Liberty Sun odds picks predictions spread over/under betting line

New York Liberty at Connecticut Sun odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Liberty at Connecticut Sun odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Liberty (17-4) and Connecticut Sun (17-4) meet Wednesday afternoon at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Conn. Tip-off is scheduled for 11 a.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Sun odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Liberty lead 1-0

The Liberty picked up an 82-75 home win against the Sun June 8, cashing as 2.5-point favorites with the Over (154) hitting in their 1st regular-season meeting.

Last season, New York won all 4 regular-season meetings vs. Connecticut, while going 3-1 against the spread (ATS) with the Over/Under splitting 2-2.

In the postseason, the Liberty rebounded from a Game 1 loss to win a best-of-5 semifinal series in 4 games vs. the Sun — though Connecticut covered 3 of the 4 playoff battles.

New York is coming off an 83-78 loss as a 10.5-point favorite at the Indiana Fever Saturday, snapping a 5-game win streak. The Liberty are a dismal 2-5 ATS in the past 7 games, while the Under has cashed in 3 in a row.

Connecticut won 80-67 against the visiting Atlanta Dream Sunday, but it just missed the cover as a 14-point favorite. The Sun have won 3 in a row, but it is just 4-3 in the past 7 games, while going 2-6 ATS in the previous 8 contests. The Under has hit in 3 in a row, and 7 of the past 9 contests.

Liberty at Sun odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:46 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Liberty -158 (bet $158 to win $100) | Sun +128 (bet $100 to win $128)
Against the spread: Liberty -2.5 (-112) | Sun +2.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 156.5 (O: -114 | U: -106)

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Liberty at Sun picks and predictions

Prediction

Sun 79, Liberty 75

Moneyline

CONNECTICUT (+128) is a solid moderate underdog on its home court against New York (-158).

Yes, the Liberty has dominated this series lately, winning 8 of the past 9 head-to-head battles, including in 5 straight trips to Connecticut. However, the Sun enter this crucial showdown with 3 straight wins, including impressive victories at the Phoenix Mercury and Minnesota Lynx last week.

Against the spread

Connecticut +2.5 (-108) is worth a look catching the little bit of points if you are a bit on the conservative side and don’t want to bet the moneyline. However, the better value is playing the Sun straight up, and by no means should you play both ends together.

Over/Under

UNDER 156.5 (-106) is a solid play in this clash for the top overall spot in the W.

The Under has cashed in 3 straight regular-season games for Connecticut, while going 7-3 in the past 10 outings. At home, the Sun have cashed Unders in 2 of the past 3.

For the Liberty, they enter play with 3 consecutive Under results, while the Under is 6-3 in the past 9 outings on the road. However, the 1st head-to-head battle in Connecticut teams went Over, so be careful, and go lightly.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

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New York Liberty at Connecticut Sun odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Liberty at Connecticut Sun odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Liberty (9-2) and Connecticut Sun (9-0) meet Saturday in a Commissioner’s Cup game at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Conn. Tip-off is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Sun odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting

New York swept last year’s regular-season series 4-0 before dispatching Connecticut 3-1 in a best-of-5 semifinals.

The Liberty have won 5 in a row since stunning back-to-back losses as favorites vs. the Chicago Sky at home May 23 and at the Minnesota Lynx May 25. New York has covered the past 3 games, too, all as a favorite of 6 or more points, while cashing the Under in each of the previous 2 outings.

The Sun are a perfect 9-for-9 in the win column, and lately Connecticut has picked up the pace against the number. After starting out just 1-4 against the spread (ATS), the Sun are 3-1 ATS in the past 4 outings.

Defense has been a huge part of the success, with Connecticut limiting teams to 59 or fewer points in 3 of those outings. The Sun have cashed the Under in 4 consecutive contests.

Sun reserve G Moriah Jefferson (ankle) carries a questionable tag into Saturday’s play. For the Liberty, G Courtney Vandersloot is a question mark due to personal reasons, while reserve F Nyara Sabally is out with a back injury.

Liberty at Sun odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:08 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Liberty -122 (bet $122 to win $100) | Sun +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
Against the spread: Liberty -1.5 (-108) | Sun +1.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 156.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Liberty at Sun picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 78, Sun 76

Moneyline

New York (-122) will cost slightly more on the moneyline than simply laying 1½ points. The difference is rather negligible, but every little bit helps.

PASS and focus on the spread.

Against the spread

NEW YORK -1.5 (-108) is worth a look laying the 1½ points. As mentioned above, the Liberty have dominated the Sun in head-to-head action, winning a playoff series in 4 games last fall after sweeping the regular-season series 4-0.

To be fair, Connecticut did cover 3 times in the 4-game postseason series, but New York was 3-1 ATS in the 4-game regular-season sweep.

In addition, the Liberty enter with 3 consecutive covers, while going 3-1 ATS in the past 4 tries on the road. The Sun have cashed in 3 of the past 4 outings, but they’re just 3-5 ATS in the previous 8 contests.

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Over/Under

UNDER 156.5 (-108) is a solid play in this clash of Eastern Conference titans.

The Sun have cashed Under in 4 straight, limiting the opposition to 59 or fewer points in 3 of the outings.

