Tag: Marlins Brewers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (81-64) welcome the Miami Marlins (75-71) to American Family Field Thursday for the finale of a 4-game series. First pitch is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 2-1

The Brewers lost 2-0 Wednesday as -124 favorites in the 3rd game of the series. Milwaukee is 42-29 at home this season, is 4-2 over its last 6 games and sits atop the NL Central with a 4-game lead over the Chicago Cubs.

The Marlins are 21 games behind the Atlanta Braves in the NL East but just a half-game back of the final NL Wild Card. Miami is 6-4 over its last 10 games and is 35-39 on the road.

Marlins at Brewers projected starters

RHP Eury Perez vs. RHP Adrian Houser

Perez (5-4, 2.90 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 83 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 3-2 road win vs. Philadelphia Phillies Friday
  • 2023 road stats: 2-3, 4.17 ERA in 41 IP over 9 starts

Houser (5-4, 4.58 ERA) makes his 18th start and 20th appearance. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 90 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 2 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 10-6 home win vs. San Diego Padres on Aug. 27
  • 2023 home stats: 2-1, 4.79 ERA in 41 1/3 IP over 8 starts and 1 relief appearance

Marlins at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Brewers -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins -1.5 (+150) | Brewers +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Marlins at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Marlins 3

Moneyline

BET BREWERS (-105).

The Brewers have won 2 of 3 in this series and have allowed just 3 runs through those 3 games. Milwaukee should bounce back after being held scoreless Wednesday.

Perez has the advantage on the mound, but Houser has allowed more than 3 earned runs in his 3 starts since Aug. 15.

Milwaukee has the 3rd-best home record in the NL, while the Marlins have struggled on the road. Miami is just 3-4 over its last 7 games, so it hasn’t necessarily been playing well lately.

Back the BREWERS (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no value here — the Brewers are too pricey as home underdogs and the Marlins haven’t been good enough on the road to take in this situation.

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8 (+100).

The Marlins are 67-75-4 O/U on the season, and they have gone Under in 4 of their last 6 games. The total is 1-2 O/U so far this series.

The only Over came when the Brewers plated 12 runs Monday in the series opener, but Milwaukee has only scored 3 runs over the last 2 games. Milwaukee has gone Under in 3 of its last 4 games and is 66-74-5 O/U this season.

Back UNDER 8 (+100).

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Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Marlins (74-71) and Milwaukee Brewers (81-63) play the 3rd game of a 4-game set Wednesday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 2-0

The Marlins lost 3-1 as +141 underdogs in the 2nd game of the series Tuesday. Miami has lost 4 of its last 6 outings and is 1½ games back of the Arizona Diamondbacks for the final NL Wild Card spot.

DH Josh Donaldson hit his 1st HR as a Brewer to give Milwaukee a 1-run lead in the 4th inning Tuesday. The Brewers are 1st in the NL East, 4 games ahead of the 2nd-place Chicago Cubs.

Marlins at Brewers projected starters

LHP Braxton Garrett vs. RHP Trevor Megill

Garrett (8-6, 3.82 ERA) makes his 28th start and 29th appearance. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 143 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 10-0 home loss vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Thursday
  • 2023 road stats: 5-2, 2.74 ERA (69 IP, 21 ER) in 13 starts
  • Career vs. Brewers: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 1 start, a 4-2 road win on Sept. 29, 2022

Megill (1-0, 3.38 ERA) will work as the opener, making his 1st start and 27th appearance. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 14.1 K/9 in 29 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 1 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 9-2 victory at New York Yankees Saturday
  • 2023 home stats: 1-0, 3.60 ERA (15 IP, 6 ER) in 13 relief appearances
  • Career vs. Marlins: 0-0, 5.40 ERA (1 2/3 IP, 1 ER) in 2 relief appearances

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Marlins at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:41 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Brewers -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-220) | Brewers -1.5 (+180)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Marlins at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 3, Brewers 2

Moneyline

The MARLINS (-115) have won in 5 of Garrett’s last 7 road starts and should bounce back after being outscored 15-1 so far in this series. Garrett has allowed just 1 earned run in back-to-back starts and 2 or fewer in 5 of his last 8 outings.

BET MARLINS (-115).

Run line/Against the spread

It’s unlikely that the Brewers will beat the Marlins by multiple runs in 3 straight games. Miami +1.5 (-220) will probably hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Marlins should win straight up.

PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.

Over/Under

Garrett has been reliable for the Marlins lately, and Miami’s offense is averaging just 2.17 runs per game over its last 6 outings. The Under is 40-28-2 (58.8%) this season in Marlins games when they’re coming off a loss, according to TeamRankings.com, and I like it to hit once again in this spot with Garrett on the mound.

BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).

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Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (80-63) welcome the Miami Marlins (74-70) to American Family Field Tuesday for the 2nd game of a 4-game series. First pitch is set for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 1-0 after winning the series opener 12-0 Monday

The Brewers are 41-28 at home this season and are 6-4 over their last 10 games. Milwaukee holds a 3 game lead over the Chicago Cubs atop the NL Central.

