Underdog corner: 3 best NFL ATS picks and predictions for Week 5

Assessing the NFL betting odds and lines for Week 5, with three predictions and picks for the best ATS underdog bets to make.

After a hot start, we cooled off here in Week 4, cashing in on only one of our three weekly selections. But, hey, 9-3 after four weeks? Certainly no hanging heads here. Below, we look at the top NFL underdog ATS picks and predictions of Week 5.

Also see: All Week 5 odds and lines

NFL underdog predictions: Week 5

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 4:15 p.m. ET.

Cincinnati Bengals +3.5 (-125) vs. Green Bay Packers

QB Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have bounced back nicely from their season-opening debacle against the New Orleans Saints, by reeling off three straight wins.

The Bengals are also 3-1 and have won with a promising mix of young offensive talent, led by second-year QB Joe Burrow and rookie WR Ja’Marr Chase, along with an improved and underrated defense.

That should be more than enough to at least keep it close — and possibly even win outright — at home against a banged-up Green Bay squad which likely will be without some key offensive linemen, its best pass rusher and top cornerback.

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San Francisco 49ers +5.5 (-112) at Arizona Cardinals

QB Kyler Murray and the Cards are the league’s final unbeaten team and are coming off a huge 37-20 win over the previously undefeated Los Angeles Rams as 3.5-point road underdogs.

That, however, makes this a prime letdown spot for Arizona as it hosts an angry 49ers squad hitting the road off two straight stinging home setbacks.

Even though it likely will be rookie Trey Lance starting at QB for the Niners, they have had recent success in this NFC West series, winning three of the last four meetings.

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Buffalo Bills +2.5 (-102) at Kansas City Chiefs

K.C. is favored by less than a field goal at home Sunday night for the first time ever in a game QB Patrick Mahomes is slated to start.

That’s a giveaway right there that the wrong team might be favored in this rematch of last season’s AFC Championship Game won 38-24 by the Chiefs.

Both squads once again have top-three scoring offenses with top-level QBs, but the huge difference is defense as the Bills have surrendered the fewest points (44) and total yards (867) in the league while the Chiefs rank 31st in both categories, giving up 125 points and 1,751 yards.

With the spread under 3 points, take the Bills on the money line at +120 to earn a measure of revenge.

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Pittsburgh Steelers at Green Bay Packers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Pittsburgh Steelers at Green Bay Packers odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Pittsburgh Steelers (1-2) attempt to stop a two-game losing skid on the road against the Green Bay Packers (2-1) Sunday of Week 4. Kickoff is at 4:25 p.m. ET at Lambeau Field. Below, we look at the Steelers vs. Packer odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Steelers lost 24-10 to the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 3 for their second straight loss. QB Ben Roethlisberger was sacked 4 times and intercepted twice in the game. He has only 3 touchdown passes through three games so far and the team is averaging only 16.7 points per game thus far.

The Packers have won two in a row after a 38-3 blowout loss to the New Orleans Saints in their season opener. QB Aaron Rodgers led another game-winning drive in Week 3, taking the Packers down the field in just 37 seconds for PK Mason Crosby to hit a game-winning 51-yards field goal to beat the San Francisco 49ers 30-28 on the road. Rodgers has 6 touchdown passes in his last two games.

Also see: NFL Week 4 staff picks

Steelers at Packers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 5 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Steelers +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Packers -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Steelers +6.5 (-107) | Packers -6.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Steelers at Packers key injuries

Steelers

  • RT Chukwuma Okorafor (concussion) out
  • DT Carlos Davis (knee) out
  • WR Chase Claypool (hamstring) questionable
  • OL Rashaad Coward (ankle) out

Packers

  • Elgton Jenkins (ankle) doubtful
  • CB Kevin King (concussion) doubtful
  • WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling (hamstring) out
  • LB Krys Barnes (concussion) questionable
  • DL Jack Heflin (ankle) questionable
  • Vernon Scott (hamstring) questionable

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Steelers at Packers odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Packers 27, Steelers 13

Money line

The Packers are working on all cylinders after that Week 1 dud against the Saints. They put up a total of 65 points in their two wins.