The Liberty aren’t likely to get locked down like that as they have a tremendous offense. The Sun will likely try to slow the pace of the game down to a crawl, looking to frustrate F Breanna Stewart, G Sabrina Ionescu and Co.. The Under has hit in 2 straight for New York, and 4 of the previous 6 outings.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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New York Liberty at Connecticut Sun Game 3 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Liberty at Connecticut Sun Game 3 odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Liberty and Connecticut Sun meet Friday for Game 3 of their WNBA semifinals playoff matchup. The best-of-5 series is tied 1-1. Tip-off from Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Conn., is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Sun Game 3 odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

New York suffered a 78-63 setback in Game 1 on its home court, but it bounced back Tuesday with an 84-77 win in Game 2. Connecticut has covered the first 2 games in the series, as an 8.5-point and 9.5-point underdog, respectively.

After shooting just 34% in Game 1, the Liberty bounced back to hit 45% (29 of 65) from the field in Game 2, while hitting 38% (10 of 26) from behind the 3-point line and a perfect 100% (16 of 16) from the free-throw line.

The Sun turned it over just 9 times in Game 2, but it hit just 40% (27 of 68) from the field. G Tiffany Hayes was 1 of just 3 players to go for double-digit totals in Game 2 as she poured in 30 points in Game 2, including 5 triples.

Liberty at Sun Game 3 odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:26 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Liberty -176 (bet $176 to win $100) | Sun +142 (bet $100 to win $142)
Against the spread (ATS): Liberty -3.5 (-115) | Sun +3.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 159.5 (O: -113 | U: -113)

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Liberty at Sun Game 3 picks and predictions

Prediction

Sun 80, Liberty 76

Moneyline

The SUN (+142) are worth a roll of the dice in Game 3, as they look to push the Liberty to the brink of elimination.

While New York won both of the regular-season meetings in Connecticut, the most recent meeting was just a 5-point overtime victory.

Against the spread

The SUN +3.5 (-105) is worth a look in this pivotal Game 3. Connecticut has covered 5 of the past 7 meetings at home against New York and it is 5-0 ATS in the past 5 games following a straight-up loss. The Sun are also 16-5-1 ATS in the past 22 games when playing on 2 days of rest.

The Liberty are 2-7 ATS in the past 9 when playing on 2 days of rest and are 0-4 ATS in the past 4 after a straight-up win.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 159.5 (-113) is the lean in Game 3.

The Under hit in Game 1, and the Over cashed in Game 2. The Under is 10-4 in the past 14 meetings between these squads and is 13-6-1 in the past 20 battles at Mohegan Sun Arena.

The Under is also 10-4 in the past 14 games for the Sun in the Semifinals round, while cashing at a 4-1 clip in the past 5 games when playing on 2 days of rest.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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New York Liberty at Connecticut Sun odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Liberty at Connecticut Sun odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Liberty (25-7) travel to meet the Connecticut Sun (23-10) Thursday. Tip-off from Mohegan Sun Arena is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Sun odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

It’s been a great season for the Liberty so far, as New York has already clinched a playoff berth, while winning the Commissioner’s Cup. However, it leads the Eastern Conference by just 2 1/2 games over the Sun.

The Liberty have posted wins in 7 of the past 8 regular-season games, while covering 5 of the previous 6 outings. The Under is on a 7-1 run across the past 8 regular-season games, and 8-1 in the past 9 if you toss in the Commissioner’s Cup win over Las Vegas on Aug. 15.

The Sun won 68-64 last time out in Washington on Tuesday, pushing at most shops. The Sun is just 1-3-1 against the spread (ATS) across the past 5 games, with the Under hitting in each of the past 2 outings.

These 2 teams are the only ones in the East with a positive point differential. The Liberty won the first 2 battles this season, taking an 81-65 decision on May 27 in Brooklyn to cover a 6.5-point number as the Under (164.5) cashed, while winning 89-81 in Connecticut as 4.5-point favorites, while the Over (168.5) came through.

Liberty at Sun odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:41 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Liberty -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Sun +195 (bet $100 to win $195)
Against the spread (ATS): Liberty -6.5 (-105) | Sun +6.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 165.5 (O: -110) | U: -110)

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Liberty at Sun picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 79, Sun 73

Moneyline

The Liberty (-250) is quite attractive straight up, since New York has won the first 2 meetings by an average of 12.0 points per game (PPG). However, risking 2 1/2 times your potential return on a road team isn’t the best course of action. That’s too risky, and over the long haul, it’s a losing proposition.

PASS.

Against the spread

NEW YORK -6.5 (-105) is the lean, ever so slightly. I expect this one to come down to free throws at the end to determine who covers. The good news for Liberty backers is that they’re No. 2 in the WNBA in free-throw percentage at 82.5%, while also ranking No. 2 in points per game (88.5), field-goal percentage (45.5%) and 3-pointer percentage (37.9%).

Connecticut +6.5 (-115) is a very good team, but it has yet to be able to solve the Lib straight up, or against the number, in the previous 2 meetings.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 165.5 (-110) is the play, but like the side, I’d do lightly on this one.

The Under has been dominating for the Liberty lately, cashing in 7 of the past 8 regular-season games, as well as the Commissioner’s Cup win in Las Vegas on Aug. 15.

Like New York, Connecticut has fill up the basket with points, averaging 82.9 PPG. However, the Sun has the best D in the WNBA, allowing just 78.7 PPG, while holding the opposition to 31.3% from behind the arc, good for 2nd in the league.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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