The Marlins are 34-38 on the road this season and are 7-3 over their last 10 games. Miami is on the outside looking in on the playoff race, sitting 1 1/2 games back of the final NL Wild Card.

Marlins at Brewers projected starters

RHP JT Chargois vs. RHP Freddy Peralta

Chargois (1-0, 3.63 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 38th appearance. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 34 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 1 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 1 BB, 2 K in an 11-4 home win vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers Wednesday
  • Last appearance: No-decision, 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 0 BB, 1 K in a 10-0 home loss vs. Dodgers Thursday
  • 2023 road stats: 1-0, 5.40 ERA in 15 IP over 17 relief appearances

Peralta (11-8, 3.89 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 through 150 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 5-4 road loss vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Wednesday
  • 2023 home stats: 6-4, 3.59 ERA in 82 2/3 IP in 15 starts

Marlins at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:54 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +140  (bet $100 to win $140) | Brewers -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-145) | Brewers -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Marlins at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 6, Marlins 3

Moneyline

PASS.

The Marlins are in the bottom half of the league in road win percentage at 34-38, and they were blasted by the Brewers in the opener Monday. Milwaukee is 41-28 at home which ranks 7th in the MLB.

However, at (-165), I would still pass and look towards the spread for better value.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BREWERS -1.5 (+120).

The Marlins are starting a reliever and set to play a bullpen-heavy game Tuesday. However, that isn’t necessarily their strength as their relievers rank 18th in the MLB in ERA at 4.22.

Miami sits with the 5th-worst cover rate as a road underdog as well at 28-28. Back BREWERS -1.5 (+120).

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-120).

The Brewers have been on fire as of late, scoring 7 or more runs in 4 of their last 6 games. They are 5-1 O/U in those battles and are 7-3 O/U in their last 10 games.

Miami has similar trends. It has gone Over in 8 of its last 10 and has scored at least 4 runs in 2 of its last 3 games. It should find more success at the plate Tuesday.

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Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Marlins (74-69) and Milwaukee Brewers (79-63) kick off a crucial 4-game set on Monday at American Family Field. First pitch is set for 7:40 p.m. ET). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: first meeting; Miami took 4 of 7 meetings in 2022

The Marlins have won 3 consecutive series and 8 of their last 10 games. Miami pulled off a 5-4 win Sunday as a +149 underdog despite being hitless until the 7th inning.

The Brewers are coming off a 4-3 loss to the New York Yankees as a +123 underdogs. Milwaukee lost in 13 innings despite holding New York hitless through 10. The Brew Crew are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall and 5-5 in their last 10 games vs. the Fish.

Marlins at Brewers projected starters

LHP Jesus Luzardo vs. RHP Brandon Woodruff

Luzardo (9-8, 3.59 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 through 155 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 6-3 home win vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Tuesday
  • Has a 5.04 ERA over his last 5 turns

Woodruff (4-1, 2.30 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 0.79 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 through 47 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 6 K in a 7-3 road win vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday
  • Is 3-0 with a 2.64 ERA over his last 5 starts

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Marlins at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:32 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Brewers -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-160) | Brewers -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Marlins at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 6, Marlins 2

Moneyline

The Marlins are suddenly one of the hotter teams in the NL. However, Woodruff and his nasty curveball will likely stand in their way Monday. Expect the Miami offense to be stumped.

BET MILWAUKEE (-160).

Run line/Against the spread

I expect the Marlins hitters to be kept on their toes all night. Although Miami has faced good competition and pitching as of late, Woodruff will bring a different type of test. Each of the Brewers’ last 5 wins have been by 2 or more runs.

BET MILWAUKEE -1.5 (+135).

Over/Under

Although this has the looks of a pitching duel, there are too many question marks on both sides. The Marlins’ offense comes and goes, while both teams are very much in the thick of the playoff race.

Even with all things trending up for Woodruff, he’s still only been back for about 5 weeks.

PASS.

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Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins (65-92) face the Milwaukee Brewers (84-73) Saturday in the 3rd game of a 4-game set at American Family Field. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Brewers lead 3-2.

The Marlins lost a heartbreaker, 1-0, with their ace RHP Sandy Alcantara on the hill Friday. They put 3 runners on in the 9th inning but couldn’t get the equalizer as Brewers closer Devin Williams struck out the side. The Marlins took the first game of this series and are 5-5 over the last 10.

Milwaukee must treat every game like its last to get into the postseason. The Brewers are half game out of the final Wild Card spot the Philadelphia Phillies hold with 4 to go after Saturday. The San Diego Padres are in the 2nd Wild Card spot and are 1 1/2 games up on Philadelphia.

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Marlins at Brewers projected starters

RHP Edward Cabrera vs. LHP Aaron Ashby

Cabrera (6-4, 3.15 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 68 2/3 IP.

  • Went 2-2 with a 4.38 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.0 K/9 in September
  • Road warrior: 3-1, 1.62 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 on road vs. 3-3, 4.58 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 7.9 K/9 at home

Ashby (2-10, 4.50 ERA) makes his 19th start and 26th appearance. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 100 IP.

