Tag: Mets Brewers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Milwaukee Brewers welcome the New York Mets to American Family Field for the finale of a best-of-3 NL Wild Card Series. First pitch is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoffs series: Tied 1-1; Regular-season series: Brewers won 5-1

The Mets opened the series with an 8-4 win Tuesday. They got out to a quick 3-1 lead after 2 innings Wednesday, but failed to seal the deal as the Brewers tallied 3 runs in the bottom of the 8th.

New York struggled down the stretch of the regular season, losing 4 of its last 6 games, all of which were on the road. The Mets were 84-78 against the spread (ATS) on the season and 44-38 ATS in away games.

The Brewers, who won the NL Central, played the Mets to close their regular seasons, winning the series 2-1. Milwaukee won 5 of 7 to close the regular season. It has closed as a favorite in both games in the series. The Brewers were 85-77 ATS on the season.

Mets at Brewers projected starters

LHP Jose Quintana vs. RHP Tobias Myers

Quintana (10-10, 3.75 ERA) made 31 regular season starts. He finished with a 1.25 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 170 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 6-0 defeat at Brewers Saturday
• 2024 away stats: 5-5, 3.86 ERA (86 1/3 IP, 37 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 16 starts
• Career vs. Brewers: 9-7, 2.98 ERA (130 IP, 43 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 22 starts and 1 relief outing

Myers (9-6, 3.00 ERA) made 25 starts and 2 relief appearances in 2024. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 138 innings.

• Last start: Win, 4 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 5 K in Saturday’s home victory vs. Mets — his only career start vs. New York
• 2024 home stats: 4-1, 2.86 ERA (69 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 in 12 starts and 1 relief appearance

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Mets at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Mets +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Brewers -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Mets +1.5 (-200) | Brewers -1.5 (+165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mets at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Mets 3

Moneyline

BET BREWERS (-130).

The Brewers have made American Family Field a fortress this season, posting the 5th-best home record in the majors. They are 48-35 at home in 2024. Similarly, the Mets were the 6th-best home team in MLB yet fell outside the top 8 in road wins with just 43.

Myers has also been far better at home, and the Brewers are 9-4 when he pitches at American Family. They were the more lethal team as the regular season closed and should be able to use that home strength to their advantage.

At these odds, take BREWERS (-130).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no good value on the spread. This is the final game for one of these 2 teams, and this should be a competitive battle. Expect it to be a 1-run game, but the Mets as run-line underdogs are far too expensive to take.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-115).

The Brewers and Mets have gone Over in both games this series, but this loser-goes-home game should be different. The Brewers were just 3-4 O/U in their last 7 games, having allowed 3 or fewer runs in 4 of the 7.

The Mets have gone 4-5 O/U in their last 9 games. They were held scoreless in 2 of their last 4 games and to 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 9. Both teams have a solid starter, and the last time they pitched — Saturday’s 6-0 Brewers home win — the total went Under.

With that in mind, play UNDER 7.5 (-115).

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The New York Mets (87-72) and the Milwaukee Brewers (93-68) wrap up a 3-game series Sunday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 5-0, including a sweep of the season-opening series March 29-31

The Brewers blanked the Mets 6-0 Saturday, as opener RHP Jared Koenig and 4 relievers limited New York to just 2 hits, a Jose Iglesias single and a Starling Marte double.

Milwaukee is locked into the NL No. 3 seed, but it has played with desperation, winning 5 of the past 6 games, while New York is fighting for a postseason spot, and it can’t get out of its own way.

The Mets have lost 3 in a row, while collecting just 5 total runs of offense during the span. The Under has cashed in 3 of the past 4 games for New York, which slipped to a game behind the Atlanta Braves. The Braves, Mets and Arizona Diamondbacks are battling for 2 available Wild Card spots.

After this series, New York will head to Atlanta to make up a doubleheader with the Braves.

Mets at Brewers projected starters

LHP David Peterson vs. RHP Colin Rea

Peterson (9-3, 3.08 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 114 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 8 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 12-2 home setback vs. Philadelphia Phillies Friday
• 2024 road splits: 5-1, 2.88 ERA, 65 2/3 IP, 21 ER, 60 H, 4 HR, 23 BB, 42 K, .246 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1.26 WHIP in 11 starts
• Last 7 games: 2-2, 3.14 ERA, 43 IP, 15 ER, 44 H, 9 BB, 37 K, 1.23 WHIP
• Career vs. Brewers: 1-1, 6.14 ERA, 14 2/3 IP, 10 ER, 16 H, 1 HR, 11 BB, 14 K, 1.84 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 4 appearances (3 starts)

Rea (12-5, 4.17 ERA) makes his 27th start and 32nd appearance. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 61 IP.

