New York Liberty at Connecticut Sun Game 3 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Liberty at Connecticut Sun Game 3 odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Liberty and Connecticut Sun meet Friday for Game 3 of their WNBA semifinals playoff matchup. The best-of-5 series is tied 1-1. Tip-off from Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Conn., is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Sun Game 3 odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

New York suffered a 78-63 setback in Game 1 on its home court, but it bounced back Tuesday with an 84-77 win in Game 2. Connecticut has covered the first 2 games in the series, as an 8.5-point and 9.5-point underdog, respectively.

After shooting just 34% in Game 1, the Liberty bounced back to hit 45% (29 of 65) from the field in Game 2, while hitting 38% (10 of 26) from behind the 3-point line and a perfect 100% (16 of 16) from the free-throw line.

The Sun turned it over just 9 times in Game 2, but it hit just 40% (27 of 68) from the field. G Tiffany Hayes was 1 of just 3 players to go for double-digit totals in Game 2 as she poured in 30 points in Game 2, including 5 triples.

Liberty at Sun Game 3 odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:26 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Liberty -176 (bet $176 to win $100) | Sun +142 (bet $100 to win $142)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Liberty -3.5 (-115) | Sun +3.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 159.5 (O: -113 | U: -113)

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Liberty at Sun Game 3 picks and predictions

Prediction

Sun 80, Liberty 76

Moneyline

The SUN (+142) are worth a roll of the dice in Game 3, as they look to push the Liberty to the brink of elimination.

While New York won both of the regular-season meetings in Connecticut, the most recent meeting was just a 5-point overtime victory.

Against the spread

The SUN +3.5 (-105) is worth a look in this pivotal Game 3. Connecticut has covered 5 of the past 7 meetings at home against New York and it is 5-0 ATS in the past 5 games following a straight-up loss. The Sun are also 16-5-1 ATS in the past 22 games when playing on 2 days of rest.

The Liberty are 2-7 ATS in the past 9 when playing on 2 days of rest and are 0-4 ATS in the past 4 after a straight-up win.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 159.5 (-113) is the lean in Game 3.

The Under hit in Game 1, and the Over cashed in Game 2. The Under is 10-4 in the past 14 meetings between these squads and is 13-6-1 in the past 20 battles at Mohegan Sun Arena.

The Under is also 10-4 in the past 14 games for the Sun in the Semifinals round, while cashing at a 4-1 clip in the past 5 games when playing on 2 days of rest.

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