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The Los Angeles Dodgers (27-14) close out their 3-game road series against the San Diego Padres (21-21) Sunday. First pitch is at 4:10 p.m. ET from PETCO Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Padres lead 4-3.
The Dodgers bounced back from a series-opening loss to shut out the Padres 5-0 on Saturday as starter James Paxton scattered 4 hits over 6 scoreless innings and OF Teoscar Hernandez hit a grand slam. The Dodgers have won 8 of their last 9 games.
The Padres had a 2-game winning streak snapped with the loss but have won 7 of their last 10 games. They sit 6 1/2 behind the frontrunning Dodgers in the NL West.
Dodgers at Padres projected starters
RHP Walker Buehler vs. RHP Yu Darvish
Buehler (0-0, 6.75 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 0 BB and 4 K through 4 IP.
- Last start: No decision, 4 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 6-3 home win over Miami Monday
- Making only 2nd start since 2022, coming back from Tommy John surgery
- 6-0 with 1.49 ERA in 10 career starts vs. Padres
Darvish (2-1, 2.94 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 33 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 6-3 road win over Cubs Monday
- 4-5 with 2.45 ERA in 14 career starts against the Dodgers
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Dodgers at Padres odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Padres -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+150) | Padres +1.5 (-185)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 5, Padres 3
Moneyline
The Dodgers are the hotter team right now, having won 8 of 9. They have scored 5 or more runs in 6 of those games. They are 12-6 on the road, while the Padres are only 9-13 at home.
Darvish hasn’t allowed a run in his last 2 starts (10 IP) but allowed 3 runs in 5 innings on April 14 against them at Dodger Stadium in a 6-3 Padres win.
Buehler has owned the Padres in his career, and even being just his 2nd start since returning from injury, the Padres haven’t scored more than 3 runs in their last 4 games.
So taking the Dodgers to win isn’t a bad play, but the run line will be the better value for this game.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
Ten of the Dodgers’ last 11 wins have been by 2 or more runs. They only have 5 1-run wins out of 27 victories. It is a safe bet, especially at +150, to expect the Dodgers to cover the -1.5.
Plus, 6 of the Padres’ last 7 losses have been by 2 or more runs.
BET DODGERS -1.5 (+150).
Over/Under
Darvish’s last 4 starts have had more than 7 total runs.
The Dodgers have not had a game reach 8 total runs in their last 3, and the Padres have not in their last 4. But San Diego’s 6 games before that all hit at least 8 runs.
BET OVER 7.5 (-115).
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