Tag: Detroit Tigers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (57-52) and the Detroit Tigers (43-68) meet for middle contest of a 3-game set at Comerica Park Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tigers lead series 7-6

The Guardians posted a 5-2 victory in the series opener Tuesday, backing RHP Shane Bieber with 11 hits. Cleveland has now won its past 4 games against Detroit after suffering a 4-game sweep at Comerica Park July 4-6.

The Tigers have dropped 5 of the past 6 contests, and 8 of the previous 10. Detroit is now just 4-18 in its last 22 games against a right-handed starting pitcher.

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Guardians at Tigers projected starters

RHP Aaron Civale vs. RHP Drew Hutchinson

Civale (2-5, 6.17 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 54 IP.

  • Returns from the injured list for his first start since July 13 after recovering from a wrist injury.
  • Is 0-2 with a dismal 7.67 ERA with a .319 opponent batting average across 27 IP over 6 road starts.
  • Allowed just 1 unearned run on 3 H and 1 BB across 6 1/3 IP in a win against the Tigers May 20 in Cleveland.

Hutchinson (1-5, 4.37 ERA) makes his 9th start and 19th appearance. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 through 55 2/3 IP.

  • Is 1-4 with a 4.71 ERA and .287 opponent BA across 32 1/3 IP over 5 starts and 11 appearances at home.
  • Has posted a 1-0 record with a 4.50 ERA through 10 IP across 2 starts against the Guardians this season.

Guardians at Tigers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Guardians -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Tigers +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+100) | Tigers +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Guardians at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 7, Tigers 5

Money line

The GUARDIANS (-175) are rather heavy favorites, but slightly under my personal limit of -180 for money line plays.

Cleveland won the first game by a 5-2 count, and it is now 6-2 in the past 8 games inside the AL Central Division.

Detroit is now just 3-13 in the past 16 games inside the division and has gone 1-4 in the previous 5 home games against teams with a winning overall record.

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Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS -1.5 (+100) are worth a look on the money line as they try to cover for the second time in as many days.

Cleveland has 4 victories just since Aug. 3 and has won by 2 or more runs in 3 of those outings.

On the flip side, Detroit is careening out of control and has lost 8 of its last 10 games, with each of the setbacks coming by 2 or more runs.

Over/Under

Over bettors lucked out when the Tigers scratched out 2 runs in the bottom of the 9th Tuesday to grab the push in the series opener. We won’t really need a lot of luck to hit the OVER 8.5 (+100) Wednesday. Civale and Hutchinson are both very giving, and we should get the Over sooner rather than later.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (56-52) and the Detroit Tigers (43-67) meet for the opener of a 3-game set at Comerica Park Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tigers lead series 7-5

The Guardians picked up a 3-game sweep the last time these teams met July 14-16, avenging a 4-game sweep by the Tigers at Comerica Park July 4-6. Cleveland is a respectable 5-3 across its last 8 games.

The Tigers are skidding, losing 4 of their last 5 games overall, and 7 of their previous 9. Detroit is looking to snap a 4-17 slide against right-handed starting pitchers, too.

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Guardians at Tigers projected starters

RHP Shane Bieber vs. LHP Tyler Alexander

Bieber (6-6, 3.39 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 124 2/3 IP.

  • Is 1-2 with a 3.48 ERA and 21 K across 20 2/3 IP across 3 starts against the Tigers this season.
  • Has managed a 3-3 record, 3.32 ERA and .247 opponent batting average across 76 IP over 12 starts on the road.

Alexander (2-5, 4.04 ERA) makes his 7th start and 17th appearance. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 through 42 1/3 IP.

  • Has registered a 1-2 record, 3.57 ERA and just 1 HR allowed across 22 2/3 IP in 3 starts and 5 relief appearances at home.
  • Is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA over 4 1/3 IP across 2 relief appearances against the Guardians this season.

Guardians at Tigers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Guardians -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Tigers +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (-108) | Tigers +1.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Guardians at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Tigers 2

Money line

The Guardians (-190) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return and that’s just too much to risk for your payout. While Cleveland has been playing good ball lately, and Detroit is just 2-12 in the past 14 games inside the AL Central Division, AVOID. This is just too risky, especially with the Tigers at home.