The Steelers are struggling offensively and allowed 24 points to the Bengals, who have a good offense but are not on the same level as the Packers. They have allowed 6 touchdown passes thus far.

Take the PACKERS (-300).

Against the spread

Green Bay covered the spread in each of its two wins. Pittsburgh covered in one of three games.

Take the PACKERS -6.5 (-115).

Over/Under

Green Bay’s two wins have had the total in the 50s.

The Steelers have yet to have a game with a total that reaches Sunday’s projection of 45.5 points.

The Steelers haven’t allowed a team to score in the 30s yet, and it doesn’t look like they will have the firepower to get to the 20s.

Take UNDER 45.5 (-110).

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Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing the Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers Week 3 odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

Sunday Night Football in Week 3 features the Green Bay Packers (1-1) visiting the San Francisco 49ers (2-0). Kickoff is 8:20 p.m. ET at Levi’s Stadium. Below, we look at the Packers at 49ers odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

Green Bay started the year by getting throttled 38-3 on the road against the New Orleans Saints. Packers QB Aaron Rodgers threw 2 interceptions and was held without a touchdown pass and just 133 passing yards. The Packers gained only 229 yards. They bounced back in Week 2 on Monday Night Football with a 35-17 win over the Detroit Lions. Rodgers had 4 touchdown passes in the win.

The 49ers are one of three undefeated teams in the NFC West. They opened the season with a 41-33 win in Week 1 over the Detroit Lions. They were up 41-17 with under 10 minutes left before the Lions scored a couple of garbage-time touchdowns. They then beat the Philadelphia Eagles 17-11 in Week 2.

Packers at 49ers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:09 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Packers +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | 49ers -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Packers +3.5 (-122) | 49ers -3.5 (-102)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Packers at 49ers key injuries

Packers

  • LT Elgton Jenkins (ankle) out

49ers

  • DE Arik Armstead (adductor) questionable
  • DT Javon Kinlaw (knee) questionable
  • RB Elijah Mitchell (shoulder) doubtful
  • RB JaMycal Hasty (ankle) out
  • CB Emmanuel Moseley (knee) questionable

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Packers at 49ers odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Packers 23, 49ers 20

Money line

This will be the fourth year in a row the Packers and 49ers face each other in the regular season and the third straight regular-season game between them in San Francisco. They split the previous two regular-season meetings at Levi’s Stadium.

It is tough to know whether either team is good offensively based on the first couple of weeks of the season. The 49ers piled on 41 points in Week 1 but struggled to move the ball in Week 2. The Packers scored 35 last week but managed only a field goal in their opener against the Saints.

The game becomes the measuring stick for both teams.

49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo is nothing like Rodgers when he gets going, and Rodgers got going last week. The Niners are down their top two running backs to start the year, as Raheem Mostert is on injured reserve and Elijah Mitchell is doubtful.

Take the PACKERS (+135).

Against the spread

If the Packers more closely resemble how they played in Week 2 rather than Week 1 they are one of the best teams in the entire NFC. If the Niners do the same they will not have much of a chance to slow the Packers.

San Francisco will struggle to cover Green Bay’s receivers. The 49ers are already missing CB Jason Verrett for the season and with Moseley uncertain for the game.

Expecting an outright Packers win, I like them even more against the spread. Take the PACKERS +3.5 (-122).

Over/Under

Both teams are 1-1 O/U this year. However, both their big-scoring games came against the same opponent.

The Niners’ second game did not even crack 30 points, while the Packers’ season opener barely cracked the 40s.

Can the two teams together get into the 50s? I don’t think they will.

Take UNDER 50.5 (-105).

