Tag: Golf odds

2020 US Open: Early odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Analyzing the golf betting odds to win the 2020 US Open, with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.

The 2020 US Open is set to take place at Winged Foot Golf Club in Mamaroneck, N.Y. Sept. 17-20 under the PGA Tour’s revised 2020 schedule. Below, we look at the US Open betting odds, with PGA Tour predictions, picks and best bets.

Winged Foot has previously hosted the US Open on five occasions, most recently in 2006 when Geoff Ogilvy outlasted Jim Furyk, Colin Montgomerie and Phil Mickelson. The par-70 West Course measures 7,264 yards in length under major conditions.

2020 US Open Betting Picks – Tier 1

Mar 12, 2020; Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida, USA; Bryson DeChambeau hits a shot on the 2nd hole during the first round of the 2020 edition of The Players Championship golf tournament at TPC Sawgrass – Stadium Course. (Photo Credit: Adam Hagy – USA TODAY Sports)

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday, April 20 at 3 p.m. ET.

Bryson DeChambeau (+2800)

DeChambeau was in top form before the PGA Tour season came to a halt as a result of the coronavirus pandemic. He tied for fifth at The Genesis Invitational, was the runner-up at the World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship and finished fourth at the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

If he can return to form when the golf season resumes in mid-June, these odds will quickly start to drop.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on DeChambeau to win the 2020 US Open returns a profit of $280.

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Webb Simpson (+3300)

Simpson currently holds top spot in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. The 2012 US Open champ won the Waste Management Phoenix Open in February to cap a stretch of five straight top-10 results. He tied for 16th at the 2019 US Open, 10th at the 2018 US Open and fifth at last year’s Masters Tournament. Fifteen golfers currently have lower odds.

2020 US Open Betting Picks – Tier 2

Feb 29, 2020; Palm Beach Gardens, Florida, USA; Gary Woodland lines up his putt on the 8th hole during the third round of the 2020 Honda Classic golf tournament at PGA National (Champion). (Photo Credit: Reinhold Matay – USA TODAY Sports)

Gary Woodland (+5000)

The defending US Open champ has racked up five other top-10 results in 16 worldwide events since his breakout major victory. He tied for eighth at The Honda Classic in his last event before the season was put on pause.

He’s one of the longest hitters on Tour and he proved last year he can putt on the lightning-quick US Open greens.

Viktor Hovland (+8000)

Hovland was the low amateur at last year’s US Open with a T-12 finish in just his second career major appearance. He earned his first PGA Tour victory earlier this year at the Puerto Rico Open and sits 38th in the Golfweek rankings. He’s exceptionally strong off the tee and few match his success when going for the green.

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2020 US Open Betting Picks – Long shots

Jan 30, 2020; Scottsdale, Arizona, USA; Cameron Smith tees off on the tenth during the first round of the Waste Management Phoenix Open golf tournament at TPC Scottsdale. (Photo Credit: Joe Camporeale – USA TODAY Sports)

Cameron Smith (+10000)

Smith earned his first solo PGA Tour win at the Sony Open in Hawaii early in 2020. He tied for fourth in his US Open debut in 2015, but he has a missed cut and a top finish of just T-59 in three appearances since. He’s one of the Tour’s best putters and was gaining .775 strokes per round with the flat stick early in the 2019-20 season.

Kevin Na (+15000)

Na is a four-time PGA Tour winner, including two victories in 2019 and one in 2018. He finished seventh at the 2016 US Open but followed it up with a T-32 in 2017 and a missed cut last year (he didn’t play in 2018). Only six listed golfers have longer odds.

Get some action on the 2020 US Open by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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2020 PGA Championship: Early odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Analyzing the golf betting odds to win the 2020 PGA Championship, with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.

The PGA Tour will attempt to resume play in mid-June under a revised schedule for the 2020 season. The 2020 PGA Championship is set to take place from Aug. 6-9 at TPC Harding Park in San Francisco. Below, we break down the PGA Championship betting odds, with predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets.

TPC Harding Park will host a major tournament for the first time. The last PGA Tour event played there was the 2015 World Golf Championships-Cadillac Match Play, won by Rory McIlroy, who currently ranks No. 2 in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. The course measures 7,169 yards and plays to a par of 72.

2020 PGA Championship Betting Picks – Tier 1

Aug 25, 2019; Atlanta, GA, USA; Brooks Koepka lines up his putt on the fifth green during the final round of the Tour Championship golf tournament at East Lake Golf Club. (Photo Credit: Butch Dill – USA TODAY Sports)

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday, April 20 at 3:45 p.m. ET.

