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Miami at Florida odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Miami at Florida odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Hurricanes and Florida Gators open their 2024 NCAA football seasons Saturday at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Fla. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Miami vs. Florida odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Hurricanes hit the road to battle the in-state rival Gators. Miami has one of the top transfer portal additions with QB Cam Ward joining the Canes, while the team also added RB Damien Martinez from Oregon State. Casual fans might not be too excited by those moves, but they might be the 2 most important additions in the ACC.

Defensively, the Canes really struggled last season in the secondary, and that’s the biggest question heading into 2024. The front 7 will certainly be stout, and a late addition of Simeon Barrow from Michigan State bolsters the defensive line further.

The Gators won just 5 games last season, and obviously missed a bowl game. Coach Billy Napier heads into the season with a lot of pressure. QB Graham Mertz was surprisingly effective in 2023, and he should jell nicely with WR Eugene Wilson III for big things. RB Montrell Johnson is back to lead the run game.

The Florida defense had a rough time last season, especially trying to stop the run. Like all other programs, the Gators looked to the portal to fill gaps, but the jury is definitely out.

Miami is No. 19 in the US LBM Coaches Poll — conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports.

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Miami at Florida odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 12:41 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Miami -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Florida +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
Against the spread (ATS): Miami -2.5 (-115) | Florida +2.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 54 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Miami at Florida picks and predictions

Prediction

Miami 30, Florida 23

Moneyline

MIAMI (-145) is a good play if you’re a little on the conservative side, and you would rather not mess around with the points in a game which could potentially be close.

Opening on the road in a tough environment against an in-state rival is a difficult spot. However, on paper, the Hurricanes should be much, much better than Florida (+120).

Against the spread

Back MIAMI -2.5 (-115) laying the points, if you’re a more traditional bettor.

The Hurricanes haven’t visited Gainesville since Sept. 6, 2008, and it lost 26-3 that day. But things have changed significantly, as Florida +2.5 (-115) is a little toothless these days, winning just 11 times in the past 25 games across 2 seasons under Napier’s tutelage.

The Hurricanes look to get off to a fast start with Ward under center, and he could be one of the more exciting players in the entire conference.

Over/Under

The UNDER 54 (-110) is a strong play despite the fact both of these teams have their flaws on defense.

Florida struggled to stop the opposition in the run game in 2023, including more than 200 yards per game on the ground in SEC play. Miami had a difficult time containing the pass game, and it remains to be seen whether the 2024 additions in the secondary will do the trick.

Still, we should see enough D to just hit the Under, but be prepared to sweat it out.

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LSU at Florida odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s LSU at Florida odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The LSU Tigers (4-2, 2-1 SEC) and the Florida Gators (4-2, 1-2) meet in a conference game at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Fla. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the LSU vs. Florida odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Tigers saw their 4-game winning streak come to a crashing halt last week in Death Valley, as Tennessee came down to Baton Rouge and rocked the Bayou Bengals 40-13. The Under has now cashed in 4 straight for LSU.

The Gators eased by Missouri last week, 24-17, but they failed to cover the 11-point number. Florida is 4-1 in 5 games at home, going 2-3 ATS.

The defense has been on the rise for UF, allowing just 17 points in each of the past 2 outings after yielding 26 or more points in each of the first 4 contests.

Check out: AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports

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LSU at Florida odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): LSU +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Florida -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): LSU +2.5 (-112) | Florida -2.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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LSU at Florida picks and predictions

Prediction

Florida 23, LSU 20

Moneyline

FLORIDA (-130) is worth playing straight up, as this one should be a very close game. To be honest, there isn’t a ton of difference between these 2 sides. You have to expect this will be a 1-score game, perhaps coming right down to the very end in a defensive fight.

Against the spread

FLORIDA -2.5 (-108) is a good play as long as the line stays below a flat 3 or a 3-and-a-hook, but still play it lightly.

