NLDS Game 4: LA Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s LA Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The LA Dodgers and San Diego Padres meet Wednesday for Game 4 of  their best-of-5 NLDS. First pitch from Petco Park is set for 9:08 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoff series: San Diego leads 2-1

San Diego took the series lead with a 6-5 win over LA on Tuesday while covering as a -143 home favorite. The Padres erupted for a 6-run 2nd inning that was topped off by a 2-run shot from RF Fernando Tatis Jr. that traveled 396 feet.

LF Teoscar Hernandez hit a grand slam that gave San Diego a scare, but it was not enough for the Dodgers to complete the comeback. RHP Walker Buehler took the loss (5 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 0 K).

Dodgers at Padres projected starters

TBD vs. RHP Dylan Cease

No Dodgers pitcher announced at time of publishing.

Cease (14-11, 3.47 ERA) made 33 starts in the regular season. He had a 1.07 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 189 1/3 IP.

  • Career vs. Dodgers: 1-1. 2.61 ERA (20 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 18 H, 12 BB, 28 K in 4 starts
  • Only career postseason start vs. LA: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 7-5 home loss the series opener on Saturday
  • Career postseason: 0-0, 12.00 ERA and 2.17 WHIP in 6 IP in 3 appearances (1 start)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 9:59 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Padres -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers +1.5 (-200) | Padres -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Padres 3

Moneyline

BET DODGERS (+115).

Los Angeles is simply too good of a team for me to believe it will lose 3-1 in this series. The Dodgers have lost back-to-back games, but prior to that were on a 6-game win streak, and I expect them to get back to their winning ways in this matchup.

Be aware that the Padres have won the last 4 matchups vs. the Dodgers in San Diego.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like the Dodgers to win here and to cover the spread as +1.5 (-200) underdogs, but a line set a7 -200 is not worth the risk to bet on.

I recommend divvying up units between the run line and ML here, placing slightly more on the ML unless you are comfortable betting on this line.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-120).

The Over has hit in 4 straight for San Diego overall and 2 straight home games. For LA, the Over is 7-3 in its last 10 games and has hit in 2 of its last 3 games on the road. The Over has also hit in each of the 3 games in this series and is undefeated in the last 4 matchups between these squads.

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NLDS Game 3: LA Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s LA Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The NLDS between the LA Dodgers and San Diego Padres moves to Petco Park for Game 3 Tuesday tied 1-1. First pitch is set for 9:08 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoff series: Tied 1-1; Padres won regular-season series 8-5

After a 7-5 Game 1 win by the Dodgers as -135 home favorites to open the series Saturday, the Padres bounced back Sunday in Game 2, winning 10-2 behind starter Yu Darvish’s 7 innings of 1-run ball. San Diego, which cashed as a +136 underdog, hit 6 homers in the win, 2 by RF Fernando Tatis Jr., and 1 apiece from CF Jackson Merrill, SS Xander Bogaerts, DH David Peralta and C Kyle Higashioka.

Dodgers at Padres projected starters

RHP Walker Buehler vs. RHP Michael King

Buehler (1-6, 5.38 ERA) made 16 starts in the regular season. He had a 1.55 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 75 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 7-2 home win vs. Padres Sept. 26
  • 2024 vs. Padres: 0-1, 4.32 ERA (8 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 10 H, 2 HR, 3 BB, 3 K in 2 starts
  • Career vs. Padres (regular season): 6-1, 1.80 ERA (75 IP, 15 ER), 0.88 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 in 12 starts
  • Career postseason: 3-3, 2.94 ERA (79 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 11.4 K/9 in 15 starts

King (13-9, 2.95 ERA) made 30 starts and appeared in 31 games in the regular season. He had a 1.19 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 173 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 R, 5 H, 0 BB, 12 K in 4-0 home shutout of Atlanta Braves in Game 1 of Wild Card Series Oct. 1
  • Has allowed no more than 2 earned runs over last 9 starts
  • 2024 vs. Dodgers: 2-0, 3.10 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 15 H, 5 HR, 10 BB, 23 K in 3 starts and 1 relief appearance
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 2-0, 2.82 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 16 H, 5 HR, 10 BB, 26 K in 3 starts and 2 relief appearances
  • Last start vs. Dodgers: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 4-2 road victory Sept. 24
  • Career postseason: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (9 IP), 5 H, 0 BB, 13 K in 1 1 relief outing (2020 for Yankees vs. Rays) and 1 start (Oct. 1 vs. Braves)

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 4:57 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Padres -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers +1.5 (-175) | Padres -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Dodgers 2

Moneyline

Buehler has the postseason pedigree but has not been the same this season since coming back from an injury. Over his last 6 starts, he has alternated allowing 2 or fewer runs and 4 or more. In his last start, he allowed 1, so if that pattern continues, he will give up several runs this time.

