The U’ has won just one of its past nine bowl game appearances, a 31-14 win over West Virginia in the Russell Athletic Bowl Dec. 28, 2016. Miami lost its only previous Independence Bowl appearance to South Carolina by a 24-21 count on Dec. 27, 2014.

2. Louisiana Tech, coming on hour west down Interstate 20 from Ruston, has won five straight bowl appearances. The Bulldogs have appeared in the Independence Bowl four times, but not since Dec. 28, 2008, when they topped Northern Illinois 17-10. They’re 2-1-1 all-time in Shreveport.

3. Louisiana Tech is 6-1 against the spread in the past seven bowl games, and 4-1 ATS in the past five neutral-site affairs. Miami is 2-9 ATS in the past 11 on a neutral site, and 1-7 ATS in the past eight bowl appearances.


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Miami vs. Louisiana Tech: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 2:15 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Louisiana Tech 24, Miami 20

Moneyline (ML)

Miami (-213) is moderately favored in this one, and it’ll draw the eye of the public. However, LOUISIANA TECH (+175) is a tremendous bargain playing just an hour from campus. The Bulldogs will be excited to be in this game with something to prove against a Power 5 team. The Hurricanes aren’t tickled about being in Shreveport for the holidays, a game they feel is beneath their standards. It will show in their play on the field, as it usually does come bowl season.

Against the Spread (ATS)

LOUISIANA TECH (+5.5, -106) is a good play if you just can’t get on board with a straight-up win by the Bulldogs. La. Tech has a strong offense, ranking 30th in total yards per game (445.2) and 31st in passing yards (277.3), while ranking 28th in points scored per game (34.0). The defense is so-so, but that’s fine because so is Miami’s offense. The Hurricanes were 88th in total yards, and 120th in rushing offense while ranking just 73rd in points scored. The key here will be if Miami’s defense shows up. It was 13th in the nation in total yards allowed, but this is also a team which lost to Florida International and Duke down the stretch.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 49.5 (-106) is worth a small-unit bet, but I wouldn’t go crazy. The Under is 15-7 in La. Tech’s past 22 overall, and 5-2 in the past seven bowls. The Under is 7-2 in the past nine neutral-site battles, too. For Miami, the Under is 5-1 in the past six bowls, and 9-3 in the past 12 vs. winning teams.

Get some action on this game or others, place a bet with BetMGM today. And for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Wisconsin bowl memories: 2018 Pinstripe Bowl

The 2018 Pinstripe Bowl between Wisconsin and Miami

The Wisconsin Badgers might have relished and cherished a bowl of the Pinstripe Bowl’s stature in 1981. It was in 1981 that the Badgers played the Tennessee Volunteers in the New York metropolitan area. They went to the Meadowlands in East Rutherford, N.J., for the 1981 Garden State Bowl. In 2018, the Pinstripe Bowl was a reasonable equivalent of the early-1980s Garden State Bowl, but it wasn’t a reward for Wisconsin’s season.

In the early 1980s, Wisconsin was a seven-win program. Compared to the misery of the 1970s, the early 1980s were a very good time for Badger football. However, once Barry Alvarez completely reshaped the program and established a very different set of standards for Wisconsin football, a 7-5 season became something the Badgers definitely did not aspire to. Seven-win seasons in 1981? Impressive. Seven-win seasons in 2018? Not impressive.

So it was that in a 2018 season when Alex Hornibrook lost his fastball and a ton of injuries decimated the defense, the Badgers limped to a 7-5 finish. Minnesota and P.J. Fleck drilled them in Camp Randall Stadium. When Wisconsin went to the greater New York area for a bowl — 37 years after doing the same in 1981 — the Badgers were not playing for a big prize.

Wisconsin won New Year’s Six bowls in the 2016 and 2017 seasons. The 2017 campaign was the winningest (13 wins, 1 loss) in UW history. The 2018 season was a departure from excellence. It was not what the program expected or had become accustomed to.

Bowl games, as we all know, are theaters of motivation. They are usually decided by the team which takes the occasion more seriously. Would both Wisconsin and the Miami Hurricanes — reunited in a bowl one year after playing in the Orange Bowl — play with passion, or would they drift through the motions? Would they grumble or would they go for it with gusto? Would they sulk or soar, drift or drive themselves to a higher level?

We all got our answer, and Wisconsin answered this test of character properly. The Badgers had the advantage of playing a warm-weather opponent in cold weather conditions, but if they didn’t play hard, it wouldn’t have mattered. Wisconsin definitely played hard, powering through Miami’s front seven and enabling Jonathan Taylor to run for 205 yards. Wisconsin led 14-3 after one quarter (mirroring Miami’s 14-3 lead after one in the 2017 Orange Bowl). However, while Miami lost the plot in the Orange Bowl after grabbing an early lead, Wisconsin built on its 14-3 advantage and landed a knockout punch, 35-3 over the dazed and paralyzed Hurricanes.