Brooks Koepka (+1400)

Koepka has slipped to No. 9 in Golfweek’s world rankings. He was off to a poor start to 2020 with a missed cut at The Honda Classic, a T-43 at The Genesis Invitational and T-47 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational before play was put on pause.

The four-time major winner, and back-to-back winner of the PGA Championship, finished inside the top five in all four majors in 2019. He’s only the No. 4 betting favorite.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on Koepka to win the 2020 PGA Championship will return a profit of $140.

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Sungjae Im (+4000)

Contrary to Koepka, Im was playing the best golf of his career prior to the break. He earned his first PGA Tour victory at The Honda Classic and finished third at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He has missed the cut in three of four career major appearances, including the PGA Championship and Open Championship last year, but he’s just 22 years old. These odds are much higher than what he was getting early this season.

2020 PGA Championship Betting Picks – Tier 2

Jan 26, 2020; San Diego, California, USA; Marc Leishman kisses the winner’s trophy following the final round of the Farmers Insurance Open golf tournament at Torrey Pines Municipal Golf Course – South Co. (Photo Credit: Orlando Ramirez – USA TODAY Sports)

Marc Leishman (+5000)

Leishman earned a win at the Farmers Insurance Open early this year and finished as the runner-up at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He has never won a major, but he has five top-10 finishes in 33 events. He also made it to the Round of 16 at the 2015 match play at TPC Harding Park.

Francesco Molinari (+8000)

Few in golf needed a break as badly as Molinari. The former Open champion missed the cut in three straight events to begin his 2020 campaign, and he finished just T-53 at the WGC-Mexico Championship. Majors are a different story, and recent champs should always be backed at these odds.

He tied for second at the 2017 PGA Championship and tied for sixth in 2018 before finishing T-48 in 2019.

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2020 PGA Championship Betting Picks – Long shots

Feb 21, 2020; Mexico City, MEX; Bernd Wiesberger plays his shot from the eighth tee during the second round of the WGC – Mexico Championship golf tournament at Club de Golf Chapultepec. (Photo Credit: Orlando Ramirez – USA TODAY Sports)

Bernd Wiesberger (+10000)

The little-known Austrian won three times on the European Tour last year. He didn’t participate in either of the last two PGA Championships, but he is a bargain at these odds based on his success in Europe as he seeks his first PGA Tour win.

Joaquin Niemann (+15000)

Niemann claimed his first professional victory at A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier to open the 2019-20 PGA Tour season before missing the cut in five of his next 11 events before the break. The 21-year-old has made the cut in just one of three majors in his career, but he’s a value as a winner with only 10 golfers holding longer odds.

Get some action on the 2020 PGA Championship by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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PGA Tour revises 2020 schedule, 6 majors played in 2020-21 season

Assessing the PGA Tour’s revised 2020 schedule, with a look at the betting favorites for the three majors set to be played this year.

The PGA Tour has once again revised its schedule for the remainder of the 2020 season in hopes of playing professional golf amid the COVID-19 pandemic. Below, we look at the new schedule for the remainder of the 2020 season and look ahead to the 2020-21 season, along with a look at the betting odds for the three majors – PGA Championship, US Open, Masters – set to be played this year.

The PGA Tour has been one of the most proactive sports leagues in trying to plan for a resumption of normalcy. While this schedule is subject to further revision, it’s nice to see a light at the end of the tunnel.

2020 PGA Tour schedule

The PGA Tour is planning on a mid-June return to play. Fans won’t be allowed on the courses for at least the first few scheduled events.

  • June 11-14: Charles Schwab Challenge, Colonial Country Club, Fort Worth, TX
  • June 18-21: RBC Heritage, Harbour Town Golf Links, Hilton Head, SC
  • June 25-28: Travelers Championship, TPC River Highlands, Cromwell, CT
  • July 2-5: Rocket Mortgage Classic, Detroit Golf Club, Detroit, MI
  • July 9-12: John Deere Classic, TPC Deere Run, Silvis IL
  • July 16-19: the Memorial Tournament, Muirfield Village Golf Club, Dublin, OH
  • July 23-26: 3M Open, TPC Twin Cities, Blaine, MN
  • July 30-Aug. 2: World Golf Championships-FedEx St. Jude Invitational, TPC Southwind, Memphis, TN
  • July 30-Aug. 2: Barracuda Championship, Tahoe Mt. Club, Truckee, CA
  • Aug. 6-9: PGA Championship, TPC Harding Park, San Francisco, CA
  • Aug. 13-16: Wyndham Championship, Sedgefield Country Club, Greensboro, NC
  • Aug. 20-23: The Northern Trust, TPC Boston, Norton, MA
  • Aug. 27-30: BMW Championship, Olympia Fields Country Club, Olympia Fields, IL
  • Sept. 3-7: Tour Championship, East Lake Golf Club, Atlanta, GA

