The Los Angeles Angels (45-42) take on the San Diego Padres (39-46) in the middle game of a 3-game set Tuesday at Petco Park. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Padres lead 1-0.
The Halos have dropped 5 of 6 games, including Monday’s tilt 10-3, a slump that has dropped them 6 games back in the AL West. The Angels are averaging just 3.6 runs per game in the 9 games since their 25-run explosion against the Colorado Rockies on June 24.
Los Angeles is a respectable 22-22 on the road but just 11-13 in interleague play this season. OF Mike Trout left Monday’s game after injuring his wrist on a swing and is probably doubtful Tuesday.
The Padres have lost 7 of their last 9 games as their turbulent season continues. San Diego has really struggled in 1-run games at 5-15 and is 0-7 in extra innings. The Friars are 11 games back in the NL West. They managed a 10-3 win Monday in the series opener despite allowing 14 hits and issuing 6 walks by holding the Angels to 4-for-16 with runners in scoring position, resulting in 14 men left on base.
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Angels at Padres projected starters
RHP Shohei Ohtani vs. RHP Joe Musgrove
Ohtani (7-3, 3.02 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 through 95 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 10 K last Tuesday against Chicago White Sox
- Has never faced Padres
- A little more hittable on the road in 2023: 4.03 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 11.4 K/9 in 7 road starts vs. 2.35 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 12.4 K/9 in 9 home starts
Musgrove (6-2, 3.80 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 across 66 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 6 K Thursday against Pittsburgh Pirates
- Is 5-0 in his last 7 starts
- Last start vs. Angels: Complete-game shutout win; 9 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 9 K on Aug. 27, 2021, at Angel Stadium
Angels at Padres odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:24 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Angels +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Padres -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-200) | Padres -1.5 (+165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Angels at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 4, Angels 1
Moneyline
I like the Padres in this spot. Musgrove has allowed 2 ER or fewer in 6 of his last 7 starts with a 2.13 ERA during the stretch. The Angels are scuffling offensively, and now Trout could be lost for a stretch. Ohtani will give the Halos a chance, but San Diego takes it late.
Take the PADRES (-130).
Run line/Against the spread
We’re picking the Padres for a multi-run win, but it’s a little too risky for me with Ohtani on the hill to make a meaningful wager on, so that’s a PASS.
The Padres haven’t seen Ohtani on the mound before, and I look for him to light them up. He has 22 K’s in his last 2 starts.
Take SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 7.5 K’S (+100).
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Over/Under
The Angels are 4-6 O/U over the last 10 and the Padres are 7-2-1. The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these clubs in San Diego and 5-2 in the last 7 meetings overall.
There is a 9-mph breeze coming in from left-center field on what is projected to be a 73-degree evening. It’s a pitchers’ park, and I favor the UNDER 7.5 (-120) Tuesday night.
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