The Los Angeles Dodgers (63-46) face the San Diego Padres (55-56) on the road Sunday for the 3rd of their 4-game series. First pitch from PETCO Park is at 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Dodgers lead 6-2.
The Dodgers had their 4-game winning streak snapped Saturday in an 8-3 loss to the Padres to even the series at 1-1. They hold a 3-game lead in the NL West.
The Padres picked up the 8-3 win Saturday, beating the Dodgers for only the 2nd time this season. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and 6 of their last 8. They sit 3 games out of the final Wild Card spot.
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Dodgers at Padres projected starters
RHP Lance Lynn vs. LHP Rich Hill
Lynn (7-9, 6.32 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 through 126 2/3 IP.
- Last start (1st for Dodgers): Win, 7 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 7-3 home win over Oakland A’s Aug. 1
- Before trade to Dodgers, allowed 4 or more ER in 4 of 5 starts
Hill (7-10, 4.76 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 119 IP.
- Making 1st start for Padres after trade from Pittsburgh Pirates
- Last start: No decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 6-4 win over Philadelphia Phillies at home July 30
Dodgers at Padres odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Padres +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+135) | Padres +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 7, Padres 4
Moneyline
Both teams have new veteran additions to their starting rotation. Lynn makes his 2nd start for the Dodgers while Hill makes his Padres debut.
The Dodgers have won 7 of their last 11 road games. They have won 4 of their last 5. They had beaten the Padres 6 straight times before last night’s loss.
The Padres have won 4 of their last 5 home games.
Betting the Dodgers isn’t a bad play here at -125, but since 18 of their last 20 wins have been by 2 or more runs, the run line is much more appealing.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
As noted, 18 of the Dodgers’ last 20 wins and each of their last 4 have been by at least 2 runs.
Four of the Padres’ last 6 losses have been by 2 or more runs.
Five of the Dodgers’ 6 wins over the Padres have been by at least 2 runs.
BET DODGERS -1.5 (+135).
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Over/Under
The Dodgers’ last 5 games and 12 of their last 17 have all had 10 or more total runs.
The Padres have had 4 straight games of 10 or more total runs.
Four of Hill’s last 5 starts with the Pirates had 10 or more total runs.
BET OVER 9.5 (-115).
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