  • Made 2 appearances (1 start) in Sept: 3.2 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 4 BB, 2 K
  • Threw 40 and 41 pitches his last 2 appearances – could go 40-60 pitches or 2-4 innings

Marlins at Brewers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Marlins +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Brewers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-145) | Brewers -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Marlins at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Marlins 3

Money line

Milwaukee has to find a way to win this one, and the Brewers will likely have to do it without their closer – who threw 27 pitches Friday night. The Phillies have a doubleheader against the lowly Washington Nationals Saturday, which means another chance to gain some ground on Milwaukee.

They’ll feel that pressure and react or fold. I’m leaning toward the former but not enough to put -190 on it. The Brewers’ bullpen is vulnerable, so if this goes extras, they’re in trouble anyway.

Take them to win in the first 9 with BREWERS FIRST 9 INNINGS (-155).

Run line/Against the spread

I don’t trust the Brewers to win by 2 or the Marlins to stay within 1. Let’s go with BREWERS OVER 1.5 TOTAL RUNS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-150) as Cabrera has allowed at least 2 ER in 4 straight starts.

Over/Under

Three games of the season series have been low-scoring, including the last 2, and 2 games have been laughers that went Over 10. Miami is 4-5-1 O/U over the last 10, and the Brewers are a woeful 2-8. Eight runs seems like a bit of a tall order for these offenses.

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-130).

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Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins (64-91) begin a 4-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers (83-72) on Thursday at American Family Field at 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Brewers lead 2-1

The Marlins aren’t playing for playoff position, but they’ve managed to win 3 of their last 5 games. During September, though, Miami has gone 9-16, which puts the Marlins in 2nd-to-last place in the NL East.

The Brewers are still vying for a wild-card spot in the NL with the season winding down. Milwaukee is a half-game behind the Philadelphia Phillies for the 3rd and final wild-card spot entering Thursday’s contest.

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Marlins at Brewers projected starters

LHP Braxton Garrett vs. LHP Eric Lauer

Garrett (3-6, 3.52 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 79 1/3 IP.

  • Has allowed at least 1 HR in 3 of his last 4 starts
  • The Marlins have lost 4 of his last 6 starts

Lauer (10-7, 3.96 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 147 2/3 IP.

  • Has given up 15 combined ER in last 4 starts
  • May 14 at Marlins: 5 IP, 6 H, 4 ER, 0 BB, 7 K

Marlins at Brewers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:53 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Marlins +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Brewers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-135) | Brewers -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Marlins at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 5, Marlins 3

Money line

While I believe the Brewers will win this game, I’ll PASS on the money line in this matchup. Milwaukee has odds that don’t make it worth taking them straight up over Miami.

Run line/Against the spread

Can the Brewers win by multiple runs in this game? With Milwaukee having something to play for to end the season, give me BREWERS -1.5 (+110) as they’ve outscored their opponent by at least 2 runs in each of their last 6 wins.

Over/Under

OVER 7.5 RUNS (-108) seems to be the move with the Marlins and Brewers squaring off. When these 2 teams meet, there tends to be a decent number of runs scored.

The Over has hit in 5 of the last 6 meetings between Miami and Milwaukee when the game takes place at American Family Field. Plus, the Over has hit in 42 of the previous 64 meetings between the Marlins and the Brewers.

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Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins (9-12) and Milwaukee Brewers (13-8) meet at American Family Field to open a three-game series Monday at 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Trevor Rogers is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins. He is 2-1 with a 1.64 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 12.7 K/9, and 4.1 BB/9 in 22 IP over 4 starts. Rogers is coming off a superb outing against the Baltimore Orioles Wednesday (7 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 8 K).

RHP Corbin Burnes is the projected starter for the Brewers. He is 2-1 with a 0.37 ERA, 0.33 WHIP, 14.8 K/9, and 0.0 BB/9 in 24 1/3 IP over 4 starts. Burnes has been ultra-consistent, pitching 6 or 6/13 IP each start, striking out between 9-11, and walking none. He has benefited from a .171 batting average on balls in play and a 100% left-on-base rate, but the Milwaukee right-hander has exhibited a significant uptick in velocity and has produced a tremendous 19.6% swinging-strike rate through four turns.

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Marlins at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Marlins +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Brewers -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Marlins +1.5 (-145) | Brewers -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under: 6 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Marlins 4, Brewers 3

Money line (ML)

Milwaukee closed out a six-game road trip with a 6-0 win at Wrigley Field Sunday. The Brewers won five of those six games and head into this week in first place in the NL Central. Miami dropped its series finale at the San Francisco Giants Sunday and is just 2-5 over its last 7 games.

The Fish don’t settle into an easy travel slot here, but Rogers gives them more than just a puncher’s chance. Miami has the better bullpen and it’s one with the best arms better rested.

BACK THE MARLINS (+150).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Miami is a fair play at the current run-line tag. Consider the MARLINS +1.5 (-145) as a decent value, especially with such a low run total.

Over/Under (O/U)

Lean into some gravity on this play and BACK THE OVER 6 (-120). Neither offense is off to a great start and if the retractable roof is open for this one, the pitching stands to benefit from an inward breeze. But the starters’ surface numbers appear to be weighed too heavily here.

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