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Green Bay Packers vs. New Orleans Saints odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing the Green Bay Packers vs. New Orleans Saints Week 1 odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Green Bay Packers meet the New Orleans Saints Sunday in their regular-season openers at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, Fla. The NFL relocated this game due to the effects of Hurricane Ida in New Orleans. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Packers at Saints odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

Green Bay looks to take one more step after losing last season’s NFC Conference Championship Game to the eventual Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Reigning MVP Aaron Rodgers gave cheeseheads a scare by requesting a trade this offseason. But cooler heads prevailed and Rodgers hopes to lead the Packers to the Super Bowl for the second time in his career.

New Orleans returns most of its NFC South first-place roster from last season sans likely future Hall of Fame QB Drew Brees, who retired in the offseason. The Saints won a playoff game NFC Wild Card Weekend vs. the Chicago Bears before getting upset at home in the Divisional Round by the Buccaneers.

The Packers beat the Saints in New Orleans 37-30 in Week 3 last season as 3.5-point road underdogs with this game soaring over the total of 52.

Also see: 2021 team win totals, playoff lines and Super Bowl 56 odds

Packers vs. Saints odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 5:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Packers -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Saints +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Packers -3.5 (-115) | Saints +3.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Packers vs. Saints key injuries

Packers

  • DL Tyler Lancaster (back) limited practice
  • S Vernon Scott (hamstring) did not practice
  • OLB Za’Darius Smith (back) limited practice

Saints

  • CB Ken Crawley (hamstring) did not practice

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Packers vs. Saints odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Saints 27, Packers 21

Money line

LEAN to the SAINTS (+160) for a tiny wager because I like New Orleans plus the points and see some value in the underdog’s money line in this spot.

Time will tell if first-year Saints QB Jameis Winston is a long-term successor to Brees, but he’s in good shape behind this offensive line and with head coach Sean Payton working the controls of the offense.

Combine Payton’s offense with New Orleans’ sneaky elite defense and the SAINTS (+160) are live underdogs against any team.

Against the spread

Definitely BET the SAINTS +3.5 (-107) heavier than or instead of New Orleans’ money line because this game is extremely mispriced and we are seeing “reverse line movement” (RLM) in the betting market.

New Orleans was favored 3.5 points against Green Bay last season. There isn’t a 7-point drop-off from a Brees-led Saints to Winston under center.

I’m more worried about how missing LT David Bakhtiari (on the PUP list) and the offseason departures of former C Corey Linsley and RT Bryan Bulaga affect Green Bay’s offense.

This game opened with Green Bay laying 3 points and moved up to 4.5 points once the relocation news broke.

Now, it’s down to the Packers -3.5 (-115) despite roughly 85% of the action being on Green Bay according to Pregame.com. This puzzling line movement suggests oddsmakers are cool with taking more bets on the Packers.

Over/Under

PASS with slight lean to the Under 49.5 (-110) because I don’t have much on the Packers-Saints total and much prefer the New Orleans’ sides.

However, the Saints using their offensive line to push the Packers around and keep the chains moving combined with New Orleans’ top-notch defensive line facing a banged-up Green Bay offensive line is why I lean to the Under.

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Green Bay Packers at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Green Bay Packers at Buffalo Bills preseason Week 3 matchup, with NFL odds, lines, picks, predictions and best bets.

The Green Bay Packers (0-2) meet the Buffalo Bills (2-0) Saturday for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff at Ralph Wilson Stadium. Below, we look at the Packers vs. Bills odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Packers have struggled in the preseason falling to the Houston Texans by a 26-7 score Aug. 14, and 23-14 against the New York Jets Saturday. Green Bay posted just 143 passing yards and 135 rushing yards against the Jets.

The Bills rolled up 41 points in Chicago against the Bears last Saturday, the most points scored by any team so far this preseason. They also picked up a 16-15 win Aug. 13, on the road against the Detroit Lions.