Wisconsin didn’t have the 2018 season it wanted to have. Fine. Nothing could have been done to change that reality when the Badgers went to New York for the Pinstripe Bowl. All Wisconsin could do was play its bowl game as well as it possibly could, thereby restoring confidence and a sense that the program could bounce back. The Badgers did that, and in 2019, they definitely reestablished the Wisconsin Way.

Miami coach Mark Richt retired just after this Pinstripe Bowl. Manny Diaz was Temple’s head coach for a few hours, and then went to South Florida to take over The U. He face-planted in a 6-6 season. Wisconsin has the stability and reliability Miami could only dream of. Yes, the 2018 Pinstripe Bowl was a turning point for two programs.

Wisconsin bowl memories: 2017 Orange Bowl

The December 2017 Orange Bowl between Wisconsin and Miami

In the New Year’s Six bowl structure, elite bowl games have been played in late December, not just early January. This has led to years in which there are “two” bowls of the same kind. For instance, there were two 2017 Cotton Bowls: Wisconsin won the January 2017 Cotton Bowl over Western Michigan, and Ohio State won the December 2017 Cotton Bowl over USC.

When one refers to the 2017 Orange Bowl, one is referring not to January, but to December. Just before 2017 gave way to 2018, the Wisconsin Badgers played the Miami Hurricanes, and they did so in Miami at Hard Rock Stadium. It was not Wisconsin versus an SEC team in a bowl game, but the theme was familiar: Wisconsin had to play its bowl game much closer to the opponent’s campus than its own. Wisconsin had to shoulder the handicap Big Ten teams normally play with in bowl games in Southern locales. (Miami is not culturally Southern the way SEC locales are, but geographically, this is as southernmost a bowl location as one can imagine.)

Wisconsin had a reason to adopt an “us against the world” mentality due to playing in Miami’s back yard, but beyond the foreign territory angle, the Badgers had another cause to rally around: the turnover chain. You remember that part of Miami’s 2017 season, right? It was all anyone could talk about when the Hurricanes were discussed. People in the college football world wondered if “The U” was actually back. Texas has never gotten “back” under Tom Herman. Michigan has never been “back” under Jim Harbaugh. When Miami won 11 games and popped Notre Dame late in that 2017 season, it was reasonable to wonder if Mark Richt had the Canes back to their formerly lofty place in college football, ending a long period in the sport’s wilderness.

One can legitimately say that if Miami wanted to make sure that it was “back,” Wisconsin prevented that from happening. The Badgers yanked The U’s chain and showed the Hurricanes who was boss.

Everyone in and around Wisconsin football knows that Alex Hornibrook lost the plot in the 2018 season, an autumn which slipped away from the Badgers for a whole host of reasons. Yet, before the 2018 train went off the tracks, Hornibrook was a man who met the moment in 2017. Hornibrook wasn’t brilliant. He didn’t dominate games. He didn’t dazzle or demolish. He did, however, make big third-down throws.

In the Orange Bowl, he continued to do that, and he separated himself from his opposite number, Miami quarterback Malik Rosier. Hornibrook threw four touchdown passes in that Orange Bowl, making all the big throws on a fourth-quarter touchdown drive which turned a 27-24 Wisconsin game into a 34-24 Badger lead. When Miami missed a chip-shot field goal a few minutes after Wisconsin gained its 10-point advantage, the ballgame was over, and the Badgers tucked away their 13th win in the same college football season.

Whereas Hornibrook made all the big throws in this game — powering Wisconsin to a 21-point second-quarter surge which helped UW overcome a 14-3 Miami start in the first quarter — Rosier threw three interceptions. One of those interceptions came when Miami trailed 24-21 in the third quarter and was driving inside the Wisconsin 30. Hornibrook finished what he started; Rosier did not. Wisconsin won the turnover battle against the team which loved to flaunt the turnover chain.

It was a very happy chain of events for the Badgers in Miami two years ago, capping one of the most special seasons in Wisconsin football history.

CFB 150: Top college football dynasties

SportsPulse: USA TODAY Sports’ Paul Myerberg discusses three college football dynasties that stand out from the past 150 years.

SportsPulse: USA TODAY Sports’ Paul Myerberg discusses three college football dynasties that stand out from the past 150 years.

Miami losing on field, but still landing 4-star recruits from former Florida State flock

Miami landed a pair of four-star recruits, both former Florida State pledges — running back Jaylan Knighton and safety Jalen Harrell — less than a week after an embarrassing loss to FIU.

Miami is less than two weeks removed from one of the most embarrassing defeats in program history, a 30-24 setback at the hands of Florida International University (FIU). One might think that would all but officially sever the pipeline between elite talent in South Florida and “The U.” Incredibly, the opposite has happened.