King dominated in Game 1 of the Padres’ Wild Card Series and was solid in his starts against the Dodgers this season.

The pitching matchup favors the Padres (-150), but you get better odds on the spread.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Of the 15 games between the 2 teams in the regular season and postseason this year, 11 have been decided by more than 1 run. The Padres have 20 wins in King’s games, 14 by 2 or more runs.

Both games this series have been decided by 2 or more runs.

BET PADRES -1.5 (+145).

Over/Under

The last 3 head-to-head meetings have had more than 7 runs, but 7 of the 15 this season have not surpassed 7.

King’s last 5 regular-season starts did not reach 8 total runs.

BET UNDER 7.5 (+100).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (63-45) and San Diego Padres (58-51) wrap up a 2-game set at Petco Park Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 6-3

The Padres won 6-5 in 10 innings as +118 underdogs in the opener Tuesday as the Over (7) cashed. PH Donovan Solano hit a walk-off single in the 10th inning for San Diego, which came all the way back from an early 5-0 deficit.

The NL West-leading Dodgers had a 93% win probability, according to ESPN Analytics, heading into the top of the 9th inning with a 5-3 lead. L.A. has lost 4 of its last 6 after going on a 5-game win streak July 19-23 out of the All-Star break.

Dodgers at Padres projected starters

LHP Clayton Kershaw vs. RHP Dylan Cease

Kershaw (0-0, 4.50 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 2 ER on 6 hits and 2 walks with 6 K’s in 4 IP in his season debut, a 6-4 home victory over the San Francisco Giants Thursday.

  • Was activated off 60-day IL Thursday after having offseason shoulder surgery
  • 2023 stats: 13-5, 2.46 ERA (131 2/3 IP, 36 ER), 1.06 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 in 24 starts
  • Career vs. Padres (regular season): 23-10, 2.12 ERA (296 2/3 IP, 70 ER), 0.99 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 46 starts, including 0-1 with 7.71 ERA (4 2/3 IP, 4 ER) in 1 start last year

Cease (10-8, 3.50 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 131 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 9 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 3 BB, 9 K in 2nd no-hitter in Padres history, a 3-0 victory at Washington Nationals Thursday
  • 2024 home stats: 4-5, 3.32 ERA (59 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 12.2 K/9 in 10 starts
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 0-1, 1.80 ERA (10 IP, 2 ER), 1.60 WHIP, 16.2 K/9 in 2 starts, including 0-0 with 3.38 ERA (5 1/3 IP, 2 ER) in 1 start last season

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:44 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Padres -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers +1.5 (-200) | Padres -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Padres 4

Moneyline

The DODGERS (+115) don’t seem like an attractive team to back right now, especially after Kershaw’s mediocre season debut against the Giants Thursday. However, Cease may be due for a huge letdown after throwing a no-hitter at Washington in his last start.

L.A. is tied with the New York Yankees for 1st in MLB with a .334 on-base percentage, much better than the last 3 teams Cease has faced in the Nationals (16th), Cleveland Guardians (15th) and Atlanta Braves (24th).

While Cease’s stretch of 3 straight games allowing 0 ER has been impressive, he’ll be facing a much more dangerous batting order in the Dodgers, who will be extra focused after blowing a 5-run lead in the opener.

BET DODGERS (+115).

Run line/Against the spread

L.A. +1.5 (-200) should hit, but it’s hard to stay profitable in MLB betting into lines with this much vig.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

I’m going against the market’s love for Cease in this spot. Seven is a key number in MLB totals, and I can’t bet the Under at this number when Cease is in a potential letdown spot after throwing a no-hitter.

Kershaw also allowed 2 ER in 4 IP in his season debut, and the jury’s still out on whether the 36-year-old can return to form after having offseason shoulder surgery.

BET OVER 7 (-110).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (63-44) and San Diego Padres (57-51) open a 2-game set at Petco Park Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 5-3

The Dodgers avoided a 3-game sweep at the Houston Astros over the weekend, wrapping up the series with a 6-2 win as +120 underdogs Sunday with the Under (8.5) barely hitting. RHP River Ryan fanned 8 in his 1st MLB win for the Dodgers, who hit 3 HRs in the series finale.