Packers at Bills odds, spread and lines

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Packers +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | Bills -370 (bet $370 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Packers +8.5 (-112) | Bills -8.5 (-108)
  • Total: 34.5 (Over: -112 | Under: -108)

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Packers at Bills odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Bills 24, Packers 13

Money line

The Bills (-370) will cost you nearly four times your potential return, and that’s not a good bet in the preseason, or otherwise.

AVOID and play the spread instead.

Against the spread

The BILLS -8.5 (-108) are likely to use QB Josh Allen very little, but backup QB Mitchell Trubisky shows how much depth Buffalo has at the position. Allen didn’t even play in the team’s 41-15 blowout win last weekend. Whether or not Allen plays, take the Bills.

QB Aaron Rodgers isn’t likely to play for the Packers, and if he does, it will be a cameo. QB Jordan Love (shoulder) is out with a shoulder, so the Pack doesn’t have a ton of depth at the position at the moment.

Over/Under

OVER 34.5 (-112) is worth a look, as the Bills offense has been on point with or without Allen. The Packers have struggled to put up points, as Rodgers has sat and Love has been injured, but the reserves could strike late to push this one over the top.

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New York Jets at Green bay Packers odds and lines: Zach Wilson, Jordan Love on display again

Looking at Saturday’s New York Jets at Green Bay Packers NFL preseason odds and lines.

The New York Jets are on the road this weekend to play the Green Bay Packers in each team’s second preseason game of the year. Their game kicks off Saturday afternoon at 4:25 p.m. ET at Lambeau Field. Below, we look at the Jets at Packers odds and lines.

The Jets picked up a win in their preseason opener defeating the New York Giants 12-7. Rookie QB Zach Wilson made his debut and was efficient and effective with 63 yards on 6-for-9 passing.

Packers QB Jordan Love got his first NFL game action in a 26-7 loss to the Houston Texans. Love was 12-for-17 for 122 yards and a touchdown, but Houston scored 23 unanswered points after that.

Love suffered a shoulder injury, and his status is up in the air for this game. The Packers are working out quarterbacks in case Love can’t play.

Jets at Packers: Odds, spread and line

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Jets -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Packers +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Jets -1.5, -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Packers +1.5, -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Total: 34.5, Over -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Under -110 (bet $110 to win $100)

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2020 Betting stats:

  • ATS: Jets 6-10 | Packers 11-7
  • O/U: Jets 7-9 | Packers 11-7

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The Packers, at +100 odds, have an implied 50.0% chance of winning, or 1/1 fractional odds. If Green Bay wins outright or loses by only 1 point, a Packers +1.5 (-110) ATS bet wins.

The Jets (-125) have an implied 55.56% chance of beating the Jets, or 4/5 fractional odds. New York must win by 2 or more points for a Jets -1.5 (-110) ATS ticket to cash.

There would need to be at least 35 points scored Saturday for an OVER 34.5 (-110) ticket to cash, while a combined point total of 34 or fewer points is a win for the Under.

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Houston Texans at Green Bay Packers odds and lines: Packers QB Jordan Love finally set to see field

Assessing the odds and lines for Saturday’s NFL preseason contest between the Houston Texans and Green Bay Packers.

The Green Bay Packers and Houston Texans finally begin their respective 2021 NFL preseason campaigns after a tumultuous offseason for both sides. Kickoff will be Saturday at 8 p.m. ET at Lambeau Field. Below, we look at the Texans at Packers odds and lines.

The Packers were able to retain QB Aaron Rodgers for at least the 2021 season, but it’s second-year QB Jordan Love who should be expected to see most of the playing time under center Saturday. The No. 26 overall pick of the 2020 NFL Draft didn’t see the field at all as a rookie as Rodgers put together his third MVP campaign in his age-36 season.

The Texans haven’t been able to come to anywhere near the same resolution as the Packers. QB Deshaun Watson remains mired in an off-field legal dispute and is also reportedly still seeking a trade. He participated in training camp Monday but is unlikely to play Saturday.

