Genesis Invitational odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Analyzing the golf betting odds to win the 2020 Genesis Invitational, with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.

The 2020 Genesis Invitational hosts a field of 120 golfers this week in Pacific Palisades Calif. Eight of the top-10 golfers from the Official World Golf Ranking are among them, making this the top PGA Tour event of the season thus far. Below, we’ll analyze the golf betting odds, while making our picks to win the 2020 Genesis Invitational.

The key stats for the 7,322-yard, par-71 Riviera Country Club are:

  • Strokes Gained: Ball Striking
  • Strokes Gained: Around the Green
  • Birdies Gained
  • Par 4 Scoring: 450-500 Yards
  • Driving Distance Gained

My model at Fantasy National looks at the most recent 50 rounds on courses between 7,200 and 7,400 yards.

Genesis Invitational – Tier 1

Aug 25, 2019; Atlanta, GA, USA; Rory McIlroy and Brooks Koepka hug after the final round of the Tour Championship golf tournament at East Lake Golf Club. (Photo Credit: Butch Dill – USA TODAY Sports)

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9 p.m. ET.

Brooks Koepka (+2000)

There isn’t likely to be anyone in the field this week more motivated than Koepka, who gave up the No. 1 spot in the OWGR to Rory McIlroy Monday morning. With the bump in the rankings, Koepka’s outright odds to win a tournament plummeted. By contrast, Koepka is +900 to win the Masters, +1000 to win the Open Championship, +800 for the US Open and +800 for the PGA Championship.

While he missed the cut in 2017 (his only appearance in the last five years), this is nearly a major-caliber field. Koepka remains second in the OWGR but he’s seventh by the odds this week.


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Adam Scott (+3000)

Scott ranks third in this field in Strokes Gained at Riviera among those with a minimum of 10 rounds played on the course. Ranked 14th in the world, he’s coming off a win at the Australian PGA Championship in late December and is well rested. He looks to become the third Aussie to win on the PGA Tour in 2020 behind Marc Leishman and Cameron Smith.

Genesis Invitational – Tier 2

Jan 24, 2020; San Diego, California, USA; Collin Morikawa watches his shot from the fifth tee during the second round of the Farmers Insurance Open golf tournament at Torrey Pines Municipal Golf Course – South Course. (Photo Credit: Orlando Ramirez – USA TODAY Sports)

Collin Morikawa (+4500)

Morikawa has never participated in this event, but he offers adequate value after routinely being priced among the favorites in the weaker early-season events. He still hasn’t missed a cut as a professional, and he ranks 18th by the overall stat model as a great ball striker.

Kevin Na (+6600)

Na tied for 33rd last year following a co-runner-up finish in 2018 and a T-4 in 2017. He rebounded from a missed cut at the Waste Management Phoenix Open to tie for 14th last week at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. He’s one of the best in the elite field in SG: Around the Green.


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Genesis Invitational – Longshots

Jan 16, 2020; La Quinta, California, USA; Francesco Molinari (R) and caddie Mark Fulcher look on from the fourth tee box during the first round of The American Express golf tournament at La Quinta Country Club. (Photo Credit: Orlando Ramirez – USA TODAY Sports)

Jason Kokrak (+10000)

Though he lacks the winning pedigree of many of those in the field, Kokrak has done well at Riviera. He has made the cut each of the last five years at this event and was a co-runner-up in 2016. He ranks sixth in the field in total strokes gained over that those five appearances.

Francesco Molinari (+12500)

Yes, this is the same Francesco Molinari as the 2018 Open Champion. He enters the week ranked 24th by the OWGR, but he was inside the top 10 as recently as September. He’s coming off missed cuts at the Farmers Insurance Open and The American Express, but these odds are laughable for one of the best iron players in the world.

Get some action on this tournament by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Fantasy Golf Power Rankings for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

Analyzing the best fantasy golf options for the 2020 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.

Dustin Johnson returns to PGA Tour action for this week’s AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am following a runner-up finish at the European Tour’s Saudi International last week. It will be his first event on the mainland of the 2020 season, as the No. 5 golfer in the Official World Golf Ranking seeks a third victory at Pebble Beach Golf Links. We break down the fantasy golf options for this week in a rather top-heavy field.

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Fantasy Golf Top 30

(Photo Credit: Brian Spurlock – USA TODAY Sports)

Here are my top-30 fantasy golf rankings for the 2020 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.

