Justin Verlander vs. Dylan Cease is the MLB pitching matchup of the year. Here’s how to bet on it.

Houston’s record as a road favorite is notable, but Tuesday is all about the pitching.

It’s incredibly rare to see the top two Cy Young candidates matchup this late in the regular season, which means baseball fans are in for a treat on Tuesday night.

When the Houston Astros face the Chicago White Sox, they’ll send Justin Verlander (-150 to win Cy Young at Tipico) to the mound against Dylan Cease (+190) and there’s really no understating what both of them have done this year.

White Sox (+1.5) vs. Astros (-130)

Over/Under 6.5

Named AL pitcher of the month for June and July, Cease has an MLB record streak of 14 starts with no more than one earned run allowed—surpassing Jacob deGrom’s absurd mark of 13 in 2021. Over that stretch the Sox star has a 0.66 ERA which stands as the lowest for any pitcher during a 14-game span in the last 100 years.

Here’s a quick glance at how the stats for Cease and Verlander stack up in the AL:

Category

Dylan Cease AL Rank

Justin Verlander AL Rank

WAR

1 (4.4)

2 (4.4)

ERA

2 (1.96)

1 (1.85)

Strikeouts

2 (174)

9 (134)

Home Runs Per 9 IP

5 (0.699)

8 (0.794)

Win Probability Added

5 (3.0)

1 (3.5)

Hits Per 9 IP

4 (6.435)

2 (6.154)

So, yeah, these guys are for real.

The White Sox have won four straight. The Astros have won four of their last five after dropping the series opener in Chicago on Monday.

Let’s figure out how to bet on them.

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Dylan Cease, the White Sox’ best hope, is also the best Cy Young value play on the board

The All-Star snub is closing in on a much larger accolade.

We’ve discussed the hapless Chicago White Sox, manager Tony La Russa and the woes of the South Siders pretty much all season long over here at FTW.

Not much has changed. The team is still stuck at .500, still in third place in the American League Central and still trying to prove their best days are ahead.

They likely won’t make the playoffs. If they do, they certainly don’t seem set up to go far (though the August 2 trade deadline could change things).

There is one aspect of the Sox season that is worth appreciating, however, and Cy Young bettors will want to pay attention. For as tumultuous a summer as Chicago has endured, Dylan Cease has been able to provide relief every five days.

Cease is currently +9000 to win AL Cy Young at Tipico Sportsbook. He began the year at +1200. And the only thing he’s done since then is prove again and again how dominant he already is at 26 years old. Don’t be fooled by his absurd All-Star Game snub. Take a look at the evidence for yourself.

Dylan Cease Stats (AL rank)

Innings Pitched Wins Above Replacement Strikeouts K/9 ERA Hits Per 9 IP Home Runs Per 9 IP Fielding Independent Pitching
110.2 (10th) 3.6 (2nd) 154 (1st) 12.524 (1st) 2.03 (3rd) 6.75 (4th) 0.651 (4th) 2.67 (4th)

According to Tankathon, the White Sox have the second-easiest schedule remaining. While it may not help the team’s playoff chances too much, it should aide Cease’s Cy Young campaign. As his stuff continues to dominate he should have no trouble facing weaker lineups.

The issue is that the pitchers with shorter odds ahead of him continue to dominate as well. To cash this ticket the likes of favorites Shane McClanahan (+162) and Justin Verlander (+250) will need to stumble.

It’s certainly possible, but it’s also the reason why Cease’s odds remain significantly longer.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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The White Sox are so locked in that they can even overcome rough starts from Dallas Keuchel

Watch out, baseball: The Southsiders have found their groove.

It wasn’t long ago — about a few weeks, to be precise — that the White Sox looked dead in the water. After losing 10 of 12 games in late April (including three straight series to three separate teams): One of the preseason favorites Sox looked more like preseason pretenders.

Ah, but it’s a long year, Dear Reader. That means there’s always time to correct the course.