The Gators are just 3-10 ATS in the past 13 games overall, while cashing just twice in the previous 9 in The Swamp. In addition, Florida is 1-6 ATS in the past 7 SEC outings.

The Tigers have some ugly numbers, too, going 1-4 ATS in the past 5 on the road. While the underdog has cashed in 6 straight in this series, the line has been a lot higher than this tiny number.

Over/Under

UNDER 50.5 (-105) is a decent play despite the series trends, which point to the Over. In fact, the Over is 4-0 in the past 4 meetings overall, but that’s when we had much better offenses for each of these teams.

The Under has cashed in 4 in a row for LSU, and that trend is much more important than the historical H2H trends above. The Under is also 6-1 in LSU’s past 7 inside the conference, while the Under is 7-3 in Florida’s past 10 SEC games and 8-3 in the past 11 at home.

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First look: Kentucky at Florida odds and lines

Analyzing Saturday’s Kentucky at Florida odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Kentucky Wildcats (1-0) hit the road to face the Florida Gators (1-0) Saturday at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium with kickoff at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Kentucky vs. Florida odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Kentucky got off to a slow start in their Week 1 showdown against Miami of Ohio with the Wildcats jumping out to a narrow 13-10 lead at halftime. In the second half, Kentucky outscored Miami 24-3 as QB Will Levis threw for 303 yards and 3 touchdowns.

Florida had a stiff matchup against the No. 7 ranked Utah Utes Saturday in front of their home fans. QB Anthony Richardson was phenomenal in the Gators’ 29-26 upset victory, totaling 274 yards and 3 rushing touchdowns.

Kentucky was ranked No. 21 in the initial AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Kentucky at Florida odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9:54 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Kentucky +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Florida -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Kentucky +4.5 (-115) | Florida -4.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 51.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

2022 betting stats:

ML: Kentucky 1-0 | Florida 1-0
ATS: Kentucky 1-0 | Florida 1-0
O/U: Kentucky 0-1 | Florida 1-0

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Kentucky vs. Florida head-to-head

The Wildcats and Gators have gone up against one another 72 times dating back to 1917. Florida owns a 53-19 record against Kentucky, and they had a 31-game win streak that lasted from 1987 to 2017.

The last matchup between these 2 programs came in 2021, when the Wildcats secured a 20-13 home win over the Gators.

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Kentucky at Florida odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Kentucky at Florida odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The sixth-ranked Kentucky Wildcats (24-6, 13-4 SEC) visit the Florida Gators (19-11, 9-8) Saturday at Exactech Arena at Stephen O’Connell Center in Gainesville. Tip-off is scheduled for 2 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we look at the Kentucky vs. Florida odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Wildcats managed to win just three of their past five games, while going 1-3-1 against the spread (ATS). Kentucky heads into this one looking to maintain its mastery of Florida. The Wildcats won 78-57 in the most recent meeting Feb. 12 in Lexington.

The Gators are a very ordinary 3-3 SU/ATS across the past six outings, although they are coming off back-to-back wins and covers at Georgia (Feb. 26) and at Vanderbilt (Tuesday). Florida’s last home game was an 82-74 loss to now-No. 15 Arkansas Feb. 22.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Kentucky at Florida odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:20 a.m. ET.

Money line: Kentucky -230 (bet $230 to win $100) | Florida +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
Against the spread: Kentucky -4.5 (-122) | Florida +4.5 (-102)
Over/Under (O/U): 141.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Kentucky at Florida odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Kentucky 75, Florida 64

Money line

Kentucky (-230) is a little on the expensive side, costing nearly two and a half times your potential return.

PASS, and look to the spread.

Against the spread

KENTUCKY -4.5 (-122) will cost a little extra juice, but it’s worth the money. The Wildcats have dominated this series, winning six of the past seven meetings, and going 4-1 ATS across the past five encounters.

