Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees odds predictions pick betting line spread

Houston Astros at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Houston Astros at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Houston Astros (12-24) and New York Yankees (25-13) close out a 3-game series in the Bronx Thursday. The opening pitch at Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 5:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 6-0

Houston got off to a shaky start this season, and that start included the Astros getting swept at home by New York in a season-opening 4-game set. Now, after Tuesday and Wednesday losses at Yankee Stadium, Houston heads into the Thursday series finale looking to avoid a 2024 0-for against the Yanks.

New York has not lost since last Thursday. Over their last 11 games, the Yankees are 8-3 with a plus-31 run differential.

Astros at Yankees projected starters

RHP Ronel Blanco vs. RHP Marcus Stroman

Blanco (3-0, 2.09 ERA) is lined up for his 7th start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 38 2/3 innings.

Owns a 3.71 ERA across 97 career IP
Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 5-3 win vs. Seattle Mariners Friday

Stroman (2-1, 3.41 ERA) is making his 8th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 4.9 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 37 innings.

Last outing: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 5 BB, 3 K in 2-1 win vs. Detroit Tigers Friday
Career vs. Astros: 3-1, 2.50 ERA (36 IP, 10 ER), 36 H, 9 BB, 38 K in 6 starts
Has walked 10 batters over his last 9 1/3 IP

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Astros at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:54 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Astros +118 (bet $100 to win $118) | Yankees -138 (bet $138 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros +1.5 (-176) | Yankees -1.5 (+146)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Astros at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Astros 4

Moneyline

Aside from a three-game stretch April 27-30 that saw the Astros score 30 runs, Houston has scored just 2.91 runs per game since April 21. But Houston has been quite good against ground-ball types, and Stroman has walked 10 batters over his last 9 1/3 innings.

Blanco has an attractive surface ERA of 2.09. But that figure has been buoyed exceedingly fortunate rates around the margins.

Figure the YANKEES (-138) ML action as having just the slightest in lean in this contest.

Run line/Against the spread

Better relative value can be found on the ML: PASS.

Over/Under

There is some fade-Yankees-pitching lean snowballing with a play-the-Astros-offense lean. Add in some fade on the Blanco side of the equation also.

Now add Stroman being a ground-baller, and the Astros being a club that has thus far bashed such types.

The Over has cruised to 2 easy wins so far in this series and is 5-2 over the last 7 series meetings at Yankee Stadium.

TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-110) in this series finale.

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Houston Astros at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Houston Astros at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Houston Astros (12-23) take on the New York Yankees (24-13) Wednesday in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Yankee Stadium at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 5-0

The Astros dropped their 3rd-straight game Tuesday with a 10-3 setback in the opener. The Yankees mauled RHP Justin Verlander for 7 runs on 8 hits over 5 innings. While scoring 3 runs, Houston had just 3 hits in the game. A reboot may be coming if things don’t turn around soon.

The Yankees won their 4th straight and 5th in 6 games as they lead the AL in wins (24) entering Wednesday’s action. LF Alex Verdugo had 3 hits and 4 RBIs Tuesday, and RF Juan Soto smacked 3 hits of his own. Soto is hitting .329 with 8 homers and 28 RBIs in what is shaping up to potentially be an MVP season.

Astros at Yankees projected starters

RHP Spencer Arrighetti vs. LHP Carlos Rodon

Arrighetti (0-3, 8.27 ERA) makes his 5th start. The rookie has a 1.96 WHIP, 5.5 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 16 1/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 8-2 home win vs. Houston Astros Thursday
Has never faced Yankees
Missing bats with his curveball (.167 BA), but other pitches being hit: fastball (.333), cutter (.313), sweeper (.429) and changeup (.667)

Rodon (2-2, 3.68 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 36 2/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 7-2 defeat at Baltimore Orioles Thursday
March 29 vs. Astros: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 7-1 win
Last 5 starts vs. Astros: 2-0, 3.12 ERA (26 IP, 9 ER), 0.92 WHIP, 31 K

Astros at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:56 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Astros +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Yankees -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros +1.5 (-155) | Yankees -1.5 (+125)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Astros at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 9, Astros 5

Moneyline

The Yankees have won 8 straight against the Astros, dating back to last season. I look for this to be a slugfest with New York’s bats reigning supreme. The Yankees’ -155 ML isn’t priced out of my range here, but I’m going with the run line below.

