2023 Hollywood Casino 400 odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2023 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway, with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

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The NASCAR Cup Series is at the Kansas Speedway Sunday for the 2023 Hollywood Casino 400 on Sunday afternoon. The green flag is set to drop shortly after 3 p.m. ET (USA Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the 2023 Hollywood Casino 400 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

2023 Hollywood Casino 400: What you need to know

  • Joe Gibbs Racing driver Denny Hamlin won the AdventHealth 400 at Kansas Speedway back on May 7, holding off Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson for the checkers with a late bump
  • Hamlin also leads all active drivers with 4 career wins at Kansas, while posting a 12.9 Average-Finish Position (AFP) with 12 top-5 runs in 30 career Cup starts. He’ll go off 14th on Sunday
  • Stewart-Haas Racing driver Kevin Harvick leads all active drivers with a 9.9 AFP, winning 3 times with 12 top-5 runs in 35 career Cup starts. Harvick fires off from the 20th position
  • JGR’s Martin Truex Jr. has registered 2 wins with 10 top-5 finishes and 906 laps led in his 30 career Cup starts. MTJ starts 3rd on Sunday
  • JGR’s Christopher Bell posted a best speed of 180.276 mph in qualifying, the only driver to broach the 180 mph mark. He is on the pole after his best time of 29.954 seconds
  • Richard Childress Racing driver Kyle Busch crashed in practice, and he’ll start from the 35th position in the back of the pack on Sunday in a backup car
  • Michael McDowell has made 24 career Cup starts in Kansas, and he has a dismal 27.5 AFP with a best finish of just 13th. He also has registered 7 DNFs
  • 23XI Racing’s Bubba Wallace had his car chief ejected for the remainder of the weekend after the No. 23 Toyota failed pre-race inspection twice on Friday. The team also forfeited its pit-stall selection

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2023 Hollywood Casino 400 – Expert pick(s)

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:21 a.m. ET.

DENNY HAMLIN (+650) is a good bet to sweep the season series at Kansas Speedway, and he has the 4th-longest odds to do so, making him a tremendous bargain.

No driver in the starting grid has won more Cup races at Kansas than the driver of the No. 11 machine. His starting position isn’t great at 14th, but it isn’t bad, either.

Hamlin went off 8th in the May race at Kansas, scooting up to 1st, so there isn’t much more difference. He started 25th last September in Kansas, and ended as the runner-up, while he started 18th last May, and ended up 4th. He knows how to pass and matriculate up through the field to position himself well in the end.

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2023 Hollywood Casino 400 – Long shot(s)

AUSTIN DILLON (+10000) is a tremendous value at this price point. He starts 8th on Sunday. While he has never won a Cup race at Kansas, he has finished inside the top 10 on 6 of his 20 starts, or 30% of his runs at the track. He posted a best speed of 178.200 mph in qualifying, improving from his practice times Friday which were a bit uneven.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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