Kyle Juszczyk scores 1st touchdown of Super Bowl 54 for 49ers

Kyle Juszczyk tied Super Bowl 54 for the 49ers with a touchdown catch from Jimmy Garoppolo.

The 49ers answered a Chiefs field goal with a touchdown to tie the Super Bowl at 10.

Jimmy Garoppolo responded to his interception with a strong drive thanks to the emergence of the 49ers’ run game. He hit Kyle Juszczyk on play action for a game-tying touchdown.

Garoppolo is 8-for-10 for 69 yards with one touchdown and one interception.

Jimmy Garoppolo throws amazing TD, redeems self after interception

It’s been up and down for Jimmy Garoppolo so far in Super Bowl LIV, with both an embarrassing interception and an impressive touchdown pass.

When I spoke with Hall of Fame quarterback Kurt Warner this week about Patrick Mahomes and Jimmy Garoppolo, the two Super Bowl LIV quarterbacks, Warner’s vision of the two was radically different. Warner said that Mahomes may turn out to be the NFL’s most complete quarterback ever, and he had serious concerns about Garoppolo. Not about Garoppolo’s ability to make big plays; this was more about Garoppolo’s ability to stay within himself and avoid killer mistakes if he was tasked with bringing the 49ers back from any deficit.

“I definitely think he can deliver,” he said. My biggest thing with Jimmy is that, not that he can’t make every throw in bog moments… but there are times where he seems to, with play-action and the things they try to do to attack the field, sometimes he misses defenders. Either his vision gets clouded, or he’s so focused in trying to make the throw, he misses guys.

“Kind of like the game a couple weeks ago [against the Vikings]: They had a couple of opportunities for easy interceptions. They made one, and they didn’t make the other. I believe there will be a few of those plays for Jimmy in this game. I think that’s where he’s at as a quarterback. He’s done really good things, and he’s really good in the moment, but he’s just not there yet at seeing and deciphering and playing the game in that direction.”

With 14:15 left in the first half, Warner’s words proved prophetic. Down 7-3 and facing second-and-12 from his own 41-yard line, Garoppolo tried to get the ball out under pressure — first from defensive lineman Chris Jones, and then from defensive lineman Mike Pennel, Garoppolo threw up a prayer that was intercepted by cornerback Bashaud Breeland.

The Chiefs capitalized on the resulting possession by increasing their lead to 10-3 on a 31-yard Harrison Butker field goal.

But on the next drive, Garoppolo topped it off with an impressively accurate throw on the move to fullback Kyle Juszczyk for a game-tying 15-yard touchdown. You can’t spin it in there much better than this.

 

For the 49ers, running backs may not matter, but running games do

49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan has created a running game that bucks all modern trends — and confounds all modern defenses.

MIAMI — In March of 2018, the 49ers signed former Minnesota running back Jerick McKinnon to a four-year, $30 million contract with $18 million guaranteed. The idea was that McKinnon, who gained 2,902 yards from scrimmage and scored 17 touchdowns in his four years with the Vikings, would be the kind of satellite back who could thrive in a Kyle Shanahan offense that is based so much on defensive displacement with pre-snap motion, aligning running backs all over the field and having them do different things.

In theory, it would work. In practice, unfortunately, it hasn’t. Due to a number of knee issues, McKinnon hasn’t played a single snap for the 49ers in two seasons — on Opening Night of Super Bowl week, he was sadly reduced to interviewing his teammates as a non-factor on the field. He was placed on injured reserve before the season began in both of his seasons with his new team.

This kind of injury to a potential force multiplier would wreck the schematic intentions of a lot of teams. Not Shanahan, and not his 49ers. Shanahan is the most creative and adaptive offensive play-designer in the NFL today, his run designs are as close to art as you’ll find in pro football, and as a result, when he’s missing a crucial piece, he’s able to replace it in the aggregate.

Fast-forward to the 2019 NFC Championship game when running back Raheeem Mostert, who had been cut by six different teams before the 49ers took a chance on him, ran 29 times for 220 yards and four touchdowns against the Packers in the 37-20 win that propelled San Francisco to its first Super Bowl since 1994. Kyle’s father Mike Shanahan was the offensive coordinator for that ’94 49ers team, and the elder Shanahan passed along a number of ideas, especially in the zone run game, that would help his son design his own run schemes that would make running backs incredibly effective in a general sense, and relatively fungible in an individual sense.