30. Ted Potter Jr.

The 2018 champion won the event after entering the week at No. 243 in the OWGR. He followed it up with a missed cut last year, and he comes in off MCs at both the Waste Management Phoenix Open and the Farmers Insurance Open to slip to 315 in the world.

29. J.B. Holmes

Holmes has collected back-to-back T-16 results, but he has to feel disappointed with both results after falling down the leaderboard over the weekends. His overall game has been very strong, but he missed the cut at Pebble each of the last two years.

28. Daniel Berger

Berger tied for ninth last week for his first top-10 showing since a co-runner-up result at the Puerto Rico Open last February. He hasn’t played this event since a T-10 in 2015.

27. Cameron Champ

Already a winner this season at the Safeway Open, Champ debuted here last year with a T-28. He fares better on longer courses, but he can still create scoring opportunities and go low.

(Photo Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel – USA TODAY Sports)

26. Alex Noren

Noren’s among the best in the field in Strokes Gained: Around the Green over everyone’s last 24 rounds on courses shorter than 7,200 yards, according to my model at Fantasy National. He’s coming off a two-week break and hasn’t missed a cut in 10 straight worldwide events.

25. Rafa Cabrera Bello

RCB makes his first professional appearance in America since last year’s BMW Championship. He finished T-26 in 2018 and T-22 last year and is a great scorer at short venues.

24. Lucas Glover

Glover hasn’t been playing too often early in the season, and he has slipped to No. 80 in the world as a result. He’s looking to follow up a T-7 last year.

23. Jimmy Walker

Walker missed the cut in 2019 after a T-8 finish in 2018. He made the cut each of the last two weeks and is an excellent scrambler at the shorter courses.

22. Max Homa

Homa’s looking to follow up at T-10 at this event in 2019 and he comes in off of consecutive top 10 results to vault inside the top 100 of the OWGR.

(Photo Credit: Orlando Ramirez – USA TODAY Sports)

21. Matthew NeSmith

NeSmith has made five consecutive cuts since missing the weekend at the Houston Open in the fall. The PGA Tour rookie struggles a little around the greens, but he’s strong on approach and can scramble with the best in the field.

20. Russell Knox

Knox has one of the best approach games of those in attendance this week. He finished inside the top 15 each of the last two years here and he’s riding a streak of 11 straight made cuts this season.

19. Kevin Na

Na has had surprisingly little success at this event for a short hitter who has four career PGA Tour wins. He excels on the shorter par 4s.

18. Patrick Rodgers

Rodgers is the best Poa Annua putter in the field. He’s coming off a T-16 result last week and a T-9 at the Farmers to climb to No. 278 in the world.

17. Tom Hoge

Hoge enters with four straight made cuts including a T-6 at The American Express and a solo fifth at the Farmers. He has been great on approach of late and he’s dialed in from this week’s key proximity distance of 125-150 yards.

16. Scott Piercy

Piercy finished tied for sixth last week in Phoenix. He looks to improve on a T-10 result last year which followed a steady trend of improvement over his last three appearances at this event.

(Photo Credit: Thomas J. Russo – USA TODAY Sports)

15. Adam Hadwin

Hadwin tied for 40th last week in his return to professional play following the birth of his child. He’s an excellent putter on all surfaces and has a great approach game.

14. Branden Grace

Grace tied for ninth last week for a second straight top finish at the WMPO. He gained 1.24 strokes per round on approach, according to Data Golf, to rank seventh among those who played all four rounds.

13. Chez Reavie

Reavie has missed the cut in three straight events after failing to play all four rounds in just seven of 29 events last year. He followed up a co-runner-up finish at Pebble Beach in 2018 with a T-38 last year.

12. Jim Furyk

Furyk leads the week’s stat model in SG: Approach on courses shorter than 7,200 yards. He has played here three of the last five years with finishes of T-7, T-66 and T-14 last year. This is his first event since a T-23 finish at The RSM Classic.

11. Kevin Kisner

Generally a better performer on longer courses where he can use his added distance to his advantage, Kisner has an underrated approach game. He’ll still be able to take advantage of the shorter par 4s.


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10. Graeme McDowell

McDowell is coming off a win at last week’s Saudi International to jump all the way from 104 to 47 in the OWGR. He returns to the site of his 2010 US Open win, and while the conditions will be much different than back then, he finished T-18 last year and is in top form after besting a much stronger field last week.

9. Viktor Hovland

Hovland has the best approach game in the field on these shorter courses and he’s an excellent scorer on par 4s ranging from 350-400 yards.

