New York Liberty at Connecticut Sun Game 3 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Liberty at Connecticut Sun Game 3 odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Liberty and Connecticut Sun meet Friday for Game 3 of their WNBA semifinals playoff matchup. The best-of-5 series is tied 1-1. Tip-off from Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Conn., is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Sun Game 3 odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

New York suffered a 78-63 setback in Game 1 on its home court, but it bounced back Tuesday with an 84-77 win in Game 2. Connecticut has covered the first 2 games in the series, as an 8.5-point and 9.5-point underdog, respectively.

After shooting just 34% in Game 1, the Liberty bounced back to hit 45% (29 of 65) from the field in Game 2, while hitting 38% (10 of 26) from behind the 3-point line and a perfect 100% (16 of 16) from the free-throw line.

The Sun turned it over just 9 times in Game 2, but it hit just 40% (27 of 68) from the field. G Tiffany Hayes was 1 of just 3 players to go for double-digit totals in Game 2 as she poured in 30 points in Game 2, including 5 triples.

Liberty at Sun Game 3 odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:26 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Liberty -176 (bet $176 to win $100) | Sun +142 (bet $100 to win $142)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Liberty -3.5 (-115) | Sun +3.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 159.5 (O: -113 | U: -113)

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Liberty at Sun Game 3 picks and predictions

Prediction

Sun 80, Liberty 76

Moneyline

The SUN (+142) are worth a roll of the dice in Game 3, as they look to push the Liberty to the brink of elimination.

While New York won both of the regular-season meetings in Connecticut, the most recent meeting was just a 5-point overtime victory.

Against the spread

The SUN +3.5 (-105) is worth a look in this pivotal Game 3. Connecticut has covered 5 of the past 7 meetings at home against New York and it is 5-0 ATS in the past 5 games following a straight-up loss. The Sun are also 16-5-1 ATS in the past 22 games when playing on 2 days of rest.

The Liberty are 2-7 ATS in the past 9 when playing on 2 days of rest and are 0-4 ATS in the past 4 after a straight-up win.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 159.5 (-113) is the lean in Game 3.

The Under hit in Game 1, and the Over cashed in Game 2. The Under is 10-4 in the past 14 meetings between these squads and is 13-6-1 in the past 20 battles at Mohegan Sun Arena.

The Under is also 10-4 in the past 14 games for the Sun in the Semifinals round, while cashing at a 4-1 clip in the past 5 games when playing on 2 days of rest.

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Connecticut Sun at New York Liberty Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Connecticut Sun at New York Liberty Game 2 odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Connecticut Sun and New York Liberty meet Tuesday for Game 2 of their WNBA semifinals playoff matchup. Tip-off from Barclays Center is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Sun vs. Liberty Game 1 odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Sun lead the best-of-5 series 1-0 after Connecticut stunned New York 78-63 in Game 1 on Sunday, winning outright as an 8.5-point underdog as the Under (163) cashed.

Connecticut was led by Dewanna Bonner, who posted 20 points with 7 rebounds, 3 assists and 3 blocked shots. The Sun shot 45% (31 of 69) from the field, while shooting 80% (8 of 10) at the free-throw line, and turning it over just 8 times.

New York shot a dismal 34% (23 of 68) from the field, and it turned the ball over 14 times. That was the difference. Star Sabrina Ionescu struggled, too, misfiring on 10 of her 14 shot attempts, although she did bag four 3-pointers. Breanna Stewart was also off, hitting just 7 of 25 from the field, including 0 for 8 from behind the arc.

Sun at Liberty Game 2 odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:13 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Sun +320 (bet $100 to win $320) | Liberty -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Sun +8.5 (-104) | Liberty -8.5 (-118)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 161.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Sun at Liberty Game 2 picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 88, Sun 76

Moneyline

The Liberty (-450) will cost you 4 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s just too much risk for not enough reward. And Game 1 should serve as a cautionary tale why you shouldn’t bet such strong favorites, especially in a singular bet, as 1 loss can wipe out several wins.

PASS.

Against the spread

The LIBERTY -8.5 (-118) is a strong play to bounce back and square the series before heading up Interstate 95 to Mohegan Sun Arena for Game 3 later this week.

