Tag: ESPN FPI predictions

ESPN updates its predictions for Ohio State football’s remaining regular season schedule

ESPN updated its game-by-game FPI prediction chances for Ohio State to win the rest of its regular season games. Here’s where things stand after Week 6.

The Ohio State football team is now 6-0 and heading into an off-week. It comes at a great time because the Buckeyes are a little banged up on both sides of the ball and could use the rest and recuperation.

Six games into the season and it’s pretty clear that all the goals Ohio State had at the beginning of the campaign are still in play, including a Big Ten championship and a potential berth into the College Football Playoff. But with the season half the way over, OSU has to finish the deal.

ESPN updates its matchup predictor for every game for every FBS team every week and we like to follow along. It’s time to check in again after the public flogging of Michigan State last weekend to see what ESPN says the percentage chance of winning is for each remaining game on the Buckeyes’ schedule in 2022.

Have any of the percentages changed? Is Ohio State still favored to win all of its games in the regular season? Here’s what the ESPN FPI says about each of the remaining games on the Buckeyes’ schedule the rest of the way.

Ohio State football’s chances of winning each game on remaining schedule updated by ESPN after Week 2

What do the percentages say about Ohio State winning each game on its schedule after Week 2 according to the ESPN matchup predictor? #GoBucks

Two weeks down and two victories for the Ohio State football team. Things haven’t been a smooth and well-oiled operation so far in 2022, but it could be worse, just look around the country at teams like Wisconsin, Notre Dame, and Texas A&M that have already lost a game or two.

And while the Buckeyes have two double-digit wins under their belt, each week brings new observations and different data elements that get spit into the big machine that is the ESPN FPI matchup predictor.

We check in on what the percentages say about Ohio State’s chances of winning each remaining game on the schedule after each week, and things do change quite a bit. After last week, is OSU still favored in all of its games, or has someone like Michigan closed the gap enough in these crazy formula-driven predictions to make the Buckeyes no longer the favorite?

Here’s what all the data says on ESPN for the probabilities of winning each game on the remaining schedule for Ohio State.

Updated Ohio State ESPN FPI game-by-game predictions after Week 1

How did the win over Notre Dame affect Ohio State’s chances of winning each of its remaining games according to the ESPN FPI? #GoBucks

Well, that was fun.

We had our first full slate of college football games and that meant Ohio State was in action. And it wasn’t just any game, it was a titanic clash between two top-five teams. The Buckeyes came out on top with a hard-fought win over Notre Dame that had the team display toughness and grit.

But, the national perception is that OSU didn’t look like a team destined for greatness this year, largely because of the struggles on offense, a side of the ball that was supposed to be its strength.

With some data now to go on, ESPN has updated its FPI predictions on the percentage chance of Ohio State’s remaining games, and we like to follow where the trends are going. We’ll continue to check in on it throughout the year.

Here’s how the win over Notre Dame affected OSU’s chances of winning each of its remaining games according to the ESPN FPI.

Game-by-game predictions for Texas’ 2022 schedule per ESPN’s FPI

ESPN’s FPI has Texas as the underdog in only one game on their schedule.

Thanks to a strong haul of transfer portal additions this offseason, along with landing the No. 5 recruiting class in the country for the 2022 cycle, Texas is favored in every game this season aside from one. Continue reading “Game-by-game predictions for Texas’ 2022 schedule per ESPN’s FPI”

ESPN FPI updates Ohio State’s chances of winning its last two regular season games

What does ESPN’s FPI matchup predictor say about Ohio State’s chances of beating both Michigan State and Michigan separately after the last weekend’s set of games? #GoBucks

The sands of the hourglass are running out in Ohio State football’s 2021 season, and there’s still everything to play for that was out there to start the season. But the road is still perilous with two of the most difficult games left on the schedule, against Michigan State, and then the usual regular-season ending donnybrook against Michigan.

We’ve been following the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI) throughout the season to see what its matchup predictor says about the Buckeyes’ chances of winning each game on the season, and it’s been fairly consistent throughout. However, there was a point when the Wolverines were favored over the Buckeyes, and we’ve also seen the percentage chance of winning ebb and flow with how productive OSU has been and with the up and down season within the Big Ten itself.

