Tag: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres odds predictions pick betting line spread

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (63-45) and San Diego Padres (58-51) wrap up a 2-game set at Petco Park Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 6-3

The Padres won 6-5 in 10 innings as +118 underdogs in the opener Tuesday as the Over (7) cashed. PH Donovan Solano hit a walk-off single in the 10th inning for San Diego, which came all the way back from an early 5-0 deficit.

The NL West-leading Dodgers had a 93% win probability, according to ESPN Analytics, heading into the top of the 9th inning with a 5-3 lead. L.A. has lost 4 of its last 6 after going on a 5-game win streak July 19-23 out of the All-Star break.

Dodgers at Padres projected starters

LHP Clayton Kershaw vs. RHP Dylan Cease

Kershaw (0-0, 4.50 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 2 ER on 6 hits and 2 walks with 6 K’s in 4 IP in his season debut, a 6-4 home victory over the San Francisco Giants Thursday.

  • Was activated off 60-day IL Thursday after having offseason shoulder surgery
  • 2023 stats: 13-5, 2.46 ERA (131 2/3 IP, 36 ER), 1.06 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 in 24 starts
  • Career vs. Padres (regular season): 23-10, 2.12 ERA (296 2/3 IP, 70 ER), 0.99 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 46 starts, including 0-1 with 7.71 ERA (4 2/3 IP, 4 ER) in 1 start last year

Cease (10-8, 3.50 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 131 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 9 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 3 BB, 9 K in 2nd no-hitter in Padres history, a 3-0 victory at Washington Nationals Thursday
  • 2024 home stats: 4-5, 3.32 ERA (59 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 12.2 K/9 in 10 starts
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 0-1, 1.80 ERA (10 IP, 2 ER), 1.60 WHIP, 16.2 K/9 in 2 starts, including 0-0 with 3.38 ERA (5 1/3 IP, 2 ER) in 1 start last season

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:44 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Padres -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers +1.5 (-200) | Padres -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Padres 4

Moneyline

The DODGERS (+115) don’t seem like an attractive team to back right now, especially after Kershaw’s mediocre season debut against the Giants Thursday. However, Cease may be due for a huge letdown after throwing a no-hitter at Washington in his last start.

L.A. is tied with the New York Yankees for 1st in MLB with a .334 on-base percentage, much better than the last 3 teams Cease has faced in the Nationals (16th), Cleveland Guardians (15th) and Atlanta Braves (24th).

While Cease’s stretch of 3 straight games allowing 0 ER has been impressive, he’ll be facing a much more dangerous batting order in the Dodgers, who will be extra focused after blowing a 5-run lead in the opener.

BET DODGERS (+115).

Run line/Against the spread

L.A. +1.5 (-200) should hit, but it’s hard to stay profitable in MLB betting into lines with this much vig.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

I’m going against the market’s love for Cease in this spot. Seven is a key number in MLB totals, and I can’t bet the Under at this number when Cease is in a potential letdown spot after throwing a no-hitter.

Kershaw also allowed 2 ER in 4 IP in his season debut, and the jury’s still out on whether the 36-year-old can return to form after having offseason shoulder surgery.

BET OVER 7 (-110).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (63-44) and San Diego Padres (57-51) open a 2-game set at Petco Park Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 5-3

The Dodgers avoided a 3-game sweep at the Houston Astros over the weekend, wrapping up the series with a 6-2 win as +120 underdogs Sunday with the Under (8.5) barely hitting. RHP River Ryan fanned 8 in his 1st MLB win for the Dodgers, who hit 3 HRs in the series finale.

The Padres won 2 of 3 games at the Baltimore Orioles for their 3rd straight series win. They lost 8-6 as +121 underdogs in the Sunday finale as the Over (9) easily cashed. The loss ended a 7-game Padres win streak.