The Padres won 2 of 3 games at the Baltimore Orioles for their 3rd straight series win. They lost 8-6 as +121 underdogs in the Sunday finale as the Over (9) easily cashed. The loss ended a 7-game Padres win streak.

Dodgers at Padres projected starters

RHP Tyler Glasnow vs. RHP Matt Waldron

Glasnow (8-6, 3.47 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and an MLB-leading 11.6 K/9 in 114 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 8-3 home defeat vs. San Francisco Giants Wednesday
  • 2024 road stats: 2-2, 3.26 ERA (47 IP, 17 ER), 0.98 WHIP, 12.6 K/9 in 8 starts
  • 2024 vs. Padres: 0-0, 2.25 ERA (12 IP, 3 ER), 0.75 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 in 2 starts
  • Career vs. Padres: 0-0, 2.12 ERA (17 IP, 4 ER), 0.71 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 in 5 appearances (2 starts)

Waldron (6-9, 3.64 ERA) makes his 22nd start. The rookie has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 118 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 12-3 victory at Washington Nationals Wednesday
  • 2024 home stats: 2-5, 4.33 ERA (52 IP, 25 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 in 9 starts
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 0-1, 2.61 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 2 starts this year

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:01 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Padres +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+110) | Padres +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Padres 4

Moneyline

The DODGERS (-155) had won 6 of 7 heading into the Astros series, and although they dropped 2 of 3 games at Houston, they were underdogs in all 3 due to pitching mismatches. The Dodgers have won 4 of Glasnow’s last 5 starts, while the Padres have lost 4 of Waldron’s last 5.

BET DODGERS (-155).

Run line/Against the spread

The Padres have won 7 of 8, and San Diego +1.5 (-135) will probably hit, but backing Waldron to keep it close against the 4th-best offense in MLB this season seems risky.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

Waldron has allowed 3 or more runs in 4 of his last 5 starts, and Glasnow has given up 2 or more in 4 straight. The Dodgers have scored 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 games, while the Padres have put up 4 or more in 5 of their last 6.

BET OVER 7.5 (-105).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (27-14) close out their 3-game road series against the San Diego Padres (21-21) Sunday. First pitch is at 4:10 p.m. ET from PETCO Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 4-3.

The Dodgers bounced back from a series-opening loss to shut out the Padres 5-0 on Saturday as starter James Paxton scattered 4 hits over 6 scoreless innings and OF Teoscar Hernandez hit a grand slam. The Dodgers have won 8 of their last 9 games.

The Padres had a 2-game winning streak snapped with the loss but have won 7 of their last 10 games. They sit 6 1/2 behind the frontrunning Dodgers in the NL West.

Dodgers at Padres projected starters

RHP Walker Buehler vs. RHP Yu Darvish

Buehler (0-0, 6.75 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 0 BB and 4 K through 4 IP.

  • Last start: No decision, 4 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 6-3 home win over Miami Monday
  • Making only 2nd start since 2022, coming back from Tommy John surgery
  • 6-0 with 1.49 ERA in 10 career starts vs. Padres

Darvish (2-1, 2.94 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 33 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 6-3 road win over Cubs Monday
  • 4-5 with 2.45 ERA in 14 career starts against the Dodgers

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Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Padres -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+150) | Padres +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Padres 3

Moneyline

The Dodgers are the hotter team right now, having won 8 of 9. They have scored 5 or more runs in 6 of those games. They are 12-6 on the road, while the Padres are only 9-13 at home.

Darvish hasn’t allowed a run in his last 2 starts (10 IP) but allowed 3 runs in 5 innings on April 14 against them at Dodger Stadium in a 6-3 Padres win.

Buehler has owned the Padres in his career, and even being just his 2nd start since returning from injury, the Padres haven’t scored more than 3 runs in their last 4 games.

So taking the Dodgers to win isn’t a bad play, but the run line will be the better value for this game.

PASS. 

Run line/Against the spread

Ten of the Dodgers’ last 11 wins have been by 2 or more runs. They only have 5 1-run wins out of 27 victories. It is a safe bet, especially at +150, to expect the Dodgers to cover the -1.5.

Plus, 6 of the Padres’ last 7 losses have been by 2 or more runs.

BET DODGERS -1.5 (+150).

Over/Under

Darvish’s last 4 starts have had more than 7 total runs.