New York has failed to cover the past 2 games, and it is just 1-5 ATS in the past 6 outings overall. There is risk here. But the Liberty is an impressive 6-2 ATS in the past 8 games following a straight-up loss. Look for the big stars for the Lib to rebound for a win and cover.

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Over/Under

The OVER 161.5 (-110) is worth a look, but go lightly, and play a half-unit at most.

We saw the Under cash in Game 1, as the Liberty couldn’t hit the broad side of a barn. I expect the shooting to be much better for the home side in Game 2. The Over is 4-0 in the past 4 games for New York following a non-cover, and the Over is still 4-1 in the past 5 games at home despite the Under result.

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Connecticut Sun at New York Liberty Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Connecticut Sun at New York Liberty Game 1 odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Connecticut Sun and New York Liberty meet Sunday for Game 1 of their WNBA semifinals playoff matchup. Tip-off from Barclays Center is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Sun vs. Liberty Game 1 odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Sun pushed past the Minnesota Lynx in the 1st round of the WNBA playoffs, winning the best-of-3 series in 3 games. Connecticut was tripped up in Game 2, but won 90-75 in Minneapolis on Wednesday to cover as 5.5-point favorites as the Over (156) connected.

The Liberty eased by the Washington Mystics at home in Game 2 by a 90-85 score in overtime, and it split against the spread (ATS) in the 2 games against the Mystics, while cashing the Over in each of the playoff contests.

New York swept the regular-season series with the Sun 4-0, while covering 3 of the 4 matchups. The Over-Under split in the 4 contests, including an Under (160) result in New York’s 89-58 victory on Sept. 1 in the most recent battle.

Sun at Liberty Game 1 odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:16 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Sun +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Liberty -420 (bet $420 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Sun +8.5 (-115) | Liberty -8.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 162.5 (O: -115 | U: -111)

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Sun at Liberty Game 1 picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 91, Sun 79

Moneyline

The rested Liberty (-420) will cost you more than 4 times your potential return, and that’s just too much risk and not enough reward in this series opener. While New York has won 4 straight meetings this season, you cannot risk this much on either a singular bet, or as part of a multi-team parlay.

PASS.

Against the spread

The LIBERTY -8.5 (-105) is a rather large number for a series opener, but New York has covered 3 of 4 games against the Sun +8.5 (-115) this season. The Liberty just seem to have the number of the Sun, and New York has rolled up 89 or more points in each of the previous 3 meetings. The high-octane Liberty will fire out to a 1-0 series lead in emphatic fashion.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 162.5 (-111) is the lean in the series opener, but go lightly.

The Under cashed in each of the regular-season meetings in New York, while going 4-1 in the past 5 battles at Barclays Center, while cashing in 9 of the past 13 meetings overall.

The Under is also 9-3 in the past 12 games in the semifinals round for the Sun. However, go lightly, as the Over has dominated recently for the Liberty, going 4-1 in the past 5 at home, while cashing in each of the past 4 straight.

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Connecticut Sun at Minnesota Lynx Game 3 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Connecticut Sun at Minnesota Lynx Game 3 odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Connecticut Sun and Minnesota Lynx meet Wednesday for a decisive Game 3 of their 1st round WNBA playoffs matchup. Tip-off from Target Center is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Sun vs. Lynx Game 3 odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Sun opened the series with an emphatic 90-60 victory in Game 1 as 8.5-point favorites as the Under (159.5) cashed. However, Connecticut couldn’t bring that momentum into Game 2, falling 82-75 as a 9-point favorite as the Under (159) connected. Now, the Sun face a winner-take-all situation where they might be eliminated on the road.

The Lynx have cashed the Under in 3 straight games dating back to the regular-season finale. Minnesota lost 3 of the 4 regular-season meetings against Connecticut, but it has won 2 of the past 4 meetings and the Under is 4-1 in the past 5 clashes between these teams.

Sun at Lynx Game 3 odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:12 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Sun -235 (bet $235 to win $100) | Lynx +186 (bet $100 to win $186)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Sun -5.5 (-108) | Lynx +5.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 157.5 (O: -118 | U: -108)

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Sun at Lynx Game 3 picks and predictions

Prediction

Sun 80, Lynx 76

Moneyline

The Sun (-235) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s a little on the expensive side, especially for a team on the road.

The Lynx (+186) dropped their 2 home meetings against the Sun, with Connecticut scoring exactly 89 points in each of its 2 meetings in the Twin Cities.