Dodgers at Padres projected starters

RHP Tyler Glasnow vs. RHP Matt Waldron

Glasnow (8-6, 3.47 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and an MLB-leading 11.6 K/9 in 114 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 8-3 home defeat vs. San Francisco Giants Wednesday
  • 2024 road stats: 2-2, 3.26 ERA (47 IP, 17 ER), 0.98 WHIP, 12.6 K/9 in 8 starts
  • 2024 vs. Padres: 0-0, 2.25 ERA (12 IP, 3 ER), 0.75 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 in 2 starts
  • Career vs. Padres: 0-0, 2.12 ERA (17 IP, 4 ER), 0.71 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 in 5 appearances (2 starts)

Waldron (6-9, 3.64 ERA) makes his 22nd start. The rookie has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 118 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 12-3 victory at Washington Nationals Wednesday
  • 2024 home stats: 2-5, 4.33 ERA (52 IP, 25 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 in 9 starts
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 0-1, 2.61 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 2 starts this year

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:01 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Padres +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+110) | Padres +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Padres 4

Moneyline

The DODGERS (-155) had won 6 of 7 heading into the Astros series, and although they dropped 2 of 3 games at Houston, they were underdogs in all 3 due to pitching mismatches. The Dodgers have won 4 of Glasnow’s last 5 starts, while the Padres have lost 4 of Waldron’s last 5.

BET DODGERS (-155).

Run line/Against the spread

The Padres have won 7 of 8, and San Diego +1.5 (-135) will probably hit, but backing Waldron to keep it close against the 4th-best offense in MLB this season seems risky.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

Waldron has allowed 3 or more runs in 4 of his last 5 starts, and Glasnow has given up 2 or more in 4 straight. The Dodgers have scored 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 games, while the Padres have put up 4 or more in 5 of their last 6.

BET OVER 7.5 (-105).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (26-14) and San Diego Padres (21-20) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series at Petco Park Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 4-2

The Padres have won back-to-back games and are coming off a 2-1 victory as +150 home underdogs over the Dodgers in the series opener Friday. The Padres have won 3 of their last 4 games and 7 of their last 9. San Diego is 21-19 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

Friday’s loss snapped a 7-game winning streak for the Dodgers. It was the 1st time they had scored 1 or fewer runs since April 28. Los Angeles is 21-19 ATS on the season and 10-6 straight up on the road.

Dodgers at Padres projected starters

LHP James Paxton vs. RHP Matt Waldron

Paxton (4-0, 3.06 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 6.7 BB/9 and 5.0 K/9 in 32 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 5-1 home victory over Atlanta Braves Sunday
  • 2024 road splits: 2-0, 4.02 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 14 H, 1 HR, 9 BB, 9 K in 3 starts
  • Career vs. Padres: 2-1, 2.55 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.58 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 5 starts

Waldron (1-4, 5.82 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.56 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 34 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 7 ER, 8 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 11-4 setback at Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday
  • 2024 home splits: 0-3, 7.98 ERA (14 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 22 H, 3 HR, 2 BB, 13 K in 3 starts
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 1-0, 1.80 ERA (5 IP, 1 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 1 start, a 5-2 home win April 13

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Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:35 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -146 (bet $146 to win $100) | Padres +124 (bet $100 to win $124)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Dodgers -1.5 (+110) | Padres +1.5 (-132)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -118 | U: -104)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Padres 3

Moneyline

BET DODGERS (-146).

The Dodgers are 5-1 in Paxton’s 6 starts this season, having taken down the Braves 5-1 and Diamondbacks 8-4 in his last 2 outings. Los Angeles is 3-0 in its last 3 games after a loss and 9-4 on the season.

The Padres have lost Waldron’s last 2 starts and allowed at least 5 runs in each outing. Considering the trends for both sides, back DODGERS (-146).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

While there’s a case to be made for the Dodgers’ run line as well, their moneyline is playable here and the preferred route.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 9 (-104).

The Padres have gone Under in 3 straight games, and their offense, despite winning 2 of the 3, has been absent. They have scored 7 runs in their last 3 games and tallied just 17 in their last 5.

The Dodgers have gone Under in 2 straight games and 6 of their last 9. Los Angeles has gone Under in 2 of Paxton’s last 3 starts. Back UNDER 9 (-104).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego Padres (20-20) welcome the Los Angeles Dodgers (26-13) to Petco Park Friday. First pitch to kick off the 3-game series is set for 9:40 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 3-2

The Padres have won 2 of their last 3 games and 6 of their last 8. They have covered the run line in 3 straight and are 7-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 8. San Diego is 20-19 ATS on the season. It is 8-11 on the road.

The Dodgers have won 7 straight games with 6 of those victories coming by more than 1 run. They have swept the Atlanta Braves and Miami Marlins in back-to-back series. Los Angeles is 21-18 ATS. It is 10-5 on the road.