The Dodgers have not had a game reach 8 total runs in their last 3, and the Padres have not in their last 4. But San Diego’s 6 games before that all hit at least 8 runs.

BET OVER 7.5 (-115).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (26-14) and San Diego Padres (21-20) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series at Petco Park Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 4-2

The Padres have won back-to-back games and are coming off a 2-1 victory as +150 home underdogs over the Dodgers in the series opener Friday. The Padres have won 3 of their last 4 games and 7 of their last 9. San Diego is 21-19 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

Friday’s loss snapped a 7-game winning streak for the Dodgers. It was the 1st time they had scored 1 or fewer runs since April 28. Los Angeles is 21-19 ATS on the season and 10-6 straight up on the road.

Dodgers at Padres projected starters

LHP James Paxton vs. RHP Matt Waldron

Paxton (4-0, 3.06 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 6.7 BB/9 and 5.0 K/9 in 32 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 5-1 home victory over Atlanta Braves Sunday
  • 2024 road splits: 2-0, 4.02 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 14 H, 1 HR, 9 BB, 9 K in 3 starts
  • Career vs. Padres: 2-1, 2.55 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.58 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 5 starts

Waldron (1-4, 5.82 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.56 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 34 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 7 ER, 8 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 11-4 setback at Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday
  • 2024 home splits: 0-3, 7.98 ERA (14 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 22 H, 3 HR, 2 BB, 13 K in 3 starts
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 1-0, 1.80 ERA (5 IP, 1 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 1 start, a 5-2 home win April 13

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Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:35 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -146 (bet $146 to win $100) | Padres +124 (bet $100 to win $124)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Dodgers -1.5 (+110) | Padres +1.5 (-132)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -118 | U: -104)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Padres 3

Moneyline

BET DODGERS (-146).

The Dodgers are 5-1 in Paxton’s 6 starts this season, having taken down the Braves 5-1 and Diamondbacks 8-4 in his last 2 outings. Los Angeles is 3-0 in its last 3 games after a loss and 9-4 on the season.

The Padres have lost Waldron’s last 2 starts and allowed at least 5 runs in each outing. Considering the trends for both sides, back DODGERS (-146).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

While there’s a case to be made for the Dodgers’ run line as well, their moneyline is playable here and the preferred route.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 9 (-104).

The Padres have gone Under in 3 straight games, and their offense, despite winning 2 of the 3, has been absent. They have scored 7 runs in their last 3 games and tallied just 17 in their last 5.

The Dodgers have gone Under in 2 straight games and 6 of their last 9. Los Angeles has gone Under in 2 of Paxton’s last 3 starts. Back UNDER 9 (-104).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego Padres (20-20) welcome the Los Angeles Dodgers (26-13) to Petco Park Friday. First pitch to kick off the 3-game series is set for 9:40 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 3-2

The Padres have won 2 of their last 3 games and 6 of their last 8. They have covered the run line in 3 straight and are 7-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 8. San Diego is 20-19 ATS on the season. It is 8-11 on the road.

The Dodgers have won 7 straight games with 6 of those victories coming by more than 1 run. They have swept the Atlanta Braves and Miami Marlins in back-to-back series. Los Angeles is 21-18 ATS. It is 10-5 on the road.

Dodgers at Padres projected starters

RHP Tyler Glasnow vs. RHP Michael King

Glasnow (6-1, 2.70 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 0.92 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 in 50 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 11-2 home victory vs. Braves Saturday
  • 2024 road splits: 2-0, 1.50 ERA (18 IP, 3 ER), 7 H (0 HR), 7 BB, 26 K in 3 starts
  • Career vs. San Diego: 0-0, 2.70 ERA (10 IP, 3 ER), 0.95 WHIP, 5 H, 4 BB, 9 K in 1 start and 3 relief appearances

King (3-3, 4.29 ERA) makes his 8th start and 9th appearance. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 42 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 13-1 road win vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Saturday
  • 2024 home splits: 0-1, 7.71 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 8 H (4 HR), 10 BB, 12 K in 2 starts
  • Career vs. Los Angeles: 1-0, 6.10 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.55 WHIP, 11 H, 5 BB, 12 K in 1 start and 2 relief appearances

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Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:24 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Padres +152 (bet $100 to win $152)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (-114) | Padres +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Padres 2

Moneyline

PASS.

The Dodgers (-180) are rolling, and with Glasnow on the mound, they should continue their streak. However, at -180, they are too pricey to take outright.

Run line/Against the spread

BET DODGERS -1.5 (-114).

