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The NFC North-leading Minnesota Vikings (10-2) find themselves underdogs when they meet the Detroit Lions (5-7) Sunday in Ford Field at 1 p.m. ET (FOX) Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Vikings vs. Lions odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Vikings have been very shaky on defense, yet have found ways to win games late at a level that is almost unprecedented and they have their share of detractors. Minnesota is 9-0 in 1-score games and their 2 losses have been blowouts. The Vikings beat the Lions 28-24 in Week 3.
Detroit was off to a dismal start, losing 5 straight to drop to 1-6 before winning 4 of the last 5 with their only loss being a 28-25 defeat to Buffalo. They beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 40-14 last week at home as half-point underdogs.
If the Vikings win this game, they wrap up the NFC North title with a month left in the regular season and, despite the naysayers, would be the 1st team in the league to secure a division title and a guaranteed home playoff game.
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Vikings at Lions odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 7:07 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Vikings +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Lions -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Vikings +2.5 (-112) | Lions -2 (-108)
- Over/Under (O/U): 51.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Vikings at Lions key injuries
Vikings
- C Garrett Bradbury (back) questionable
- DT Jonathan Bullard (bicep) out
- OT Christian Darisaw (concussion) questionable
- S Harrison Smith (neck) questionable
Lions
- LB Derrick Barnes (knee) out
- G Evan Brown (ankle) doubtful
- CB Will Harris (hip) questionable
- CB Jeff Okudah (illness) questionable
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Vikings at Lions picks and predictions
Prediction
Vikings 30, Lions 24
Moneyline
TAKE THE VIKINGS (+105).
Everyone seems to be waiting for Minnesota’s uncanny luck in the 4th quarter to run out and have been predicting “trap games” when they played the New England Patriots and New York Jets, yet they won both of them.
The Vikings pass defense is brutal and gives up a lot of yards, but the D creates turnovers and makes big plays in the red zone to turn touchdowns into field goals. Detroit’s defense isn’t much better, so if the game is close in the final 5 minutes, don’t bet against the Vikings
Against the spread
TAKE THE VIKINGS +2.5 (-112)
Seeing as I’m taking the Vikings on the moneyline, this bet has less return, but it gives you the option of winning in the event of a tie or a Lions win by 1 or 2 points.
Over/Under
TAKE OVER 51.5 POINTS (-110).
This is a difficult because the O/U is extremely high. That said, both teams have consistently hit or surpassed that number in recent weeks. Both defenses are pretty awful, especially on the back end and allow a lot of points.
In their last 4 games, the Vikings have allowed 118 points and scored 27 or more in 3 of the last 4. Detroit has scored 127 points in its last 4 games, so the potential for a lot of scoring taking place justifies an O/U this high because it’s very likely going to be surpassed.
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