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Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS -1.5 (-108) are a much better play on the run line. The Tigers have managed to win just 4 times in the past 21 outings agaisnt a right-handed starting pitcher, while going 1-5 in their last 6 contests at home vs. RHP.

Over/Under

The UNDER 7.5 (-120) is a strong play. While it’s all about the Over for Cleveland lately, the Under is 6-4 in Bieber’s last 10 starts. The Under is 8-1-3 in the last 12 games overall for Detroit, too, while going 10-3-2 in its last 15 series openers.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (37-52) and Cleveland Guardians (43-44) kick off a 4-game set Thursday at Progressive Field in Cleveland. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tigers lead series 7-2

After a season-high 6-game win streak — which included a 4-game sweep of the Guardians at Comerica Park — the Tigers are 1-5 across their last 6 outings.

The Guardians limp in with just 4 wins in the past 14 games, slipping under .500. Cleveland has won just 3 of its last 11 games inside the AL Central.

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Tigers at Guardians projected starters

RHP Elvin Rodriguez vs. RHP Triston McKenzie

Rodriguez (0-2, 11.51 ERA) makes his 5th start and 6th appearance. He has a 1.82 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 20 1/3 IP.

  • Is 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA and .375 opponent batting average in 9 1/3 IP in 2 road starts.
  • Worked 4 scoreless IP with 2 H, 0 BB and 4 K in a no-decision May 29 against the Guardians at Comerica Park.

McKenzie (6-6, 3.47 ERA) has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 93 1/3 IP across 15 starts and 1 relief appearance.

  • Has managed a 2-1 record, 3.68 ERA and .185 opponent BA with 30 K across 29 1/3 IP in 5 starts at Progressive Field.
  • Suffered a hard-luck loss at Detroit May 29 with 2 ER, 4 H and 1 BB with 8 K in 7 2/3 IP.

Tigers at Guardians odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Tigers +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Guardians -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-110) | Guardians -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Tigers at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Tigers 2

Money line

The Guardians (-240) will cost you nearly two and a half times your potential return. That’s just too risky, especially against a Tigers team that has won 7 of 9 in the season series.

PASS, and look to the run line instead.

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Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS -1.5 (-110) are a much better play on the run line, as Cleveland looks to snap on track. McKenzie has been throwing peas, recording tons of strikeouts in the process, and Cleveland has the edge here going against the unproven Rodriguez in this make-up game from May 21.

Over/Under

The UNDER 8.5 (-115) is the way to go here.

The Under is 4-2 across the past 6 games for the Tigers and 5-3-1 in 9 games against the Guardians this season.

The Under went 3-1 for Cleveland in the 4-game set with the White Sox, and the Under is 9-4 across the past 13 games overall.

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Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (40-39) and the Detroit Tigers (33-47) wrap up a 4-game series on Wednesday at Comerica Park in Detroit. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tigers lead series 6-2, and they’re 5-1 in Detroit.

The Guardians look to salvage at least 1 win out of this 4-game set at Comerica. Cleveland lost 11-4 in Tuesday’s game, the first Over in 5 outings.

The Tigers seek to equal a season-high 4-game win streak. Detroit has outscored Cleveland 20-8 in the first 3 games of this series.

Guardians at Tigers projected starters

RHP Shane Bieber vs. RHP Michael Pineda

Bieber (3-4, 3.16 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 91 IP.

  • Is 1-1 with a 1.80 ERA with 15 K through 15 IP across 2 starts vs. DET this season.
  • Has posted a 2-1 record, 2.51 ERA and .242 opponent batting average in 57 1/3 IP over 9 road starts.

Pineda (1-3, 3.62 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 4.9 K/9 through 27 1/3 IP.

  • Has posted a 1-2 record, 2.82 ERA and .238 OBA with 13 K across 22 1/3 IP in 5 home outings.
  • Faced Cleveland last Sept. 6, 2021 as a member of the New York Yankees, allowing 2 H and 1 BB across 3 scoreless IP of relief.