The Dodgers have been surging and are the 7th-best team in MLB on the run line at 21-18. They are 9-5 ATS as road favorites, the 4th-best covering rate in that situation.

The Padres and Toronto Blue Jays are the only teams that have not covered the run line as home underdogs (both 0-3).

The Dodgers have won and covered Glasnow’s last 3 starts.

With those trends in mind, back DODGERS -1.5 (-114).

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-112).

The Dodgers have scored at least 5 runs in 4 of their last 5 games. The Over has hit in 3 of the 5, and L.A. singlehandedly scored enough runs for the Over to hit twice over that span. The Dodgers are 21-17-1 O/U on the season.

The Padres are 3-2 O/U in their last 5 games and 21-17-1 O/U on the season as well. San Diego has scored at least 6 runs in 5 of its last 8 games, so it should be able to get a couple on the board Friday.

Take OVER 7.5 (-112).

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Diego Padres open the 2024 Major League Baseball season in the Korea Series Wednesday morning in Seoul, South Korea. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05 a.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers won 2023 season series 9-4

This will be the 1st MLB regular-season game played on South Korean soil. The game takes place at the Gocheok Sky Dome in the capital city of Seoul, home of the Kiwoom Heroes of the Korean Baseball Organization (KBO). Former Dodgers and Padres major leaguer Chan Ho Park, the first Korean-born player in the majors, will be on hand to toss out the 1st pitch.

The Dodgers won the National League West with a 100-62 regular-season record, 16 games clear of the Arizona Diamondbacks. But Los Angeles ended up getting swept by the Snakes in the NLDS 3-0. The Padres were 2 games above .500 at 82-80 last season, 18 games back of the Dodgers. But there is a ton of excitement and expectations with the addition of DH Shohei Ohtani.

Padres manager Mike Shildt announced OF Jackson Merrill won the starting center field job. The 20-year-old, 1st-round pick in 2021 (27th overall) is expected to become just the 3rd player in the past 50 years to start in center field on Opening Day before turning 21 years old. The other 2 were Ken Griffey Jr. and Andruw Jones, so that’s quite an exclusive club.

Dodgers vs. Padres projected starters

RHP Tyler Glasnow vs. RHP Yu Darvish

Glasnow (10-7, 3.53 ERA) made 21 starts in 2023 with the Tampa Bay Rays. He had a 1.08 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 through 120 innings.

  • 2023 night game splits: Went 8-5 with a 3.62 ERA with 30 BB and 113 K across 87 IP in 15 starts
  • Hasn’t faced the Padres since July 1, 2018, when he was a member of the Pittsburgh Pirates. That appearance came in relief

Darvish (8-10, 4.56 ERA) made 24 starts in 2023. He posted a 1.30 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 136 1/3 innings.

  • 2023 night game splits: Went 7-7 with a 4.47 ERA with 29 BB and 97 K across 98 2/3 IP in 17 starts
  • 2023 splits vs. LAD: 1-0, 1.98 ERA across 13 2/3 IP in 2 starts with 1 BB and 10 K

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Dodgers vs. Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 5:34 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Padres +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (-120) | Padres +1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Dodgers vs. Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Padres 3

Moneyline

The Dodgers (-200) will cost 2 times the potential return. That’s a lot of risk in a game with a lot of unknowns.

One, we haven’t seen Glasnow start against the Padres in his career. Two, we haven’t seen the right-hander pitcher in a Dodgers uniform just yet. Three, we don’t know a lot about how the ball will jump off the bat at the Skydome in Seoul.

There is just too much risk and not enough reward. Still, while we know the Dodgers are, or at least should be, better than the Padres (+165), this is a PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The DODGERS -1.5 (-120) are a better play, with a little less risk, on the run line.

Glasnow, if he is 100 percent healthy, could be a tremendous addition to the Los Angeles rotation. Prior to his Tommy John surgery in August 2021 to repair a partial tear of the UCL and a flexor strain in his right arm, he was on a quick upward trajectory. He looked like one of the brightest stars in the game. Now, he has a high-octane offense backing him.

In 2023, Los Angeles won 9 of the 13 regular-season matchups with the Padres. The previous 8 victories for the Dodgers came by at least 2 runs. So if you like L.A., you should like it on the run line, too.

Over/Under

UNDER 9 (-120) is the lean, but go lightly. We don’t know a lot about how Gocheok Sky Dome is going to play out, but we do know Glasnow and Darvish have each been dealing in Cactus League spring starts.