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2020-21 PGA Tour season

The 2020 portion of the 2020-21 season has also been released. There are six total majors set be played, with both the Masters and US Open taking place this fall and again in 2021.

  • Sept. 10-13: Safeway Open, Silverado Resort and Spa, Napa, CA
  • Sept. 17-20: US Open, Winged Foot Golf Club, Mamaroneck, NY
  • Sept 25-27: Ryder Cup, Whistling Straits, Kohler, WI
  • Sept. 24-27: Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship, Corales Golf Club, Punta Cana, DOM
  • Oct. 1-4: Sanderson Farms Championship, Country Club of Jackson, Jackson, MS
  • Oct. 8-11: Shriners Hospitals for Children Open, TPC Summerlin, Las Vegas, NV
  • Oct. 15-18: The CJ Cup @ Nine Bridges, Nine Bridges, Jeju Island, KOR
  • Oct. 22-25: Zozo Championship, Accordia Golf Narashino Country Club, Chiba, JPN
  • Oct. 29-Nov. 1: World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions, Sheshan International Golf Club, Shanghai, CHN
  • Oct. 29-Nov. 1: Bermuda Championship, Port Royal Golf Course, Southampton, BER
  • Nov. 5-8: Houston Open, Memorial Park Golf Course, Houston, TX
  • Nov. 12-15: Masters Tournament, Augusta National Golf Club, Augusta, GA
  • Nov. 19-22: The RSM Classic, Sea Island Resort, Sea Island, GA
  • Dec. 3-6: Mayakoba Golf Classic, El Camaleon Golf Club, Playa del Carmen, MEX
  • Dec. 3-6: Hero World Challenge, Albany, New Providence, BAH
  • Dec. 11-13: QBE Shootout, Tiburon Golf Club, Naples, FL

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2020 PGA Championship odds

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday, April 17 at 12:20 p.m. ET.

NAME ODDS
Rory McIlroy +700
Jon Rahm +1000
Dustin Johnson +1200
Brooks Koepka +1400
Justin Thomas +1400
Tiger Woods +1400
Hideki Matsuyama +2500
Rickie Fowler +2500
Xander Schauffele +2500
Bryson DeChambeau +2800
Patrick Cantlay +2800
Patrick Reed +2800
Tommy Fleetwood +2800
Tony Finau +2800

2020 US Open odds

NAME ODDS
Rory McIlroy +700
Dustin Johnson +1000
Jon Rahm +1000
Brooks Koepka +1200
Justin Thomas +1400
Tiger Woods +1400
Rickie Fowler +2500
Xander Schauffele +2500
Bryson DeChambeau +2800
Hideki Matsuyama +2800
Jason Day +2800
Patrick Cantlay +2800
Patrick Reed +2800
Tommy Fleetwood +2800
Tony Finau +2800

2020 Masters odds

NAME ODDS
Rory McIlroy +650
Jon Rahm +1000
Justin Thomas +1400
Tiger Woods +1400
Brooks Koepka +1600
Dustin Johnson +1600
Xander Schauffele +2000
Hideki Matsuyama +2500
Patrick Reed +2500
Adam Scott +2800
Patrick Cantlay +2800
Rickie Fowler +2800
Tommy Fleetwood +2800
Tony Finau +2800

Get some action on the PGA Tour by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Betting the 2020 Players Championship: Sleepers and Long Shots to Bet

Analyzing the outright odds to win the 2020 Players Championship, and looking at some sleepers and long shots worth backing.

The 2020 Players Championship will see a field of 144 of the world’s highest-ranked golfers compete for a share of a $15 million prize purse beginning Thursday at TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach, Fla. Here at SportsbookWire, we’ve been covering the various betting angles around The Players Championship all week, and below we’ll look at three more longshots from varying price ranges worthy of a dart throw in hopes of a big payday.