Dodgers at Padres projected starters

RHP Tyler Glasnow vs. RHP Michael King

Glasnow (6-1, 2.70 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 0.92 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 in 50 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 11-2 home victory vs. Braves Saturday
  • 2024 road splits: 2-0, 1.50 ERA (18 IP, 3 ER), 7 H (0 HR), 7 BB, 26 K in 3 starts
  • Career vs. San Diego: 0-0, 2.70 ERA (10 IP, 3 ER), 0.95 WHIP, 5 H, 4 BB, 9 K in 1 start and 3 relief appearances

King (3-3, 4.29 ERA) makes his 8th start and 9th appearance. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 42 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 13-1 road win vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Saturday
  • 2024 home splits: 0-1, 7.71 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 8 H (4 HR), 10 BB, 12 K in 2 starts
  • Career vs. Los Angeles: 1-0, 6.10 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.55 WHIP, 11 H, 5 BB, 12 K in 1 start and 2 relief appearances

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Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:24 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Padres +152 (bet $100 to win $152)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (-114) | Padres +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Padres 2

Moneyline

PASS.

The Dodgers (-180) are rolling, and with Glasnow on the mound, they should continue their streak. However, at -180, they are too pricey to take outright.

Run line/Against the spread

BET DODGERS -1.5 (-114).

The Dodgers have been surging and are the 7th-best team in MLB on the run line at 21-18. They are 9-5 ATS as road favorites, the 4th-best covering rate in that situation.

The Padres and Toronto Blue Jays are the only teams that have not covered the run line as home underdogs (both 0-3).

The Dodgers have won and covered Glasnow’s last 3 starts.

With those trends in mind, back DODGERS -1.5 (-114).

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-112).

The Dodgers have scored at least 5 runs in 4 of their last 5 games. The Over has hit in 3 of the 5, and L.A. singlehandedly scored enough runs for the Over to hit twice over that span. The Dodgers are 21-17-1 O/U on the season.

The Padres are 3-2 O/U in their last 5 games and 21-17-1 O/U on the season as well. San Diego has scored at least 6 runs in 5 of its last 8 games, so it should be able to get a couple on the board Friday.

Take OVER 7.5 (-112).

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Diego Padres open the 2024 Major League Baseball season in the Korea Series Wednesday morning in Seoul, South Korea. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05 a.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers won 2023 season series 9-4

This will be the 1st MLB regular-season game played on South Korean soil. The game takes place at the Gocheok Sky Dome in the capital city of Seoul, home of the Kiwoom Heroes of the Korean Baseball Organization (KBO). Former Dodgers and Padres major leaguer Chan Ho Park, the first Korean-born player in the majors, will be on hand to toss out the 1st pitch.

The Dodgers won the National League West with a 100-62 regular-season record, 16 games clear of the Arizona Diamondbacks. But Los Angeles ended up getting swept by the Snakes in the NLDS 3-0. The Padres were 2 games above .500 at 82-80 last season, 18 games back of the Dodgers. But there is a ton of excitement and expectations with the addition of DH Shohei Ohtani.

Padres manager Mike Shildt announced OF Jackson Merrill won the starting center field job. The 20-year-old, 1st-round pick in 2021 (27th overall) is expected to become just the 3rd player in the past 50 years to start in center field on Opening Day before turning 21 years old. The other 2 were Ken Griffey Jr. and Andruw Jones, so that’s quite an exclusive club.

Dodgers vs. Padres projected starters

RHP Tyler Glasnow vs. RHP Yu Darvish

Glasnow (10-7, 3.53 ERA) made 21 starts in 2023 with the Tampa Bay Rays. He had a 1.08 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 through 120 innings.

  • 2023 night game splits: Went 8-5 with a 3.62 ERA with 30 BB and 113 K across 87 IP in 15 starts
  • Hasn’t faced the Padres since July 1, 2018, when he was a member of the Pittsburgh Pirates. That appearance came in relief

Darvish (8-10, 4.56 ERA) made 24 starts in 2023. He posted a 1.30 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 136 1/3 innings.