PASS on a moneyline wager.

Run line/Against the spread

Over the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the Yankees have won 9, and 6 of those were by multiple runs. Over their last 10 overall, they’ve won 7, and 6 of those were by multiple runs.

Take YANKEES -1.5 (+125).

Over/Under

The wind is slated to be blowing out to right-center at 9 mph on a 77-degree evening. Rodon isn’t as good as his numbers suggest with a .273 BABIP and 4.78 FIP. Arrighetti has been terrible. This one goes OVER 9.5 (-105).

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Houston Astros at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Houston Astros at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Houston Astros (12-22) and New York Yankees (23-13) meet Tuesday, as they open a 3-game series in the Bronx. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 4-0

Houston got off to an awful start this season, one jumpstarted by the Astros getting swept at home by New York in a season-opening 4-game set. They had gone 5-1 from April 27-May 3 but then dropped back-to-back games to the Seattle Mariners Saturday and Sunday.

The Yankees are coming off a weekend sweep of the Detroit Tigers. Despite some intermittent slumps of late, New York is 6-3 with a plus-19 run differential since April 27.

Astros at Yankees projected starters

RHP Justin Verlander vs. RHP Luis Gil

Verlander (1-0, 2.08 ERA) is tabbed for his 4th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 17 1/3 innings.

Last outing: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 3-2 loss vs. Cleveland Guardians Wednesday
Career vs. Yankees: 10-9, 3.41 ERA (171 1/3 IP, 65 ER), 160 H, 50 BB, 157 K in 27 starts

Gil (2-1, 3.19 ERA) is making his 7th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 5.8 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 31 innings.

Last outing: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 2-0 win at Baltimore Orioles Wednesday
Has never faced Astros before
Has lived dangerously with a low rate of 1st-pitch strikes, which has fed into the high walk rate; a .224 batting average on balls in play has been his salvation

Astros at Yankees odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9:25 p.m. ET.

Moneyline: Astros +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Yankees -118 (bet $118 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+162) | Yankees +1.5 (-196)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Astros at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 5, Yankees 4

Moneyline

The ASTROS (+100) are 4-1 across their last 5 series lid-lifters; the Yanks are 1-3 in their last 4.

Gil’s control is too much of an issue to make him a likable play against a good Houston offense that does not strike out much. Dating back to last season, the Astros have lost 7 in a row to New York. All 7 of those games have been in Houston; the Astros took 2 of 3 from the Yankees last time they were in the Bronx (Aug. 4-6).

Per ESPN, current New York batters own an aggregate .558 OPS against Verlander. The veteran righty is backed by an Astros relief corps that got a much-needed off day Monday. And figure those bullpens — a New York strength and Houston weakness on paper — as being way more even in talent and in analytical production.

BACK THE ASTROS (+100).

Run line/Against the spread

Better relative value can be found on the ML: PASS.

Over/Under

The Under went 3-0-1 in the earlier series in Houston. Look for some pushback by the bats in this one. There is some fade-Yankees-pitching lean snowballing with play-the-Astros-offense lean.

TAKE THE OVER 8 (-115).

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Houston Astros at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Astros at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Houston Astros (63-49) and New York Yankees (58-53) complete a 4-game set at Yankee Stadium Sunday. First pitch is at 1:35 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 2-1

The Astros have dropped 2 of 3 to the Yankees in the series. They fell 4-3 Thursday but rebounded with a 7-1 victory Friday. They weren’t able to muster up much in a 3-1 defeat Saturday. The Astros sit 2 1/2 games out in the AL West but reside in the 2nd AL Wild Card spot. They are 5-5 and 12-8 over the last 10 and 20 games, respectively.

The Yankees have won 3 of 4 but are just 9-11 over their last 20 games. They sit in 4th place in the AL East and 3 1/2 out of a Wild Card spot. The Yanks have been good at home at 35-27. New York is also 16-12 against the AL West.