Though the NFL has obviously become a passing league, there’s still a pronounced schism between new-school analysts who believe that you should never place too much value on an individual running back, and old-school smash-mouth truthers who still want to “run to win.” While there isn’t a monopoly of truth on either side, the real answer seems to lie in the effectiveness — or not — of the run games that are designed for those backs. Mostert was an NFL afterthought until he landed in Kyle Shanahan’s scheme, and then, he was an overnight sensation. Backs like Terrell Davis, Mike Anderson, and Reuben Droughns were similarly elevated by Mike Shanahan’s run schemes with the Denver Broncos of the 1990s and early 2000s.

This successful philosophy allowed Denver to, for example, trade Clinton Portis to the Washington Redskins for Champ Bailey in 2004 without breaking a sweat. Mike Shanahan understood that, regardless of the system, it was going to be more difficult to find a Hall of Fame cornerback than it would be to take a sixth-round pick like Terrell Davis and transform him into a Hall of Famer based on the benefits of intelligent design. Denver was on the vanguard of the new mindset; Washington valued running backs in more of a vintage fashion. Denver also got a second-round pick in that trade; they used it to select running back Tatum Bell out of Oklahoma State, and Bell became another back who benefited for a time from Mike Shanahan’s acumen. To prove the point further, Bell took Portis’ jersey number 26.

Not that we should start fitting Mostert for a gold jacket just yet, but the effectiveness of the 49ers’ run game has set the league on edge, and goes against most modern trends. They come into Super Bowl LIV ranked seventh in Football Outsiders’ opponent-adjusted offensive efficiency metrics. They are one of two NFL teams in 2019 — the Ravens are the other — to run the ball more than they’ve passed it. This trend has a serious upswing in the postseason, when Shanahan turned his run game loose on the Vikings and Packers, turned quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo into a 1972 Bob Griese handoff machine, and both out-fought and out-thought those defense with a run system that not only took advanced zone concepts from Shanahan’s dad, but also employed pre-snap motion at an 80% rate, implemented all kinds of power-blocking stuff from trap plays to wham concepts, and presented itself as impossible to stop although both Minnesota and Green Bay knew exactly what was coming.

Michael Robinson, who was drafted by the 49ers in 2006 and later found success and a Super Bowl ring with the Legion of Boom-era Seahawks, told me this week that the ability to run the ball right down everybody’s throat is actually far more about exquisite planning than the ability to win a series of force-on-force scrums.

“It’s Kyle Shanahan, man. His ability to out-leverage a defense, whether it’s through motions and shifts, or bubble screens and halfback screens, reverses… or just the, I don’t want to say ‘ignorance,’ but the ignorance about running the football. You can have nine [defenders] at the line of scrimmage, and Kyle will say, ‘OK — but we’re going to attack here, and we’re still going to run it, and you still have to stop it. It’s a defensive mentality on the offensive side of the ball, and not a lot of offensive play-callers have that. When you talk about it in terms of what makes this run game unique and special, it’s the play-callers.”

Robinson, who now works as an NFL Network analyst, revealed that Shanahan values his run designs so much, he can’t help but show the film to the whole family like an over-eager dad at the end of a long vacation.

“I’ve talked to guys in that locker room, and every time they have a schemed play — a run call he thinks is going to be really good — he coaches it in front of the whole team. Even the defensive players. And he’ll say, ‘Guys, if this doesn’t work at the stress point of the play, like the tackle blocking down is the stress point, often it’s going to be because this guy [the blocker] didn’t do his job. It adds a level of accountability. Everybody on the team knows what they’re looking at. Defenders know, ‘Oh, the run game is going to eat this week because I saw it in the team meeting room.’ They know all the coaching points. You can always have a great team when your team has a great football I.Q., and I think Kyle and all those coaches in San Francisco are building that.”

Shanahan has also built belief in his run game to the point that plays that would scare the daylights out of other coaches just seem to work for the 49ers. Against Green Bay, with 6:31 left in the first quarter of the championship game and the score knotted at 0-0, Shanahan called a Mostert run on a trap play on third-and-8. Not exactly the most common call, but the result was almost predictable — assignments executed correctly against a defense with their ears pinned for the pass, and a 38-yard touchdown.