8. Jason Day

Day is one of the best putters in the field on the difficult Poa surface. He’s a good scrambler who can dominate short par 4s. He has three straight top 10 results in this event.

(Photo Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel – USA TODAY Sports)

7. Matthew Fitzpatrick

Fitzpatrick missed the cut here last year. He has been in strong form on the European Tour with five top 10s in seven events since late September.

6. Matt Kuchar

Kuchar leads the field in SG: Scrambling on the short courses and he excels at the 125-150-yard shot. He tied for 16th last week in his first event on the mainland this year.

5. Patrick Cantlay

Cantlay finished fourth at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and tied for 34th at the Euro Tour’s Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship. He’ll play his first full-field PGA Tour event since the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. At No. 8 in the OWGR, he’s the second-best golfer in attendance, behind Johnson.

4. Phil Mickelson

Last year’s champ preps for his defense off of a T-3 last week which was his best result since the win. He has finished T-2 or better in three of his last four tries at this event.

3. Paul Casey

Casey was the runner-up to Mickelson last year following a T-8 finish in 2018. He’s among the best in the field in creating scoring chances at shorter venues, and he ranks eighth in SG: Approach.

2. Brandt Snedeker

Snedeker, the 2013 & ’15 champ here, also finished fourth in 2017. He’s one of the best Poa putters in attendance and the best at avoiding three-putts on the unpredictable surface. He tied for third at Torrey Pines, but he has a further advantage on a short course to neutralize the longer hitters.

1. Dustin Johnson

The 2009 & ’10 champ comes in off a runner-up finish last week at the Saudi International. Once thought of mainly as a long hitter, he’s second in this week’s field in Birdies Gained on courses shorter than 7,200 yards.

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Sony Open: Fantasy Golf Power Rankings

Previewing the 2020 Sony Open in Hawaii and looking at the best fantasy golf selections for Waialae Country Club.

A field of 140 golfers descends on Waialae Country Club in Honolulu, Hawaii this week for the 2020 Sony Open. It’s the first full-field tournament since late November’s RSM Classic. Justin Thomas, who claimed his second victory of the 2019-20 PGA Tour season at last week’s Sentry Tournament of Champions is the top golfer from the Official World Golf Ranking in attendance at No. 4.

Fantasy Golf Rankings: Top 30

(Photo Credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)

Here are my top-30 fantasy golf rankings for the 2020 Sony Open in Hawaii at Waialae Country Club.

30. Zach Johnson

The former major champ hasn’t accomplished much of late, but the short venue (7,044 yards) suits his game. He was T-6 here in 2017 and T-9 in 2016.

29. Patton Kizzire

A winner in 2018, Kizzire followed it up with an adequate T-13 showing last year. He missed 15 cuts in 2019, but he’s still worth trusting in Honolulu.

28. Hudson Swafford

Two top 10s and no missed cuts in his last four appearances. The approach game is strong, he just needs to get there.

27. Kyle Stanley

Has slipped to No. 118 in the world after peaking at 26th in 2018. One of his five top 10s over the last two years came at Waialae.

(Photo Credit: Steve Flynn – USA TODAY Sports)

26. Keegan Bradley

Enters in woeful form since his co-runner-up finish at the 2019 Travelers Championship, but his best success has come on shorter tracks (like TPC River Highlands).

25. Sebastian Munoz

Munoz stood his ground at his first Sentry Tournament of Champions following a breakthrough win at the Sanderson Farms Championship. He has been great off the tee and avoids trouble.

24. Brian Stuard

A true course horse with a T-8 and T-4 results in his last two visits to the Sony Open.

23. Shugo Imahira

Has a win, two runners-up and a third-place finish on the Japan Tour since mid-October to rocket up to No. 30 in the OWGR.

22. Brendon Todd

Todd fell back to Earth with a 29th-place finish in the more competitive 30-man TOC last week, but he still jumped 11 spots in the OWGR to 61st.

21. Kevin Na

Only Martin Trainer lost more strokes per round putting last week than Na’s 1.45. It’s usually a strong part of his game and can be expected to bounce back.

20. Russell Knox

One of the best in the field at avoiding trouble and taking bogeys. Has three top 20s in the last five years.

19. Emiliano Grillo

Winless since 2015, Grillo has slipped outside of the top 100 in the world since finishing T-41 at the Mayakoba Classic. He’ll rely on a strong approach game to set up birdies on the short par 4s.

(Photo Credit: Shanna Lockwood – USA TODAY Sports)

18. Alexander Noren

Makes his debut at this event, but has the driver to make a short course even shorter and give himself good angles into the greens.