While the Wildcats have struggled against the number lately, UK is 4-0-1 ATS across the past five games following a non-cover. Plus, Florida is 1-4 ATS in the past five against teams with a winning record.

Over/Under

The UNDER 141.5 (-110) is the play based on the series trends.

The Under has cashed in three straight meetings, six of the past seven and eight of the previous 10 head-to-head battles between these rivals.

The Under is 7-3 in the past 10 on the road for UK, and 6-1 in the past seven against winning teams. For Florida, the Under has cashed in four of the past five against winning sides.

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Georgia vs. Florida odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Georgia Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs (7-0, 5-0 SEC) and Florida Gators (4-3, 2-3) meet Saturday in their traditional neutral-site battle at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, Fla. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Georgia vs. Florida odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

The Bulldogs held off Kentucky in Athens by a 30-13 score, although they failed to cover the spread as 21.5-point favorites, snapping a 3-0 (against the spread) ATS run. It was, however, Georgia’s third Under in a row.

The Gators are coming off a bye after they were on the short end of a 49-42 loss at LSU in Death Valley Oct. 16. The Gators have alternated wins and losses in each of the past six, while also going 3-3 ATS during the span. The Under is 3-1 in the past four outings.

Rankings according to the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Georgia vs. Florida odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:20 p.m. ET.

Money line: Georgia -650 (bet $650 to win $100) | Florida +440 (bet $100 to win $440)
Against the spread (ATS): Georgia -14.5 (-103) | Florida +14.5 (-117)
Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -117 | U: -103)

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Georgia vs. Florida odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Georgia 31, Florida 17

Money line

Georgia (-650) will cost you six and a half times your potential return. That’s risky business in a rivalry game. While I expect things won’t go off the rails for the top-ranked team, this is too much risk for not enough reward.

AVOID and look to the spread.

Against the spread

FLORIDA +14.5 (-117) is the lean here as I think the hook actually comes into play and has a big meaning in this rivalry game. Georgia hasn’t allowed more than 13 points in any of its seven games, so it requires a bit of a leap of faith to take the Gators. But this is a rivalry game and anything can happen in a tilt between these two.

Over/Under

UNDER 50.5 (-103) is the play in all UGA games until further notice. The surprise of this game might be the Gators scoring the most points the Bulldogs have allowed this season, but the top-ranked team will keep its title hopes alive in a low-scoring affair.

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Florida at South Florida odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Florida Gators at South Florida Bulls odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Florida Gators (1-0) travel to take on the South Florida Bulls (0-1) Saturday at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla. Kickoff is slated for 1 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Florida vs. South Florida odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

The Gators, one of the favorites in the SEC, took down Florida Atlantic in their opener. Florida failed to cover the large spread in the 35-14 victory.

The Gators had two 100-yard rushers lead the way. QB Emory Jones threw 2 interceptions in a very underwhelming performance.

South Florida was absolutely crushed by NC State. The Bulls lost 45-0 as the Wolfpack covered the spread with ease. NC State had two 100-yard rushers, so it may be tough for South Florida to tame the Gators rushing attack.

Florida at South Florida odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 3:35 p.m. ET.

Money line: Florida -4000 (bet $4,000 to win $100) | South Florida +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200)
Against the spread (ATS): Florida -28.5 (-103) | South Florida +28.5 (-117)
Over/Under (O/U): 58.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Florida at South Florida odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Florida 38, South Florida 7

Money line

PASS on the money line as -4000 is far too steep of a price.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to FLORIDA -28.5 (-103) as South Florida just looked that bad against NC State. The Gators will be a far greater step up in terms of competition, so this really shouldn’t be close. Florida is ninth in the AFCA Coaches Poll, powered by USA TODAY Sports; NC State earned some top-25 votes but didn’t crack the rankings.

NC State played a flawed game and won 45-0. With Florida looking good in its opener, expect the Gators to come out on fire, scoring early and often against their in-state foe.