Mike Person, the right guard who pulled inside left tackle Joe Staley on this play, told me this week that Shanahan’s blocking concepts are so varied, it has taken a while for everyone to get on the same page all the time. But once that happened, the 49ers’ front five was able to see the game at a higher level, with more prominent and interesting results.

For the Chiefs, who come into this game ranked 29th in Football Outsiders’ run defense metrics, and similarly vulnerable against backs who hit the second and third levels quickly (as is native in Shanahan’s offense), the challenge is obvious. Kansas City’s defenders might be rightfully outraged at the lack of respect their pass defense has received throughout this process, but the run defense? That’s a different story. And when you talk to them about San Francisco’s run game, players and coaches don’t talk about stopping Mostert or Matt Breida or Tevin Coleman or anybody else who suits up as a running back on that roster.

The fixation is entirely on stopping Kyle Shanahan. As much as any coach at any level of football right now, Shanahan is his team’s most valuable offensive player.

“Hopefully, it doesn’t affect what you do,” Chiefs defensive line coach Brendan Daly told me this week. “We’re playing with great technique and fundamentals and faith in our progressions and keys, to where whatever they do, we should be able to defend it. That’s the goal, obviously. Now, they do present a number of challenges. They do a great job with their schemes. They do a fantastic job with zone-scheme blocking. They do a great job with gap-scheme blocking, and things of that nature. They throw a lot of different motions and formations and window dressing at you. At the end of the day, the thing we’re going to have to a good job of is trusting our process and playing good, physical, sound football at the line of scrimmage. You can’t get enamored with this, that, and the other thing — we’ve just got to go out and play.”

San Francisco also has two blockers in fullback Kyle Juszczyk and tight end George Kittle who will align all along the formation, whether in static place or with pre-snap motion, to make things even more dizzying.

“They use motion with their personnel to get into some different formations, and they force the defense to adjust,” Daly said. “We’re going to have to do a great job in terms of communication in response to their pre-snap shifts and motions, and making sure when the ball’s snapped, we’re lined up properly and we’ve got our gap responsibilities handled. They present a number of challenges in that regard, and they do it with extremely skilled personnel.”

Robinson excitedly agreed. It was easy to tell that he would have loved to play in this offense. Most running backs would. For most fullbacks, you can double that.

“Oh, it’s everything,” Robinson said of Shanahan’s motion concepts. “Because at the end of the day, they want to make sure [the defense] did their homework. So, if I’m motioning a guy across, and there’s a defender running with him, they’re in man coverage. If a guy motions across and nobody moves… either a blitz is coming, or maybe they haven’t seen this motion. Maybe [the quarterback] ought to toss the ball to the motion guy going across the formation. You get these little things from a defense, and I think Kyle Shanahan does the best job of using those tells against the defense.”

That adds the element of rookie receiver Deebo Samuel, who has replaced McKinnon to a point as Shanahan’s satellite flyer on reverses and end-arounds. While Samuel has proven adept in the passing game, he’s also run the ball 17 times for 208 yards and three touchdowns.

This 30-yard touchdown run against the Seahawks in Week 17 featured a misdirection pitch, and Juszczyk hammering the downfield lane by blocking cornerback Shaquill Griffin and linebacker K.J. Wright out of the play at the same time.

Kansas City’s defense should expect more of the same. Or, to be more specific, the Chiefs should prepare for everything, and expect things they haven’t seen on tape no matter how much they’ve studied it. That’s what Kyle Shanahan has created — a system that is injury-proof, player-transcendent, and entirely Super Bowl-worthy.

Touchdown Wire editor Doug Farrar previously covered football for Yahoo! Sports, Sports Illustrated, Bleacher Report, the Washington Post, and Football Outsiders. His first book, “The Genius of Desperation,” a schematic history of professional football, was published by Triumph Books in 2018 and won the Professional Football Researchers Association’s Nelson Ross Award for “Outstanding recent achievement in pro football research and historiography.”

Chiefs, 49ers prove you can buy a championship

San Francisco and Kansas City spent heavily to get to the Super Bowl.

In baseball, we’ve heard a lot of talk about the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox “buying’’ championships. They simply outspend the competition and win. You don’t hear nearly as much about buying championships in the NFL.

That’s because there’s a hard salary cap and, relatively speaking, there’s not a great deal of difference in how much teams spend. But this year is different. This year, either the Kansas City Chiefs or San Francisco 49ers will come close to buying a championship.