Since taking a finale against the Angels at home, the White Sox have been on a tear. They went into Wrigley and dispatched the rebuilding Cubs with relative ease. Then, in an early-season test of mettle — despite the Red Sox’s (-140 favorites on Sunday) fellow struggles — the White Sox marched through Fenway for a resounding sweep.

Now, it’s six straight victories for a squad many picked to be playing deep in October. And, perhaps more importantly, they’ve now finished up only the seventh five-game (or more) unbeaten road trip in franchise history. Whoa.

I’m not going to say it’s unbelievable because teams go through so many ups and downs over a six-month, 162-game campaign. Still, it is striking how quickly the White Sox clicked themselves back into rhythm.

They didn’t tear apart the Cubs or Red Sox. But they didn’t have to. They needed more wins on the board and a mix of clutch playmaking. The sort of clutch playmaking that had many folks thinking of them as a squad more than worthy of being a late October/early November team.

In all honesty, the White Sox have been so good over the past week that they could even win a Dallas Keuchel start! Yes, seriously. No disrespect to Keuchel — who’s had a heck of a career — but he’s definitely seen better days. If Chicago can steal wins from games he starts, that might be the preeminent indicator of smooth sailing.

The White Sox have been so good it’s easy to forget they still won’t have some core pieces for a little while. Lance Lynn and Eloy Jimenez — two integral players for any deep run at a World Series — continue to nurse respective injuries.

But with Luis Robert and Dylan Cease at the forefront, suddenly Chicago resembles the heavyweight everyone thought they’d be.

Oh, and they’re about to get back their third baseman — the solid Yoan Moncada:

I don’t know whether the White Sox will live up to their lofty World Series expectations for sure. But the degree to which their season flipped on a whim is another excellent reminder that an MLB season is a marathon, not a sprint.

Pace yourself, and don’t panic.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Why I’m riding with the White Sox all the way to the World Series

2005 will be an even more distant memory come October.

I can’t remember the last time there were this many talented, deep teams in baseball.

For example, there are the Blue Jays and reigning MVP runner-up Vladimir Guerrero Jr. In Tampa Bay, Randy Arozarena and friends haven’t lost any steam. The Dodgers — who are clearly in possession of baseball’s lone infinite Bag of Holding — will always be a factor as long as they have Mookie Betts and Trea Turner, and Freddie Freeman. (Oh my goodness.)

Lest I forget, there are also the Astros, Yankees, Padres, and Brewers, among other potential powerhouses. Phew.

Which, look: These teams are all well and good. And I certainly respect the preseason baseball sentiments of some of my colleagues defending them. I get it. I do.

They’re smart, but most of them are so very, very wrong: The White Sox are about to have a dream season.

Come on: You cannot argue with stellar center/right fielders that wear Adidas Samba shoes at the tender age of 34.

A.J. Pollock, take a bow, sir.

Look at that casual fit! That’s a .355 on-base percentage and 137 OPS+ outfit if I ever saw one.

On a serious note, if you want to seem baseball smart to your casual sports-watching friends, you’ll tell them the White Sox might possess the deepest lineup in baseball. A lineup that features Tim Anderson, Luis Robert, Jose Abreu, Yasmani Grandal, Eloy Jiménez, Yoan Moncada, and of course, Pollock. Whoops, sorry. I’m out of breath.

Robert, especially: The inarguable best player the Sox roster — an elite centerfielder that hits for power — is criminally underrated as an MVP candidate by Tipico Sportsbook. +1500 odds (sixth-best overall) is an absolute steal for a player of Robert’s gifts. After some poor injury luck to start his career, if Robert plays in a majority of the Sox’s games this season, he’s unquestionably walking away with hardware. He’ll carry the Sox the entire year.

As far as the starting rotation, the initial temporary loss of Lance Lynn to knee surgery hurts, but you’ll be hard-pressed to find a better one-two punch than Lucas Giolito and Dylan Cease. They are more than capable of holding the fort down.