17. Rory Sabbatini

Loves carding eagles and has the approach game needed to compete at Waialae.

16. Abraham Ancer

Had a T-8 at the Mayakoba and a T-4 at the WGC-HSBC Champions before shining for the International team at the Presidents Cup. Will be able to set himself up well off the tee.

15. Cameron Smith

Another Presidents Cup star for the losing side, Smith hasn’t missed the cut here in his last four tries. Can handle the par 4s but will need to make some eagles.

14. Joaquin Niemann

The Greenbrier champ picked up a surprising T-5 result at the TOC last week with a well-balanced game.

13. J.T Poston

Ranked third in the field in Strokes Gained: Putting last week at the TOC and will look to keep the flat stick hot in Honolulu.

12. Corey Conners

Broke through with a T-3 result here last year after gaining entry as a Monday qualifier. He won’t need to rely on his shaky putter with his driver and irons dicing up the short course.

11. Chez Reavie

The best in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach and third in Eagles Gained and Good Drives Gained. Also tied for third a year ago.


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10. Brandt Snedeker

A runner-up in 2016, Sneds was T-16 last year. Hasn’t missed a cut in eight events since The Open.

(Photo Credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)

9. Kevin Kisner

Will be able to score well with seven of the 12 par 4s coming in below 450 yards.

8. Charles Howell III

Two T-8 showings in his last three appearances here. He can take advantage of easy scoring opportunities.

7. Collin Morikawa

Will be playing in front of plenty of friends and family who call Maui home again this week. It helped him finish T-7 in his debut at the TOC last week.

6. Sungjae Im

Im hasn’t played competitively since a T-11 at the HSBC Champions. He was T-16 in his tournament debut last year.

5. Patrick Reed

Gained a ridiculous 2.33 strokes per round putting last week. His approach game was poor and it’ll need to be on point this week.

(Photo Credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)

4. Matt Kuchar

The defending champ tied for 14th last week. He’s a wiz on the par 4s.

3. Marc Leishman

Leish comes off a T-10 showing at the Australian Open. He’s another member of the tie for third last year.

2. Webb Simpson

Simpson leads my stat model at Fantasy National with best-in-show ranks in SG: Approach and SG: Par 4s. He didn’t play last year, but was T-4 in 2018 and T-13 in each of his three previous trips.

1. Justin Thomas

Three wins since mid-August all against stiffer competition than he’ll face this week. He’s well worth the price of admission.

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Sentry Tournament of Champions odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Analyzing the 2020 Sentry Tournament of Champions, with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.

The 2020 portion of the 2019-20 PGA Tour schedule kicks off this week with the Sentry Tournament of Champions at the Plantation Course at Kapalua. A field of thirty-four features five of the top 10 golfers in the Official World Golf Ranking.

The key stats best suited to the 7,518-yard, par-73 venue are:

  • Strokes Gained: Approach
  • Strokes Gained: Ball-Striking
  • Bogey Avoidance
  • Sand Saves Gained
  • Good Drives Gained
  • Proximity 175-200 Yards

My model at Fantasy National looks at the most recent 36 rounds played on courses with Bermuda greens.

Sentry Tournament of Champions – Tier 1

Photo Credit: Adam Hagy – USA TODAY Sports

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:20 p.m. ET.

Patrick Cantlay (+1400)

Cantlay is the fourth-best golfer in attendance by the OWGR measure. His only 2019 win came at the Memorial Tournament, but he preceded it by back-to-back T-3 results and followed it up late in the year with runner-up finishes at the BMW Championship and Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. He has the most appealing odds of the top golfers in the elite field with a $10 bet returning a profit of $140.

Collin Morikawa (+2200)

Morikawa offers a better return than Cantlay. A rookie in 2019, his first career win came at the Barracuda Championship. He enters the week ranked 65th by the OWGR and most recently finished T-5 at the Japan Tour’s Dunlop Phoenix. He has a great approach game and excels from our key proximity distance this week.

Sentry Tournament of Champions – Tier 2

Photo Credit: Butch Dill – USA TODAY Sports

Corey Conners (+2800)

Conners won’t get the full advantage of his driver this week at a venue with wide, rolling fairways allowing all in attendance to bomb it off the tee, but he will get something of a reprieve from his usual struggles on the greens. Each of the last five TOC champions finished at or below 21-under par, and Conners certainly has the ability to go that low.