The Chiefs and 49ers made it to the Super Bowl by spending big in the 2019 season. Neither was at the top but they were close to it. At the end of the season, the Chiefs had spent $203 million in cap space. Only the Jacksonville Jaguars spent more. The 49ers weren’t far behind at $189.1. The 2020 cap is expected to be right around $200 million.

Let’s delve more closely into how the Chiefs and 49ers spent in 2019 and how they’ll spend going forward.

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

The Chiefs are incredibly lucky that Patrick Mahomes is still in his rookie contract. That makes the reigning MVP a bargain by any means. Mahomes counted just $4.4 million against the cap. That allowed the Chiefs to spend heavily at receiver and defensive line.

The story could be the same in 2020 because Mahomes is scheduled to count $5.2 million against the cap. But that could change dramatically because Mahomes now is eligible for a contract extension that will break the bank. Mahomes could become the first player to earn $40 million per season. The Chiefs would be wise to sign him immediately because the market for quarterbacks is only going to continue to climb. The Chiefs already have $188 million committed to the 2020 cap and that’s with only 47 players under contract.

Veterans Terrell Suggs and LeSean McCoy headline a list of veteran free agents that almost certainly will not return. Others will be asked to restructure their contracts, likely starting with receiver Tyreek Hill, who has a $17.65 million cap figure.

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

Just think back to general manager John Lynch’s playing career for a look at how and why his roster and money is allocated. Lynch played on those great Tampa Bay defenses of the late 1990s and early 2000s. Those teams were built around the defensive line (Warren Sapp and Simeon Rice). Lynch is taking the same approach in San Francisco with $50.1 million allocated toward the cap. You can’t argue with that thinking because the defense is the main reason the 49ers are in the Super Bowl.

But Lynch’s 49ers have a better offense than the Bucs of their glory years. That’s because Lynch isn’t afraid to spend money on offense. He has $50 million dedicated to quarterbacks and running backs and $30 million to the offensive line.

However, there is potential cap trouble brewing in San Francisco. Tight end George Kittle is looking for a contract extension and it will be a large one. Fullback Kyle Juszczyk, cornerback Jason Verrett and tight end Garrett Celek are potential free agents and probably will be allowed to walk.

The league likes to talk about how its salary cap creates parity. There’s some truth in that. But not this year. The Chiefs and 49ers have shown that spending lots of money can get you to the Super Bowl.

 

Pat Yasinskas has covered the NFL since 1993. He has worked for The Tampa Tribune, The Charlotte Observer and ESPN.com and writes for numerous national magazines and websites. He also has served as a voter for the Pro Football Hall of Fame.

The argument for not spending the most-valuable RFA tender on Taysom Hill

The New Orleans Saints have a tough decision to make for pending free agent Taysom Hill, and other teams might make it only more difficult.

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What are the New Orleans Saints going to do with Taysom Hill? As a pending restricted free agent, they have plenty of options. The Saints can either re-sign Hill to a long-term contract extension, let him walk away uncontested, or issue one of three different one-year tenders, each worth slightly more than the ones beneath it and fully-guaranteed against the salary cap. With five different restricted free agents to consider, the Saints must act quickly.

The lowest-level contract tender is estimated to cost about $2.1 million, and would give the Saints the right to match any contract offers Hill gets from other teams. The middle-tier tender is expected to be worth roughly $3.2 million, and would recoup a second-round draft pick for the Saints should they not match an offer sheet. The top-level tender will be somewhere around $4.6 million in value and brings back a first-round pick if Hill leaves.

That makes the second-round tender the smart choice. One of several things would happen:

  • Hill receives no offers, and plays the 2020 season on a below-market $3.2 million (estimated) salary cap hit
  • Hill receives an offer, which the Saints match, and keep him around long-term on whatever his market value is
  • Hill receives an offer, and the Saints decline to match, replacing the second-round pick they lost in last year’s draft-day trade

Right now, it’s unclear what Hill’s value will be on the open market. If teams view him as a backup quarterback with starter’s upside, he should be worth about $7.5 million per year (like Ryan Tannehill, Teddy Bridgewater, and Case Keenum). If he’s perceived as an Andy Dalton-esque mid-level starter, that number climbs to $16 million per year. Even low-level backups like Chase Daniel, Ryan Fitzpatrick, and Tyrod Taylor are getting $5 million per year or better.

