Tag: First quarter total

Super Bowl 2020: First Half Money Line

Analyzing 2020 Super Bowl prop betting odds and lines for the first half money line between the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs.

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The San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs meet at Super Bowl LIV on Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the betting odds and lines at BetMGM to see which side will be leading after the first half.

Super Bowl LIV first half money line

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 12:45 p.m. ET.

Special sports betting line for the big game

Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during the big game February 2, 2020. Regardless of the outcome, you win with a touchdown! Bet now.

New customer offer; visit BetMGM for terms and conditions.

People say that championships are decided in the second half but, leaving out the three first-half ties, the team with the lead going into halftime has a 38-12 record in the Super Bowl.

Throughout the season, the Chiefs have been a better first-half team:  Kansas City has a +7.9 point differential compared to San Francisco’s +5.4 point differential. The Chiefs have a higher first-half possession share percentage at 49.5% versus 49ers’ 49.1%. Powered by offensive eruptions, the Chiefs have jumped out to a lead in the first half in three of their last four postseason games, scoring 21, 28 and 24 in those games. Also, the Chiefs have led going into halftime in 13 games, while the 49ers have led in 11 games after the first half.

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However, where I give the 49ers the edge, is their ability to play balanced football and the Chiefs’ struggles against the ground game. Granted they did well against Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry in the AFC title game—giving up just 69 rushing yards on 19 attempts. However, they were 23rd in rushing yards allowed per game, 29th in yards per rush and the 29th-most efficient rush defense plus had the 28th ranked defensive line in adjusted line yards, according to FootballOutsiders.com.

Furthermore, I’m going to take a glass half empty approach to factoring the Chiefs’ postseason first-half leads into this handicap. While they’ve held the lead in three of their past four playoff games, the Chiefs have also fallen behind by double-digits in three of those first halves. Their defense is ranked 28th in first quarter points allowed, and the 49ers are ranked third in first quarter points scored. San Francisco’s second-ranked defense in points allowed in the second quarter (actually tied for second with the Chiefs) should help rein in the Chiefs trademark second quarter onslaught. So basically the 49ers should be able to jump out to an early lead and utilize the run game to hold that lead.

BET 49ERS (-106) ON THE FIRST HALF MONEY LINE. 

Want action on this game or prop bets? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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2020 Super Bowl Prop Betting: 49ers-Chiefs first half totals

Analyzing 2020 Super Bowl prop betting odds and lines for the first half point total between the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs.

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The public has been leaning to the Over for Sunday’s Super Bowl LIV at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla. The San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs are expected to light up the scoreboard, with a projected points total for the game set at 54.5 at BetMGM. As far as the first-half total is concerned, that’s currently sitting at 26.5, so jump on it if you’re expecting a high-scoring affair, too. It’s very favorable at less than half of the full-game projection.

During the regular season, the 49ers registered 15.7 points per game in the first half, while yielding 8.4 points. They have logged 18.0 points across the past three games before halftime, while allowing just 3.3 points defensively.

For the Chiefs, they allowed just 10.4 first-half points during the regular season, although they have coughed up 16.0 points in the previous three outings. Offensively, QB Patrick Mahomes and company rolled up 17.6 points per game in the first half during the regular season, topping the charts in the NFL. That includes an impressive 19.7 points per game in the past three outings.

2020 Super Bowl first half total odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 12 p.m. ET.

Line Over Under
24.5 -134 +110
25.5 -129 +105
26.5 -115 -106
27.5 +105 -129
28.5 +120 -154

New to sports betting? A $10 bet at -115 would return a profit of $8.70, while a $10 bet at +110 would generate a profit of $11.

Special sports betting line for the big game

Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during the big game February 2, 2020. Regardless of the outcome, you win with a touchdown! Bet now.

New customer offer; visit BetMGM for terms and conditions.

How the 49ers and Chiefs have fared so far

Looking to the first half of the NFC Championship Game, the 49ers fired out to a 27-0 lead over the visiting Green Bay Packers. RB Raheem Mostert led the charge, rolling up three rushing touchdowns (36 yards, 9, 18), but you can expect the Chiefs defense to key on him and try and shut his production down like they did for the most part against Tennessee Titans RB Derrick Henry in the AFC Championship Game.