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Matt Kuchar (+2800)

Much of Kuchar’s career success has come early in the calendar year. The 24th-ranked golfer in the world won twice last season, at the Mayakoba Golf Classic and the Sony Open in Hawaii. He was also the runner-up at both the RBC Heritage and WGC-Match Play. He ranks second to Conners by my stat model.

Sentry Tournament of Champions – Longshots

Photo Credit: Thomas J. Russo – USA TODAY Sports

Joaquin Niemann (+3000)

Niemann is coming off a Presidents Cup loss as a member of the International team. He gained entry to this event with his first career victory at A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier to kick off the 2019-20 PGA Tour campaign, and has been one of the most active golfers early in the season. His strong approach game gives him an advantage on the expansive greens.

Keith Mitchell (+4000)

Mitchell is our longest dart throw at a tournament without a lot of betting value due to the small field of elites. He also earned his first career victory in 2019 at The Honda Classic in early March. He held off World No. 1 Brooks Koepka on Sunday, and showed he can compete in strong fields.

Get some action on this tournament by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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2020 PGA Tour major odds: Can Dustin Johnson win another?

Analyzing Dustin Johnson’s chances and betting odds of winning another major championship during the 2020 PGA Tour season.

[jwplayer Aaoz8cWl]

Will Dustin Johnson win a PGA Tour major championship in 2020? Based off BetMGM‘s golf betting odds, I analyze Johnson’s best opportunities to win along with some of the best potential golf betting lines to cash in on DJ’s play this year. This piece is part of a SportsbookWire series, which will look at the PGA Tour’s biggest names and their chances of winning a major championship in 2020.

Dustin Johnson’s 2019 PGA Tour Highlights

  • T-4 Sentry Tournament of Champions
  • Won Saudi International
  • Won WGC-Mexico Championship
  • T-5 The Players Championship
  • T-2 Masters Tournament
  • 2nd PGA Championship

PGA Tour odds to win a major in 2020

Name Official World Golf Ranking Odds Last PGA Tour win (Solo) Last major
Brooks Koepka 1 +200 July 2019 2019 PGA Championship
Rory McIlroy 2 +250 Nov. 2019 2014 PGA Championship
Jon Rahm 3 +350 Jan. 2018 NA
Justin Thomas 4 +450 Oct. 2019 2017 PGA Championship
Dustin Johnson 5 +200 Feb. 2019 2016 US Open
Tiger Woods 6 +400 Oct. 2019 2019 Masters
Patrick Cantlay 7 +500 June 2019 NA
Justin Rose 8 +400 Jan. 2019 2013 US Open
Xander Schauffele 9 +500 Jan. 2019 NA
Tommy Fleetwood 10 +600 NA NA

Johnson’s (relatively) poor finish to 2019 nearly erases the memory of him finishing as a runner-up at both of the year’s first two majors. What’s almost as surprising is the fact Johnson still has only one major championship victory in his career, despite 16 other top 10s. Ranked fifth by the Official World Golf Ranking, he shares top odds for an overdue second major win in 2020.


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Where is Dustin Johnson’s best chance of winning a major in 2020?

Event 2020 Venue Best career result Odds
Masters Augusta National T-2 (2019) +1100
PGA Championship TPC Harding Park 2nd (2019) +900
US Open Winged Foot Won (2016) +1000
Open Championship Royal St. George’s T-2 (2011) +1400

Johnson will always be a top favorite at the US Open, and his runner-up finish at the 2019 PGA Championship is reflected in the odds which list him as the No. 2 favorite to Brooks Koepka. He showed in 2019 he could one day conquer Augusta National.

The Open Championship returns to the venue, Royal St. George’s, where Johnson claimed his first runner-up finish in a major in 2011. The odds aren’t reflective of this previous success.

Will Dustin Johnson win a major in 2020?

I love the number for Johnson at The Open. Overseas in Kent, England, Johnson can get a reprieve from the added pressure the former World No. 1 routinely faces in the majors.

I’ll be betting DJ at his longest number among the major championships, rather than going after his odds in the US which are suppressed for a public betting favorite.

Top PGA Tour bets to win a major in 2020

  • Jordan Spieth
  • Tiger Woods
  • Brooks Koepka
  • Rory McIlroy
  • Rickie Fowler
  • Jon Rahm
  • Justin Rose
  • Phil Mickelson
  • Patrick Cantlay
  • Patrick Reed

Get some PGA Tour betting action by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Hero World Challenge odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Analyzing the 2019 Hero World Challenge and which golfers are the best options for the event. Who will win at Albany?