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Astros at Yankees projected starters

RHP Jose Urquidy vs. LHP Carlos Rodon

Urquidy (2-2, 5.20 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 27 2/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 3 K against Philadelphia Phillies April 30
First start off IL due to shoulder inflammation
1 career start vs. Yankees: 7 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 3 BB, 3 K on June 26, 2022

Rodon (1-4, 6.29 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 5.9 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 24 1/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 5 K Monday against Tampa Bay Rays
Last 5 starts vs. Astros: 1-0, 1.85 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 35 K in 34 IP

Astros at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:07 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Astros -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Yankees -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+150) | Yankees +1.5 (-185)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Astros at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 4, Yankees 3

Moneyline

The Astros get Urquidy back for the first time since April 30. On the other side, Rodon has struggled mightily since he started the year on the IL. The Astros are 6-4 against the Yankees the last 2 years and are overall in a better position to tie this series as the Yanks had to get 5 innings from their bullpen Saturday night.

Take the ASTROS (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

This has been a competitive series, and I don’t look for a multiple-run victory Sunday. That said, I also am not a fan of spending -185 for the Yanks to get a run of insurance.

PASS.

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Over/Under

The Astros are 5-5 O/U over the last 10, and the Yanks are 4-6. The Over is just 3-7 over the last 10 meetings between the teams. Houston has scored 3 or fewer runs in 6 of the last 9 games. The Yankees have scored 3 or fewer in 7 of 10. These offenses aren’t clicking enough for me to expect 10 runs.

I’ll LEAN UNDER 9 (-105).

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Houston Astros at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Houston Astros at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Houston Astros (62-48) will play the 2nd game of a 4-game series against the New York Yankees (57-52) on Friday at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 1-0 after a 4-3 win Thursday

Thursday’s loss snapped a 3-game win streak for the Astros. Houston has won 6 of its last 10 games and is 1 1/2 games back of the Texas Rangers in the AL West race.

The Yankees got back-to-back home runs from OF Giancarlo Stanton and OF Billy McKinney in the 1st inning which proved to be the difference in Thursday’s victory. New York remains in last place in the AL East and is 10 games behind the 1st place Baltimore Orioles.

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Astros at Yankees projected starters

RHP Hunter Brown vs. RHP Luis Severino

Brown (7-7, 4.12 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 111 1/3 IP.

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 17-4 home win vs. Tampa Bay Rays Saturday
2023 road stats: 4-3, 3.71 ERA (63 IP, 26 ER) in 11 starts
Never faced the Yankees

Severino (2-5, 7.49 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.84 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 57 2/3 IP.

Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 9 ER, 10 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 9-3 road loss vs. Orioles Sunday
2023 home stats: 2-1, 5.19 ERA (26 IP, 15 ER) in 5 starts
Career vs. Astros: 2-3, 3.82 ERA (37 2/3 IP, 16 ER) in 6 starts and 1 relief appearance

Astros at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:49 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Astros -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Yankees +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros 1.5 (+110) | Yankees +1.5 (-135)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Astros at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 7, Yankees 3

Moneyline

The ASTROS (-145) are the easy pick Friday with Severino pitching for the Yankees. New York has lost 4 of Severino’s last 5 starts.

Run line/Against the spread

The ASTROS -1.5 (+110) are a fantastic value as Houston’s bats should have no issue doing damage on Severino. Brown has been solid this season and he’s coming off a start in which he limited the Tampa Bay Rays to only 2 runs over 6 innings.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-110).

Severino is struggling against batters on both sides of the plate this season, and the Astros can potentially hit the Over themselves. Houston’s lineup is getting healthy and Severino has given up at least 7 earned runs in 3 of his last 5 starts.

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Houston Astros at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Houston Astros Team at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Houston Astros (62-47) and New York Yankees (56-52) begin a 4-game series in the Big Apple on Thursday. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is slated for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Yankees and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023; Astros won 5 of 7 in 2022

The Astros completed a 3-game sweep of the Cleveland Guardians with a 3-2 victory Wednesday. They allowed just 5 total runs over the series. Houston is 6-7 against the AL East this season.

