2024 Pennzoil 400 odds, picks and predictions

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The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Las Vegas Motor Speedway Sunday for the 2024 Pennzoil 400. The green flag is scheduled to drop approximately at 3:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the 2024 Pennzoil 400 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

2024 Pennzoil 400: What you need to know

Penske Racing’s Joey Logano earned the pole position for Sunday’s race with a best speed of 184.357 mph in qualifying
Logano has won at LVMS 3 times in 21 career Cup starts, posting 7 top-5 runs and 12 top-10s with 536 laps led and 0 DNFs, good for a 10.0 Average-Finish Position (AFP)
Logano teammate Austin Cindric posted a best speed of 184.093 mph to qualify for the 3rd spot in the starting grid. He has a 6th-place finish as his best run in 4 Cup starts, posting a 19.3 AFP
Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson starts on the outside of Row 1. He leads all active drivers with a 9.9 AFP in 15 Cup starts in Vegas, winning twice with 7 top-5 finishes and 447 laps led
RFK Racing’s Brad Keselowski, formerly of Penske, has 3 career wins at the track, while posting 9 top-5 finishes and 359 laps led in 21 Cup starts with 0 DNFs
Las Vegas native Kyle Busch of Richard Childress Racing has managed a win and 12 top-5 finishes with 15 top-10 runs and 311 laps led in 25 career Cup starts with a 10.6 AFP
Front Row Motorsports driver Michael McDowell has never finished higher than 17th at LVMS in 20 career Cup starts, posting a dismal 29.4 AFP
23XI Racing’s Bubba Wallace has struggled in his Cup career at the track, posting a 22.0 AFP in 12 Cup starts with 2 DNFs
Last week’s winner in Atlanta, Daniel Suarez of Stewart-Haas Racing, has managed just 2 top-10 finishes with a poor 20.7 AFP in 13 Cup starts at LVMS

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2024 Pennzoil 400 – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:53 p.m. ET.

JOEY LOGANO (+800) starts on the pole, and Las Vegas is one of the tracks where qualifying really matters. In 7 of the previous 8 races, the winner at Las Vegas has started 9th or higher.

Logano won the fall race in October 2022 with a 130.480 mph average speed, going off from the 5th position. In his 3 starts, he has started 10th or better. He is a much better value than playing Kyle Larson (+350), who is the chalk.

2024 Pennzoil 400 – Contender

RCR’s KYLE BUSCH (+1800) struggled by his standards early in his career at Las Vegas, his home track. He has started to piece things together lately, but he hasn’t had a win at the track in a Cup car since March 2009. At this price, and with his Average-Finish Position, he is a strong play. Also, make sure to play his top-10 prop, which is still a value.

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2024 Pennzoil 400 prop picks

KYLE BUSCH TOP-10 FINISH (-120)

For bettors not interested in playing Busch for the outright win, he is a solid value for a top-10 run.

In 25 career Cup starts, he has finished inside the top 10 on 15 different occasions, which is a 60.0% conversion rate. That’s a pretty strong success rate for this price.

AUSTIN CINDRIC TOP-10 FINISH (+240)

We took Cindric last week for a top-10 finish in Atlanta, and he more than came through, ending up 4th when the dust clear, right behind the triumvirate of Suarez, teammate Ryan Blaney and Busch, who were 1-2-3 in a photo finish for the checkered flag. For the chance to more than double up, Cindric is a steal.

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