  • 2023 night game splits: Went 7-7 with a 4.47 ERA with 29 BB and 97 K across 98 2/3 IP in 17 starts
  • 2023 splits vs. LAD: 1-0, 1.98 ERA across 13 2/3 IP in 2 starts with 1 BB and 10 K

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Dodgers vs. Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 5:34 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Padres +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (-120) | Padres +1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Dodgers vs. Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Padres 3

Moneyline

The Dodgers (-200) will cost 2 times the potential return. That’s a lot of risk in a game with a lot of unknowns.

One, we haven’t seen Glasnow start against the Padres in his career. Two, we haven’t seen the right-hander pitcher in a Dodgers uniform just yet. Three, we don’t know a lot about how the ball will jump off the bat at the Skydome in Seoul.

There is just too much risk and not enough reward. Still, while we know the Dodgers are, or at least should be, better than the Padres (+165), this is a PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The DODGERS -1.5 (-120) are a better play, with a little less risk, on the run line.

Glasnow, if he is 100 percent healthy, could be a tremendous addition to the Los Angeles rotation. Prior to his Tommy John surgery in August 2021 to repair a partial tear of the UCL and a flexor strain in his right arm, he was on a quick upward trajectory. He looked like one of the brightest stars in the game. Now, he has a high-octane offense backing him.

In 2023, Los Angeles won 9 of the 13 regular-season matchups with the Padres. The previous 8 victories for the Dodgers came by at least 2 runs. So if you like L.A., you should like it on the run line, too.

Over/Under

UNDER 9 (-120) is the lean, but go lightly. We don’t know a lot about how Gocheok Sky Dome is going to play out, but we do know Glasnow and Darvish have each been dealing in Cactus League spring starts.

We should see good pitching, at least early on. The 2nd game of this 2-game series (Thursday), features 2 starters who might be a little more giving.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (63-45) and San Diego Padres (54-56) meet Saturday for game 2 of a 4-game series. First pitch from Petco Park is set for 8:40 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 6-1

Los Angeles won 10-5 as +114 road underdogs in the series opener Friday. San Diego led 3-1 after 7 innings, but L.A. scored 5 runs in the 8th and 3 more in the 9th to win a 6th straight in the head-to-head series.

The Dodgers have won 4 straight, are 6-4 in their last 10 overall and are 29-25 on the road this season.

The Padres, who are 29-26 at home, had a 2-game win streak snapped with Friday’s loss. They are 5-2 in their last 7 and 6-4 in their last 10.

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Dodgers at Padres projected starters

RHP Michael Grove vs. LHP Blake Snell 

Grove (2-3, 6.75 ERA) is slated to make his 12th start of the season — and 15th appearance. He has a 1.58 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 62 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6 IP, 8 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 9-0 home loss to Cincinnati Reds Sunday
  • 2023 road stats: 1-1, 8.85 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 20 ER), 2.21 WHIP, 5.8 K/9
  • Never faced Padres before — made MLB debut May 15, 2022

Snell (8-8, 2.50 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 through 119 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER (1 unearned), 4 H, 4 BB, 9 K in 5-3 home win vs. Texas Rangers Sunday
  • 2023 home stats: 7-4, 2.58 ERA (59 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 12.6 K/9
  • Career vs. Dodgers (regular season): 1-2, 2.61 ERA (51 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 11.5 K/9 in 11 starts

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:15 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Padres -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers +1.5 (-150) | Padres -1,5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Padres 1

Moneyline

LEAN DODGERS (+135).

As mentioned, Los Angeles has dominated San Diego this season, winning 6 in a row. Plus, the Dodgers are 3-1 the last 4 times they faced Snell in a regular-season contest.

Snell is 0-2 with a 3.86 ERA (21 IP, 9 ER) and 1.24 WHIP in those 4 starts, including 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA (12 IP, 4 ER) and a 1.00 WHIP in 2 starts this season.

Look for the DODGERS (+135) to continue their hot streak vs. the Padres Saturday.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS. 

I’m confident the Dodgers will cover the run line, but at +1.5 (-150), the juice eliminates the value. Bet the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).

The Under is 7-2 in the Padres last 9 games, 4-1 in Snell’s last 5 starts, and 4-0 in Snell’s last 4 starts vs. the Dodgers — which includes a 2022 playoff game.