PASS.

Against the spread

The LYNX +5.5 (-112) are worth playing in this decisive Game 3. Minnesota is a tempting play for the upset, but the Sun have a much better body of work overall and Connecticut should be able to pull it out.

Minnesota has cashed in 3 of the past 4 home games, while going 3-1 ATS in the past 4 meetings with Connecticut, too. However, the Lynx are going to be without G Lindsay Allen (thumb), an important cog off the bench, so be cautious.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 157.5 (-108) is the lean in Game 3.

We might get some nerves that lead to poor shooting early on, and we’ll definitely get some careful play and possessions with both teams facing the prospect of their season ending Wednesday.

The Under is 4-0 in the past 4 games for the Sun when playing on 2 days of rest and is 8-3 in their last 11 games on the road.

It’s all about the Over lately for the Lynx, cashing in 5 straight at home. However, the Under is 4-1 in the past 5 against winning teams and has cashed in 4 of the past 5 meetings with the Sun, too.

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Connecticut Sun at New York Liberty odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Connecticut Sun at New York Liberty odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Connecticut Sun (25-11) travel to meet the New York Liberty (28-7) Friday. Tip-off from Barclays Center is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ION). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Sun vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Sun head to Brooklyn looking to avenge a 95-90 overtime loss at Mohegan Sun Arena against the Liberty on Aug. 24. Connecticut did cover the 6-point number at most shops while cashing the Over (166.5).

Connecticut is a healthy 3-1-1 against the spread (ATS) in the past 5 games, although it failed to cover a 14.5-point spread in Thursday’s 84-74 win over the Phoenix Mercury.

New York is flying high after topping the league-leading Las Vegas Aces yet again on Monday, winning 94-85 in Brooklyn as a 2-point favorite as the Over (174.5) cashed. The Liberty are now 7-2 ATS across the past 9 outings, while the Over has hit in 3 in a row.

Sun at Liberty odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:54 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Sun +275 (bet $100 to win $275) | Liberty -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Sun +8.5 (-115) | Liberty -8.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 161.5 (O: -115) | U: -105)

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Sun at Liberty picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 88, Sun 82

Moneyline

The Liberty (-350) will cost you 3 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s quite expensive against a good team. The Sun (+275) played them tough in the most recent meeting, and the past 2 games have been decided by 8 or fewer points, although New York has won all 3 meetings this season.

PASS.

Against the spread

The SUN +8.5 (-115) might not win this one outright, but they’ll play the Liberty tough.

The Sun covered the most recent meeting on Aug. 24, a 5-point loss in overtime in Uncasville. Connecticut actually holds a 6-4 ATS edge in the previous 10 meetings despite going 1-2 ATS this season.

Connecticut is 3-1-1 ATS in the past 5 games overall, and 18-7-1 ATS in the past 26 games against the Eastern Conference, while going 5-2-1 ATS in the previous 8 on the road.

New York is hot against the number, too, so be careful. It has covered 4 of the past 5 at home, and 8 of the past 10 overall. Still, this is a big number for 2 teams who know each other well.

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Over/Under

The OVER 161.5 (-110) might be the best play on the board in this Friday night battle in Gotham.

Connecticut has cashed the Over in 6 of the past 8 games against teams with a winning overall record, while New York has gone high in 9 of the past 10 against teams in the Eastern Conference. The Liberty are well rested, too, having last played Monday. The Over is 4-1 in the past 5 for the Lib when playing on 3 or more days of rest.

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New York Liberty at Connecticut Sun odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Liberty at Connecticut Sun odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Liberty (25-7) travel to meet the Connecticut Sun (23-10) Thursday. Tip-off from Mohegan Sun Arena is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Sun odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

It’s been a great season for the Liberty so far, as New York has already clinched a playoff berth, while winning the Commissioner’s Cup. However, it leads the Eastern Conference by just 2 1/2 games over the Sun.

The Liberty have posted wins in 7 of the past 8 regular-season games, while covering 5 of the previous 6 outings. The Under is on a 7-1 run across the past 8 regular-season games, and 8-1 in the past 9 if you toss in the Commissioner’s Cup win over Las Vegas on Aug. 15.