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Over/Under

BET the UNDER 58.5 (-112) as Florida may take its foot off the gas late.

With the run a strong option, the Gators should run this clock down after getting up big early. Expect a low-scoring combined score in this one.

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March Madness: Florida vs. Oral Roberts odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Florida Gators vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eagles odds and lines, with March Madness Round 2 picks and predictions.

The No. 7 seed Florida Gators (15-9) take on the 15th-seeded Oral Roberts Golden Eagles (17-10) Sunday in a South Region second-round tilt at Indiana Farmers Coliseum in Indianapolis. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:45 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Florida-Oral Roberts odds and lines, with March Madness NCAA Tournament picks and predictions.

The Gators needed overtime to get past Virginia Tech 75-70 in the first round, winning outright as 1.5-point underdogs as the Over (134.5) connected. The offensive production was the highest for Florida since an 85-point explosion in a win over West Virginia Jan. 30 in the SEC/Big 12 Challenge. Despite the cover against the Hokies, the Gators are still 1-4 ATS across the past five games overall.

The Golden Eagles pulled off a shocker over No. 2 seed Ohio State in the first round, stunning the Buckeyes 75-72 in overtime as 15-point underdogs with the Under (157) still cashing. ORU is on a six-game win streak, while covering each of the past five games. Sophomore G Max Abmas and junior F Kevin Obanor were the heroes for the Golden Eagles. Abmas finished with 29 points, 5 rebounds, 3 assists and 2 steals while draining 5 3-pointers. Obanor did him one better, dropping 30 points with 11 rebounds, while also adding 5 3-pointers.

Florida vs. Oral Roberts: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:16 a.m. ET.

Money line: Florida -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | Oral Roberts +333 (bet $100 to win $333)
Against the spread/ATS: Florida -8.5 (-110) | Oral Roberts +8.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 148.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Florida vs. Oral Roberts: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Florida 75, Oral Roberts 68

Money line (ML)

Florida (-450) will cost you four and a half times your potential return, and Oral Roberts (+333) proved it’s not a team the Gators should take lightly. An upset is definitely possible, even as unlikely as it seems for a 15 seed to make the Sweet Sixteen. PASS.

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Against the spread (ATS)

ORAL ROBERTS +8.5 (-110) has been on quite the run against the number lately, going 5-0 ATS in the past five overall, and 4-0 ATS in the previous four as an underdog. Florida has cashed just once in the past six games as a favorite, and are 1-5 ATS in the previous six against winning teams.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 148.5 (-110) is worth playing very lightly. Even with an overtime game, ORU hit the Under in their first-round upset of Ohio State. The Under is 4-0-1 in the past five games for Florida as a favorite, while going 7-2-1 in their past 10 games overall. The Under is also 10-4 in the past 14 for the Gators on a neutral court as favorites.

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Missouri at Florida odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Missouri Tigers at Florida Gators odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Missouri Tigers (14-7 overall, 7-7 SEC) travel to meet the Florida Gators (13-6, 9-5) Wednesday at Billy Donovan Court at Exactech Arena in Gainesville, Fla., for a 6:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Missouri-Florida odds and lines, with NCAA college basketball picks and predictions.

Missouri at Florida: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:44 a.m. ET.

Money line: Missouri +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Florida -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Missouri +3.5 (-105) | Florida -3.5 (-115)
Over/Under: 141.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Missouri at Florida: Three things to know

The Tigers have been in a tailspin lately, losing four of the past five games since their 68-65 upset win over Alabama Feb. 6. Mizzou was dropped 60-53 at home to Ole Miss Tuesday, and it’s just 1-4 ATS across the past five outings.
Florida rolls in on a three-game win streak, while covering the past two. The Gators won as 1.5-point underdogs at Kentucky 71-67 Saturday with the Under (141.5) cashing. In fact, the Under has hit in five straight games for the Gators.
For Mizzou, the Over is 8-2-1 in the past 11 games, 4-0-1 in its past five road games and 4-1 in the past five against winning teams.