The Yankees avoided being swept in a 3-game series with a 7-2 victory over the Tampa Bay Rays Wednesday. They are 1-2 to start a 7-game homestand and have lost back-to-back series. New York has struggled to score runs in Yankee Stadium despite being 33-26 at home this season, producing just 4.17 per game — the 10th-worst mark in the league.

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Astros at Yankees projected starters

RHP Cristian Javier vs. RHP Clarke Schmidt

Javier (7-2, 4.33 ERA) will make his 21st start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 108 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 4-3 home loss vs. Tampa Bay Rays Friday
Has not earned a win since June 3 although Houston is 4-4 along that span
2023 away splits: 3-1, 5.25 ERA (60 IP, 35 ER), .228 OBA in 11 starts

Schmidt (7-6, 4.39 ERA) will make his 22nd start and 23rd appearance. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 104 2/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 8-3 victory at the Baltimore Orioles Saturday
Has never started against the Astros
2023 home splits: 3-5, 4.01 ERA (60 2/3 IP, 27 ER), .261 OBA in 13 appearances

Astros at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:27 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Astros -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Yankees -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+150) | Yankees +1.5 (-185)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Astros at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 4, Yankees 3

Moneyline

BET ASTROS (-110).

You know a game is too close to call when the money line odds are the exact same. I won’t put a full unit down on this but I believe the Astros win Thursday. Houston is playing good baseball while the Yankees’ playoff chances are dwindling away.

Run line/Against the spread

AVOID.

This game is way too tight to even think about betting the run line.

The Yankees +1.5 (-185) would be a tempting option but I’m not going to put nearly double my return on it because it’s far from a sure thing.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-110).

Both of these pitchers have not allowed more than 3 earned runs in any of their last 3 starts.

Javier has only allowed 1 earned run against the Yankees in his 12 regular season innings pitched. Schmidt has allowed a total of 11 earned runs in his last 33 innings pitched at home this season. I think we see a pitching duel on Thursday evening.

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Houston Astros at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Astros at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros (45-26) battle for supremacy against the New York Yankees (52-20) Sunday in the finale of a 4-game set at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is set for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Houston leads the series 2-1.

Let’s just get the elephant out of the room right now. How many of you wish you placed a bet on the Astros no-hitting the Yankees at Yankee Stadium Saturday? The Astros threw a combined no-hitter against the Bronx Bombers just like they did in 2003 with the likes of Roy Oswalt, Brad Lidge, Octavio Dotel and Billy Wagner.

I’d hate to be the starter on the mound Sunday because the Yankees are going to be mad. RHP Gerrit Cole threw 7 solid innings and struck out 8, but the Astros weren’t having it. RHP Cristian Javier allowed 1 walk and struck out 13 over 7 hitless/scoreless innings, and Hector Neris and Ryan Pressley closed the door on history.

Astros at Yankees projected starters

RHP Jose Urquidy vs. LHP Nestor Cortes

Urquidy (6-3, 4.68 ERA) makes his 14th start on the season. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 67 1/3 innings.

Won his last start vs. the New York Mets June 21 with 6 IP, 1 R, 4 H, 1 BB and 5 K.
Has a 6.28 road ERA vs. a 2.51 home ERA this season

Cortes (6-3, 2.31 ERA) makes his 14th start of the year. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 74 innings.

“Nasty Nestor” has been touched for 4 ER in 2 of his last 3 starts
He’s 3-0 with a 1.53 ERA, 0.85 WHIP and 10.7 K/9 at home

Astros at Yankees odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:22 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Astros +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Yankees -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros +1.5 (-155) | Yankees -1.5 (+125)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Astros at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Astros 4

Money line

The Yankees will respond and Urquidy’s first start against them is likely to be rough. Cortes has been hittable lately, but not at home. In fact, the Yankees are a robust 30-9 at home this year. They’re also 6-0 in Cortes’ home starts. Skip the -160 money line. This won’t need extras. Take the YANKEES FIRST 9 INNINGS (-140).

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Run line/Against the spread

We’re picking the Yankees to win by more than 1, but the Yankees are 18-21 on the run line at home. There’s some value at +125, and that’s hard to find with the Yankees at home. But the Astros are an excellent team. Stick with the first 9. PASS.