2020 Players Championship: Sleepers and long shots

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 3:30 p.m. ET.

Ian Poulter (+12500)

Poulter’s 58 career rounds played at TPC Sawgrass rank fifth in this week’s field. He ranks fourth in that group and 17th among everyone with at least 10 rounds played with an average of 1.33 strokes gained per round, according to Data Golf.

He enters the week ranked 67th in the Golfweek/Sagarin rankings and is coming off finishes of T-27 at The Honda Classic and T-32 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He was a co-runner-up in 2017, and he hasn’t missed the cut since 2013 while playing every year.

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Bernd Wiesberger (+15000)

A star on the European Tour, Wiesberger won three times in 2019, most recently at the Italian Open in mid-October. He didn’t play here either of the last two years, but he tied for 12th in 2017 and 49th in 2016. He has gained 1.22 strokes per round across 10 career rounds at TPC Sawgrass.

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Mackenzie Hughes (+25000)

Hughes didn’t play here last year, but he went 2-for-2 in 2017 and 2018 with finishes of T-16 and T-57, respectively. He nearly picked up his second career win at The Honda Classic two weeks ago, finishing second to Sungjae Im.

His odds haven’t been adjusted for the recent top finish, and there’s value to be had while using a little recency bias and trusting the current form. Only 39 members of the field have longer odds.

Also see:

Get some action on The Players Championship by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Betting the 2020 Players Championship: Outright bets to fade

Analyzing the outright odds to win the 2020 Players Championship, and looking at some risky bets to avoid at TPC Sawgrass.

TPC Sawgrass once again welcomes the strongest field in golf for the 2020 Players Championship. Tiger Woods is one of just four members of the top 50 in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings taking this week off, as he makes his final preparations for next month’s Masters Tournament. Here at SportsbookWire, we’ve been analyzing the odds to win The Players Championship, and here we look at five popular bets to fade this week.

2020 Players Championship: Bets to fade

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 1 p.m. ET.

Patrick Cantlay (+2500)

Cantlay makes his return to competitive play this week following surgery for a deviated septum. While it’s not a knee, elbow or wrist injury likely to hinder his play going forward, jumping right back into competitive play against a strong field will be tough.

Cantlay is No. 4 in the world by the Golfweek rankings, but he’s eighth by BetMGM’s odds. This is typically a good indication of value as the odds don’t reflect a golfer’s pedigree, but I’m willing to trust the books here. Cantlay missed the cut last year and hasn’t finished better than T-22 (2017) at TPC Sawgrass.

Looking to place a bet on The Players Championship? Get some action on it at BetMGM. Bet Now!

Rickie Fowler (+3500)

The 2015 Players champion is always a popular betting pick, especially at these inflated odds. Since his marquee win here, he has missed the cut twice with finishes of T-47 last year and T-60 in 2017. He has just one top-10 finish in a full-field event since the 2019 Open Championship.

Tyrrell Hatton (+4500)

Hatton broke through with his first PGA Tour win last week. He’ll now attempt the rare back-to-back win at an event in which he missed the cut each of the last two years. He’s in top form, but he’ll face a stronger field and he’ll have little confidence on TPC Sawgrass.

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Jordan Spieth (+8000)

Spieth, a former world No. 1, enters the week 46th in the Golfweek rankings. He had just five top-10 finishes in 2019 but claimed his first of 2020 at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, but he has followed it up with a T-59 at The Genesis Invitational and a T-58 at the WGC-Mexico Championship. He has four missed cuts in his last five appearances at The Players, with a lone four-round finish of T-41.

Phil Mickelson (+10000)

Much like several of the names here, Mickelson would typically be an attractive bet at his posted odds, but certainly not at TPC Sawgrass and in this strong of a field. Lefty won here in 2007, but has four missed cuts in his last five visits and has also missed the cut in four of his six events to open 2020.

Also see:

Get some action on The Players Championship by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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How to bet Rory McIlroy at The Players Championship: Outright odds & props

Looking at Rory McIlroy’s chances of success at the 2020 Players Championship, including PGA Tour betting options within the tournament.

Rory McIlroy looks to defend his title at the 2020 Players Championship at TPC Sawgrass as the No. 1 golfer in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. McIlroy is the No. 1 betting favorite among the 144-man field at BetMGM this week. Below, we look at McIlroy’s outright and prop betting odds and look for the best value plays for the world’s top golfer at The Players Championship.