Texans at Packers: Odds, spread and line

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 6:03 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Texans +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Packers -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Texans +2.5, +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Packers -2.5, -133 (bet $133 to win $100)
  • Total: 33.5, Over -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Under -105 (bet $105 to win $100)

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2020 betting stats:

  • ATS: Texans 6-10 | Packers 11-7
  • O/U: Texans 8-8 | Packers 11-7

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New to NFL betting?

The Packers are modest favorites at home in what’s expected to be Love’s first taste of game action on an NFL field. Their implied win probability is 61.54% with the -160 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 5/8 or decimal of 1.63. Green Bay will need to win by 3 or more points in order to cover the -2.5-point spread.

The Texans can cover the spread by losing by 2 or fewer points or by pulling off the upset victory. They have an implied win probability of just 43.48% with the +130 odds.

The teams will need to combine to score 34 or more points in order to cash Over 33.5 (-115) tickets. A point total of 33 or fewer points is a win for the Under.

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NFC Championship: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Green Bay Packers odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Green Bay Packers NFC Championship Game betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (13-5) visit the Green Bay Packers (14-3) in the NFC Championship Game Sunday for a 3:05 p.m. ET kickoff. Below, we preview the Buccaneers-Packers betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Buccaneers at Packers: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 8:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Buccaneers +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Packers -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Buccaneers +3.5 (-115) | Packers -3.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 51.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Buccaneers at Packers: Game notes

  • QB Tom Brady led Tampa Bay to an 11-5 regular-season record in his first year with the Bucs. It’s Tampa Bay’s first playoff berth since the 2007 season.
  • As the NFC’s No. 5 seed, the Bucs played and won their first two playoff games on the road to get here. They beat the Washington Football Team 31-23 as 10-point favorites Wild Card Weekend and avenged a season-sweep by the rival and NFC South champion New Orleans Saints with a 30-20 Divisional Round victory as 2.5-point underdogs.
  • Green Bay returns to its second consecutive NFC Championship Game and its third in five seasons. QB Aaron Rodgers and the Packers won their final six regular-season games to finish 13-3 to claim the NFC North title and the conference’s No. 1 seed.
  • After a bye, the Packers defeated the Los Angeles Rams 32-18 as 7-point home favorites in the Divisional Round. Rodgers threw for 296 yards with 2 touchdowns and ran for another score in the win.
  • The Buccaneers defeated the Packers 38-10 as 3-point home underdogs in Week 6. Brady threw for 166 yards, 2 touchdowns and no interceptions, while Rodgers had his worst outing of the season, finishing with 160 passing yards, no TDs and 2 picks. Green Bay led 10-0 after the first quarter before Tampa Bay scored 28 points before the half. CB Jamel Dean returned a Rodgers interception 32 yards for a touchdown, RB Ronald Jones (113 rushing yards, 2 TDs) scored on a 2-yard run, which was set up by Rodgers’ second pick, and Brady threw 2 TDs for a 28-10 Tampa Bay halftime advantage.
  • Brady threw for 4,633 yards with 40 TDs and 12 picks in the regular season with WR Mike Evans (1,006 yards, 13 TDs) his top target. Jones led the ground attack with 978 rushing yards and 7 TDs – Brady had 3 rushing scores.
  • Rodgers finished with 4,299 passing yards, 48 TDs, 5 INTs and 3 rushing TDs. RB Aaron Jones totaled 1,459 yards from scrimmage and 11 TDs and WR Davante Adams was the top receiver with 1,374 yards and 18 TDs in 14 games.
  • Green Bay has lost its last 3 NFC title games following its Super Bowl XLV win (2010).