Host Tiger Woods and 17 more of the top golfers in the world are in The Bahamas this week for the Hero World Challenge. The condensed field consists of six of the top 10 golfers from the Official World Golf Ranking, including Woods and defending champ Jon Rahm. It is played at Albany which measures 7,302 yards and plays as a par 72.

The showcase tournament is the final standard stroke-play event on the PGA Tour in 2019. The Presidents Cup and QBE Shootout will run next week. There’ll then be a brief hiatus before the Sentry Tournament of Champions and Sony Open kick off the 2020 portion of the schedule in the first two weeks of January from Hawaii.


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The small field and champion pedigree of each of those in attendance means bettors need to adjust their strategies this week. Make fewer, larger wagers while focusing on those at the top of the board. Only three golfers — Bubba WatsonKevin Kisner and Chez Reavie — have odds greater than +3000. Don’t go chasing higher payouts, as each of the past four champions entered the week ranked inside the top 10 of the OWGR.

Hero World Challenge – Odds, picks and best bets

Photo Credit: Adam Hagy – USA TODAY Sports

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 3:15 p.m. ET.

Tiger Woods +900

Woods has won this event five times but not since 2011 and never at this venue. He claimed his first victory of the season at the Zozo Championship in Japan in late October but hasn’t played a pro event since. He finished second-to-last here last year, but he has since climbed to No. 7 in the world. Woods has the fourth-best world ranking among those in attendance and is fourth by the odds at BetMGM in a rare case of him not being overpriced as a public favorite.

Xander Schauffele +900

Schauffele enters the week ranked ninth by the OWGR. He most recently finished as the runner-up at the WGC-HSBC Champions following a T-10 at the Zozo Championship. He debuted at this event with a T-8 finish last year. He has been an excellent early-season performer over his young career and looks to stay hot ahead of his defense of the Tournament of Champions next month.

Webb Simpson +1200

Simpson is the second-best putter in this field behind Jordan Spieth (+2500), who will not be winning. He is coming off a solo runner-up finish at the RSM Classic and sits at No. 11 in the world ranking. This is his debut at Albany, but Rahm won in his debut a year ago.

Get some action on this tournament by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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RSM Classic odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Analyzing the 2019 RSM Classic and which golfers are the best options for the event. Who will win at Sea Island GC?

The PGA Tour’s final full-field event on the 2019 calendar takes place this week in Glynn County, Ga., at Sea Island Golf Club with the RSM Classic.

The key stats for this week via historical data from Fantasy National are:

  • Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green
  • Strokes Gained: Approach
  • Strokes Gained: Short Game
  • Strokes Gained: Scrambling
  • Par 4 Efficiency: 400-450 Yards

My model looks at the most recent 50 rounds for each golfer in the field.

RSM Classic – Tier 1

Photo Credit: Adam Hagy – USA TODAY Sports

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 1 p.m. ET.

Webb Simpson +900

Simpson is the top golfer in the field with a rank of 12th by the Official World Golf Ranking. He finished solo third here last season and finished T-7 at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open in his most recent event. He leads the stat model with top-five ranks in four of the five key stats.

Kevin Kisner +2200

Kisner won at Sea Island in 2015. After missing the cut the following year, he was T-4 in 2017 and T-7 last season. Ranked No. 34 in the world, he’s third in the field in par-4 efficiency from the key distance. He has gained more strokes per round at this venue than anyone other than Simpson (minimum 20 rounds played) since 2010, according to Data Golf.

RSM Classic – Tier 2

Photo Credit: Mark Konezny – USA TODAY Sports

J.T. Poston +5000

Poston missed the cut here each of the last three years, but he’s coming off of a T-24 at the HSBC Champions and T-27 at the Zozo Championship in far stronger fields.


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Brian Stuard +8000

Stuard ranks third by my stat model this week with a top rank of 11th in the field in SG: Around-the-Green. He finished T-23 last week at the Mayakoba Golf Classic and tied for fourth at the Shriners earlier this year.

RSM Classic – Longshots

Photo Credit: Orlando Ramirez – USA TODAY Sports

Luke List +10000

List finished in a tie for fourth last season and tied for 13th in the fall of 2016.

Mackenzie Hughes +15000

The 2016 champion missed the cut each of the last two years, but he’s priced near the bottom of the board with a $10 bet returning a profit of $1500. He missed the cut at the OHL Classic the week before his 2016 victory so his current poor form isn’t a huge concern.

2019-20 winners: Joaquin Niemann – A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier (+2800)

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