Indiana at Purdue odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Indiana at Purdue odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 17 Indiana Hoosiers (19-9, 10-7 Big Ten) and No. 5 Purdue Boilermakers (24-4, 13-4) meet Saturday at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, Ind. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Indiana vs. Purdue game odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Indiana has dropped its last 2 games on the road against Northwestern (64-62, Feb. 15) and Michigan State (80-65, Tuesday), and the Hoosiers are 0-3 against the spread (ATS) across the past 3 games overall. It seems like forever since the Hoosiers picked up a 79-74 win over the rival Boilermakers, but it was just on Feb. 4.

Purdue snapped a 2-game mini skid with an emphatic 82-55 win over disappointing Ohio State Sunday. While the Boilermakers have dropped 3 in a row on the road, they love a little home cooking, going 15-1 at home.

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Indiana at Purdue odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:47 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Indiana +255 (bet $100 to win $255) | Purdue -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Indiana +7.5 (-115) | Purdue -7.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 138.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Indiana at Purdue picks and predictions

Prediction

Purdue 74, Indiana 65

Moneyline

Purdue (-320) is on the expensive side, and it will cost you more than 3 times your potential return. That’s quite expensive for a standalone bet, and there is no value in including it in a multi-team parlay, either.

AVOID.

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Against the spread

PURDUE -7.5 (-105) is worth a look, as it will use the revenge factor and a raucous home crowd to get the job done.

The Boilermakers have had some issues against the number, but they are 4-0 ATS in the past 4 games at home. On the flip side, Indiana has cashed in just 2 of the past 10 games on the road and is 2-5 ATS in the past 7 after a straight-up loss and 3-8 ATS in the past 11 after a non-cover.

Look for Purdue to exact a little revenge, getting a strong win in the process.

Over/Under

OVER 138.5 (-110) is the lean, ever so slightly. Go with a half-unit play at most.

The Under has cashed in 4 of the past 5 games for Indiana, although the Over is an impressive 9-3 in the past 12 games after a non-cover, and 6-2 in the past 8 after a straight-up loss.

For Purdue, the Over is 5-2-1 in the past 8 games overall, while going 3-0-1 in the past 4 home outings.

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Indiana at Purdue odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Indiana at Purdue odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Indiana Hoosiers (18-11, 9-10 Big Ten) battle the No. 9 Purdue Boilermakers (24-6, 13-6) Saturday in West Lafayette. Tip-off at Mackey Arena is scheduled for 2 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we look at the Indiana vs. Purdue odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Indiana is coming off a Wednesday home loss to Rutgers 66-63. The Hoosiers likely have played themselves out of an NCAA Tournament bid as they’re just 2-6 since the beginning of February.

IU upset Purdue 68-65 in Bloomington Jan. 20. The victory marked the Hoosiers’ first over the Boilermakers since 2016, snapping Purdue’s 9-game win streak in the series.

The Boilermakers are coming off back-to-back road losses. Purdue was undone by turnovers in losses at No. 25 Michigan State (68-65 Feb. 26) and No. 10 Wisconsin (70-67 Tuesday). Purdue fumbled a combined 26 turnovers against just 15 for the Spartans and Badgers. Between the loss to IU and the twin setbacks to MSU and UW, the Boilermakers had won nine of 10.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Indiana at Purdue odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indiana +420 (bet $100 to win $420) | Purdue -600 (bet $600 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Indiana +10.5 (-120) | Purdue -10.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 140.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Indiana at Purdue odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Purdue 81, Indiana 69

Money line

PASS.

The true win probabilities on both sides are locked between these prices.

Against the spread

The Hoosiers are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as road underdogs. In this series, the home team is 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.

Purdue is light years better on offense and has played improving defense the last couple weeks. Peg the Boilermakers with plus differentials – 3-point shooting, free-throw frequency and rebounding – where they are needed to pull off a double-digit win.

BACK THE BOILERMAKERS -10.5 (-105) on a slim profit margin.

Over/Under

The strongest play in this matchup is on the OVER 140.5 (-107).

IU’s offense has been posting better analytics in recent games. With its advantages in 3’s, free throws, and second-chance baskets, Purdue brings to fore a lot of pile-up-points factors.