Betting stats:

  • ATS: Buccaneers 10-8 (9-7 regular season, 1-1 playoffs) | Packers 11-6 (10-6, 1-0)
  • O/U: Buccaneers 10-8 (9-7, 1-1) | Packers 10-7 (9-7, 1-0)

Buccaneers at Packers: Key injuries

Buccaneers

  • WR Antonio Brown (knee) questionable
  • WR Mike Evans (knee) questionable
  • WR Chris Godwin (quadriceps) questionable
  • RB Ronald Jones II (quadriceps, finger) questionable
  • LB Jason Pierre-Paul (knee) questionable

Packers

  • PK Mason Crosby (shoulder) questionable
  • WR Allen Lazard (wrist, back) questionable
  • LB Za’Darius Smith (thumb) questionable

Buccaneers at Packers: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Packers 27, Buccaneers 24

Money line (?)

AVOID. This could come down to who has the ball last. If you strongly believe the Packers are going to win, you can back them at -185, which is a little high for my liking. I’m PASSING and taking the points as long as I can get the hook – ½ point – with the Bucs.

Against the spread (?)

TAMPA BAY +3.5 (-115) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. If the line drops to 3 or lower, BACK THE PACK.

Over/Under (?)

Back the UNDER 51.5 (-115) for a HALF-UNIT. I’m backing the defenses despite the offensive numbers leaning toward the Over. The Packers averaged 38.1 points per game to rank first and 389.0 yards per game to rank fifth in the regular season. The Bucs were third in scoring at 30.8 PPG and seventh at 384.1 YPG.

Defensively, Green Bay allowed 334.0 YPG to rank ninth, and hasn’t allowed more than 18 points in four straight games. Tampa Bay yielded 327.1 YPG to rank sixth and features the NFL’s best rushing defense, allowing just 80.6 YPG.

Snow flurries are in the forecast with temperatures in the 20’s, but the wind isn’t expected to be a factor.

Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

Johnny’s 2020-21 NFL record / Strongest plays 30-26-2 / 15-11-1
2019-20 NFL record / Strongest plays 17-10-1 / 7-4
2021 overall record (all sports) / Strongest plays 31-15 / 16-8
2020 overall record (all sports) / Strongest plays 178-147-4 / 87-61-1

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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NFC Divisional Round: Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers NFC Divisional Round betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Los Angeles Rams (11-6) take their top-rated defense into Lambeau Field to face the Green Bay Packers (13-3) in the NFC Divisional Round. The weather forecast calls for temperatures hovering around freezing with the expectation of snow when they meet at 4:35 p.m. ET Saturday. Below, we preview the Rams-Packers betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Rams at Packers: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rams +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Packers -325 (bet $325 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rams +6.5 (-105) | Packers -6.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Rams at Packers: Game notes

  • Both teams are strong against the spread but not as good as their win-loss records. Green Bay is 10-6 ATS, while the Rams are 10-7.
  • Games involving the Packers have averaged 54.9 points, while Rams games have averaged 41.8 points – a departure for both from the 45.5-point spread for Saturday’s game.
  • The Packers have the top-ranked scoring offense in the leagues, while the Rams have the No. 1 scoring defense.
  • The Rams hit the Under in 12 of 16 regular-season games but went Over in their Wild Card Round win against the Seattle Seahawks.
  • The Packers are 6-0 in games when favored by 6.5 or more points, but just 3-3 ATS.
  • The Rams are 0-6 ATS in their last six games against the Packers.
  • The Over hit in each of the Packers’ last five playoff games.

Rams at Packers: Key injuries

Rams

  • WR Cooper Kupp (knee) questionable
  • OL David Edwards (ankle) questionable
  • QB John Wolford (neck) out
  • LB Terrell Lewis (ankle) out

Packers

  • DT Kingsley Keke (concussion) doubtful

Rams at Packers: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Packers 27, Rams 13

Money line (?)

The Packers are -325, which is far too much to give up. If you feel you have to make a play on this, a small bet on the Rams at +260 could be worth the dice roll.

With key injuries in too many spots, the best option here is simply to AVOID this bet.

Against the spread (?)