Rory McIlroy’s history at TPC Sawgrass

McIlroy ranks 11th in this week’s field in average strokes gained per round at TPC Sawgrass among those with at least 10 rounds played, according to Data Golf. He has gained 1.68 strokes per round across 32 career rounds on the Stadium Course. Last year, he led the field with 3.32 Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green per round while ranking third in SG: Off the Tee.

Last year’s victory followed a missed cut at the 2018 Players Championship. He previously finished T-8 in 2015, T-12 in 2016 and T-35 in 2017. His finishing score of 16-under par last year matched the second-lowest four-round score of the last decade.

ALSO SEE: 

Rory McIlroy’s key stats for The Players Championship

Based on historical tournament data from Fantasy National, my key stats for the week are:

  • Strokes Gained: Ball Striking
  • Strokes Gained: Around the Green
  • Opportunities Gained
  • Greens in Regulation Gained
  • Proximity from 125-150 Yards

McIlroy leads my stat model, which measures the last 36 rounds for each golfer in the field on courses shorter than 7,200 yards. While he’s one of the longest hitters on Tour, much of his career success has come on these shorter tracks.

He’s second in the field in SG: Ball Striking, third in Opportunities Gained and fourth in SG: Around the Green. Each of the last 11 champions at TPC Sawgrass finished 10-under par or below, and nine of his 16 PGA Tour rounds in 2020 have been scored in the 60s.

Rory has been struggling with his putter of late, preventing him from reaching the winner’s circle, but he gained a total of just 0.7 strokes putting last year and needs to be little more than average with the flat stick at this venue. He putts best on the Bermuda greens featured here.

Outright odds for The Players Championship

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 12 p.m. ET.

As noted above, McIlroy is the No. 1 favorite to win the 2020 Players Championship at +700. He enters this week with seven consecutive top-five finishes with his first win of the 2019-20 PGA Tour season coming at the WGC-HSBC Champions in November. He has racked up three straight fifth-place results, nearly mirroring his form entering last year’s tournament:

EVENT 2019 2020
Farmers Insurance Open T-5 T-3
Genesis Open/Invitational T-4 T-5
WGC-Mexico Championship 2 5
Arnold Palmer Invitational T-6 T-5
The Players 1 ?

Rory is a very chalky golf bet as the No. 1 favorite in the field and the only player priced lower than +1200, but he has enjoyed a similar build-up as last year, and he already has his first win of the season under his belt. He’s worth a multi-unit wager in his quest to repeat.

Best Props on Rory McIlroy to win The Players Championship

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Who’ll finish in the Top 10? (+100)

Even money for a top-10 result is an easy choice, as the odds for a top-5 finish are just +190. McIlroy hasn’t finished outside the top-10 in a PGA Tour event since his T-19 showing at last year’s BMW PGA Championship one week prior to his victory at the Tour Championship.

Lowest Score Over 72 Holes – Group A (+160)

PASS on this prop bet. If Rory is not going to win this week, it’s likely the winner will come from this group including Jon Rahm (+300), Justin Thomas (+400), Tommy Fleetwood (+700) and Bryson DeChambeau (+600). Take his more profitable outright odds, instead.

Top European Player (+225)

While Rory faces tough competition from Rahm (+350) and Fleetwood (+700) in this group, it does weed out the strong American contingent playing this week. It’s a good hedge against the outright bet.

Get some action on The Players Championship by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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The Players Championship odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Analyzing the golf betting odds to win the 2020 Players Championship, with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.

The top names in golf are in Ponte Vedra Beach, Fla., this week for the 2020 Players Championship. Below, we break down the 2020 Players Championship outright odds to win, with betting picks, tips and best bets.

Tiger Woods is one of just four players from the top 50 of the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings not part of the 144-man field. He’ll finalize his preparations for his Masters defense next month, while world No. 1 Rory McIlroy attempts to hold off the strongest field in golf for the second straight year at TPC Sawgrass.

The key stats for the 7,189-yard, par-72 TPC Sawgrass:

  • Strokes Gained: Ball Striking
  • Strokes Gained: Around the Green
  • Opportunities Gained
  • Greens in Regulation Gained
  • Proximity from 120-150 Yards

My model at Fantasy National looks at the most recent 36 rounds for each golfer in the field on courses shorter than 7,200 yards.

The Players Championship Betting Picks – Tier 1

(Photo Credit: Orlando Ramirez – USA TODAY Sports)

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 7 p.m. ET.