Guardians at Tigers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Guardians -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Tigers +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (-108) | Tigers +1.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Guardians at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 4, Guardians 3

Money line

The TIGERS (+155) look to finish off the 4-game series sweep, and they’re a tremendous value at this price based on how they’re playing.

The Guardians (-190) are just too expensive to trust, even if their best pitcher is on the bump.

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Run line/Against the spread

The TIGERS +1.5 (-112) are worth playing on the run line if you just don’t trust them to close out the Guardians -1.5 (-108) for the four-game sweep.

Detroit has won each of the first 3 games in this series by at least 2 runs, therefore the alternate line of TIGERS -1.5 (+275) is worth a roll of the dice.

Over/Under

The UNDER 7.5 (+100) is the lean here, although it’s going to be super close.

The Under is 5-2-1 in the previous 8 meetings in this series and 3-1-1 in the past 5 meetings in the Motor City. The Under is also 7-3-2 in the past 12 road games for Cleveland and 7-1-2 in the past 10 against winning teams for Detroit.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Detroit Tigers at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Detroit Tigers at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (28-45) and San Francisco Giants (40-33) wrap up a 2-game interleague series at Oracle Park in San Francisco Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 3:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Giants lead 1-0

The Tigers play their 5th straight game against a National League West foe. After winning the first 2, Detroit has dropped the past 2, including yesterday’s series opener by a 4-3 count.

The Giants won Tuesday, but they’re still just 2-4 across the past 6 games and 3-6 over the previous nine outings. The team’s last consecutive victories came June 17-18 against the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates.

Tigers at Giants projected starters

RHP Rony Garcia vs. LHP Alex Wood

Garcia (2-2, 4.57 ERA) makes his 7th start and 15th overall appearance. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 43 1/3 IP.

  • Enters on a 2-game win streak, allowing 4 combined ER, 8 H and 2 BB across the past 11 1/3 IP.
  • Has recorded at least 3 Ks in 8 consecutive outings.

Wood (5-6, 5.05 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 67 2/3 IP.

  • Is 2-2 with a 4.40 ERA with 27 K across 30 2/3 IP in 6 home outings.
  • Posted a 4.19 ERA in April, 5.32 ERA in May and a 5.47 ERA in June, as he continues to trend in the wrong direction.

Tigers at Giants odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Tigers +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Giants -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-130) | Giants -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Tigers at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 6, Giants 5

Money line

The TIGERS (+170) are a value play as moderate underdogs. The Giants (-210) have struggled to stack wins lately, and Wood has been extremely shaky, too. On the flip side, Garcia has been sharp, and he has racked up plenty of strikeouts. Back Detroit to wrap up this mini interleague set on a winning note.

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Run line/Against the spread

The TIGERS +1.5 (-120) are pretty cheap if you’re just not feeling them straight up, and want a little insurance. You can’t be blamed if you don’t trust Detroit straight up, as it is just 4-11 in the past 15 games overall, while going 9-23 in the past 32 on the road.

Over/Under

The OVER 8.5 (+100) at even money is strong play.

The Over has hit in 4 of the past 5 starts for Garcia, while hitting in 3 in a row for Wood. The Over is also a good bet with winds gusting 8-11 mph to the power alley in left-center field.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Colorado Rockies at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Colorado Rockies at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (9-5) finish their 3-game interleague set at the Detroit Tigers (6-8) Sunday. First pitch at Comerica Park is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series is tied at 1-1. The Rockies and Tigers split Saturday’s doubleheader with Detroit crushing Colorado 13-0 in the first game and the Rockies winning 3-2 in Game 2.

Rockies at Tigers projected starters

RHP Chad Kuhl vs. LHP Tyler Alexander

Kuhl (1-0, 0.87 ERA) beat the Philadelphia Phillies 4-1 Monday, pitching 6 scoreless frames with 2 H, 1 BB and 4 K.

  • vs. Tigers on current roster: 2.81 FIP with a .179 batting average, .254 wOBA, .355 expected slugging percentage, 29.5 K% and 90.3 mph exit velocity in 44 plate appearances.

Alexander (0-1, 4.26 ERA) picked up a loss in just a 1-inning start in Detroit’s 4-2 defeat to the New York Yankees Tuesday even though both of the runs allowed by Alexander were unearned.