Over/Under

The weather is calling for 90 degrees and an 11-mph gust towards the left-field foul pole. The Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York. The Over is also 3-0-1 in Urquidy’s last 4 road starts against a team with a winning record. The Under hit in the last 2 meetings of this series, but the Yankees cashed the Over in 5 of 8 before that. We’ll LEAN OVER 8.5 (-130).

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Houston Astros at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Houston Astros at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros (43-26) and New York Yankees (52-18) continue their 4-game series Friday at 7:05 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Yankees lead 1-0 after a 9th-inning rally and a 7-6 triumph in the series opener.

The Astros led most of Thursday’s game, but then lost a bullpen battle when the Yankees stormed back from a 6-3 deficit in the final frame. The loss snapped a 3-game winning streak. Houston is 6-2 across its last 8 games.

The Yankees now have 4 one-run victories since June 15. New York heads into the final weekend in June leading MLB in pitching/defense (3.06 runs per game) and ranking 2nd in offense (5.14 RPG).

Astros at Yankees projected starters

RHP Justin Verlander vs. RHP Luis Severino

Verlander (8-3, 2.30 ERA) has made 13 starts. He has a 0.89 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 82 1/3 IP.

Had a June ERA of 1.71 until his Saturday start vs. the Chicago White Sox start when he was pounded for 7 runs (4 ER) on 9 hits over 3 2/3 IP .
Has held current Yankees to a .577 OPS over his career, but has not faced New York since 2019.

Severino (4-1, 3.27 ERA) has clocked a 1.06 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 through 66 IP in 12 starts.

Last pitched on Sunday when he made a delayed-by-a-couple-days start at Toronto and coughed up 5R in as many innings. Was briefly on the COVID-19 list earlier that same week.
Owns a 2.33 ERA, 1.01 WHIP at home.

Astros at Yankees odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8:24 a.m. ET.

Money line: Astros +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Yankees -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Run line (RL): Astros +1.5 (-200) | Yankees -1.5 (+160)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

Astros at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Astros 4

Money line

Verlander is a tremendous pitcher but one likely being overrated by surface numbers tamped down by a .230 batting average on balls in play. He’s a fly-ball pitcher, and the Yanks feast on fly-ball types. And in this game, the veteran hurler is backed by a bullpen reaching some recent usage red flags.

Severino gets back on normal rest after an 8-day rest interval last time out. He’s backed by a rested bullpen.

YANKEES (-130) is a solid play on the value meter.

Run line/Against the spread

With the low total and the Yankees pulled in to more 1-2-run games of late, PASS.

Over/Under

Both clubs have overcooked pitching numbers and are, in principle, due for some Overs moving forward. With some slight fade-Verlander lean in the mix, the Over is the play in mind.

But a 25-cent line here drowns out the value edge. AVOID … unless an Over 7.5 (-120) tag becomes available.

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Houston Astros at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Houston Astros at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros (43-25) travel to Yankee Stadium Thursday to begin a 4-game series with the New York Yankees (51-18) at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Houston won an interleague back-to-back vs. the New York Mets Tuesday-Wednesday and the Astros are 7-3 straight up (SU) over their last 10 games.

The Yankees stole the rubber match of their 3-game set with the Tampa Bay Rays 5-4 Wednesday keyed by a 2-run home run by C Jose Trevino in the top of the 8th inning. N.Y. is 8-2 SU over the last 10.

The Yankees beat the Astros in last year’s season series 4-2 and N.Y. had a plus-8 run differential in those meetings.

Astros at Yankees projected starters

LHP Framber Valdez vs. RHP Jameson Taillon

Valdez is 7-3 with a 2.78 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 81 IP over 13 starts.

Last start: Wonn 13-3 at home vs. the Chicago White Sox June 17 with 5 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 2 HR, 3 BB and 3 K.
2021 vs. the Yankees: One start, a no-decision in Houston’s 8-7 home win July 11 with 4 IP, 3 R (2 ER), 6 H, 1 HR, 6 BB and 5 K.

Taillon is 8-1 with a 2.70 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 73 1/3 IP over 13 starts.

