The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (9-14, 6-11 ACC) host the No. 11 Florida State Seminoles (15-4, 11-3) Saturday at Purcell Pavilion at the Joyce Center for a noon ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Florida State-Norte Dame odds and lines, with NCAA college basketball picks and predictions.
Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Florida State at Notre Dame: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:57 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Florida State -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Notre Dame +240 (bet $100 to win $240)
- Against the spread/ATS: Florida State -7.5 (+105) | Notre Dame +7.5 (-125)
- Over/Under: 153.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Florida State at Notre Dame: Three things to know
- Florida State has won five of its last six games (3-2-1 ATS) but lost its previous road game 78-70 to North Carolina Feb. 27. Over those six games, the Seminoles are shooting 42.4% from 3-point land and holding opponents to 12.2 assists per game while forcing 14.2 turnovers on average.
- The Fighting Irish have lost and failed to cover in four straight because their defense is getting rolled. Notre Dame is allowing 79.5 points per on 48% shooting (41.2% from deep) and is only forcing 7.5 turnovers per in the last four games.
- The Seminoles have beaten the Fighting Irish in three consecutive meetings, but their last win snapped Notre Dame’s 6-game ATS winning streak between the two.
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Florida State at Notre Dame: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Florida State 81, Notre Dame 77
Money line (ML)
PASS with a slight lean on Notre Dame (+240) because I’m on the Fighting Irish plus the points and, generally, I’ll sprinkle on an underdog’s money line if taking them to cover the spread.
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Against the spread (ATS)
Road splits indicate the Seminoles are much scarier at home than on the road and they are just 2-3-1 ATS in away games.
Furthermore, Notre Dame’s starting lineup is full of upperclassmen who’ve played well against Florida State over the years.
Notre Dame PG Prentiss Hubb, the team’s leading scorer and the ACC leader in assists per game, has averaged 21.6 points per game in his three outings against Florida State.
Officially, I lean NOTRE DAME +7.5 (-125) for a half-unit to keep this game close.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 153.5 (-110) is my favorite play in Florida State-Notre Dame because the Fighting Irish’s defense is one of the worst in the nation, but their offense should have some success in this spot.
Florida State is 268th in defensive 3-point attempt rate and 203rd in 3-point defense. Notre Dame is 43rd in 3-point attempt rate and 50th in 3-point shooting.
GIMME OVER 153.5 (-110) for 1 unit.
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