The Dallas Mavericks (25-15) visit the Bay Wednesday night for a 10 p.m. ET tip-off against the Sacramento Kings (15-25) in the Golden 1 Center. We analyze Mavericks-Kings odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
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Mavericks at Kings: Key injuries
MAVERICKS
- PF Kristaps Porzingis (knee) probable
- SG Ryan Broekhoff (knee) out
KINGS
- PF Nemanja Bjelica (ankle) probable
- SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (ankle) doubtful
- PF Richaun Holmes (shoulder) out
Mavericks at Kings: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated Wednesday at 2:10 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Kings 121, Mavericks 111
Moneyline (ML)
The injury report is crucial with both Kristaps Porzingis and Marvin Bagley set to return for the Mavericks and Kings, respectively. Could Porzingis’ return mess up the chemistry? Dwight Powell has filled in nicely for Porzingis, scoring 13 points per game on .719 field-goal percentage in the last eight games Porzingis has missed.
But as of now, back the KINGS +145 to end their two-game losing streak and beat the Mavericks, who’ve won back-to-back games. Sacramento has had recent success versus the Mavericks, winning the last four games straight up and against the spread. De’Aaron Fox hears the Luka Doncic hype and shows up to play against him:
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Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
Not only have the Kings owned the Mavericks outright recently, but they have a decided edge ATS, as well. The Mavericks are 5-17 ATS in the last 22 meetings and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in Sacramento. The Kings are 3-0 when spotted 3-4.5 points. Also, Sacramento brings full effort in games and makes it tough for their opponents to get hustle points; they rank third in opponent’s second-chance points, second in opponent’s fast-break points and 11th in opponent’s points in the paint.
BET KINGS +3.5 (-106) for some insurance on our moneyline bet. New to sports betting? A $106 wager on the Kings to win by at least 4 points returns a profit of $100.
Over/Under (O/U)
The Mavericks have been getting buckets all season long: Dallas is ranked first in offensive rating, has the third-highest Over % with a 24-16 over/under record, and scores the third-most PPG in the NBA. On the other side, the Kings offense has shown up as of late in scoring at least 110 points in five of its last six games. Also, Mavericks-Kings games have trended Over recently; the Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
BET OVER 226.5 (-129).
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