Last start: Won 4-0 Saturday at the Toronto Blue Jays with 5 2/3 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 2 BB and 8 K.
2021 vs. the Astros: One start, a no-decision in N.Y.’s 8-7 road loss July 11 with 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 HR, 2 BB and 4 K.

Astros at Yankees odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:13 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Astros +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Yankees -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros +1.5 (-190) | Yankees -1.5 (+155)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

Astros at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Astros 3

Money line

BET the YANKEES (-130) because they have edges in the starting pitching and hitting departments. Taillon had a better outing than Valdez in last year’s Astros-Yankees July 11 meeting.

Taillon has a .187/.241/.297 expected batting average (xBA), wOBA (xwOBA) and slugging percentage (xSLG) slash line with a 20.0 K% and 88.6 mph exit velocity (EV) in 45 plate appearances (PA) vs. current Astros, per statcast.

Valdez has a .233/.321/.327 xBA-xwOBA-xSLG slash line with a 13.3 K% and 89.0 mph EV in 60 PA vs. active Yankees.

Also, the Yankees are 9-0 SU at home vs. lefty starters with a plus-1.9 margin of victory and the Astros are 2-3 SU as road underdogs vs. righty starters.

BET the YANKEES (-130).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Astros +1.5 (-190) are 6-1 RL as underdogs and the Yankees -1.5 (+155) are just 18-18 RL as home favorites. Granted, N.Y.’s RL is a juicy payout but it’s tough laying -1.5 against this Houston team.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-115) only because I prefer N.Y.’s ML and the Over 8.5 (-107) appears to be the sharper side of the total.

However, Astros-Yankees have a combined 10-16 O/U record when these starters are on the hill, Houston is 3-6 O/U as underdogs and N.Y. is 16-20 RL as home favorites.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

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Houston Astros at New York Yankees odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Houston Astros at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros (15-15) look to avoid a 3-game sweep by the New York Yankees (16-14) in the series finale Thursday at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is slated for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Yankees lead 2-0. They beat the Astros 6-3 Wednesday and 7-3 Tuesday.

RHP Lance McCullers Jr. is projected to start for the Astros. He is 2-1 with a 3.38 ERA (26 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 and 4.7 BB/9 in 5 starts.

Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 9 K in 9-2 victory at Tampa Bay Rays Friday
Career vs. Yankees (regular season): 2-0, 2.59 ERA (24 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 in 4 starts

RHP Gerrit Cole is expected to take the hill for the Yankees. He is 4-1 with a 1.43 ERA (37 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 0.72 WHIP, 14.8 K/9 and 0.7 BB/9 in 6 starts.

Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 12 K in 10-0 home shutout of Detroit Tigers Friday
Career vs. Astros: 0-1, 9.00 ERA (5 IP, 5 ER), 7 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 1 start back in 2016

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Astros at Yankees odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:45 a.m. ET.

Money line: Astros +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Yankees -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Astros +1.5 (-120) | Yankees -1.5 (+100)
Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Yankees 4, Astros 1

Money line (ML)

Back NEW YORK (-200) for a HALF UNIT. The Yankees have run off 5 consecutive victories, won 7 of their last 8 games and 10 of their last 13.

To top it off, they’ll have their ace on the mound as they go for the sweep of the Astros, who have dropped 3 straight.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

NEW YORK -1.5 (+100) is the way to go. The Yankees have 16 wins this season with 15 of them by 2 or more runs.

ATS records: Astros 14-16 | Yankees 15-15

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 7.5 (-110) is worth a QUARTER-UNIT WAGER.

Both starting pitchers are coming off shutout performances. McCullers held the Rays scoreless over 7 innings, while Cole shut down the Tigers for 6 innings

McCullers hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in 4 of his 5 starts, while Cole hasn’t allowed more than 2 earned runs in any of his 6 starts.

O/U records: Astros 16-12-2 | Yankees 11-18-1

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Note: There is no STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager – on this card.

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY’S RECORD	W-L	SP	ROI
2021 MLB	36-36-2	9-12-1	-4.345
2020 MLB	80-59-1	39-21	+24.79
2021 (all sports)	139-121-3	58-53-1	+9.205
–SP: Strongest plays; ROI*: Return on investment

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