UCF at Iowa State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UCF at Iowa State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The UCF Knights (3-3, 1-2 Big 12) and the No. 12 Iowa State Cyclones (6-0, 3-0) meet Saturday at Jack Trice Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the UCF vs. Iowa State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

UCF dropped its 3rd straight game, recently falling to the Cincinnati 19-13 at home. The Knights lost outright as 2.5-point favorites with the Under (58) cashing. QB Jacurri Brown threw for 207 yards, with 114 of those going to WR Kobe Hudson, who notched his third 100-yard game of the season, along with Brown’s lone touchdown pass. Brown also contributed on the ground, rushing for 84 yards, but it wasn’t enough to secure a victory for UCF.

Iowa State moved to 6-0 for the first time since 1938 with a 28-16 win at West Virginia. The Cyclones covered as 3-point favorites and the Under (53.5) hit. Their defense stood out once again — it ranks 5th in the country in least points allowed per game at 11.0. On offense, RB Carson Hansen powered through with 96 yards and 3 rushing touchdowns, while QB Rocco Becht contributed 265 passing yards and a score. This balanced effort helped keep the Cyclones’ perfect season intact.

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UCF vs. Iowa State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 10:41 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): UCF +425 (bet $100 to win $425) | Iowa State -600 (bet $600 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): UCF +13.5 (-110) | Iowa State -13.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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UCF vs. Iowa State picks and predictions

Prediction

Iowa State 35, UCF 14

Moneyline

PASS.

Iowa State (-600) will keep this train rolling Saturday night in Ames, but I’m not betting 6 units to win 1 in return. I’ll take my bet to the spread.

Against the spread

BET IOWA STATE -13.5 (-110).

The Cyclones are off to a perfect 6-0 start, playing like the best team in the conference. They’re coming off a tough win in Morgantown, and now they return to Ames, a notoriously tough place to play.

UCF is struggling, currently on a 3-game losing streak. The Knights have been shaky in the past 2 Octobers, failing to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 games in the month. Their quarterback situation is unstable and the offense has been out of sync. Facing Iowa State’s 15th-ranked defense in yards allowed is a tough challenge for any team, especially on the road and let alone one with so much instability.

Meanwhile, Iowa State has been solid, with QB Rocco Becht managing the offense well and receiving plenty of support from a dominant defense.

This looks like a great spot for Iowa State to control the game and cover the spread comfortably. TAKE IOWA STATE -13.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 50.5 (-110).

UCF’s offense has struggled lately, scoring just 13 points in each of its last 2 games, which has led to a significant drop in its O/U lines. Three of UCF’s last 4 games as an underdog have hit the Under. Plus, the Under is 4-1 in the Knights’ last 5 road games.

Iowa State’s defense has been a strong point, contributing to 4 of its last 5 October home games going Under. Even though UCF’s defense isn’t elite, it’s been solid, holding opponents like Cincinnati to 19 points last week. Additionally, UCF’s run-heavy approach — averaging 48.2 rushing attempts per game — should keep the clock running and limit scoring opportunities.

With both teams leaning toward a slower pace and defensive play, the total of 49.5 feels a bit high. The UNDER 50.5 (-110) looks like the smart bet here.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Iowa State at West Virginia odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Iowa State at West Virginia odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 13 Iowa State Cyclones (5-0, 2-0 Big 12) and West Virginia Mountaineers (3-2, 2-0) meet at Milan Puskar Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Iowa State vs. West Virginia odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Iowa State dominated Baylor in a 43-21 win last week, scoring double digits in each of the final 3 quarters. The Cyclones covered the 12.5-point spread and surpassed the 44.5-point total. QB Rocco Becht threw for 277 yards with 2 TDs and 1 INT, while RB Jaylon Jackson rushed for 107 yards and 2 TDs on 15 carries.

West Virginia controlled the game from the opening whistle and dominated Oklahoma State, building a 31-7 halftime lead and coasting to a 38-14 victory. The Mountaineers won outright as 3-point road underdogs, with the game easily hitting the Under (64.5). QB Garrett Greene passed for 159 yards and rushed for a TD. RB Jahiem White had 158 yards and a TD on 19 carries.

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Iowa State at West Virginia odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Friday at 12:56 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Iowa State -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | West Virginia +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Iowa State -3 (-110) | West Virginia +3 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 53.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Iowa State at West Virginia picks and predictions

Prediction

Iowa State 38, West Virginia 28

Moneyline

PASS.

Iowa State (-150) will take care of business in Morgantown on Saturday, but I’d rather wager with the better odds on the spread.

Against the spread

BET IOWA STATE -3 (-110).

While the Mountaineers have found their rhythm recently, and Morgantown is always a tough place to play, the Cyclones come in battle-tested with one of the best defenses in the country (10th in nation allowing 10 points per game) and a solid ground game (183.4 yards per game). This is a proven formula to win in tough road environments. Iowa State has covered the spread in 4 of 5 games this season and has won 9 of its last 10 against non-ranked teams.

West Virginia has struggled against ranked opponents, losing its last 7 games against AP-ranked teams. With Iowa State’s ability to exploit West Virginia’s weak pass defense (243.4 YPG) and their success covering spreads in road games, laying just a field goal on the Cyclones is a smart bet.

Over/Under

BET OVER 53.5 (-105).

Both teams have hit the Over in 3 of their last 4 games, showing a trend toward high-scoring matchups. West Virginia’s October games against AP-ranked teams have gone over the total in 7 of their last 8, and Iowa State has seen the Over in 4 of its last 5 October road games as a favorite against non-ranked teams.

With both offenses capable of putting points on the board (33.0 PPG for West Virginia; 31.2 for ISU) and recent history favoring the Over, expect this matchup to surpass 53.5 points.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @DrewPhelps05 on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / DukeFlorida / Florida StateGeorgia / Iowa / KentuckyLSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / UCLA / USC / WashingtonWisconsin / Recruiting / Transfer portal / College Football Playoffs / College Sports Wire / High School

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