But that assumes his future really lies at quarterback. Despite the Steve Young comparisons floating around, Hill’s best work comes everywhere but quarterback. He caught as many touchdown passes in the 2019 regular season as passes he’s completed in his career (6). He’s a very fun player, but his talents are best used elsewhere.

And the clock is ticking on how much longer he’ll have the athleticism he’s thrived with recently. Hill turns 30 later this year and has a lengthy injury history from his college days, though he’s managed to avoid damaging hits so far in the NFL. He could look like a very different (and much more limited) athlete in just three or four years, and he hasn’t shown the passing ability to compensate for it.

So what could his contract look like if he continues to play such a nebulous position, listed at quarterback but doing everything else? The low end might be San Francisco 49ers fullback Kyle Juszczyk, who similarly blocks, runs, and catches while earning $5.25 million per year. The Detroit Lions just paid backup tight end Jesse James $5.65 million per year, while starters like Trey Burton ($8 million), Jared Cook ($7.5 million), Tyler Higbee ($7.25 million), and Jack Doyle ($7.1 million) each set a hypothetical lead for Hill to chase. His ability to throw and play special teams should only raise that bar.

It all shapes up for another difficult road to arbitration not unlike the Jimmy Graham franchise tag dispute that once dominated an offseason. Even if the Saints successfully keep Hill around for 2020 on a tender (at whichever level suits you), this is an obstacle they’ll have to overcome sooner or later. Better to let other teams make Hill an offer and decide what his market value is, and then choose whether it’s a price the Saints are willing to pay.

Teams will not give up a first round pick for a 30-year-old, maybe-quarterback. But there are several franchises that could justify giving up a second-rounder, like the Indianapolis Colts (who have two picks in the second round, at Nos. 34 and 44), Miami Dolphins (picking at Nos. 39 and 56), Seattle Seahawks (Nos. 59 and 64), and even the Atlanta Falcons (Nos. 47 and 55). Any of those teams could have varying degrees of interest in Hill as a quarterback, tight end, or versatile weapon like the Saints currently use him.

And any of those picks is worth more to the Saints than what he’s currently doing. They could use a second-rounder to help land a real developmental passer who, unlike Hill, has time to grow and play a long time (like 21-year-olds Jordan Love or Jalen Hurts). Or they could pick up badly-needed receiving help who won’t need to be schemed touches, and can beat opponents outright for the next decade (such as tight end Thaddeus Moss, or wide receivers Justin Jefferson and Brandon Aiyuk).

This is an opportunity for the Saints to gain more certainty and answer some questions, regardless of how badly it would upset Hill’s biggest fans. And that’s understandable: he hasn’t let anyone down yet. He’s caught every pass and converted every first down and lucked out with some great adjustments by his receivers on a couple of ugly passes deep downfield. But the law of averages suggest that at some point he’ll regress, and the Saints would do better to move on too soon than invest too much in him too late.

All of this in mind: we don’t know what’s going to happen in March. The Saints could very well value Hill so strongly that they anchor themselves to him with the first-round tender, or even a contract extension. They could also pinch pennies and risk a right-of-first-refusal tender, which would recoup no draft picks if he leaves. It’s risky, but the second-round tender is a happy medium that doesn’t cost much but promises many of the same results as the most-expensive level option.

So here’s our proposal. What would you choose? Matching a contract offer in the range of four years and $33 million, or a draft pick in the first half of the second round, and the cheap four-year rookie deal that comes with it? This is the sort of problem the Saints must grapple with in the months ahead.

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Nick Bosa among 4 49ers selected to 2020 Pro Bowl

The 49ers had four players get starting nods for the 2020 Pro Bowl.

The 49ers’ scorching hot start to 2019 resulted in a quartet of players earning nods as starters for the 2020 Pro Bowl.

Here are the four players San Francisco will send to the NFL’s all-star game:

DE Nick Bosa – 1st selection

Stan Szeto-USA TODAY Sports

The 49ers’ top pick in the 2019 draft has exceeded expectations in his first season. Bosa has been a wrecking ball off the edge since his debut in Week 1, and while his statistical production has slowed, he’s still wreaking havoc on opposing offensive lines. He has 9.0 sacks, 16 tackles for loss, 20 quarterback hits, a forced fumble, two fumble recoveries, three pass breakups and an interception. Bosa is a force, and this will very likely not be his only Pro Bowl.