Prior to Friday’s opener cashing an Over ticket — thanks to the Dodgers’ late runs — the Under was 6-0 in the previous 6 head-to-head meetings.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (62-45) and San Diego Padres (54-55) meet Friday to kick off a 4-game series. First pitch from Petco Park is set for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 5-1

Los Angeles won 8-2 as a -271 home favorite Thursday to complete a 3-game sweep of the Oakland Athletics. The Athletics only came close to the Dodgers once in that game, when they trailed 2-1 in the top of the 6th, but the Dodgers were quick to answer. Los Angeles scored 4 runs in the bottom of the 6th to take an insurmountable 6-1 lead. The Dodgers have won 3 straight and are 28-25 on the road this season.

San Diego won 11-1 as a -186 road favorite Wednesday vs. the Colorado Rockies to win the series 2-1. The Padres jumped out to a 3-run lead by the 3rd inning and the Rox were never in the game from that point. San Diego has won back-to-back games and is 6-4 in their last 10 games overall and 29-25 at home on the year.

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Dodgers at Padres projected starters

RHP Bobby Miller vs. RHP Yu Darvish

Miller (6-2, 4.37 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 59 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 6 K in a 6-5 home loss last Friday vs. Cincinnati Reds
  • First career start vs. San Diego

Darvish (8-7, 4.53 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 107 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 4-0 home win Saturday vs. Texas Rangers
  • Career vs. Los Angeles (regular season): 4-5, 2.36 ERA (68 2/3 IP, 18 ER), 0.86 WHIP, 11.5 K/9 through 11 starts

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:17 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Padres -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers +1.5 (-190) | Padres -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 3, Padres 2

Moneyline

LEAN DODGERS (+105).

The Padres are the slightly hotter team but the Dodgers have dominated them lately. Los Angeles has won 5 straight vs. San Diego and both teams are 3-2 in their starters’ last 5 starts overall. The Dodgers are also solid on the road while the Padres are mediocre at home.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like the Dodgers +1.5 (-190) to cover here but that line is simply not worth the juice when you can get them on the moneyline at plus money. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-115).

The Under is 8-2 in San Diego’s last 10 games and 2-1 in Darvish’s last 3 starts. The Under is also 6-0 in the last 6 Los Angeles-San Diego meetings.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (19-13) begin a 3-game series against the San Diego Padres (17-15) on Friday at Petco Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023; the Dodgers won 14 of 19 games against the Padres in 2022.

The Dodgers defeated the Philadelphia Phillies 10-6 on Wednesday, outscoring the Phillies 36-11 in the 3-game series. Los Angeles has strung together 6 straight wins and has won 8 of its last 10 contests.

The Padres beat the Cincinnati Reds 7-1 Wednesday to win the series 2-1. San Diego has won 4 of its last 5 games and 7 of its last 10.

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Dodgers at Padres projected starters

LHP Clayton Kershaw vs. RHP Yu Darvish

Kershaw (5-1, 1.89 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.76 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 38 IP.

  • Has pitched at least 6 innings in each of his first 6 starts
  • Has allowed 1 ER across 20 IP over his last 3 starts
  • Boasts a 23-9 record with a 2.03 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and 9.6 K/9 in 45 career starts against the Padres

Darvish (1-2, 3.60 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 30 IP.

  • The only 3 home runs he’s given up this season came in his last start vs. the San Francisco Giants on Apr. 30. in Mexico City
  • Owns a 3-5 record with a 2.47 ERA, 0.87 WHIP and 11.9 K/9 in 10 career starts against the Dodgers.

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Padres -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+145) | Padres +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Padres 2

Moneyline

With Kershaw pitching at a Cy Young level right now, I’ll back the DODGERS (-115) on the road in Friday’s NL West tilt.

Run line/Against the spread

DODGERS -1.5 (+145) has good value with Kershaw’s dominant pitching and considering that Los Angeles’ bats are in a great rhythm right now. The Dodgers have won 26 of the last 38 meetings with the Padres and we only need them to win by 2 runs to cover the run line.

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Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (+100) is how I’d bet on the run total with Kershaw and Darvish having career success in this matchup. The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Diego.

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NLDS Game 4: Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Game 4 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres meet Saturday evening for Game 4 of their NL Division Series. First pitch from Petco Park is slated for 9:37 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Best-of-5 series: Padres lead 2-1
Regular-season series: Dodgers won 14-5

NL West champion Los Angeles – winner of 111 regular-season games – took the NLDS opener but has dropped 2 games since. The Dodgers amassed 17 hits over the 2 setbacks, but they went a combined 0-for-17 with men in scoring position.