  • Career home splits: 4-7 with a 4.44 ERA and 1.33 WHIP, both of which are higher than his road marks.

Rockies at Tigers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:58 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rockies +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Tigers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (-180) | Tigers -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Rockies at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rockies 7, Tigers 3

Money line

GIMME the ROCKIES (+110) for 1 unit because they have an edge in two of the three most important phases of baseball (hitting and starting pitching) and are equal with the Tigers (-135) in the third, relief pitching.

Colorado’s lineup has hit left-handed pitching well and Detroit’s lineup has struggled versus righties to start the year. The Rockies rank 12th in wRC+ and sixth in wOBA while the Tigers rank 25th in both wRC+ and wOBA and 23rd in hard-hit rate against righties, per FanGraphs.

Kuhl looks good in his first year in Colorado after moving on from that dumpster fire known as the Pittsburgh Pirates he pitched for from 2016-21.

Kuhl’s pitching periphals are far stronger than Alexander’s and he grades in the 82nd percentile or better in whiff rate, xSLG, xwOBA and xERA, according to Statcast.

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Run line/Against the spread

SPRINKLE on the ROCKIES -1.5 (+180) ALTERNATE RL, if at all, because they have healthy enough edges in hitting and starting pitching.

On top of that, Detroit’s bullpen ranks 28th in both xFIP and hard-hit rate, 25th in EV and 24th in K/BB rate so the ROCKIES -1.5 (+180) ALTERNATE RL could cash in later innings.

Over/Under

LEAN to the OVER 8.5 (+100) because both starters are at the end of each teams’ rotation and both bullpens have poor pitching peripherals.

However, it’s only a “lean” because the Rockies have played more to the Under as road underdogs since the beginning of last season and the Tigers have played more to the Under as home favorites over that span.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (71-87) play host to the Detroit Tigers (75-83) Thursday at Target Field in the finale of their three-game series and regular-season series. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Tigers vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Minnesota won the first two games of this series by a combined score of 8-4.

Season series: Twins lead 11-7.

LHP Tarik Skubal is on the rubber for the Twins. He is 8-12 with a 4.13 ERA (146 IP, 67 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 28 starts and two relief appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 4 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB and 1 K in Detroit’s 5-1 win over the Kansas City Royals Saturday.
  • Skubal is 0-2 with a 4.09 ERA (11 IP, 5 ER), 10 H, 3 BB and 13 K against the Twins in 2021.
  • vs. Twins on the current roster (69 PA): 5.73 FIP with a .206 batting average (BA), .307 wOBA, .507 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 30.4 K% and 91.5 mph exit velocity (EV).

RHP Joe Ryan makes his fifth start for the Twins. He is 2-1 with a 2.45 ERA (22 IP, 6 ER), 0.59 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in his rookie season.

  • Last outing: Win, 5-4, with 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 11 K Sept. 22 at the Chicago Cubs.

Tigers at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Tigers +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Twins -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Tigers +1.5 (-140) | Twins -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Prediction

Twins 5, Tigers 2

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the TWINS (-190) because this price is on the cusp of unplayable since Minnesota is one of the most disappointing teams in MLB this season.

However, it appears as though Detroit has put Skubal on an inning- or pitch-count since he’s a talented young arm. Skubal hasn’t thrown more than 50 pitches or gone deeper than 4 IP in any of his four starts this month. If that’s the case then the strongest factor in this handicap is Detroit’s weak bullpen.

Tigers’ relievers have the worst SIERA and K-BB% and third-worst xFIP this month. Minnesota’s bullpen has the fourth-best ERA, eighth-best HR/9 and eighth-best K% this month.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS despite my predicted score because the Twins are just 14-38 ATS as home favorites and 30-42 ATS in AL Central games. On the other hand, the Tigers are 40-33 ATS as road underdogs and 37-35 ATS against divisional opponents.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (-110) for a small wager because Minnesota is 20th in wRC+ and 22nd in wOBA vs. left-handed pitching. On top of that, Detroit’s lineup is 22nd in wRC+, 23rd in wOBA and 19th in hard-contact rate against righties.

