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The NASCAR Cup Series heads to the Las Vegas Motor Speedway for the 2023 South Point 400 Sunday afternoon. The green flag is set to drop shortly after 2:30 p.m. ET (NBC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the 2023 South Point 400 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.
2023 South Point 400: What you need to know
- Joe Gibbs Racing driver Christopher Bell claimed the Busch Light Pole for Sunday’s race with a best speed of 186.335 mph, edging out Hendrick Motorsports’ Kyle Larson (186.271 mph)
- Hendrick Motorsports driver William Byron won the 1st Cup Series race at Las Vegas in March, and he has managed a 16.3 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 11 career Cup starts at LVMS. Byron starts 3rd Sunday
- JGR’s Martin Truex Jr. has a pair of Cup checkered flags at Las Vegas under his belt in 23 career starts, while posting a 10.0 AFP. He’ll go off 4th on Sunday
- Team Penske’s Joey Logano has 3 wins at Las Vegas, while posting 7 top-5 runs and 12 top-10 finishes in his 20 Cup starts, while leading 536 laps and no DNFs. He starts in the 9th spot
- Logano’s teammate, Ryan Blaney, is the best driver in the field without a Cup win at LVMS. He has a solid 12.4 AFP in 14 career Cup starts, while finishing inside the Top 10 on 8 occasions
- Toyota’s last win at Vegas came on Sept. 26, 2021, when JGR’s Denny Hamlin raced to victory. It was his only win in 23 career Cup starts at the track, although he has a solid 12.8 AFP
- 23XI Racing’s Bubba Wallace has 11 career starts at Las Vegas, posting a dismal 22.8 AFP with 2 DNFs
- Stewart-Haas Racing’s Daniel Suarez has registered a poor 21.2 AFP in 12 career Cup starts at LVMS with 1 DNF
- Last week’s winner on the ROVAL, Kaulig Racing’s A.J. Allmendinger, has a 20.6 AFP in 12 Cup tries at Vegas
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2023 South Point 400 – Expert pick
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:40 p.m. ET.
DENNY HAMLIN (+800) is a nice value, as he looks to punch his ticket to the NASCAR Cup playoffs Final 4 drivers. He is the last driver of a Toyota to bring home checkers, and he has a tremendous 12.8 AFP in 23 career Cup starts with 6 top-5 runs and 11 top-10 finishes.
Hamlin always seems to bring his best effort in the playoffs, positioning himself for a chance in the championship race in the end. This is his golden opportunity to secure his spot, as he has fared well over the years at LVMS.
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2023 South Point 400 – Long shot
RYAN BLANEY (+2000) isn’t your typical long, long shot, but these odds are substantially higher than the other contenders.
While the Team Penske driver has never won at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, there is no better time than right now. He is 8th in the playoff standings, and in need of making a move to keep his championship hopes alive. He has managed 5 top-5 runs and 8 top-10 finishes in his 14 career Cup starts at the track, turning in a 12.4 AFP, which is 6th-best among active drivers in the field.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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