Prior to that game, the 49ers threw up 14 points in the first half while allowing 10 points to the Minnesota Vikings in the NFC Divisional Round. It’s fair to say the Chiefs have a higher-octane offense than either of those teams, particularly in the pass game, so it will be an interesting first 30 minutes.

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For the Chiefs, it was all offense and not much defense in the first half of their two postseason games so far. Remember, they fell behind against the Houston Texans by a 24-0 margin before rattling off 41 unanswered points, including 28 to close out the first half for a gaudy total of 52 points in the first 30 minutes. In the AFC Championship Game the first-half total also cashed, as the Chiefs again fell behind 17-7 before posting the final 14 points to take a 21-17 lead into the break.

If you’re playing the first-half total, the OVER 26.5 (-115) is the most intriguing total on the board. It’s fair to say we’ll see at least three touchdowns, and PKs Robbie Gould and Harrison Butker are very dependable, while also kicking in fair weather in South Florida.

Want action on this game or prop bets? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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2020 Super Bowl Prop Betting: First quarter points total

How many points will be scored in the first quarter of the 2020 Super Bowl? Analyzing the 49ers-Chiefs betting odds and lines, with picks.

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Super Bowl LIV is expected to be a pretty high-scoring affair, as the San Francisco 49ers meet up with the Kansas City Chiefs Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. The projected points total for the game currently sits at 54.5 at BetMGM. The Chiefs are projected to score 28 points, while the implied total for the 49ers is 26.5 points.

But what about the first quarter of the game? It is typically the lower-scoring quarter, and the total for the first 15 minutes will typically fall below one-fourth of the game total. Let’s take a look at the betting options, and dig into some numbers to see which side would be best to take for the first quarter points total of Super Bowl LIV.

Super Bowl LIV first quarter total odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 2 p.m. ET.

Line Over Under
7.5 -175 +145
9.5 -167 +135
10.5 +105 -125
11.5 +105 -125

As you can see, the two teams are expected to combine for about 10 points in the first 15 minutes of action. Note that the payouts for the Over/Under 10.5 total are the same as the 11.5 total. While it’s highly unlikely the first quarter ends with exactly 11 points scored, we might as well take the extra point we’re being given. Therefore, use 10.5 if taking the Over, and 11.5 if betting the Under.

Let’s take a look at what the two teams have done so far this season during the first quarter.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet at -167 would return a profit of $5.99, while a $10 bet at +135 would generate a profit of $13.50.

Special sports betting line for the big game

Bet $1, WIN $200 (in free bets) if either team scores a touchdown during the big game February 2, 2020. Regardless of the outcome, you win with a touchdown! Bet now.

New customer offer; visit BetMGM for terms and conditions.

How the 49ers and Chiefs have fared so far

There have been plenty of points scored early on in both Chief playoff games, as they have trailed 10-7 and 21-0 at the end of quarter number one in their two AFC playoff games. However, more than 10 points were scored in just five of their 16 regular-season games, and they didn’t clear the mark in any of their final seven games.

During that stretch, the Chiefs averaged 5.1 points during the first quarter, while they held their opponents to just 10 points total (1.4 per game). In those seven games, seven points or less were scored in the first quarter five times, though it happened just one other time over the course of Kansas City’s season.

As for the 49ers, there have been more than 10 points scored in the first quarter in 8 of their 18 games (including playoffs), but just three times in their last 10 games. The strong San Francisco defense has held its opponents scoreless through 15 minutes an impressive eight times, including in the NFC Championship against the Green Bay Packers.

Using 7.5 points as the cutoff, the 49ers have landed Under that number just five times on the season. They have surrendered a total of just 73 points in the first quarter (4.1 per game).

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The Chiefs and 49ers have each played to 10 points or less in the first quarter in the majority of their games this season. For both teams, it has been a more common occurrence during the second half of the year. Therefore, UNDER 11.5 (-125) looks like a solid play here.

Want action on this game or prop bets? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @RuddHQ and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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