We should see good pitching, at least early on. The 2nd game of this 2-game series (Thursday), features 2 starters who might be a little more giving.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (64-46) close out a 4-game series against the San Diego Padres (55-57) on Monday. First pitch from Petco Park is at 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 7-2

The Dodgers took 2 of the first 3 games of the series, beating the Padres 8-2 Sunday and 10-5 Friday, while dropping Saturday’s game 8-3. Los Angeles has won 5 of its last 6 games and leads the NL West by 4 games.

The Padres have won 6 of their last 9 games overall despite dropping 2 games in this series. They are in 4th place in the NL West, 10 games behind the Dodgers, but only 3 back in the NL Wild Card race.

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Dodgers at Padres projected starters

RHP Tony Gonsolin vs. RHP Seth Lugo

Gonsolins (6-4, 4.11 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 87 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 10-1 home win over Oakland Athletics Tuesday
  • 2023 vs. Padres: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 4-0 home win on May 14

Lugo (4-5, 3.64 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 89 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 3 R (2 ER), 5 H, 3 BB, 9 K in 4-3 road loss vs. Colorado Rockies last Monday
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 2-1 with 3.24 ERA over 1 start and 10 relief appearances

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Padres -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers +1.5 (-190) | Padres -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Padres 4

Moneyline

The Dodgers have dominated the season series, winning 7 of 9 matchups. They have won 4 of Gonsolin’s last 5 starts and are 11-10 this season as the underdog.

The Padres have allowed 21 runs in 3 games this series. They are 45-41 as favorites this season.

The Dodgers have dominated the Padres this season and that’s impossible to ignore.

BET DODGERS (+100).

Run line/Against the spread

The Dodgers are 16-5 ATS as underdogs this season, the best mark in the majors. However, they have won 4 of the last 5 times they covered the spread as the underdog, making the moneyline the better play. Betting Los Angeles +1.5 (-190) isn’t worth the action unless you include it in the leg of a parlay.

PASS.

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Over/Under

All 3 games in the series have reached 10 total runs.

The Dodgers have had 6 straight games with 10 or more runs.

The Padres have had 5 games in a row with 10 or more runs.

BET OVER 9 (-115).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (63-46) face the San Diego Padres (55-56) on the road Sunday for the 3rd of their 4-game series. First pitch from PETCO Park is at 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 6-2.

The Dodgers had their 4-game winning streak snapped Saturday in an 8-3 loss to the Padres to even the series at 1-1. They hold a 3-game lead in the NL West.

The Padres picked up the 8-3 win Saturday, beating the Dodgers for only the 2nd time this season. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and 6 of their last 8. They sit 3 games out of the final Wild Card spot.

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Dodgers at Padres projected starters

RHP Lance Lynn vs. LHP Rich Hill

Lynn (7-9, 6.32 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 through 126 2/3 IP.

  • Last start (1st for Dodgers): Win, 7 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 7-3 home win over Oakland A’s Aug. 1
  • Before trade to Dodgers, allowed 4 or more ER in 4 of 5 starts

Hill (7-10, 4.76 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 119 IP.

  • Making 1st start for Padres after trade from Pittsburgh Pirates
  • Last start: No decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 6-4 win over Philadelphia Phillies at home July 30

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Padres +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+135) | Padres +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 7, Padres 4

Moneyline

Both teams have new veteran additions to their starting rotation. Lynn makes his 2nd start for the Dodgers while Hill makes his Padres debut.

The Dodgers have won 7 of their last 11 road games. They have won 4 of their last 5. They had beaten the Padres 6 straight times before last night’s loss.

The Padres have won 4 of their last 5 home games.

Betting the Dodgers isn’t a bad play here at -125, but since 18 of their last 20 wins have been by 2 or more runs, the run line is much more appealing.

PASS. 

Run line/Against the spread

As noted, 18 of the Dodgers’ last 20 wins and each of their last 4 have been by at least 2 runs.

Four of the Padres’ last 6 losses have been by 2 or more runs.

Five of the Dodgers’ 6 wins over the Padres have been by at least 2 runs.

BET DODGERS -1.5 (+135).

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Over/Under

The Dodgers’ last 5 games and 12 of their last 17 have all had 10 or more total runs.

The Padres have had 4 straight games of 10 or more total runs.

Four of Hill’s last 5 starts with the Pirates had 10 or more total runs.

BET OVER 9.5 (-115).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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