• Last appearance: Hold, 1 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 7-2 road win vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday
• Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 3 ER, 5 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 4 K in 7-4 home victory vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Sept. 20
• 2024 home splits: 7-3, 3.92 ERA, 87 1/3 IP, 38 ER, 16 HR, 18 BB, 74 K, .224 OBA, 1.05 WHIP in 16 appearances (14 starts)
• Last 7 games: 1-1, 7.43 ERA, 26 2/3 IP, 22 ER, 39 H, 4 BB, 22 K, 1.61 WHIP in 5 starts and 2 relief appearances
• Career vs. Mets: 3-0, 1.40 ERA, 19 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 11 H, 4 BB, 10 K in 3 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mets at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at  1:37 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Mets -120 (bet $120 to win $100 ) | Brewers +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+145) | Brewers +1.5 (-175)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mets at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 3, Mets 2

Moneyline

The BREWERS (+100) are the play in the series finale.

The Mets (-120) should be playing with a sense or urgency, but they’ve scored just 5 runs total in the past 3 games, and it appears the 2 postponed games knocked them off track last week in Atlanta. It’s a tough spot, sure, but when you’re battling for a playoff spot, it needs to be all hands on deck, and the Mets have gone into a hole, and are not rising to the occasion. It’s concerning.

The fact Rea is 3-0 in his career against the Mets is a huge concern for the visitors, too. Milwaukee looks to finish the regular season a 6-0 mark vs. New York.

Run line/Against the spread

The Mets -1.5 (+145) can’t be trusted on the run line. This should be a 1-score game, so avoid taking the Brewers +1.5 (-175) laying the run and a half, too.

AVOID.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-110) is the best play on the board in this season finale for the Brewers.

The Under has cashed in 3 of the past 4 games for Milwaukee, while going 7-4-1 in the previous 12 outings since Sept. 16.

For the Mets, the Under is also 3-1 in the past 4 games, and New York has plated just 7 runs in the 4-game span, good for 1.8 runs per game.

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The New York Mets (87-71) and the Milwaukee Brewers (92-68) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Saturday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 4-0, including a sweep of the season-opening series March 29-31

The Brewers doubled up the Mets 8-4 in Friday’s series opener to easily cash the Over (7.5). Milwaukee, the National League Central Division champ, is locked into the No. 3 seed in the postseason.

Milwaukee is 4-1 across the past 5 games, including victories in the past 2 home contests, while the Over holds a slight 3-2 edge in the 5-game span.

The Mets have dropped 2 in a row, including a key 5-1 loss in Atlanta  Tuesday, and it has an identical 87-71 like the Braves with 4 games to go, and a makeup doubleheader looming in Atlanta Monday.

New York has cashed the Over at a 6-2 pace in the past 8 games, while the Mets have seen the total go high at a 9-4-1 clip in the previous 14 contests.

Mets at Brewers projected starters

LHP Jose Quintana vs. LHP Jared Koenig

Quintana (10-9, 3.74 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 166 IP.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 10-0 home victory vs. Washington Nationals Sept. 18
• 2024 road splits: 5-4, 3.84 ERA, 82 IP, 35 ER, 72 H, 5 HR, 32 BB, 60 K, .238 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1.27 WHIP in 15 starts
• Last 7 games: 4-1, 2.63 ERA, 41 IP, 12 ER, 35 H, 15 BB, 24 K, 1.22 WHIP
• Career vs. Brewers: 9-6, 2.94 ERA, 125 2/3 IP, 41 ER, 99 H, 14 HR, 34 BB, 122 K, 1.06 WHIP, 8.7 K/9

Koenig (9-4, 2.51 ERA) makes his 6th start and 55th appearance. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 61 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 0 K in 3-1 home win vs. Cincinnati Reds June 15 (9 pitches)
• 2024 home splits: 5-2, 3.00 ERA, 33 IP, 11 ER, 3 HR, 12 BB, 40 K, .219 OBA, 1.21 WHIP in 1 start (28 appearances)
• Last 7 games: 1-1, 4.50 ERA, 8 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 5 BB, 6 K, 1.50 WHIP in 7 relief appearances
• Career vs. Mets: No-decision, 3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 2 K (56 pitches) in home relief appearance Sept. 25, 2022

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mets at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 11:25 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Mets -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Brewers -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+155) | Brewers +1.5 (-190)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Mets at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Brewers 3

Moneyline

The METS (-105) were unable to get the job done Friday, and they slipped into a tie with the Braves for the final postseason spot. New York needs to show a little more urgency after getting doubled up in the series opener.

