The Houston Astros (45-26) battle for supremacy against the New York Yankees (52-20) Sunday in the finale of a 4-game set at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is set for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Houston leads the series 2-1.
Let’s just get the elephant out of the room right now. How many of you wish you placed a bet on the Astros no-hitting the Yankees at Yankee Stadium Saturday? The Astros threw a combined no-hitter against the Bronx Bombers just like they did in 2003 with the likes of Roy Oswalt, Brad Lidge, Octavio Dotel and Billy Wagner.
I’d hate to be the starter on the mound Sunday because the Yankees are going to be mad. RHP Gerrit Cole threw 7 solid innings and struck out 8, but the Astros weren’t having it. RHP Cristian Javier allowed 1 walk and struck out 13 over 7 hitless/scoreless innings, and Hector Neris and Ryan Pressley closed the door on history.
Astros at Yankees projected starters
RHP Jose Urquidy vs. LHP Nestor Cortes
Urquidy (6-3, 4.68 ERA) makes his 14th start on the season. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 67 1/3 innings.
- Won his last start vs. the New York Mets June 21 with 6 IP, 1 R, 4 H, 1 BB and 5 K.
- Has a 6.28 road ERA vs. a 2.51 home ERA this season
Cortes (6-3, 2.31 ERA) makes his 14th start of the year. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 74 innings.
- “Nasty Nestor” has been touched for 4 ER in 2 of his last 3 starts
- He’s 3-0 with a 1.53 ERA, 0.85 WHIP and 10.7 K/9 at home
Astros at Yankees odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:22 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Astros +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Yankees -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros +1.5 (-155) | Yankees -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)
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Astros at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 6, Astros 4
Money line
The Yankees will respond and Urquidy’s first start against them is likely to be rough. Cortes has been hittable lately, but not at home. In fact, the Yankees are a robust 30-9 at home this year. They’re also 6-0 in Cortes’ home starts. Skip the -160 money line. This won’t need extras. Take the YANKEES FIRST 9 INNINGS (-140).
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Run line/Against the spread
We’re picking the Yankees to win by more than 1, but the Yankees are 18-21 on the run line at home. There’s some value at +125, and that’s hard to find with the Yankees at home. But the Astros are an excellent team. Stick with the first 9. PASS.
Over/Under
The weather is calling for 90 degrees and an 11-mph gust towards the left-field foul pole. The Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York. The Over is also 3-0-1 in Urquidy’s last 4 road starts against a team with a winning record. The Under hit in the last 2 meetings of this series, but the Yankees cashed the Over in 5 of 8 before that. We’ll LEAN OVER 8.5 (-130).
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