Florida State at Notre Dame odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Florida State at Notre Dame odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Florida State Seminoles (5-13, 3-4 ACC) battle the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (9-9, 1-6) Tuesday. Tip from Purcell Pavilion is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPNU). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Florida State vs. Notre Dame odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Florida State lost 67-58 to Virginia Saturday, but covered as a 10-point home underdog. The Seminoles are 8-10 against the spread (ATS) on the season and 0-4 straight up in true road games. They have, however, covered 7 of their last 10 games.

Notre Dame lost to Syracuse 78-73 Saturday, winning outright as a 5.5-point road underdog. The Fighting Irish are 4-14 ATS on the season yet are 9-3 straight up at home. They are 2-8 ATS over their last 10 games and 1-4 ATS over their last 5. Notre Dame ranks 38th in the nation in 3-point shooting (37.9%).

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Florida State at Notre Dame odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:32 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Off the board (OTB)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Florida State +4.5 (-105) | Notre Dame -4.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 140.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Florida State at Notre Dame picks and predictions

Prediction

Notre Dame 74, Florida State 71

Moneyline

This game was OTB at the time of publishing, but both sides will likely be lacking value when it does open.

PASS.

Against the spread

BET FLORIDA STATE +4.5 (-105).

FSU won 73-72 at home when these teams met on Dec. 21, winning outright as a 2-point underdog. Notre Dame lost yet despite that it shot 51% from the field and 47% from deep, respectively 4% and 15% better than Florida State.

Those should even out, and making up for the difference in location, this game should again be a close battle. The Fighting Irish are just 1-4 ATS over their last 5, losing 4 of those games outright and failing to cover as a favorite in 2.

Considering the Fighting Irish’s lacking play as of late and how the first round went, back FLORIDA STATE +4.5 (-105).

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 140.5 (-110).

Notre Dame has gone Over in 4 straight games, and it has a lacking defense, ranking 327th in opponents’ field goal percentage (46.2%). It has allowed 70 or more points to its opponent in 5 straight games. Notre Dame is 5-2 O/U in conference games.

Florida State is 3-4 O/U in conference games and has gone Over in 4 of its last 6 games. FSU has scored 75 or more in 2 of its last 3. Put it all together and back the OVER 140.5 (-110).

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Florida State at Notre Dame odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Florida State Seminoles at Notre Dame Fighting Irish sports odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (9-14, 6-11 ACC) host the No. 11 Florida State Seminoles (15-4, 11-3) Saturday at Purcell Pavilion at the Joyce Center for a noon ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Florida State-Norte Dame odds and lines, with NCAA college basketball picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Florida State at Notre Dame: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:57 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Florida State -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Notre Dame +240 (bet $100 to win $240)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Florida State -7.5 (+105) | Notre Dame +7.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under: 153.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Florida State at Notre Dame: Three things to know

  1. Florida State has won five of its last six games (3-2-1 ATS) but lost its previous road game 78-70 to North Carolina Feb. 27. Over those six games, the Seminoles are shooting 42.4% from 3-point land and holding opponents to 12.2 assists per game while forcing 14.2 turnovers on average.
  2. The Fighting Irish have lost and failed to cover in four straight because their defense is getting rolled. Notre Dame is allowing 79.5 points per on 48% shooting (41.2% from deep) and is only forcing 7.5 turnovers per in the last four games.
  3. The Seminoles have beaten the Fighting Irish in three consecutive meetings, but their last win snapped Notre Dame’s 6-game ATS winning streak between the two.

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Florida State at Notre Dame: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Florida State 81, Notre Dame 77

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight lean on Notre Dame (+240) because I’m on the Fighting Irish plus the points and, generally, I’ll sprinkle on an underdog’s money line if taking them to cover the spread.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Road splits indicate the Seminoles are much scarier at home than on the road and they are just 2-3-1 ATS in away games.

Furthermore, Notre Dame’s starting lineup is full of upperclassmen who’ve played well against Florida State over the years.

Notre Dame PG Prentiss Hubb, the team’s leading scorer and the ACC leader in assists per game, has averaged 21.6 points per game in his three outings against Florida State.

Officially, I lean NOTRE DAME +7.5 (-125) for a half-unit to keep this game close.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 153.5 (-110) is my favorite play in Florida State-Notre Dame because the Fighting Irish’s defense is one of the worst in the nation, but their offense should have some success in this spot.

Florida State is 268th in defensive 3-point attempt rate and 203rd in 3-point defense. Notre Dame is 43rd in 3-point attempt rate and 50th in 3-point shooting.

GIMME OVER 153.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

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