There are also a plethora of Under-friendly trends for both teams entering this game and there’s a “line freeze” in the betting market for the total.

For instance, according to Pregame.com at the time of writing, roughly 70% of the cash wagered is on the Over but this total hasn’t budged since it opened. It’s telling that sportsbooks aren’t moving the total in a game with one-side action in the Over’s direction featuring two poor pitching staffs.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (89-55) stop by Comerica Park Tuesday to begin a two-game interleague series with the Detroit Tigers (68-76). First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Brewers vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1.

RHP Freddy Peralta is Milwaukee’s projected starter. Peralta is 9-4 with a 2.69 ERA (127 IP, 38 ER), 0.98 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 in 24 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 3 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 4 K in Milwaukee’s 4-3 win against the Philadelphia Phillies Wednesday.
  • Road splits: 5-2 with a 3.00 ERA (54 IP, 18 ER), 1.15 WHIP and 2.8 K/BB in 11 starts.

RHP Wily Peralta is on the mound for the Tigers. Peralta is 3-3 with a 3.60 ERA (70 IP, 28 ER), 1.31 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 across 14 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: No-decision in Detroit’s 3-2 loss Sept. 7 at the Pittsburgh Pirates with a stat line of 4 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 3 BB and 3 K.
  • vs. Brewers on the current roster (67 PA): 2.39 FIP with a .197 batting average, .247 wOBA, .416 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 20.9 K% and 87.4 mph exit velocity (EV).

Brewers at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:13 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Brewers -205 (bet $205 to win $100) | Tigers +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Brewers -1.5 (-120) | Tigers +1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Brewers 8, Tigers 3

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Brewers (-205) because they are clearly the right side but it’s a little too pricey for me. Although, Milwaukee being this heavy of a favorite makes sense considering it has an advantage in starting pitching, relief pitching and hitting.

There’s a ton of pro and public action supporting the Brew Crew, which has caused oddsmakers to move Milwaukee up from a -185 consensus favorite up to the current price.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

GIMME the BREWERS -1.5 (-120) for 1 unit because of their edges in the most important phases of baseball and Milwaukee has won seven of the last eight games, five of which by at least 3 runs.

Detroit’s bullpen ranks towards the bottom of the MLB in most advanced pitching categories while Milwaukee’s relief pitching is one of the better units in the league.

On top of that, W. Peralta’s numbers against these Brewers are pretty good but his pitching peripherals on the year are terrible. W. Peralta grades in the lower third of baseball in EV, xSLG, K%, expected wOBA and chase rate.

Lastly, Milwaukee has the second-best cover rate as a road favorite at 28-19 ATS and both sides of the betting market are backing the BREWERS -1.5 (-120) as well.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 8.5 (-125) for a half unit because both lineups have been hitting well lately and five of the past six Brewers-Tigers have gone Over the total (dating back to last season).

Plus we have a “pros vs. joes” scenario in the betting market with the presumed “sharp” money backing the Over. For example, each lineup ranks in the top-10 over the past 14 days in wRC+, wOBA and WAR.

Nearly three-fourths of the cash wagered is on the Over but a slight majority of the bets placed are with the Under, according to Pregame.com at the time of writing. Typically, it’s wiser in sports betting to follow the money especially when it’s flowing in the opposite direction as the public.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Detroit Tigers at Cincinnati Reds odds, expert picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Detroit Tigers at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (64-73) face off with the Cincinnati Reds (73-64) at Great American Ball Park Sunday in the finale of their three-game interleague series. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Tigers vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

This is the rubber match for the Tigers and Reds as Detroit won Friday’s game 15-5 and Cincinnati evened the set with a 7-4 victory Saturday.

Season series: Tied 1-1.

RHP Casey Mize is Detroit’s projected starter. He is 7-7 with a 3.59 ERA (135 1/3 IP, 54 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 through 25 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 3-2, with 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 4 K Monday against the Minnesota Twins.
  • 2021 road stats: 4-3 with a 3.50  ERA (74 2/3 IP, 29 ER), 1.09 WHIP and 3.1 K/BB across 13 starts.