In the days leading up to Thanksgiving, the Hurricanes gained commitments from a pair of former Florida State commits: Champagnat Catholic (Hialeah, Fla.) safety Jalen Harrell and Deerfield Beach (Fla.) running back Jaylan Knighton. The pair of two of the four Florida State recruits who decommitted following the firing of head coach Willie Taggart.

Incredibly, both committed after visiting Miami during the aforementioned FIU loss, then still decided to commit because of atmosphere around the program.

Harrell, who committed on his birthday, picked the Hurricanes on social media with an all-time classic send off, claiming he plans to “Make the Crib Great Again,”

That sentiment was echoed by Knighton, who also took his official visit over the FIU weekend.

“I love the school,” Knighton told 247Sports. “I love the program. I love the system. I love the support.”

Now, Miami fans will love him. Just as they’re sure to love Harrell, with both players talented enough to make a significant impact early.

Miami at Duke odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s Miami Hurricanes at Duke Blue Devils sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks and tips.

The Miami Hurricanes (6-5) visit the Duke Blue Devils (4-7) for a 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday ACC contest at Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham. We analyze the Miami-Duke odds and betting lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.

Miami at Duke: Three things you need to know

1. Duke won last year’s meeting in Miami despite being outgained, 411 yards to 290. The Blue Devils are 5-9 against the spread since. The Hurricanes are 13-2 in their all-time series against Duke.

2. The Blue Devils have struggled in late-season home games the last few years. They’re 1-7 ATS in such contests. The stretch includes losses earlier this month against Notre Dame and Syracuse. The Blue Devils scored a combined 13 points over those home losses (Nov. 9, Nov. 16). Offensively, Duke has averaged 4.9 yards per play on the road but just 4.3 YPP at Wallace Wade.

3. The Hurricanes defense has allowed just 274 YPG over their last three efforts away from home. For the season, Miami ranks 17th in the nation in yards per play, with just 4.8 allowed.


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Miami at Duke: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last Friday at 6 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Miami 31, Duke 17

Moneyline (ML)

We’ll pass on the Miami (-358) line. That figure implies a 79% win expectation, and that’s on the overly aggressive side. A -315 line would have some value baked in, but bigger moneylines hold more juice and that makes such a price move unlikely.

New to sports betting? A $10 wager on Miami returns a profit of $2.79.

Against the Spread (ATS)

A Miami offense with a near-average performance in third-down conversions is a much better product. The ‘Canes are languishing with a 27% success rate (129th of 130 FBS teams). Two games back against Louisville, Miami went 5-for-10 on the penultimate down; it scored 52 points. With that potential in mind, the ‘Canes are coming off a disappointing loss to Florida International, one which saw Miami get undone by turnovers (-3) and hidden yards.

Identifying false recency bias — over-inflating or under-inflating a line — is a big key in finding value in football betting. Making a play on MIAMI (-9.5, -106).

Over/Under (O/U)

The O/U is an expensive proposition on the low side (Under 47.5, -139). The game flow here is a clouded picture. Duke’s offense has gone through stretches where it can’t help but score 40 and others when it can’t get into double digits. PASS.

Get some action on this game or others, place a bet with BetMGM today. And for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Watch: Calvin Ridley on why he came to Alabama and spurned Miami

Calvin Ridley was supposed to end up with Miami. But after visiting Alabama, he couldn’t help but want to be a part of the Tide’s culture.

Calvin Ridley is considering one of the best wide receivers in Alabama history. The Coconut Creek (Fla.) native sits near the top of several career and single-season records, which includes:

  • Career receptions: No. 2 (224)
  • Single season receptions: No. 2 (89)
  • Career receiving yards: No. 3 (2,781)
  • Single season receiving yards: No. 5 (1,045)
  • Career receiving TDs: No. 5 (19)

Those numbers put Ridley in a pretty elite group, which includes Amari Cooper, Julio Jones and several other high-profile Alabama receivers. But it’s also strange to think that it almost didn’t happen.

The video below is from actually from an interview between Ridley and Campus Lore, and it occurred in June of 2018. But after watching the former Crimson Tide standout’s response, we had to do a story on it!

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It’s hard to believe that the Ridley-Alabama marriage almost didn’t come to fruition, but fans have to be thrilled with how things turned out. It also speaks volumes for the Crimson Tide’s ability to recruit high-profile, especially once they are on campus.

To have a player of Ridley’s caliber — he was rated as a five-star prospect, according to the 247Sports composite rankings — willing to commit on the spot is an incredible story.

With Alabama more than likely losing a least two of its top three receivers, depending on who decides to leave early for the NFL draft between Jerry Jeudy, Henry Ruggs III and DeVonta Smith, following the 2019 season, the coaching staff needs to be identifying that next elite receiver to pair with Jaylen Waddle for 2020.

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