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Missouri at Florida: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Florida 77, Missouri 68

Money line (ML)

Florida (-185) is just a little over my personal limit for money line plays, as you have to risk nearly twice as much as your potential return. Over the long haul, that’s not a good betting strategy.

PASS.

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Against the spread (ATS)

FLORIDA -3.5 (-115) has covered each of its past two games, while Missouri has failed to cover in four of the past five. The Tigers are also 1-3 straight-up and 1-3 ATS across their past four games since an upset win at Tennessee Jan. 23. All signs point to a Gators cover in Gainesville.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 141.5 (-110) is the lean. Missouri’s defense has been horrible for most of the season. The Tigers are just 214th in defensive scoring average, allowing 71.5 PPG. The Gators have rolled up 75.9 PPG to rank 75th in the nation. They’re a good shooting team, and they rank 38th in free-throws percentage at 75.6%. Defensively, UF has allowed 69.9 PPG, which ranks 172nd. This won’t be end-to-end action, but the Over is worth a small-unit play based on Mizzou’s trends.

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Tennessee at Florida odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Tuesday’s Tennessee Volunteers at Florida Gators sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Florida Gators (6-4, 3-3 SEC) host conference rival No. 6 Tennessee Volunteers (10-1, 4-1) Tuesday in a 7 p.m. ET tip-off in Billy Donovan Court at Exactech Arena. Below, we analyze the Tennessee-Florida college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Tennessee at Florida: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:18 p.m. ET.

Money line: Tennessee -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Florida +260 (bet $100 to win $260)
Against the spread/ATS: Tennessee -7.5 (+100) | Florida +7.5 (-120)
Over/Under: 135.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Tennessee at Florida: Three things to know

Tennessee has won three straight and four of its past five (3-2 ATS), including an 81-61 rout of Vanderbilt Saturday. The Volunteers are on the shortlist of “best defensive teams in the country.” They are fourth in opponent’s points per game, fourth in defensive rating and seventh in opponent’s turnover percentage.
The Gators have lost three of their previous four games coming into Tuesday. In their last game, a 72-69 loss at Mississippi State, the Gators kept it close, as predicted by bookmakers with an even-money line, despite being outrebounded 47-26 by the Bulldogs. Florida’s defense is on the opposite end of the spectrum as Tennessee’s and the Gators are ranked 237th in rebounds per game.
The Volunteers have dominated the Gators since hiring head coach Rick Barnes in 2015. Tennessee is 5-1 (5-1 ATS) and Florida’s only cover was in an 83-70 win as a 12.5-point favorite in January 2017.

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Tennessee at Florida: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Tennessee 67, Florida 63

Money line (ML)

PASS ON THE MONEY LINE. Tennessee is the right side in this one but it is too pricey for me to bet, even outright, against an SEC rival. Stick with the spread.

Against the spread (ATS)

The market is hammering Tennessee to the point that the line has moved from the Volunteers laying around 5 points on the opener to the current number. My natural instinct is to fade the market and Florida is rarely a home dog—the Gators are 2-0 ATS when getting points at home with a plus-11.2-point ATS margin.

I lean FLORIDA +7.5 (-120) for a quarter-unit mostly as a contrarian play to Barney at the bar, who’s just frivolously laying points with favorites.

Over/Under (O/U)

GIMME UNDER 135.5 (-110) for 1 unit as my favorite play in Tennessee-Florida. This is shaping up to be a Pros vs. Joes scenario in the gambling market: According to Pregame.com, more than 70% of the money has been wagered on the Over while 60% of the total bets placed are on the Under.

Since the money column is generally considered the sharp side of the market, let’s follow the money and BET UNDER 135.5 (-110). Tennessee has a 77.8% implied win probability with its money line price and, since the Volunteers have a 4-7 O/U record, there’s a good chance this game plays Under because that fits Tennessee’s style.

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