Dustin Johnson (+2500)

One of many former world No. 1’s in the field, Johnson enters the week ranked ninth by the Golfweek rankings, but he shares the sixth-best odds at BetMGM. He tied for fifth last year, following a T-17 in 2018 and a T-12 in 2017.

Johnson leads the field in Opportunities Gained while ranking fourth in SG: Ball Striking and eighth in Greens in Regulation Gained. He won at least twice internationally in each of the last four years and won’t often carry these lofty odds.

Looking to place a bet on this tournament? Get some action on it at BetMGM. Bet Now!

Adam Scott (+3300)

Scott hasn’t finished worse than T-12 in any of the last four years at TPC Sawgrass. His 1.95 strokes gained per round across 66 career rounds on the Stadium Course ranks third in the field, according to Data Golf. He has two worldwide wins since late December after not winning since 2016.

The Players Championship Betting Picks – Tier 2

(Photo Credit: Reinhold Matay – USA TODAY Sports)

Jason Day (+6000)

Day withdrew from the Arnold Palmer Invitational last week due to a back injury, but he remains in the field for an event he has won and dominated in recent years. The 2016 Players champ tied for fifth in 2018 and tied for eighth last year.

He’s one of the best in the field/world around the greens and his odds are inflated solely by last week’s injury. If he’s healthy, he’s an incredible bargain.

Scottie Scheffler (+9000)

Scheffler has climbed all the way to No. 27 early in his rookie season on the PGA Tour. He finished T-15 in a strong field at the API last week and has shown he can be a regular contender. He ranks 18th in the field in Opportunities Gained and has the ability to score low on these shorter courses.

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The Players Championship Betting Picks – Longshots

(Photo Credit: Orlando Ramirez – USA TODAY Sports)

Corey Conners (+15000)

Conners tied for 41st last year ahead of his breakout win at the Valero Texas Open. He missed the cut in three of his last four events and each of his past two, but he’s an expert ball striker and low scorer. He gained 7.8 strokes tee-to-green and 4.4 strokes on approach here last year and just needs a decent putting week.

Jim Furyk (+15000)

Furyk will be eligible for the PGA Tour Champions circuit in May, but will give it another go at TPC Sawgrass following his runner-up finish last year. It was his second second-place result since 2014, losing both times by just a single stroke. He entered in better form last year, but he’s well-versed on a course designed by Pete Dye to level the playing field.

Get some action on this tournament by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Analyzing the golf betting odds to win the 2020 Arnold Palmer Invitational, with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.

Five of the top 10 golfers in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings are in the field this week at Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando, Fla., for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Eight-time champion and 11th-ranked golfer Tiger Woods won’t be on hand, as he ensures his body is in peak shape for next month’s Masters. Below, we look at the golf betting odds and make our picks to win the 2020 Arnold Palmer Invitational.

The key stats for the 7,454-yard, par-72 Bay Hill Club and Lodge are:

  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green
  • Opportunities Gained
  • Sand Saves Gained
  • Par 3 Efficiency: 200-225 Yards
  • Proximity from 200-plus Yards

My model at Fantasy National looks at the most recent 36 rounds for each golfer in the field.

Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Picks – Tier 1

(Photo Credit: Orlando Ramirez – USA TODAY Sports)

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 4:15 a.m. ET.

Rory McIlroy (+500)

No one in the field with a minimum of 10 rounds played at Bay Hill has gained more strokes per round than McIlroy’s 2.78, according to Data Golf. The 2018 champ followed it up with a T-6 finish last year, and he tied for fourth in 2017.

He has finished in the top five in each of his last six worldwide events, including a win at the WGC-HSBC Champions. He’ll defend his 2019 Players Championship crown next week.

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Brooks Koepka (+2800)

The books seem to be toying with us by continuing to offer these lofty odds on the former world No. 1. He missed the cut at last week’s Honda Classic following a T-43 at the Genesis Invitational, and has had poor results here with a missed cut in 2017 and 2019. Auto-betting him at these odds is just a good overall strategy because as soon as he wins again, he’s back down to less than 10/1.

Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Picks – Tier 2

(Photo Credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)

Joaquin Niemann (+8000)

Niemann ranks second to only McIlroy in my stat model. He’s fifth in the field in opportunities gained and 11th in Proximity from the key distance. He tied for 46th last year, but has since picked up his first PGA Tour win.