Cease, in particular, who possesses some of the filthiest, most electric stuff in all of baseball, is also curiously being somewhat overlooked for his first career Cy Young. The 26-year-old has struggled with his command, and those issues might still yet come back to haunt him.

Call it a hunch: He’s a polished pitcher now and will be untouchable for the majority of the next seven (yes, seven) months. Take those paltry +1200 odds for the AL Cy Young and run with them.

Run and don’t stop running, Forrest!

Now, ultimately, I know a lot can happen in baseball. A 162-game season opens up a lot of opportunities for pitfalls. Heaven only knows the White Sox have plenty of experience with walking into traps and general misfortune.

But this is the year. This is the season a top-flight lineup with minimal holes, a stellar rotation with two aces, and the arguable best bullpen in baseball led by reigning Reliever of the Year, Liam Hendriks, pieces it together. This team is so dang good top to bottom; not even Tony La Russa could screw it up. They have an answer for every contender and their manager. (Don’t ask me to elaborate.)

I want that +1000 for the South Siders to win the World Series, and I’m never looking back. After the 2005 title that may or may not have happened, maybe people will actually remember this eventual season full of achievement and glory.

Roll with the 2022 White Sox across the board. You can thank me later.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Monday’s Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians sports betting odds and lines, with MLB betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Chicago White Sox (1-2) visit the division rival Cleveland Indians (2-1) Monday at Progressive Field for a 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch. We analyze the White Sox-Indians MLB betting odds and picks, with betting advice and tips around the matchup.

White Sox at Indians: Projected starting pitchers

RHP Dylan Cease vs. RHP Aaron Civale

Cease posted a dismal 4-7 record, 5.79 ERA and 1.55 WHIP across 73 innings over 14 starts in 2019, his rookie year.

  • The right-hander was a little better on the road than at home last season. He went 2-3 with a 4.89 ERA over 38 2/3 innings in seven road starts, while finishing 2-4 with a 6.82 ERA across 34 1/3 innings in seven home outings.
  • Cease made just one start in 2019 against the Indians, allowing four earned runs on four hits and two walks with a career-high 11 strikeouts across 6 2/3 innings in a no-decision Sept. 3, 2019 in Cleveland.

Civale posted a 3-4 record with a 2.34 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 46 strikeouts over 57 2/3 innings across 10 starts last season, also his rookie campaign.

  • Civale was nearly untouchable at home last year, going 2-1 with a 1.09 ERA and .195 opponent batting average across 24 2/3 innings in four starts.
  • Civale went 1-1 with a 5.40 ERA and .313 opponent batting average while serving up two homers in two starts against the White Sox in 2019.

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White Sox at Indians: Key injuries

(List of injuries around the league)

White Sox

  • OF Eloy Jimenez (head) questionable
  • 2B Nick Madrigal (head) questionable
  • OF Nomar Mazara (illness) out

Indians

  • CF Delino DeShields (COVID-19 symptoms) out
  • OF Tyler Naquin (toe) out

White Sox at Indians: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated Monday at 5:40 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Indians 6, White Sox 4

Moneyline (ML)

The INDIANS (-129) are a solid value at home with Civale on the bump, as he was money at home last season. On the flip side, Cease was rather shaky, although he was much better on the road than at home. Still, Chicago’s pitching was shaky in its opening series against the Minnesota Twins, losing two out of three games while coughing up 27 total runs. Look for Cleveland’s offense to take advantage.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Indians (-129) to win straight up nets a return of just $7.75 if they do so.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The INDIANS (-1.5, +145) are worth a small-unit wager against Cease. Plus, the White Sox have won just six of their past 20 games at Progressive Field, so the home side is definitely the play.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 9.5 (-110) is worth a look, but don’t get crazy. Civale was untouchable at home in 2019, while Cease was better on the road than at home. However, Chicago’s pitching staff was tattooed for 27 runs (nine runs per game) in the first series against the Twins. After a slow start, totaling four runs in the first two games, the Indians racked up nine in their series-clinching win on Sunday against the Kansas City Royals.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter, and follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and Facebook.

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