RHP Luis Castillo is on the hill for the Reds. He is 7-14 with a 4.30 ERA (157 IP, 75 ER), 1.38 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 28 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 3-1, with 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 8 K Monday against the St. Louis Cardinals.
  • 2021 home stats: 5-6 with a 3.57 ERA (80 2/3 IP, 32 ER), 1.38 WHIP and 2.8 K/BB over 14 starts.

Tigers at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Tigers +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Reds -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Tigers +1.5 (-112) | Reds -1.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Tigers 5, Red 4

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the TIGERS (+180) for a tiny wager because there’s some value in Detroit’s run line and there’s a solid chance the Tigers could steal this game outright.

Detroit is 7-5 as a road underdog when Mize gets the start with a plus-48.9% return on investment (ROI). Whereas Cincy is just 10-18 straight up in games Castillo starts.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Definitely BET the TIGERS +1.5 (-110) heavier than or instead of Detroit’s money line. The Tigers are 9-3 ATS as road underdogs with Mize starting and have a plus-29.4% ROI in those spots. The Reds are 4-6 ATS as home favorites with Castillo starting and have a minus-13.8% ROI.

Detroit is also 9-5 ATS in interleague games and 34-30 ATS as a road underdog while Cincinnati is 6-11 ATS in interleague games.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Under 8.5 (-102) since both the “pros” and “joes” are backing the Under in the early-morning action report, according to Pregame.com, even though there are several pro-Over trends.

I’d assume this is “sharp” action because how many recreational bettors are wagering on Tigers-Reds in September?

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Oakland Athletics at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Oakland Athletics at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Oakland Athletics (72-59) visit the Detroit Tigers (62-70) Tuesday to begin a three-game series at Comerica Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Athletics vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Athletics lead 4-0.

LHP Cole Irvin makes his 26th start for the A’s. He is 9-12 with a 3.68 ERA (144 1/3 IP, 59 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5-1, with 3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and 0 K Aug. 24 against the Seattle Mariners.
  • Irvin beat Detroit April 17 with 6 IP, 4 H, 0 BB and 6 K in Oakland’s 7-0 home win.

LHP Tarik Skubal is Detroit’s projected starter. He is 8-11 with a 4.01 ERA (128 IP, 57 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 23 starts and two relief appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 10 K in Detroit’s 3-2 loss at the St. Louis Cardinals Wednesday.
  • Skubal lost to Oakland, 8-4, April 15 with a stat line of 4 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 4 BB and 5 K.

Athletics at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Athletics -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Tigers -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Athletics -1.5 (+140) | Tigers +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +110 | U: -135)

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Prediction

Tigers 4, Athletics 3

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the TIGERS (-105) for a half unit because there’s “reverse line movement” (RLM) toward Detroit and Skubal has been lights out this month while Irvin has struggled.

Oakland’s money line opened at -125 but has been steamed down to -115 on the consensus number even though the A’s have 84% of the action on them, according to Pregame.com. Generally, RLM is a red flag because you have to ask yourself: “Why is the House making the more popular side cheaper?”

Also, August is by far Skubal’s best month; he is 2-1 with a 1.59 ERA (22 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 0.97 WHIP and 9.0 K/BB this month. On the other hand, August has been Irvin’s worst month of the season by ERA, WHIP and K/BB.

Detroit is also 7-5 as a home underdog against lefty starters with a plus-35.5% return on investment (ROI). However, I can only “LEAN” to the TIGERS (-105) because Oakland is 10-4 overall as a road favorite against a left-handed starter with a plus-21.1% ROI.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS even though I’d love some insurance for our Detroit money line bet because the Tigers +1.5 (-175) is a little out of my price range since the A’s have the fourth-best cover rate in the majors when on the road.

Over/Under (O/U)

TAKE the UNDER 9.5 (-135) for 1 unit because the Under cashed in 11 of Detroit’s 12 games as a home underdog when the opponent has a lefty starter with an average score of 3.6-3.3. Oakland is 5-9 O/U as a road favorite against a left-handed starter.

On top of that, these teams have a combined 17-29 O/U record when these starters take the mound and Detroit’s lineup has the sixth-worst wRC+ and wOBA and fourth-worst WAR since the All-Star break.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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