It’s time to check in again, so here’s what the ESPN FPI says about Ohio State’s chances of beating the Spartans this coming weekend and the Wolverines in the season finale.

ESPN updates Ohio State football’s chances of winning each remaining game

What does ESPN say are Ohio State’s chances of winning each of its three remaining regular-season football games? Which one are you the most worried about?

OK. Here we go again. Ohio State was able to outlast a Nebraska team that’s given every team it’s played this year its best punch, winning 26-17. It wasn’t pretty, but with what we’ve seen this year, simply winning is the name of the game.

Check.

Yeah, there are things to work out and fix, but it’s much easier this morning for Ryan Day and crew to learn some lessons with all the goals still on the board.

One thing we’ve been following each week is ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) and what it says about the Buckeyes’ chances of winning each remaining game on its regular-season schedule. It has ebbed and flowed with Ohio State’s results and what its opponents are doing on the field, and even had Michigan favored over OSU at one point.

With just three games remaining, what does ESPN’s FPI give Ohio State in winning games against Purdue, Michigan State, and Michigan? Well, here is where things stand today.

Updated ESPN game-by-game FPI predictions for Ohio State’s remaining schedule

After the win over Penn State, what does ESPN say is the probability of Ohio State winning each of its remaining games in 2021?

Another week is down for the Ohio State football team, and it was a tough one, but the Buckeyes walked away with another win, this time against East division rival Penn State, to improve their record to 5-0 in the Big Ten East and 7-1 overall.

There were some more interesting games across the Big Ten, and we like to see how all of the results affect OSU’s predictive chances of winning each remaining game by looking at the ESPN FPI (Football Power Index) early each week. You have to believe that Michigan’s loss coupled with the win by Michigan State has changed each of those two games respectively, but also, Ohio State’s performance against the Nittany Lions surely had something to do with moving the needle in a few of the contests.

Here’s what ESPN says is the probability of Ohio State winning each of its final regular-season games after Week 9.

 

How did the Big Ten and Ohio State’s performance over the weekend impact the ESPN remaining game-by-game FPI predictions for the Buckeyes?

Do you think Ohio State can still run the table? Here’s what ESPN’s predictive FPI formula says about the remaining schedule.

We like to follow along with whatever crazy formula ESPN uses to predict the Ohio State football games during the season. The worldwide leader in sports programming sausage doesn’t tell you what goes into what comes out the other end, but there’s product there and we’re consuming it.

For the first time last week, there was a team on Ohio State’s remaining schedule that was favored to beat it according to the ESPN FPI Matchup Predictor, so that was eyebrow-raising noteworthy.

Then, this week happened. The Big Ten looked like a stale donut both in-league and across the college football landscape, so I’m sure you are wondering how all of that changed how things look now. Is that team (that just might happen to be up north) still favored to beat the Buckeyes, or did things self-correct a bit?

What about the rest of the 2021 schedule? Is Ohio State still favored to win the rest of the games after giving Akron a super wedgie on Saturday? Let’s get into it and see what the ESPN FPI matchup predictor says after Week 4.

Updated ESPN game-by-game FPI win predictions for remainder of Ohio State’s schedule. One team now favored to beat Buckeyes.

One team is now favored to beat Ohio State according to ESPN’s updated FPI predictions. #GoBucks

The Ohio State football team got back in the win column on Saturday against Tulsa, but it wasn’t the type of showing the team probably wanted to put out there. The victory moves the Buckeyes to 2-1 overall, and still 1-0 in the Big Ten, but there are bigger challenges ahead and significant improvement needed.

Add that to some pretty spectacular performances from some teams we didn’t really expect much from on OSU’s schedule the rest of the way, and it’s time to see how it all relates to ESPN’s game-by-game FPI predictions for the rest of the year.

Things are trending down, but as you’ll see, ESPN still thinks highly of what Ohio State can do the rest of the year. However, there is one team that is now favored to beat the Buckeyes, albeit barely.

Here is a game-by-game look at what the ESPN FPI thinks will happen with every remaining game on Ohio State football’s schedule.