The Brewers (-115) use the opener Koenig, and then they’ll turn it over to the bullpen. With the No. 3 seed locked in, Milwaukee won’t be grinding nearly as hard to get it done as New York will be.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The run line has swapped sides Saturday morning, and I’m not confident in a multi-run finish.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (+100) is the lean, but go very, very lightly.

The Over is on a 6-2 run for the Mets, but the Under is 2-1 in the previous 3 outings. For the Brewers, the Under has a slight 6-4 edge in the past 10 contests. The Under is 16-13-1 in Quintana’s 30 previous starts in 2024, too.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The New York Mets (87-70) and the Milwaukee Brewers (91-68) begin a 3-game series Friday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 3-0, sweeping season-opening series March 29-31

The Mets will be glad to be indoors after managing to play just 1 of 3 games in soggy Atlanta against the Braves, as tropical moisture inundated Georgia with the approach of Hurricane Helene. In the game the Mets did play, they lost 5-1 to the Braves on Tuesday as the Under (7.5) cashed.

Despite that loss Tuesday, the Mets are 6-2 in the past 8 games, while the Under has cashed in the past 2 outings. New York has dropped 3 in a row on the road.

The Brewers are locked in as the NL Central champions, and they cannot get to the top seed of the playoffs, with the LA Dodgers having 95 wins with 3 to play. Mathematically, the Brewers could catch the Philadelphia Phillies for the No. 2 seed, but the latter is 3 games clear of Milwaukee with 3 to play.

Mets at Brewers projected starters

LHP Sean Manaea vs. RHP Frankie Montas

Manaea (12-5, 3.29 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 178 IP.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 3 ER, 3 H (2 HR), 0 BB, 6 K in 6-3 home victory vs. Philadelphia Phillies last Saturday
• 2024 road splits: 6-2, 2.77 ERA, 84 1/3 IP, 26 ER, 61 H, 6 HR, 35 BB, 79 K, .200 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1.14 WHIP in 15 starts
• Last 7 games: 3-0, 2.81 ERA, 48 IP, 15 ER, 22 H, 9 BB, 54 K, 0.65 WHIP
• Career vs. Brewers: 1-1, 4.19 ERA, 19 1/3 IP, 9 ER, 17 H, 2 HR, 6 BB, 23 K, 1.19 WHIP, 10.7 K/9

Montas (7-11, 4.85 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 146 2/3 IP with Reds and Brewers.

• Last start: No-decision, 2 2/3 IP, 8 R (7 ER), 6 H (3 HR), 2 BB, 4 K in 10-9 home win vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday
• 2024 home splits: 1-7, 4.97 ERA, 63 1/3 IP, 35 ER, 10 HR, 22 BB, 66 K, .264 OBA, 1.39 WHIP in 13 starts
• Last 7 games: 2-3, 4.81 ERA, 39 1/3 IP, 21 ER, 29 H, 15 BB, 46 K, 1.12 WHIP
• Career vs. Mets: 0-0, 5.40 ERA, 6 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 1 HR, 2 BB, 8 K, 1.35 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 in 2 appearances (1 start)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mets at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:36 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Mets -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Brewers +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+145) | Brewers +1.5 (-175)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mets at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Brewers 3

Moneyline

The METS (-120) are a strong play behind the southpaw Manaea, as they fight and claw for a postseason berth.

The Brewers (+100) are already in the clubhouse with a division title, so it remains to be seen how hungry they’ll be, with the No. 3 seed in the NL all but likely to be theirs.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little more adventurous, playing METS -1.5 (+145) is worth a roll of the dice, as Montas has been very shaky at home in both of his stops this season. The Brewers +1.5 (-175) would be too costly, and not a high quality play, behind the erratic right-hander in this series opener.

Over/Under

OVER 7.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

While Manaea has been pitching well, posting a solid 2.81 ERA across his past 7 starts, Montas has a dismal 4.81 ERA across the same span, while turning in an ugly 4.97 ERA at home this season with Cincinnati and Milwaukee.

The Over is 8-4 in the past 12 games for the Mets, too. Go high, but be careful, as the Under is 6-3 across the past 9 for the Brew Crew.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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