Francesco Molinari (+9000)

A $10 bet on the defending champ would return a profit of $900 if he were to go back-to-back. The last golfer to win at Bay Hill in consecutive years was Matt Every in 2014 and 2015, and needless to say, Molinari is the far more accomplished golfer. He ranks second to McIlroy with 2.21 strokes gained per round at this venue in 28 career rounds played.

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Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Picks – Longshots

(Photo Credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)

Charles Howell III (+10000)

Howell has played 72 career rounds at Bay Hill to rank fourth in the field. He’s coming off a T-53 finish at the WGC-Mexico Championship following a T-59 at the Genesis Invitational, but his experience is worth a shot at these long odds.

Sebastian Munoz (+10000)

Like Niemann, Munoz has a win already in the 2019-20 PGA Tour season. He comes into the week ranked third in my stat model and 76th in the Golfweek rankings. He leads the field in Opportunities Gained and ranks fifth in scoring on the long par 3s.

Get some action on this tournament by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Honda Classic odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Analyzing the golf betting odds to win the 2020 Honda Classic, with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.

The PGA Tour begins its four-event Florida swing with this week’s Honda Classic. Just three of the top 10 players in the world, according to the Golfweek/Sagarin rankings are in the field this week. Many of the world’s top golfers are taking the week off ahead of next week’s Arnold Palmer Invitational and The Players Championship the following week.

The key stats for the 7,125-yard, par-70 PGA National are:

  • Strokes Gained: Ball Striking
  • SG: Approach
  • Birdies or Better Gained
  • Sand Saves Gained
  • Par 4 Efficiency: 400-450 Yards
  • Strokes Gained: Scrambling

My model at Fantasy National looks at the most recent 36 rounds for each golfer in the field on courses shorter than 7,200 yards.

Honda Classic – Tier 1

Feb 20, 2020; Mexico City, MEX; Tommy Fleetwood reacts after playing his shot from the 14th tee during the first round of the WGC – Mexico Championship golf tournament at Club de Golf Chapultepec. (Photo Credit: Orlando Ramirez – USA TODAY Sports)

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 12:30 a.m. ET.

Tommy Fleetwood (+1000)

At No. 5 in the Golfweek rankings, Fleetwood is the top golfer in attendance. He also leads my stat model for the week on his strengths in SG: Ball Striking and Par 4 Efficiency. He finished fourth here in 2018 before skipping last year’s event.

Fleetwood is one of the more precise and accurate golfers in the world, and the forced layups off the tees at PGA National will play to his advantage as golfers need to navigate their way around the course. He’s a chalky play as the tournament favorite, but it worked for us last week with Viktor Hovland at the Puerto Rico Open.

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Billy Horschel (+2800)

Horschel has finished T-9 at each of his last two events – last week’s WGC-Mexico Championship and the Waste Management Phoenix Open. He tied for 16th at last year’s tournament following a missed cut in 2018. He finished T-4 and T-8 in 2017 and 2016, respectively. Like Fleetwood, he’s a great irons player.

Honda Classic – Tier 2

Jan 24, 2020; San Diego, California, USA; Matthew Wolff plays his shot from the 18th tee during the second round of the Farmers Insurance Open golf tournament at Torrey Pines Municipal Golf Course – North Course. (Photo Credit: Orlando Ramirez – USA TODAY Sports)

Matthew Wolff (+8000)

Wolff took last week off following a missed cut at the Genesis Invitational. He had previously missed the cut at the WMPO. While he ranks just 72nd overall by the stat model, he’s 18th in Birdies or Better Gained on shorter courses.

Luke List (+9000)

List’s advantage in length is largely negated at PGA National due to the forced layups off the tee. He was the runner-up to Rickie Fowler in 2018 and he tied for 10th in 2016. He’s on a streak of three straight made cuts.

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Honda Classic – Longshots

Apr 21, 2019; Hilton Head, SC, USA; Sam Burns tees off on the second hole during the final round of the RBC Heritage golf tournament at Harbour Town Golf Links. (Photo Credit: Joshua S. Kelly – USA TODAY Sports)

Sam Burns (+10000)

Burns’ odds are attractive following a T-8 finish in 2018. He followed it up with a T-73 last year, but he’s coming off a T-23 result in a much stronger field at the Genesis Invitational. He can score low on shorter courses.

