Fantasy Football Weekly: Projections for Kenny Golladay

Fantasy Football Weekly: Projections for Lions WR Kenny Golladay in all types of league formats

The Detroit Lions found a diamond in the rough when they selected Kenny Golladay out of Northern Illinois University in the third round of the 2017 NFL Draft. He’s been a fantasy football star the past couple years and now has lots of momentum headed into the 2020 season.

He’s gotten better every year he’s been in the NFL and now he’s a top tier wide receiver in fantasy football, or is he? I answer this question and give my statistical projections in today’s Fantasy Football Weekly.

Re-draft leagues

When your fantasy league resets each year all the top tier players are available. Kenny Golladay has gone from an undrafted fantasy player in his rookie year to now being taken in the top rounds of most re-draft leagues.

Often Kenny is available at the bottom of the second round or early in the third round of most re-draft leagues. I just can’t take him at this spot. He’s now being considered as a top ten wide receiver by most publications and this is just too rich for my blood. I love Golladay’s talent and I respect what he’s done the past two seasons, but I see too many other options to list that I’d like instead.

Best ball leagues

Kenny Golladay led the league in touchdowns in 2019 with 11 scores. He also would have gone over 1,200 receiving yards if he didn’t get injured late in the season. Both of those statistics are the type of numbers you want from any fantasy football player yet I’m still hesitant in these types of leagues too.

In best ball leagues, you want guys that will put up huge stat lines on any given Sunday. Kenny just doesn’t seem like that guy to me. He’s solid, he’s consistent and he has explosive plays at times, but not the type that often will win you a fantasy week all by himself.

He’s ranked 25th overall on the Fantasy Pros website in this format. I’d rather have other guys in that same range such as Patrick Mahomes (QB Chiefs), Odell Beckham (WR Browns), Mike Evans (WR Buccaneers), and D.J. Moore (WR Panthers).

Dynasty leagues

Now this is the league format where I’d think Kenny Golladay would be most valued. He’s only 26 years old and is just coming into the prime of his career. He’s still only ranked around 25th in most dynasty rankings though.

I can see Golladay being the Lions top receiver for the next few years and being paid accordingly here soon, but I don’t know if it will translate to mega fantasy football numbers in 2020. If you can get him at a good value in dynasty leagues then I would do that as a long-term investment though. 

The other factor that will be in his favor moving forward in dynasty leagues is I could see him being a focus of the offense once Marvin Jones and Danny Amendola are no longer with the team in future years. At that point I could see Kenny Golladay, D’Andre Swift, and T.J. Hockenson being the key members of the Lions offense with Matthew Stafford still at the helm.

Statistical projection and analysis

  My 2020 projections for Golladay are:

  • 75 catches
  • 975 yards receiving
  • Six touchdowns

Kenny Golladay is one of my favorite players in the NFL. He’s a humble beast. I own him in multiple fantasy football dynasty leagues. He’s been a great player so far, and I expect that to continue for the most part. Yet I just have this feeling that this year might be a bit of a step back when it comes to his fantasy value.

That could mean a bigger season for Hockenson and the Lions running game. Golladay has had a few injuries that have cost him to miss some games at times. Stafford is the type of quarterback that loves to spread the ball around to whoever is open. Kenny is a key piece to the Detroit Lions both now and in the future, but I don’t think I will have many shares of him this year in fantasy football based on his current value and hype.

Fantasy Football Weekly: Projections for D’Andre Swift’s rookie year

Fantasy football projections for Detroit Lions running back D’Andre Swift’s rookie year.

The Detroit Lions selected D’Andre Swift with the thirty-fifth pick in the 2020 NFL Draft — but where do you select him in your fantasy football drafts?

I answer this question and give my statistical projections in today’s Fantasy Football Weekly.

Re-draft leagues

These are the leagues where you start from scratch each year, and Swift will have a bit lower value in these leagues with everyone fighting for the other top NFL stars — he’s still a sneaky running back you can get later though.