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Indiana at Purdue odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Indiana Hoosiers at Purdue Boilermakers odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Indiana Hoosiers (2-9, 0-8 Big Ten) and Purdue Boilermakers (7-4, 5-3) play for the Old Oaken Bucket Saturday. Kickoff in West Lafayette, Indiana is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (on FS1). Below, we look at the Indiana vs. Purdue odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

The Hoosiers enter on a 7-game slide after last week’s 35-14 loss as 8-point home underdogs to Minnesota. Indiana is only the Big Ten team without a conference win this season.

It’s been quite the unexpected turnaround for an IU squad that went 6-1 last regular season, which included wins over Penn State, Michigan, Michigan State and Wisconsin.

The Boilermakers are coming off a 32-14 victory over Northwestern at Wrigley Field. QB Aidan O’Connell and WR Milton Wright connected for 3 touchdown passes as Purdue covered the spread as an 11-point favorite.

O’Connell finished with 423 yards and the 3 TDs to Wright, who hauled in a career-high 213 receiving yards.

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Indiana at Purdue odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 8:55 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indiana +470 (bet $100 to win $470) | Purdue -700 (bet $700 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Indiana +14.5 (-110) | Purdue -14.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Indiana at Purdue odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Purdue 34, Indiana 14

Money line

PASS. Purdue will prevail, but the -700 price is way too steep.

Against the spread

PURDUE -14.5 (-110) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.

ATS records: Indiana 2-9 | Purdue 6-5

Betting against the Hoosiers has been a moneymaker. IU covered just two games this season, a 56-14 win over Idaho as a 31.5-point home favorite in its second game of the season and a 38-35 loss as a 3.5-point road underdog four games ago.

A year ago, the Hoosiers posted a 7-0 ATS regular-season record before dropping a 26-20 decision as 7.5-point favorites to Ole Miss in the Outback Bowl.

Over/Under

UNDER 50.5 (-108) is the play.

O/U records: Indiana 6-5 | Purdue 3-8

The Boilermakers average 26.0 points per game (PPG) to rank 84th in the country.

The Hoosiers are even worse at finding the end zone. They average 18.2 points per game to rank 121st. They’ve only scored 16 points or more once in their last seven games.

I don’t see why anything changes here.

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Indiana at Purdue odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Indiana Hoosiers at Purdue Boilermakers sports odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Indiana Hoosiers (12-13, 7-11 Big Ten) take on the No. 23 Purdue Boilermakers (17-8, 12-6) in a conference showdown Saturday in Mackey Arena. Tip-off is set for 2 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Indiana-Purdue odds and lines, with NCAA college basketball picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Indiana at Purdue: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:28 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indiana +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Purdue -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indiana +7.5 (-120) | Purdue -7.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 134.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Indiana at Purdue: Three things to know

  1. Indiana has lost four straight and five of its past six games. Over those six games, the Hoosiers are shooting just 30.3% from behind the arc and are being outrebounded 33.8-30.0 on average.
  2. Purdue is flying under the radar in an otherwise stacked Big Ten as winners of four in a row, five of its past six and seven of 10 games (7-3 ATS). The Boilermakers are being led by All-America candidate PF Trevion Williams who has the top rebounding rate in the conference and is 5th in Player Efficiency Rating.
  3. The recent head-to-head history has been one-sided with Purdue winning eight straight and nine of the last 10 games (7-2-1 ATS). The Boilermakers pummeled the Hoosiers 81-69 as 4-point road underdogs in the first meeting of the season.

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Indiana at Purdue: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Purdue 75, Indiana 63

Money line (ML)

PASS on the money line since Purdue is the right side, but no way can we lay -350 for a Boilermakers’ straight-up win in a conference game against an in-state rival.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Leading Indiana scorer and star sophomore forward Trayce Jackson-Davis hasn’t received much help on the offensive side of the ball this season and two of the Hoosiers’ other top-3 scorers are listed as questionable.

Also, Williams wrecked Indiana’s interior defense while putting up 22 points with 10 rebounds in the first contest, and I see Williams having similar success in this game as well.

Purdue has a plus-6.1 rebound margin per game while Indiana is minus-3.3 in rebound margin and the Hoosiers having to over-adjust for their weakness on the boards will help the Boilermakers get some wide-open jumpers.

BET PURDUE -7.5 (+100) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a lean on the Over 134.5 (-115) since my read is Purdue’s offense gets whatever it wants against Indiana’s defense and the market seemingly prefers the Over.

Because I don’t have a strong feel for the total, the Over/Under has alternated in the last four meetings and both teams play at a slow tempo, I have to PASS on the total.

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