Dylan Frittelli (+15000)

Frittelli excels on par 4’s ranging from 400-450 yards. He missed the cut last year on the heels of an 11th-place finish in 2018. He hasn’t found top form since his breakthrough win at last year’s John Deere Classic, but he picked up top-10 finishes at the Sanderson Farms Championship and Safeway Open earlier in the 2019-20 season. These odds are far too high for someone with a Masters invite already secured.

Get some action on this tournament by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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WGC-Mexico Championship odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Analyzing the golf betting odds to win the 2020 WGC-Mexico Championship, with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.

Eight of the top 10 golfers in the Golfweek/Sagarin rankings are in attendance for this week’s WGC-Mexico Championship at Club de Golf Chapultepec near Mexico City, Mexico. Below, we’ll analyze the golf betting odds, while making our picks to win the 2020 WGC-Mexico Championship.

The key stats for the 7,345-yard, par-71 Club de Golf Chapultepec are:

  • Strokes Gained: Approach
  • Strokes Gained: Scrambling
  • Opportunities Gained
  • Bogeys Avoided
  • Proximity from 150-175 Yards
  • Par 4 Efficiency: 400-450 Yards

My model at Fantasy National looks at the most recent 24 rounds for each golfer in the field on courses shorter than 7,200 yards. It’s a more accurate depiction of Chapultepec’s length due to the elevation of nearly 1.5 miles above sea level.

WGC-Mexico Championship – Tier 1

Feb 16, 2020; Pacific Palisades, California, USA; Adam Scott meets with Rory McIlroy following his victory in the final round of the The Genesis Invitational golf tournament at Riviera Country Club. (Photo Credit: Gary A. Vasquez – USA TODAY Sports)

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 1:30 p.m. ET.

Rory McIlroy (+550)

McIlroy, the No. 1 golfer in the world, entered Sunday’s final round of last week’s Genesis Invitational as a co-leader but struggled to a T-5 finish with a final round of 2-over par 73. It was his worst finish in five worldwide events since a T-26 at the European Tour’s Alfred Dunhill Links Championship.

He leads this week’s stat model in Bogeys Avoided and SG: Scrambling. He was the runner-up to Dustin Johnson last year (by five strokes), and he tied for seventh in 2017.

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Adam Scott (+2000)

Scott’s win last week was his second straight victory after winning the Australian PGA Championship to conclude his 2019 season. The 2013 Masters champion has won two WGC events in his career, including the 2016 Cadillac Championship, which was the former name of this event when played in Doral, Fla. He went back-to-back that year as well, winning the WGC the week after the Honda Classic.

WGC-Mexico Championship – Tier 2

Feb 1, 2020; Scottsdale, Arizona, USA; Byeong-Hun An tees off on the first during the third round of the Waste Management Phoenix Open golf tournament at TPC Scottsdale. (Photo Credit: Joe Camporeale – USA TODAY Sports)

Byeong Hun An (+6600)

An has played this event two of the last three years, finishing T-48 in 2017 and T-45 last year. He enters the week ranked 40th in the world, but he hasn’t competed since a T-9 finish at the Waste Management Phoenix Open.

He’s one of the best in the field at scrambling and from the key proximity distance. An has lost strokes putting at five straight measured events and just needs to be average with the flat stick.

Tyrrell Hatton (+6600)

Hatton is a strong value play with three straight top-20 finishes at this event in Mexico. He finished alone in 10th in 2017, tied for third in 2018 and tied for 19th last year. He enters the week well-rested, after last appearing at the DP World Tour Championship in Dubai in late November. He won the Turkish Airlines Open in his second-to-last event for his fourth professional win.

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WGC-Mexico Championship – Longshots

Aug 24, 2019; Atlanta, GA, USA; Chez Reavie plays his shot from the third tee during the third round of the Tour Championship golf tournament at East Lake Golf Club. (Photo Credit: Butch Dill – USA TODAY Sports)

Chez Reavie (+10000)

Reavie has rebounded from a horrid stretch of three straight missed cuts to finish T-25 at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and T-10 at last week’s Genesis Invitational. He doesn’t have a strong history at this event with a T-52 finish in 2018 and T-65 last year, but he enters this year’s tournament 13th in the stat model while leaning on a strong approach game.

Sebastian Munoz (+15000)

Munoz opened the Genesis Invitational 69-69 before slipping down the leaderboard over the weekend en route to a T-26 finish. The native of Colombia will make his professional debut at Chapultepec. He already has a win in the 2019-20 PGA Tour season, but only 12 members of the 72-man field have worse odds to win.

Get some action on this tournament by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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