His average draft position (ADP) on Fantasy Pros is currently 89th overall. That is a late eighth-round pick in a standard 10-team league and being drafted around the same time as running backs Kareem Hunt (Browns), Phillip Lindsay (Broncos), and Damien Williams (Chiefs).

Personally, I’d rather draft Swift then any of those players. I see the Lions new talented running back as more of a sixth-seventh round player in these types of leagues, as running backs thin out quickly and his upside is well worth the gamble.

Best ball leagues

These are the leagues where you get the fun of the draft but don’t have the hassle of setting a lineup or making roster moves each week. Just draft and the system will give you points for the best scoring players on your roster each week.

I really like these leagues and D’Andre Swift ranks highly in these too. He’s currently ranked around the 45th player in best ball leagues. That is around players like JuJu Smith-Schuster (WR, Steelers) and Keenan Allen (WR, Chargers).

One injury to Kerryon Johnson and Swift jumps up even higher. Also, because he is a dynamic player, these are the types of leagues you often want to target players that can fill up the stat sheet on any given week. I like him tremendously in best ball leagues as I could see him being the lead dog in Detroit’s backfield before long.

Dynasty leagues

Here is where people are sleeping on Swift’s talent.

We all know that Johnson is already in Detroit, but I think that helps Swift instead of hurts him. Having two young running backs will allow both players to stay fresh and be utilized to the best of their ability. Swift’s ranked as the 15th overall running back in dynasty leagues on average.

In dynasty leagues, I’m still taking Swift in the Top-5 of my rookie drafts and as a quality long-term dynasty asset.

Statistical projection and analysis

At the end of the day, fantasy football is all about the statistics, so the key question is: what will Swift accumulate in his rookie season?

You will hear the word “timeshare” used a lot when a team has two running backs that will both get carries throughout the year, and many assume this hurts both players, but as I pointed out in the dynasty section, it keeps both players fresh.

My 2020 projections for Swift are:

  • 800 yards rushing
  • 400 yards receiving
  • Eight touchdowns

Those are higher then most other numbers you will see out there, but I think Swift is a special talent. He was the top player on the board when the Lions drafted him and they want to be able to run the football.

The team has added to the offensive line, have weapons on the outside to stress defenses, and a young player in T.J. Hockenson to occupy the middle of the field too. While there is only one football to go around, these are the offenses I like in fantasy football as they don’t allow other teams to take away options that might be on your fantasy team. Swift will never be the focus for defenses and that is why I see him having a very nice rookie year both in reality and in fantasy for the Lions.

Lions Wire Fantasy Football Weekly: Dynasty rookie draft rankings

Lions Wire Fantasy Football Weekly, examining the 2020 Dynasty rookie draft rankings.

The 2020 NFL Draft is now complete, and you know what that means, it’s time to talk some dynasty rookie drafts for fantasy football!

In professional football, the draft is often the lifeblood of your franchise and the same ideology can be applied to dynasty rookie drafts in fantasy football as well.

Here’s a look at my initial rankings:

Dynasty Rookie Draft Rankings

  1. Clyde Edwards-Helaire (RB Chiefs)
  2. Johnathan Taylor (RB Colts)
  3. D’Andre Swift (RB Lions)
  4. J.K. Dobbins (RB Ravens)
  5. CeeDee Lamb (WR Cowboys)
  6. Henry Ruggs (WR Raiders)
  7. Jerry Jeudy (WR Broncos)
  8. Cam Akers (RB Rams)
  9. Jalen Reagor (WR Eagles)
  10. Justin Jefferson (WR Vikings)
  11. Brandon Aiyuk (WR, 49ers)
  12. Tee Higgins (WR Bengals)
  13. Zach Moss (RB Bills)
  14. Laviska Shenault (WR Jaguars)
  15. Michael Pittman Jr (WR Colts)
  16. Ke’Shawn Vaughn (RB Buccaneers)
  17. K.J. Hamler (WR Broncos)
  18. Bryan Edwards (WR Raiders)
  19. A.J. Dillon (RB Packers)
  20. Chase Claypool (WR Steelers)
  21. Joe Burrow (QB Bengals)
  22. Tua Tagovailoa (QB Dolphins)
  23. Anthony McFarland Jr., (RB Steelers)
  24. Van Jefferson (WR Rams)
  25. Darrynton Evans (RB Titans)
  26. Antonio Gandy-Golden (WR Redskins)
  27. Justin Herbert (QB Chargers)
  28. Tyler Johnson (WR Buccaneers)
  29. Jalen Hurts (QB Eagles)
  30. Cole Kmet (TE Bears)

Lions Rookie Skill Players

D’Andre Swift, RB, 5-9, 215 pounds

Swift was widely ranked as the top running back in this draft and when he was available at pick No. 35 overall, the Lions stepped up to draft him.

He’s a very well rounded back with a ton of tread left on his tires in comparison to other players that were available. He is a very smooth, flashy runner with the ability to catch the ball well out of the backfield, and is solid in pass protection — one of the key things the Lions look for in their running backs. Not all those traits will get you fantasy points, but they will get him more snaps, and that often does lead to more chances to light up the scoreboard.

Swift will likely share the lead role well with Kerryon Johnson, but he is electric and will keep defenses from keying in on one player, which could help take the Lions offense to another level.

Quintez Cephus, WR, 6-1, 207 pounds

One of the best names in the draft and the Lions think he’s one of the best wide receivers to fit their scheme. He ran a poor 40-yard-dash at the NFL Combine (4.73) but improved that at his Pro Day (4.62). Even if he can’t run past you, Cephus is a player that relies on his basketball background to out-muscle and out-jump defenders.

Jason Huntley RB/KR/slot, 5- 9, 194 pounds

Now, this pick surprised me. Huntley wasn’t even listed on multiple player prospect lists from respected websites that I had researched before the NFL Draft. When you watch him on YouTube he runs away from defenders with speed and eye-popping agility. I like what I see, but I believe he will begin his career as a kick returner and offensive gadget player.

Draft Strategy

When it comes to fantasy football draft strategy, I still lean towards running backs over all other positions. Other fantasy analysts feel wide receivers have longer careers and more frequent bigger statistical games than a running back often does. But my counter is that running backs are harder to find then wide receivers, and because they often have more injuries, having depth at running back is a key element when building your roster.

This draft is loaded at the top, with three-down backs like Edwards-Helaire and Swift as the type of players you want in today’s NFL. After that, there is a variety of wide receivers, including Lamb, Ruggs, and Jefferson as some of my favorites options at the top of the group.

Take the running backs early, then load up on wide receivers, and in the late rounds, take a look at a player’s landing spot to determine if he has a more clear path for playing time then others. As you get deeper in the draft don’t be afraid to take the best player available. Filling needs is fine, but often drafting the best player not knowing what will happen with your current team in the future is often the best long-term strategy.

Final Word

I’m still personally in way too many fantasy football leagues for the time I have available, but I really enjoy all of them a ton I must admit. This is the fun time of year when the NFL Draft ends and now as a fantasy football owner, you get to become Vice President of Player Personnel and General Manager of your team and draft your own rookies.

I encourage all of you that enjoy fantasy football to join a deeper dynasty league or incorporate some type of rookie draft into your league. Taking rookies before they ever even take a snap is the best way to test your overall team-building skills. Can you find the talent in the later rounds when others pass on certain players? This often is one of the most enjoyable parts of fantasy football as you get to see these players grow up on your team and if you dominate your rookie draft you often will have fantasy football championships in your future!

You can find Derek on Twitter @DerekOkrie for all your offseason fantasy football needs.