The Padres have received good pitching and timely hitting in taking the series lead. In their combined 6 playoff games – 3 NL Wild Card games vs. the New York Mets and 3 in NLDS here – the Friars have overcome a high whiff rate by banging out 9 home runs.

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Dodgers at Padres projected starters

LHP Tyler Anderson vs. RHP Joe Musgrove

Anderson appeared in 30 regular-season games, making 28 starts. He went 15-5 with a 2.57 ERA and logged a 1.00 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 across 178 2/3 IP.

  • Owns 2.05 ERA across last 5 starts vs. Padres
  • Last pitched on Oct. 2
  • Making 2nd career postseason start but 1st since 2018

Musgrove went 10-7 with a 2.93 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 181 IP over 30 regular-season starts.

  • Tossed 7 one-hit, shutout innings against the Mets in NL Wild Card Series clincher Sunday
  • Allowed just 1 ER over last 5 starts, including 0 ER in last 3
  • Owns 3.38 ERA over last 5 starts vs. Dodgers

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:24 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Padres +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+140) | Padres +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -101 | U: -120)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Padres 4

Moneyline

The Dodgers (-120) are the lean, but the return for the risk makes the RL a stronger play. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Anderson has pitched well before when on extended rest, and he’s backed by a fresher bullpen.

Look for the talent-superior Dodgers to shake off their clutch-hitting slump. BACK LOS ANGELES -1.5 (+140).

Over/Under

Dating back to the regular-season series between these clubs, the winning team has scored 5-or-more runs in 11 of the last 15 meetings. Mix in the batters’ familiarity with starters and relievers alike, a likely fatigued Padre ‘pen and some favorable batting-average-on-balls-in-play figures for both starters, and the OVER 7.5 (-101) is a solid play.

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NLDS Game 3: Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Game 3 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Diego Padres meet in Game 3 of an NL Division Series at Petco Park Friday. First pitch of the best-of-5 series is scheduled for 8:37 p.m. ET (FOX Sports 1). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Playoff series: Tied 1-1

The Dodgers won 14 of the 19 regular-season meetings, but the Padres don’t care about that. San Diego went to Dodger Stadium, a place it traditionally hasn’t played well, and gained the split to seize home-field advantage in this NLDS.

The Dodgers won Game 1 by a 5-3 count, and the Padres returned the favor in Game 2 by an identical score. The Over cashed last time out after a push at most shops in the series opener.

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Dodgers at Padres projected starters

RHP Tony Gonsolin vs. LHP Blake Snell

Gonsolin (16-1, 2.14 ERA) had a 0.87 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 130 1/3 IP in 24 regular-season starts.

  • Is a perfect 7-0 with a 2.66 ERA with a .187 opponent batting average with 64 K across 64 1/3 IP in 12 road outings
  • Went 2-0 with a 0.71 ERA with 14 K and a .156 opponent BA across 12 2/3 IP in 2 starts against San Diego this season

Snell (8-10, 3.38 ERA) made 24 regular-season starts. He had a 1.20 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 through 128 IP.

  • Was a dismal 4-8 with a 3.56 ERA with 108 K across 81 IP in 15 home outings
  • Managed an 0-1 record, 3.86 ERA and 10 BB with 23 K across 14 IP in 3 starts vs. L.A. Dodgers this season

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:01 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Padres +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+135) | Padres +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 3, Padres 1

Moneyline

The DODGERS (-125) coughed up home-field advantage in Game 2, but it will wrestle it right back after Gonsolin pitches them back ahead in the series.

The right-hander has been untouchable, and he dominated the Padres (+102) this season, while Snell didn’t do very well at home. L.A. moves back ahead here.

Run line/Against the spread

DODGERS -1.5 (+135) is worth playing lightly. Each team has won by a 5-3 score in the first 2 games in this series, so why get away from what has been working. Los Angeles has won 5 of the last 7 meetings dating back to the regular season, and it has won all but 1 of those games by 2 or more runs.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-130) is a strong play with Gonsolin on the hill. The only concern is whether or not Snell can put it together and hold the Dodgers offense somewhat in check. The Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings, although, again, the Over is 1-0-1 in this NLDS so far.

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