The Sun won 68-64 last time out in Washington on Tuesday, pushing at most shops. The Sun is just 1-3-1 against the spread (ATS) across the past 5 games, with the Under hitting in each of the past 2 outings.

These 2 teams are the only ones in the East with a positive point differential. The Liberty won the first 2 battles this season, taking an 81-65 decision on May 27 in Brooklyn to cover a 6.5-point number as the Under (164.5) cashed, while winning 89-81 in Connecticut as 4.5-point favorites, while the Over (168.5) came through.

Liberty at Sun odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:41 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Liberty -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Sun +195 (bet $100 to win $195)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Liberty -6.5 (-105) | Sun +6.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 165.5 (O: -110) | U: -110)

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Liberty at Sun picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 79, Sun 73

Moneyline

The Liberty (-250) is quite attractive straight up, since New York has won the first 2 meetings by an average of 12.0 points per game (PPG). However, risking 2 1/2 times your potential return on a road team isn’t the best course of action. That’s too risky, and over the long haul, it’s a losing proposition.

PASS.

Against the spread

NEW YORK -6.5 (-105) is the lean, ever so slightly. I expect this one to come down to free throws at the end to determine who covers. The good news for Liberty backers is that they’re No. 2 in the WNBA in free-throw percentage at 82.5%, while also ranking No. 2 in points per game (88.5), field-goal percentage (45.5%) and 3-pointer percentage (37.9%).

Connecticut +6.5 (-115) is a very good team, but it has yet to be able to solve the Lib straight up, or against the number, in the previous 2 meetings.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 165.5 (-110) is the play, but like the side, I’d do lightly on this one.

The Under has been dominating for the Liberty lately, cashing in 7 of the past 8 regular-season games, as well as the Commissioner’s Cup win in Las Vegas on Aug. 15.

Like New York, Connecticut has fill up the basket with points, averaging 82.9 PPG. However, the Sun has the best D in the WNBA, allowing just 78.7 PPG, while holding the opposition to 31.3% from behind the arc, good for 2nd in the league.

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Minnesota Lynx at Connecticut Sun odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Minnesota Lynx at Connecticut Sun odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Lynx (13-13) play the 2nd game of a back-to-back set against the Connecticut Sun (18-7) Tuesday at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Conn. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Lynx vs. Sun odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Lynx have posted 3 straight victories, including a pair of road wins in New York and Connecticut as double-digit underdogs. The Minnesota offense has come alive, with the Lynx going for 87 or more points. The Over has cashed in 4 in a row for Minnesota, too, including its 87-83 win in Connecticut in the front end of the back-to-back situation.

The Sun saw their 3-game win and cover streak come to a close against the Lynx Sunday despite a game-high 31 points from F DeWanna Bonner. As a favorite of 11 or more points, Connecticut is 0-2 against the spread (ATS) this season.

Connecticut is still 2-1 straight-up (SU) against Minnesota this season, although the Lynx are 2-1 ATS. The Over is also 2-1 in the 1st 3 meetings.

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Lynx at Sun odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Lynx +600 (bet $100 to win $600) | Sun -900 (bet $900 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Lynx +11.5 (-110) | Sun -11.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 161.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Lynx at Sun picks and predictions

Prediction

Sun 86, Lynx 81

Moneyline

The Sun (-900) will cost 9 times your potential return. That’s way too much. Let Sunday’s game serve as a recent cautionary tale as Connecticut was a -950 favorite against Minnesota, and it lost. That’s why it’s not wise to bet heavy favorites straight up, as it can come back to bite you.

AVOID.

Against the spread

The LYNX +11.5 (-110) won outright as double-digit underdogs for the 2nd consecutive game against the Sun -11.5 (-110) Sunday. I’m not saying Minnesota pulls off the feat again, but I think the Lynx grab a 3rd straight cover as double-digit ‘dogs. Again, Connecticut is 0-2 ATS this season when favored by 11 or more points.

Over/Under

OVER 161.5 (-110) might be the best play on the board.

Minnesota has scored 87 or more points in each of the past 3 games, averaging 90.7 PPG. The Over has cashed in 4 in a row for the Lynx, while going 10-3 in the past 13 outings.

Connecticut averaged 85.7 in its past 3 games, while cashing the Over in each of the past 2 outings. The Sun allowed 85.0 PPG in the past 2 contests, too. Go high on the total … and feel confident doing so.

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