Miami Marlins at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Miami Marlins at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Marlins (24-22) close out their 3-game road series against the San Francisco Giants (21-24) Sunday. First pitch is at 4:10 p.m. ET at Oracle Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Marlins lead 3-2

The Marlins, after losing the series opener 4-3 on Friday, picked up a 1-0 win on Saturday as 3B Jon Berti hit an RBI single in the top of the 8th for the only run of the game. It was Miami’s 5th win in its last 6 games.

The Giants had their 4-game winning streak snapped with the loss on Saturday. They are 10-7 in their last 17 games.

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Marlins at Giants projected starters

LHP Jesus Luzardo vs. LHP Alex Wood

Luzardo (3-2, 3.16 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 51 1/3 innings.

  • Allowed 2 or fewer ER in 3 of his last 4 starts
  • Is 1-0 with 5.93 ERA in 3 career starts vs. Giants

Wood (0-0, 2.87 ERA) makes his 5th start and 6th appearance. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 8 BB and 16 K in 15 2/3 innings.

  • Has not made it out of 5th inning in a start this season
  • Is 8-5 with 2.58 ERA in 19 career games (16 starts) vs. Miami

Marlins at Giants odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:12 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Giants -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-185) | Giants -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Marlins at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 4, Giants 3

Moneyline

The Marlins are 10-11 on the road this season but have won 4 of their last 6 road games while the Giants are 14-11 at home and 12-5 in their last 17 home games.

However, as Wood had not gotten out of the 5th inning this season, the Giants will have to rely on their bullpen. Giants relievers have a 5.37 ERA, the 3rd-highest in all of baseball.

BET MARLINS (+110).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS

At -185 for the Marlins to cover, it isn’t worth the action, having to bet nearly twice what you can win.

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Over/Under

All 5 of the meetings between the 2 teams have had 7 or fewer total runs scored. Only 1 of the Marlins’ last 5 games had more than 8 total runs.

BET UNDER 8 (-115).

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Miami Marlins at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Miami Marlins at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins (8-9) and San Francisco Giants (11-7) open a four-game weekend set at Oracle Park with a 9:45 p.m. ET first pitch Thursday. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Daniel Castano is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins. He allowed 1 run in a 5-inning season debut against the Giants April 16. In 7 games as s rookie last season, the lefty logged a 1-2 record, 3.03 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 3.6 K/9 and 3.3 BB/9 over 29 2/3 IP.

RHP Aaron Sanchez is the projected starter for the Giants. He is 0-1 with a 2.45 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 through 14 2/3 IP over 3 starts. Sanchez was a February free-agent signing; he’s returning from shoulder surgery and missed all of 2020. Albeit in small doses, the Marlins own an aggregate .875 OPS against the 7-year Major League veteran.

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Marlins at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Marlins +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Giants -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Marlins +1.5 (-150) | Giants -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Marlins 5, Giants 4

Money line (ML)

The Marlins and Giants meet for a second straight weekend. Miami took 2 of 3 from San Francisco last week in South Florida. The Marlins are 8-9 despite playing a tough slate and are 7-3 over their last 10 games.

The Giants are back at home after an east coast road trip (Miami, Philadelphia). They are 9-4 with a nifty 2.85 team ERA over their last 13 games.

Both teams take to the field after cross-country travel and no off day. The Marlins do so with a better-rested bullpen, and there is a bit play-Miami/fade San Francisco in the early numbers.

BACK THE MARLINS (+125).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The tag on Miami is too steep here: PASS.

Over/Under (O/U)

Peg the ERAs for both starters and both bullpens as being artificially deflated by generous rates around the margins. The Giants have a below-average .711 OPS against lefty pitching, but it’s a number held in check by a .203 batting average on balls in play in the split.

Figure on a near-50% chance of this contest reaching a double-digit total, so there is VALUE ON THE OVER 8.5 (-110).

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