The key here is the Rams offense is going to likely have to depend on the run too much for a warm-weather team in a cold climate. There are too many key injuries and bad scenarios facing the Rams as they head to Wisconsin in mid-January to face a rested Packers team with a lot of advantages that don’t require fans.

TAKE THE PACKERS -6.5 (-115) to win by at least 7 points.

Over/Under (?)

This is a tough one because, if the Packers defense can get a turnover or two – very possible – this one could get away from the Rams with the hot hand Packers QB Aaron Rodgers has been wielding. The Rams faced a lot of good offenses this season and were the No. 1 defense for a reason.

When you factor in the Rams offense, barring a defensive or special teams touchdown, all signs point to the Packers bottling up their run game and forcing the issue. TAKE THE UNDER 45.5 (-110).

Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

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Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears Week 17 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Green Bay Packers (12-3) and Chicago Bears (8-7) both come into Week 17 with plenty of motivation. Green Bay can secure the NFC’s No. 1 seed with a win, while Chicago needs a win or a loss by the Arizona Cardinals for a wild-card berth. Sunday’s kickoff at Soldier Field will be at 4:25 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Packers-Bears betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Packers at Bears: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:09 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Packers -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Bears +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Packers -4.5 (-115) | Bears +4.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 51.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Bet $1 on ANY team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) IF any team scores a touchdown Sunday. Promotion available in CO, IN, NJ, TN and WV. PA residents, don’t miss BetMGM‘s risk-free, first-bet offer! MI residents, BetMGM is coming to your state soon — register early for special promotion.

New customer offer, terms and conditions apply. Place your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM! Bet now!

Packers at Bears: Game notes

  • In addition to the Packers vying for home-field advantage through the playoffs, QB Aaron Rodgers will also try to secure the AP MVP. He’s the betting favorite at BetMGM with odds of -400. His top competitor in Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes (+350) isn’t playing this week.
  • Rodgers, a two-time MVP, has completed 70.3% of his passes for 4,059 yards and a league-high 44 touchdowns against just 5 interceptions. He has another 3 rushing scores.
  • The Bears have won three straight games, including last week’s 41-17 whopping over the Jacksonville Jaguars, to get back into playoff position. QB Mitchell Trubisky has thrown for 734 yards and 6 TDs against 2 picks in those wins.
  • The Packers beat the Bears 41-25 in Week 12. Rodgers threw for just 211 yards but with 4 TDs and no picks. Trubisky had 2 interceptions in the loss.
  • The Packers have won three straight games against the Bears. They swept the head-to-head season series in four of the last five years.

Packers at Bears: Key injuries

Packers

  • OT David Bakhtiari (knee) out
  • OT Rick Wagner (knee) questionable
  • LB Za’Darius Smith (ankle, thumb) questionable

Bears

  • Deon Bush (foot) questionable
  • CB Jaylon Johnson (shoulder) out
  • CB Buster Skrine (concussion) out
  • Tashaun Gipson (neck) questionable
  • TE Cole Kmet (shoulder) questionable
  • WR/RB Cordarrelle Patterson (knee) questionable

Packers at Bears: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Packers 24, Bears 21

Money line (?)

The PACKERS (-250) are on the expensive side, but they should be bet to win outright with Rodgers looking to put the finishing touches on his third MVP campaign.

The injuries in Chicago’s secondary further play to his advantage.

Against the spread (?)

The Packers are riding a five-game win streak with each of those wins coming by 7 or more points, but the BEARS +4.5 (-105) will keep it close in a low-scoring game.

The Chicago team that lost to Green Bay earlier this season is much different than the one we’ve seen in recent weeks with Trubisky and second-year RB David Montgomery playing the best football of their respective careers.

Over/Under (?)

Take the UNDER 51.5 (-115) on one of the highest projected totals of Week 17. Rodgers will do enough to seal the MVP but could be taken out early if the Packers get a big enough lead.

Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

Follow @EstenMcLaren on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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