The Florida Gators (8-2, 5-2 SEC) travel to play the Missouri Tigers (5-4, 2-3) at Memorial Stadium in Columbia, Mo., at noon ET Saturday.
We analyze the Florida-Missouri odds and betting lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.
Florida at Missouri: Three things you need to know
1. Missouri quarterback Kelly Bryant missed last week’s 27-0 loss to Georgia with a hamstring injury, but is expected to return this week. Even with Bryant behind center, the Tigers had scored a total of just 21 points in the previous two games, losses to Vanderbilt and Kentucky.
2. Missouri is 5-0 straight up at home on the year, and 4-1 against the spread, but this will be by far their toughest test of the season in Columbia. Meanwhile, Florida is 2-1 on the road (SU and ATS), with their only misstep a 42-28 loss at LSU.
3. Both teams may have trouble moving the ball through the air. The Gators rank 25th out of 130 FBS teams with 288.5 passing yards per game, but Missouri ranks fourth in the category defensively (147.7). On the other side of the ball, the Tigers are 68th in passing yards per game (233.4), while the Florida defense ranks 23rd (191.9).
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Florida at Missouri: Odds, betting lines and picks
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Florida 27, Missouri 14
Moneyline (ML)
Florida (-271) is likely to win this game, but the price is fairly steep — especially considering the Gators will be playing in colder weather than they are accustomed to.
New to sports betting? A $10 wager on Florida to win outright returns a profit of $3.69. A $10 wager on Missouri (+215) would net a profit of $21.50 if the Tigers win the game.
Against the Spread (ATS)
FLORIDA (-6.5, -129) looks like a pretty strong play, as the Gators are facing an offense that has really struggled in recent weeks, and Florida only needs to win by a touchdown to cover the spread.
While Missouri has been on the road every game during their current three-game skid, their success at home this season has come against lesser teams. The only team they have beaten this year that currently boasts a winning record is Southeast Missouri State.
Over/Under (O/U)
The UNDER 50.5 (-110) is the side to take in this one. Missouri’s first game of the season went over the total, but the under has hit once since. The Tigers’ implied total of 22 points is more than they have scored in the last three games combined.
All three of Florida’s road games this season have gone over the total, but the over has hit in just four of their 10 games overall. The Gators can put some points on the board, having scored 28 or more points in all but three games, but their defense should do enough to keep this game under 50.5 points.
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